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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

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Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-11-14 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but frequent crossings and sideways movement in the past month, price near support at 333 without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given recent whipsaws and losses on similar entries.

The chart shows Visa in a downtrend since mid-October, with price breaking below key supports and now testing the 330 level after closing at 329.98 on 11/14/2025. Technicals indicate bearish momentum: EMA (340.70) is below SMA (342.22), price is well below both, MACD is negative at -2.63 with a bearish histogram, and RSI at 36 suggests oversold but no immediate reversal signal. Stochastic is low at 12/18, hinting at potential bounce, but without capitulation volume, it's risky. The falling resistance trendline around 348 caps upside, and support at 333.24 has been breached slightly, with next at 306 if it fails. Historical patterns show similar drops in April and June led to volatile bounces but often fakeouts, like the June decline to 335 followed by a quick rebound but ultimate failure; simulating a short here risks a snapback as seen in past oversold conditions, with <50% win rate on shorts near bottoms in the last 6 months (e.g., August shorts lost on bounces).

Fundamentally, Visa benefits from steady transaction volumes, but recent news includes antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ on debit practices (bearish, credible as ongoing lawsuit, timely with recent filings, potential for negative market reaction if escalated). Consumer spending data shows resilience per latest reports, but economic slowdown rumors could pressure (neutral to bearish). No unusual options activity or insider buys noted; filings show routine share repurchases. Social media buzz is mixed, with some optimism on holiday spending catalysts. Earnings history shows modest surprises but negative average reactions (-0.26%), so avoiding holds through them aligns.

No earnings or major events in next 3 days; next earnings likely late January 2026 based on patterns (e.g., prior Q1 on 1/30/2025). Learning from history, recent shorts covered at losses on bounces (e.g., 9/3 and 10/1), and longs exited early on breakdowns (10/16), so patience for clearer uptrend or confirmed bottom. Potential upside to 348 resistance if bounce, but downside to 306 support appears larger, with overbought risks low but red flags like doji-like bars recent. Better opportunities ahead.
2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and moving sideways without clear direction, price frequently crossing them, no recent volume capitulation, and the stock churning in a 334-353 range after repeated failed trades in history, avoiding new entries until a high-confidence setup emerges....
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, frequent crosses, and sideways action over the past month, avoiding new entries per technical priority, while no recent volume capitulation or compelling news catalysts support a high-confidence setup for long or short over weeks....
2025-11-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and moving sideways below recent resistances, while price remains below both without volume capitulation or strong catalysts for a directional move....
2025-11-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as V's trend is unclear with tightly rangebound EMA/SMA moving sideways below resistance, price near strong support at 333 without capitulation for long entry, and history of short losses from bounces reducing confidence for new positions. MACD is bearish at -2.05 but improving from deeper negatives, RSI at 40.57 indicates neutral to oversold without extremes, and volume lacks capitulation signals for a reversal long. Support at 333.24 (strength 5) has held multiple times, including recent tests, making a short entry risky near the range bottom where history shows bounces leading to losses (e.g., shorts covered at losses on 9/3 and 10/1 after failed breakdowns)....
2025-11-07 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, both sideways and tightly bound, price below both near strong support at 333 without capitulation, avoiding low-confidence entry after recent losses on bounces and breakdowns....
2025-11-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound and crossing recently without volume capitulation, price below both in a rangebound pattern around 330-350, avoiding new entries per technical rules while no high-conviction setup emerges from simulations of past similar consolidations often leading to whipsaws....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossing, price below both in a sideways churn around 335-350 without volume capitulation or strong catalysts, avoiding new entries per technical rules while monitoring for clearer direction....
2025-11-04 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and moving sideways without a clear downtrend for short entry, recent price action shows choppiness with failed shorts in similar setups, and no volume capitulation or uptrend signals for a long position....
2025-11-03 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossing, price below both in a sideways pattern near support without volume capitulation, and no high-conviction setup for long or short given recent whipsaws and lack of catalysts....
2025-10-31 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and recently crossing, price below both without clear direction or volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical priority while monitoring for a confirmed uptrend or downtrend setup....
2025-10-30 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossing, price oscillating around them without clear direction, no recent volume capitulation, and post-earnings volatility still settling, while avoiding quick re-entry after recent exit without compelling new catalysts....
2025-10-29 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound, frequently crossing, and price below both without a defined uptrend or downtrend setup, while recent earnings on 10/28/2025 showed neutral surprise and negative reaction, offering no high-confidence entry for a multi-week hold....
2025-10-28 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to Visa's earnings report today on 10/28/2025, which introduces high volatility risk despite the confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, and no disqualifying trend uncertainty....
2025-10-27 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with recent EMA/SMA crossover, price near resistance at 353 without breakout, and earnings tomorrow on 10/28/2025 warranting caution to avoid entry right before potential volatility....
2025-10-24 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with recent EMA/SMA crossings, price in mid-range without high-confidence setup, and upcoming earnings on 10/28/2025 warranting caution against new entries. No volume capitulation flagged in the last two months, and the price is neither at support for buying dips in an uptrend nor above EMA for shorting in a downtrend. Support levels are noted at $333.24 (strong, recent tests) and $306.22 (older), while resistance is at $353.42 and $359.66, placing the current close of $347.97 in the middle of the range—avoid buying mid-range without clear direction....
2025-10-23 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and nearly flat, price near resistance without a clear dip for entry, and upcoming earnings on 10/28/2025 prevent a minimum multi-week hold without violating rules, despite a recent recovery above key levels. Both lines are edging slightly upward, but the lack of separation and recent history of price bouncing around them without strong direction confirm no clear uptrend or downtrend. There's no recent volume capitulation to justify a long in a potential downtrend, and shorting isn't supported as price is above the EMA with no confirmed downtrend signals like both averages declining....
2025-10-22 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with tightly rangebound EMA/SMA frequently crossing and price oscillating around them without clear direction, combined with upcoming earnings on 10/28/2025 warranting caution against new entries....
2025-10-21 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend from frequent price crossings of EMA/SMA over the past month without volume capitulation, recent exit from long position on 10/16 at $335.4 amid bearish signals, and no high-confidence setup for entry despite price above EMA/SMA at 348.34....
2025-10-20 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound, price frequently crossing them without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 10/28/2025 not meeting hold criteria amid neutral technicals....
2025-10-17 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossed by price over the past month without volume capitulation, while price sits below both in a choppy range near support at 333 and resistance at 353, and upcoming earnings on 10/28/2025 do not meet criteria for holding long given mixed historical reactions and insufficient EPS surprises....
2025-10-16 SOLD
Summary: Exiting long position in Visa as price has broken below both EMA and SMA amid bearish MACD crossover and no volume capitulation, testing support near 334 with upcoming earnings on 10/28/2025 warranting caution....
2025-10-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long in Visa as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, no volume capitulation or bearish catalysts, while monitoring for resistance at 359 and planning exit ahead of 10/28/2025 earnings....
2025-10-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long in Visa as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA, price above both, positive MACD, and no immediate bearish catalysts, targeting resistance near 359 before exiting ahead of 10/28/2025 earnings....
2025-10-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold long position in Visa as technicals show EMA above SMA with positive MACD divergence, price holding above key support at 340-333 amid pullback, targeting resistance at 359 before earnings on 10/28/2025....
2025-10-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold long position in Visa's uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, targeting resistance near 359 while monitoring for breakdowns before earnings on 10/28/2025....
2025-10-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long position in Visa's uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent MACD positive, targeting resistance near 359 while monitoring for pullbacks or breakdowns ahead of earnings on 10/28/2025....
2025-10-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long in confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent bullish MACD, aiming for resistance at 359 while monitoring for pullbacks, with plan to exit before earnings on 10/28/2025 absent strong positive catalysts....
2025-10-07 BUY
Summary: Entering long on confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent MACD bullish crossover, and price breaking recent highs after a pullback to 344, targeting resistance at 359 over the next weeks while monitoring for overbought signals....
2025-10-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA, no recent volume capitulation, and recent short losses on bounces signaling potential for continued rangebound action without high-confidence setup for a multi-week move. Price is above both averages but the minimal separation and lack of decisive breakout suggest choppy action ahead, consistent with historical simulations where similar setups led to whipsaws and false signals in over 50% of comparable periods over the past year, like the ranging behavior in late August to September that burned shorts on rebounds without sustained downside. Reviewing trade history, the two recent shorts entered in downtrends resulted in losses from unexpected surges, teaching caution against forcing trades in ambiguous conditions; for instance, the 9/22 short at 344.36 covered at a loss on 10/1 after price broke above MAs, mirroring prior failures....
2025-10-03 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA, tightly bound averages, frequent price crossings without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short entry amid recent failed shorts on bounces....
2025-10-02 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, tightly rangebound moving averages, frequent price crossings without recent volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry after recent short exit on bounce....
2025-10-01 COVERED
Summary: Exiting the short position as price has surged above both EMA and SMA with a bullish MACD crossover, breaking the downtrend amid potential positive consumer spending trends, to avoid repeating past losses from bounces. ...
2025-09-30 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, targeting support at 333 while monitoring antitrust pressures and bearish momentum from recent filings....
2025-09-29 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, and targeting support near 333 amid antitrust lawsuit pressures and bearish momentum....
2025-09-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, targeting support at 333 amid ongoing antitrust pressures and bearish momentum from recent highs....
2025-09-25 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, targeting support at 333 while price at 335.72 nears it amid bearish momentum and recent antitrust concerns....
2025-09-24 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, targeting support at 333 while recent price at 338.76 shows weakness amid low volume and lack of bullish catalysts. Over the past month, there have been no frequent EMA/SMA crossings (fewer than 2), and the lines aren't tightly rangebound or frequently pierced by price, supporting a clear downtrend for holding the position. Technical indicators like RSI at 44.33 indicate neutral to oversold conditions but not extreme enough for reversal without capitulation, while MACD at -1.69 shows ongoing bearish momentum. Support at 333.24 has historical strength with 3 bounces, making it a logical target for covering, and we're not yet near it, so no early exit. Resistance at 346.32 was recently tested, reinforcing the falling trendline with a negative slope....
2025-09-23 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, targeting support at 333 while price at 338.56 shows continued weakness without reversal signals....
2025-09-22 SHORT
Summary: Entering short on confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent capitulation, entry below EMA near falling resistance, targeting support at 333 over weeks while avoiding past bounce mistake....
2025-09-19 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound and price crossing frequently without capitulation, avoiding new entries near support amid recent volatility and no strong catalysts....
2025-09-18 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound below typical daily ranges, preventing new entries, while the recent BOT capitulation around early August at 338-340 levels within the past two months blocks a short setup despite price closing below both averages at 339.61, and no strong uptrend or new capitulation supports a long position....
2025-09-17 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price between them, recent price crossings without capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid rangebound action around 340-350....
2025-09-16 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend is confirmed but price is bouncing off key support at 333 without clear capitulation or high-conviction breakdown, risking a potential rebound similar to the recent short loss covered on 9/3....
2025-09-15 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend persists but price is near key support at 333 without breaking it, risking a bounce similar to the recent short loss, with no high-confidence entry for long or short given unclear catalysts and lack of volume capitulation....
2025-09-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, frequent price crossings without capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short over the next weeks....
2025-09-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price crossing the EMA and SMA twice in the past month without volume capitulation, following a recent short trade loss from an unexpected bounce, to avoid low-confidence entries....
2025-09-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend continues but price at 338.58 is near key support at 333.24 with no volume capitulation, risking a bounce similar to the recent failed short trade, while lacking high-confidence setup for re-entry so soon after exiting at a loss....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with price frequently crossing EMA and SMA over the past month without volume capitulation, preventing new entries in this choppy range-bound action around 340-350, while staying in cash post-recent short cover loss....
2025-09-08 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, price crossing MAs twice in the past month without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical rules despite no immediate earnings or catalysts....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to unclear downtrend with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA, no recent volume capitulation, and learning from the recent short trade loss in a similar volatile setup without sustained breakdown....
2025-09-04 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry in potential downtrend, and insufficient confirmation for a short given price position above key moving averages. This setup advises against new entries, emphasizing patience for clearer signals like a confirmed trend or capitulation....
2025-09-03 COVERED
Summary: Exiting the short position entered 8 bars ago at $343.69 as price has bounced above the entry and is testing resistance near $359 without breaking down to target support at $333, combined with unclear downtrend signals and potential bullish catalysts from recent consumer spending data....
2025-09-02 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the existing short position entered 7 bars ago at $343.69 as the required multi-week hold period hasn't elapsed yet, with price still below key resistance at $359.66 in a rangebound setup targeting support near $333, despite the recent bounce and unclear trend signals from EMA below SMA but price above both....
2025-08-29 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the existing short position as the minimum hold period of 10-14 days has not yet elapsed since entry 6 bars ago at $343.69, with EMA still below SMA indicating persistent downtrend signals, no recent volume capitulation, and price below key resistance at $359.66 while targeting cover near support at $333 amid a potential multi-week pullback despite the recent bounce....
2025-08-28 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the existing short position as the minimum hold period has not elapsed since entry 5 bars ago at $343.69, downtrend signals with EMA below SMA persist without recent volume capitulation, price remains below key resistance at 359.66 while targeting cover near support at 333 for a potential multi-week downside move. No volume capitulation flagged in the past month, supporting continuation of the short absent reversal signals. Support at 333.24 has historical strength with 3 bounces, and the chart indicates no break above the descending trendline or resistance, suggesting potential for pullback toward that level over weeks....
2025-08-27 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the existing short position as the minimum 10-14 day hold period has not yet elapsed since entry 4 bars ago, downtrend signals persist with EMA below SMA and no recent volume capitulation to signal reversal, while price remains below key resistance at 359 without reaching it, targeting cover near support at 333 for a multi-week move....
2025-08-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short position as minimum hold period hasn't elapsed, downtrend indicators persist with EMA below SMA despite recent price bounce, no volume capitulation to invalidate, and targeting cover near support at 333 without nearing resistance. No frequent EMA/SMA crosses (zero in past month) or price crossings (only one recent upward cross), and absence of volume capitulation in the last 30 days supports continuing the short, as the trend isn't clearly unclear or reversed. Key support at 333 has held multiple times (e.g., bounces in early August and March), and historical patterns show similar bounces failing to sustain, like the invalidated BOT in early August leading to new lows below 329 before rebounding modestly....
2025-08-25 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short as minimum hold period hasn't passed, downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and no capitulation, price hasn't hit resistance for exit, eyeing support at 333 for potential cover in weeks....
2025-08-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short position as the minimum hold period hasn't elapsed, downtrend signals persist without recent capitulation, and price hasn't reached key resistance for exit despite today's bounce....
2025-08-21 SHORT
Summary: Entering short on confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, no recent capitulation, and entry below EMA for a potential multi-week move toward support at 333....
2025-08-20 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound without recent volume capitulation, avoiding new entries after recent long exit....
2025-08-19 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the long position in Visa as the downtrend is confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both, the early August BOT capitulation appears invalidated by sustained lower prices including a drop to 328.7 without new capitulation, and current price at 342.06 is pulling back toward support at 333 without reaching prior resistance at 359, signaling a potential larger downside move over the next weeks. This overrides the previous hold rationale, as the rebound from the early August BOT flagged low around 338-340 has faltered, with price dipping to a new low of 328.7 on 8/7/2025 and not sustaining above the capitulation level for a confirmed reversal—invalidating it per the condition of sustaining lower for at least 5 bars or bouncing to SMA, as subsequent action saw volatile pulls below without fresh volume capitulation....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in Visa as the early August BOT capitulation remains valid without invalidation, price at 342.98 is above key support at 333 while in a potential rebound phase not yet reaching resistance at 359, and the minimum hold period is met but setup still favors multi-week upside....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in Visa as the BOT capitulation from early August remains valid with no invalidation conditions met, price at 344.56 is rebounding above support at 333 without reaching resistance at 359, and the minimum 10-14 day hold period is approaching but not yet requiring exit in this setup....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the long position in Visa as the minimum 10-14 day hold period hasn't been reached with only 8 bars since entry at $342.15, the early August BOT capitulation remains valid without price sustaining below the 328-333 low for 5 bars or reaching the SMA, and current price at 345.69 shows rebound momentum above key support at 333 while in a downtrend but with potential to test resistance near 359....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position in Visa as the minimum 10-14 day hold period hasn't been met with only 7 bars passed since entry at $342.15, the early August BOT capitulation remains valid without price sustaining below the 335-340 low for 5 bars or bouncing to SMA, and current price at 342.95 is above key support at 333-335 in a downtrend but with potential for rebound toward resistance at 359....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position in Visa as the minimum 10-14 day hold hasn't been reached yet with only 6 bars passed, the BOT capitulation from early August remains valid without invalidation criteria met, and price is holding above key support at 333-335 despite the downtrend, suggesting potential for a multi-week rebound. Price closed at 335.9 today, testing the support level at 333.24 (strength 2, recent bounces), which aligns with not selling near the bottom; historical patterns show Visa often rebounds from such volume-supported lows, as seen in the July 2025 entry that gained after a similar setup, though we must avoid past mistakes like early exits before catalysts....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position in Visa as the minimum 10-14 day hold period hasn't been met yet at only 5 bars, BOT capitulation remains valid without 5 consecutive bars below ~335 low, and price is testing support around 333-335 with potential for rebound despite current downtrend....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long in Visa as minimum hold period not yet met at only 4 days, BOT capitulation flag remains valid without 5 consecutive bars sustaining below the ~335 low, despite current downtrend, supported by strong Q3 2025 earnings beat with EPS $2.98 vs $2.85 expected and 14% revenue growth to $10.2B....
2025-08-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long in Visa as the BOT capitulation flag remains valid with only one bar below the 335 low without 5-bar sustained break, amid downtrend but supported by strong Q3 EPS beat, buybacks, and positive analyst targets for a potential rebound over weeks. Volume was elevated at 8.7M shares, but no new capitulation flag appeared, and RSI at 32.6 indicates oversold conditions that could precede a bounce, especially with MACD showing potential for convergence....
2025-08-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long in Visa as the recent BOT capitulation flag remains valid without 5-bar sustained break below lows around 335, supported by overall strong fundamentals like EPS beat and buybacks despite revenue miss, with no near-term earnings and price holding above key supports for a potential multi-week rebound....
2025-08-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long as the position was entered just one bar ago on signs of bottoming with BOT flag and strong fundamentals like earnings beat and buyback, and despite today's dip below recent lows, it hasn't sustained below capitulation levels for 5 bars to invalidate, requiring at least a 10-14 day hold. Technicals indicate a downtrend with EMA at 350.30 below SMA at 354.66 and price below both, but the entry was an exception due to the BOT flag allowing buys in downtrends with capitulation. Volume today was moderate at 4.26M, RSI at 35.41 suggests oversold conditions that could lead to a rebound, and MACD is negative but potentially bottoming. No recent volume capitulation flagged in the past month, so we monitor for any new signals....
2025-08-04 BUY
Summary: Enter long as price shows signs of bottoming with "BOT" flag at recent lows around 338-340, supported by strong Q3 earnings beat, dividend declaration, and $30B buyback program, while holding above key support for a potential multi-week rebound. Recent bars show price dipping to 338 on 8/1 before bouncing to close at 342 on 8/4, with today's low at 340 holding above that level, avoiding invalidation as there are no 5 consecutive bars below the capitulation low....
2025-08-01 CASH
Summary: Technicals show a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but simulation of similar sharp drops in the last 6 months often led to bounces rather than further declines, indicating low win rate for short entries at these levels and no volume capitulation to justify a long position....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to the clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry, positive post-earnings fundamentals suggesting potential rebound risk for shorting near recent support around 347-348, and no high-confidence setup for either side given the tight range....
2025-07-30 CASH
Summary: Visa reported strong Q3 2025 earnings with revenue and EPS beats, positive analyst ratings, and buybacks, but the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them without clear direction or capitulation, so stay in cash for a better setup....
2025-07-29 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, and earnings release scheduled after market close today, avoiding entry before major catalyst without strong positive indicators. ...
2025-07-28 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA and price between them, plus earnings tomorrow on July 29, 2025, avoiding entry right before without overriding confidence in a positive surprise despite upbeat sentiment....
2025-07-25 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price barely above both in a tight range without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on July 29 introduce too much risk for a new entry despite positive news sentiment....
2025-07-24 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, no volume capitulation, and recent earnings beat suggests monitoring for clearer uptrend confirmation before entering long....
2025-07-23 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price oscillating between them without clear direction, while upcoming earnings on July 29, 2025, advise against new entries despite positive analyst sentiment and recent price bounce....
2025-07-22 CASH
Summary: Upcoming earnings expected around July 23, 2025, with trend unclear due to EMA below SMA, frequent crossings, and no recent volume capitulation, making new entries risky ahead of the catalyst....
2025-07-21 SOLD
Summary: Price is holding above key rising trendline support at 349 but in a defined downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, and upcoming earnings likely within 1-2 days warrant avoiding holding through without strong positive catalysts....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on V as price consolidates above key rising trendline support near 348 after high-conviction bottom bounce, with neutral RSI and MACD showing potential convergence for continued upside over weeks....
2025-07-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG as price holds above rising trendline support at 347-350 after bounce from high-conviction bottom at 335 with volume capitulation 17 bars ago, neutral RSI at 47, and MACD histogram narrowing for potential weeks-long upside despite recent consolidation....
2025-07-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Price continues holding above key rising trendline support around 346-347 after high-conviction volume capitulation bottom at 335 sixteen bars ago, with neutral RSI and stabilizing MACD signaling potential multi-week upside despite short-term volatility....
2025-07-15 BUY
Summary: Price bounced from high-conviction bottom at 335 with volume capitulation 15 bars ago, now holding above rising trendline support at 346, with RSI neutral and improving MACD for favorable weeks-long upside.