The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.
The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.
Follow trades and activity on The Tech Trader Wall and Tech Trader + Grok Wall.
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(Technical Analysis + Trades by Tech Trader)
Grok's Analysis
| 2026-02-27 | SOLD |
| 2026-02-26 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long in UNP amid continued uptrend, bullish MACD crossover, positive tariff ruling boosting rail sector, and analyst projections for 9% EPS growth....
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| 2026-02-25 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long in UNP amid sustained uptrend with bullish MACD, solid momentum, high volume, and merger refiling progress as a key catalyst....
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| 2026-02-24 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long in UNP as the strong uptrend continues with bullish MACD, high RSI momentum, recent analyst upgrades, positive volume recovery, and catalysts like April merger refiling outweighing minor weather impacts....
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| 2026-02-23 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long in UNP as the strong uptrend persists with positive MACD, high RSI signaling momentum, and bullish catalysts like merger refiling and modernization deals outweighing any short-term pullbacks....
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| 2026-02-20 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Maintain long in UNP as the robust uptrend continues with bullish catalysts like the recent dividend hike and $1.2B Wabtec modernization deal outweighing merger scrutiny delays, eyeing April earnings and April 30 refiling....
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| 2026-02-19 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Stay long in UNP as the strong uptrend persists with merger refiling on April 30 as a key bullish catalyst, overriding overbought RSI despite minor pullback....
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| 2026-02-18 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Stay long in UNP as the strong uptrend continues with merger refiling catalyst intact despite some hurdles, overriding overbought signals for now....
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| 2026-02-17 | BUY |
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Summary: Re-enter long as merger refiling set for April 30 revives bullish catalyst overriding overbought RSI, with strong uptrend intact and exit reasons like no catalysts no longer applying despite quick re-entry on new confirmatory info....
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| 2026-02-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Stay in cash as overbought RSI 73 persists amid shooting star reversal candle on 2/13, with lingering GOP pushback on merger refiling and no fresh catalysts post-surge....
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| 2026-02-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Stay in cash as UNP remains overbought with RSI at 76 and Stochastic at 98 after recent surge, coupled with ongoing GOP pushback on the NS merger despite positive catalysts like the $1.2B Wabtec deal....
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| 2026-02-11 | CASH |
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Summary: UNP remains overbought with RSI at 77.6 and STO K/D near 99 after a sharp 11% surge in a week, mirroring past peaks where we exited longs profitably but avoided quick re-entries amid pullback risks, with no fresh bullish catalysts overriding GOP merger pushback....
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| 2026-02-10 | SOLD |
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Summary: Exit long to cash as UNP hits $258+ upside target amid overbought RSI 76.7, fresh GOP pushback on merger refiling, and no immediate catalysts after recent surge....
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| 2026-02-09 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long as UNP surges to 52-week highs on STB merger filing with Norfolk Southern, strong Q4 results, and bullish technical breakout above $252 resistance amid positive momentum indicators....
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| 2026-02-06 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long as UNP surges on $85B Norfolk Southern merger pursuit, $1.2B Wabtec modernization deal, and Citigroup's buy rating with $270 PT, amid transports breakout and bullish technicals....
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| 2026-02-05 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; UNP surges to $250+ (up 3.4% Feb4 close $249.76[[1]](https://www.zacks.com/stock/quote/UNP)[[2]](https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/unp?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqdnO658ZDjJzdmH3RzsobzLZOfWxqrGzh3nyrbi_aFIHq3AkIysLrKU&gaa_sig=BjIXIzL8owv_UTny4EIJ1dXbpq44bBHfGyXlfhu6Fq5qlSd4tMhYCmmKtWXgXUe_oSIc1Pt7V3X1mtM53NeNfg%3D%3D&gaa_ts=69851ba6)) on transports breakout, analysts Buy $258-266 PT despite merger scrutiny.[[3]](https://public.com/stocks/unp/forecast-price-target)[[4]](https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/unp/analystestimates?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcgbb3Ds2zzTILpwuaS7kxaBWsDtFa-Z7RQpNDSo-ZY5h8eGMelkdJg&gaa_sig=aA4Nf3_rNMT5GBxE0WgECD0HQbzNH1MithlMrI9cuitv7EZo2ZYYAJ7_VGIK9-IMVC7E7dBf2gPs-L8sOgZIIA%3D%3D&gaa_ts=69851ba6)...
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| 2026-02-04 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; UNP up 2% to $246 amid transports breakout, analysts avg $266 PT despite soft AAR volumes, March merger refile path clear.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/unp:us)[[2]](https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/unp/analystestimates?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcKC1PdGkSEmUSaSvZRdV5Ga53UACqlyWWdN3WeLDaqxLlDuA-g1g1D&gaa_sig=wkOpd3v5kHn2LvbjUqTusvUzG9LauzDLHHss7mW5Mcts9Nua1y6lA22TSLDUDwZ3RjfoVdntroo1-yBRLRNd2A%3D%3D&gaa_ts=6983b55f)...
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| 2026-02-03 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; UNP steady ~$235 close Feb2 above $233.58 entry, analysts Buy $258 PT amid full-year records and improving rail volumes despite merger refile wait.[[1]](https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/UNP/union-pacific/stock-price-history)[[2]](https://public.com/stocks/unp/forecast-price-target)...
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| 2026-02-02 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; UNP grinds steady ~$235 (above $233.58 entry), analysts Buy consensus $258 PT crushes spot with March merger refile on deck....
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| 2026-01-30 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; March merger refile per CEO Vena post-Q4 digestion, analysts Buy consensus $258 PT crushes $233 entry amid record full-year NI....
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| 2026-01-29 | BUY |
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Summary: Merger refile set for March per CEO Vena today clears fog from STB rejection—buy post-earnings dip at ~$228 with $258 PT upside....
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| 2026-01-28 | CASH |
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Summary: Hold cash; Q4 mixed (EPS miss/volumes -4%/intermodal plunge) rally fades amid merger refile wait (Feb17 notify), RSI ~45 neutral with $230 support test....
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| 2026-01-27 | COVERED |
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Summary: Cover short to cash; Q4 EPS beat ($3.11 vs $2.87 est) offsets rev/OR misses, stock +2% to $235 amid full-year records and 2026 mid-single-digit EPS guide....
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| 2026-01-26 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Hold short pre-Q4 earnings tomorrow; STB merger rejection lingers without refile (notify by Feb17), Susquehanna flags near-term pressure amid freight softness....
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| 2026-01-23 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Hold short; STB incomplete rejection (Jan16) weighs heavy with no UNP/NS refile, Susquehanna eyes further downside....
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| 2026-01-22 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Hold short; STB rejection (Jan16 unanimous) fallout drags on with no refile from UNP/NS, rivals vindicated per fresh reports....
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| 2026-01-21 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: STB rejection of merger app as incomplete confirmed Jan16, stock dips persist with rivals cheering and UNP/NS silent—hold short....
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| 2026-01-20 | SHORT |
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Summary: STB rejects UNP-NS merger app as incomplete Jan16 (STB PR, Reuters), confirming rivals' motions—short amid post-hype plunge....
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| 2026-01-16 | CASH |
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Summary: Hold cash; BNSF/CN motions demand more merger docs (FreightWaves Jan12), UP CEO Vena calls rivals' protests overkill (FreightWaves today) but STB scrutiny drags on....
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| 2026-01-15 | CASH |
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Summary: Hold cash; rivals' motions for more docs (FreightWaves 3 days ago) and CPKC/BNSF CEOs urging shippers oppose at MARS (Trains 1 day ago) amp incomplete app risks....
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| 2026-01-14 | CASH |
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Summary: Hold cash; BNSF/CN motions intensify demanding more merger docs (Trains/Reuters 2 days ago), STB scrutiny persists with no resolution....
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| 2026-01-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Hold cash; CN details incomplete competitive analysis/missing shares (Mark Warner X today), BNSF/CN motions force more docs (Trains/FreightWaves 1-2 days)—regulatory risks mount....
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| 2026-01-12 | SOLD |
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Summary: Sell long to cash; CN/BNSF fresh motions (7-12hrs ago) demand more merger docs, echoing incomplete app risks that paused us 1/2—lock gains amid escalating delays....
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| 2026-01-09 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; rivals' anti-competitive claims (AJC 11hrs ago) countered by UP/NS corrected map/rebuttal strength, MARS meeting debate favors applicants....
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| 2026-01-08 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; UP/NS rebuttal + corrected map filing today counters rivals' incomplete claims, bolstering STB case....
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| 2026-01-07 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; STB merger review steady with no ruling on rebuttal, rivals' incomplete pushback procedural amid supportive shipper comments....
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| 2026-01-06 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; UP/NS rebuttal to rivals' incomplete claims stands unchallenged today, STB process advances with merger synergies in focus....
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| 2026-01-05 | BUY |
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Summary: Rivals' incomplete claims on merger filing no longer apply as UP/NS rebuttal today urges STB dismissal, reviving momentum—re-enter long soon after CASH as defense flips narrative....
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| 2026-01-02 | SOLD |
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Summary: Sell long to cash; merger hype fades as rivals slam STB filing as incomplete, stock slips while S&P wavers on 2026 open....
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| 2025-12-31 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; year-end melt-up hits $235+, STB merger comments supportive, Q4 volumes primed for beat post-divvy....
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| 2025-12-30 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; divvy pay hits accounts today Dec30 ($1.38), merger STB comments lean positive, price firms at $234+ on volume....
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| 2025-12-29 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold long; post-Christmas volumes spike supports merger-driven rally to $233+, STB comments due with Barclays $285 PT intact....
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| 2025-12-26 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend remains intact with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, no breakdown below key 230 support, and stable rail sector fundamentals amid positive economic data....
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| 2025-12-24 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, no breakdown below 230 support, and stable fundamentals in rail sector amid positive economic indicators....
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| 2025-12-23 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD despite recent dip, no breakdown below key 230 support, and stable rail fundamentals amid strong economic data....
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| 2025-12-22 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, no breakdowns below key supports near 230-227, and stable rail sector fundamentals amid improving economic indicators....
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| 2025-12-19 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, and no immediate catalysts or breakdowns below key supports near 230-226, supported by stable rail fundamentals and recent hammer pattern signaling potential rebound....
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| 2025-12-18 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and bullish momentum aiming for resistance near 240, bolstered by stable rail sector fundamentals and no near-term catalysts....
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| 2025-12-17 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and bullish momentum targeting resistance near 240-242, supported by stable rail fundamentals and no immediate catalysts....
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| 2025-12-16 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and recent highs near 241 suggesting potential retest of resistance at 240-242 amid stable rail sector fundamentals and no imminent catalysts....
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| 2025-12-15 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, recent breakout above $235-240 resistance targeting $245 amid stable fundamentals and no near-term catalysts....
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| 2025-12-12 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD momentum, no support breach below $230, and targeting $245 resistance amid stable rail volumes and favorable economic indicators. MACD is positive at 3.61 with the signal line at 2.90, showing bullish divergence and upward momentum, while RSI at 67.92 indicates strength without extreme overbought conditions. Volume has been supportive on up days, with no signs of capitulation or exhaustion....
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| 2025-12-11 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, no support breach below $230, and targeting $245 resistance amid stable freight volumes and positive economic outlook....
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| 2025-12-10 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD divergence, no breach of $230 support, and targeting $245 resistance amid stable rail volumes and positive economic indicators....
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| 2025-12-09 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend remains intact with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, no breakdown below $230 support, and targeting $245 resistance amid stable freight trends and no immediate catalysts....
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| 2025-12-08 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD divergence, no breakdowns below key supports like $230, and targeting $245 resistance amid favorable freight volume trends and no near-term catalysts....
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| 2025-12-05 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as uptrend remains confirmed with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD momentum, recent breakout above $235 resistance, and no immediate catalysts or breakdowns signaling exit, targeting $245+ over weeks....
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| 2025-12-04 | BUY |
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Summary: Entering long on confirmed uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, bullish MACD crossover, and positive momentum from recent breakout above $235 resistance, targeting $245 over next few weeks despite overbought RSI....
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| 2025-12-03 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and tightly rangebound, price near top of recent 217-235 range avoiding poor entry, no high-confidence setup despite bullish momentum and positive freight news....
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| 2025-12-02 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and recent upside momentum, no volume capitulation for contrarian entry, and past shorts on UNP have repeatedly failed amid quick reversals without sustained breakdowns. MACD is positive at 2.1772 with the signal line at 0.8366, suggesting building bullish momentum, and RSI at 65.98 indicates room before overbought, but without a confirmed uptrend (requiring EMA > SMA, price > both, and both clearly upward without frequent crosses), it's not a high-confidence long setup—especially avoiding buys near potential tops like the falling resistance trendline around 234 that was tested recently....
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| 2025-12-01 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and close proximity indicating rangebound conditions, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines despite recent price strength above both averages....
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| 2025-11-28 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and both moving upward, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while monitoring for a confirmed uptrend crossover or downtrend setup. No volume capitulation in the past two months, and the chart indicates no immediate support breaks or resistance tests that warrant action. Support levels at $212.70 and $204.66 hold historical strength, while resistance near $231-$240 has been tested recently without decisive breakout....
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| 2025-11-26 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical priority while monitoring for potential uptrend confirmation on sustained closes above resistance at 231....
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| 2025-11-25 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, frequent crossings in the past month, and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while recent history shows whipsaw in similar setups....
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| 2025-11-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but both sideways and price crossing frequently without volume capitulation, recent trade history of short losses on bounces, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid rangebound action around 220-226 support/resistance....
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| 2025-11-21 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA, price above both but MAs not decisively trending, no volume capitulation, and recent history of whipsaw bounces leading to short losses without confirmed reversal....
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| 2025-11-20 | CASH |
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Summary: The trend appears downward but is unclear with recent sideways churning between 216-225, recent short trade loss on similar bounce, and no high-confidence setup for entry given history of whipsaws, better to stay in cash awaiting clearer direction or breakout....
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| 2025-11-19 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price frequently crossing EMA/SMA over the past month, no volume capitulation, and recent short exit on 11/11/2025 without sufficient change for quick re-entry, while awaiting clearer downtrend confirmation for a short or reversal signals for long. Technicals are mixed: RSI at 48 is neutral, MACD negative but improving slightly, and Stochastic showing some buy signals, but no strong conviction for direction. Support at 212.7 has held in past pullbacks, and resistance at 231 has capped bounces, suggesting continued sideways action without a catalyst to break out....
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| 2025-11-18 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with frequent price crossings of EMA in the past month and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical rules, while recent shorts have resulted in losses from upside breaks....
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| 2025-11-17 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below but close to SMA in a sideways range without clear downward momentum, recent short exit on breakout, and no high-conviction setup for re-entry despite downtrend signals, while awaiting clearer direction....
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| 2025-11-14 | CASH |
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Summary: ```...
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| 2025-11-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash after recent short exit on 11/11/2025 as trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, price crossing them recently without clear direction or volume capitulation, and no high-conviction setup for long or short amid sideways churning near 220-225 support/resistance. typical daily ranges of 2-5) and price crossing them at least twice recently (e.g., above on 11/10-11/11, below again by 11/13) while both averages move sideways to slightly down. This setup advises against new entries, especially after the quick short loss from the 11/3/2025 entry covered on 11/11 due to a high-volume break above both averages, highlighting the risk of whipsaw in this environment—similar to past false signals in the trade history, like the 9/22/2025 short cover after a bounce or the 10/10/2025 long exit amid volatility....
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| 2025-11-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price marginally above both on low volume, avoiding new entries especially after recent short cover at similar levels without confirmed reversal or capitulation....
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| 2025-11-11 | COVERED |
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Summary: Covering short as price broke above both EMA and SMA with high volume on 11/10, invalidating downtrend like the 9/22/2025 exit to prevent further losses, with no volume capitulation, bearish MACD improving, and targeting preservation amid bounce to 231 resistance....
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| 2025-11-10 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Holding short as the downtrend persists with price near recent highs but below key resistance, bearish MACD, no volume capitulation, and softening rail fundamentals amid economic uncertainty, targeting 212 support....
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| 2025-11-07 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Holding short in persistent downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, no capitulation, targeting 212 support amid softening rail volumes and economic slowdown....
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| 2025-11-06 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Holding short as downtrend persists with price below declining EMA/SMA, bearish MACD, no capitulation, targeting support near 212, amid softening rail volumes and economic headwinds....
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| 2025-11-05 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Holding short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining averages, bearish MACD persisting, no volume capitulation, and targeting support at 212 amid weakening freight demand signals from recent economic data....
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| 2025-11-04 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Holding short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both, bearish MACD, no volume capitulation, and weakening economic indicators for freight amid broader slowdown, targeting support near 212 while avoiding premature exit....
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| 2025-11-03 | SHORT |
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Summary: Entering short on confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and entry below EMA, no recent volume capitulation, bearish MACD and weakening freight volumes amid economic slowdown, targeting support near 212 over next few weeks....
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| 2025-10-31 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as technicals show an unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA but tightly rangebound and moving sideways without a clear downtrend confirmation, recent post-earnings drop finding support around 216-220 without volume capitulation, and history of whipsaw losses in similar setups suggesting patience for a high-confidence entry....
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| 2025-10-30 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend is clear but price is churning near recent lows around 216-218 without volume capitulation, recent short trades resulted in losses due to bounces, and no high-confidence setup for entry given proximity to support at 212.7 and lack of fresh bearish catalysts....
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| 2025-10-29 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, both tightly rangebound and moving sideways without clear direction, price below both amid recent declines, no volume capitulation to signal reversal, and avoiding entries in such conditions while monitoring for high-confidence setups....
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| 2025-10-28 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA slightly above SMA but both declining and price below them, no volume capitulation, recent post-earnings drop to near supports without reversal signals, and lack of high-conviction setups for long or short after simulating potential whipsaw risks from similar choppy periods....
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| 2025-10-27 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but both declining and price below them without volume capitulation, while recent price action shows a sharp drop post-earnings without reversal signals for a confident long or short entry....
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| 2025-10-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossing in the past month, price below both and oscillating without clear direction or volume capitulation, while post-earnings dip shows no immediate reversal signals despite oversold RSI, avoiding new entries per technical priority....
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| 2025-10-23 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as technicals show an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA post-earnings dip, no volume capitulation for a long entry, and insufficient downtrend confirmation for a short, while simulating past post-earnings reactions indicates high volatility without reliable reversal patterns....
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| 2025-10-22 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price between EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and earnings tomorrow on 10/23/2025 without meeting hold criteria, avoiding entry right before high volatility....
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| 2025-10-21 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 in just two days, unclear trend with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry in potential weakness, and recent history of losses from premature entries around catalysts....
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| 2025-10-20 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed uptrend but upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 within 3 days, avoiding entry or hold per risk rules, with no qualifying positive earnings history to justify exposure....
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| 2025-10-17 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly bound without clear separation or volume capitulation, recent price volatility around moving averages, and inability to enter a new position with minimum 10-14 day hold without crossing the upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025, which does not meet hold-through criteria based on historical surprises and reactions....
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| 2025-10-16 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA above SMA but tightly bound (distance ~2.9 vs typical daily range ~4), price below both, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 without meeting hold-through criteria, avoiding new entries per technical rules....
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| 2025-10-15 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as trend is unclear with price between EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 pose volatility risk without meeting hold criteria, while recent trade history shows repeated losses from unclear setups....
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| 2025-10-14 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, approaching earnings on 10/23/2025 without criteria to hold through, and minimum hold period conflicting with exit requirement before earnings....
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| 2025-10-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price between EMA and SMA, recent bearish MACD crossover, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 preventing a full minimum hold period without risk....
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| 2025-10-10 | SOLD |
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Summary: Exiting long position at $225.53 on 10/10/2025 due to price dropping below EMA in unclear trend, bearish MACD crossover, no volume capitulation, and approaching earnings on 10/23/2025 without meeting hold criteria, targeting preservation amid downside risks to supports near 212-220....
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| 2025-10-09 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position from 10/1/2025 at $234.74 as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, price holding above key 230 support amid minor pullback, targeting 240 resistance, with no major bearish catalysts and next earnings on 10/23/2025....
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| 2025-10-08 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position from 10/1/2025 at $234.74 as uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD momentum, recent high-volume breakout holding above key supports, targeting $240 resistance amid minor pullback, with no immediate bearish news or catalysts, next earnings 10/23/2025....
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| 2025-10-07 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position from 10/1/2025 at $234.74 as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, high-volume support from recent breakout, and no immediate bearish catalysts, targeting $240 resistance despite minor pullback, next earnings 10/23/2025. Technical indicators support this: MACD is positive at 3.83 with the line above the signal at 3.02, indicating sustained upward momentum from the high-volume breakout on 9/22/2025 that flipped the trend after covering the prior short. RSI at 57.23 is neutral, avoiding overbought territory, and Bollinger Bands are expanding slightly with the price near the middle, suggesting room for upside without immediate squeeze risks. Key support is holding around $231 from recent trendlines and prior bounces, while resistance at $240 aligns with historical levels and the upper BB at 243.79, providing a logical target for the multi-week hold....
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| 2025-10-06 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position from 10/1/2025 at $234.74 as uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, sustained momentum from high-volume breakout, positive MACD crossover, and no near-term catalysts disrupting the rail sector's recovery, targeting $240 resistance, next earnings 10/23/2025....
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| 2025-10-03 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position from 10/1/2025 at $234.74 as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent high-volume breakout sustaining above $234 support, positive MACD and RSI momentum, targeting $240 resistance amid improving rail sector fundamentals and no immediate catalysts, next earnings 10/23/2025....
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| 2025-10-02 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position entered at $234.74 on 10/1/2025 amid confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, high volume breakout from 9/22, positive MACD momentum, targeting resistance near $240 over weeks, while monitoring for pullbacks without reversal signals, next earnings 10/23/2025....
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| 2025-10-01 | BUY |
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Summary: Entering long on confirmed uptrend breakout with high volume, strong MACD, price above EMA/SMA, and positive momentum targeting resistance near 240 over the next few weeks, justified by continued upside post-9/22 short cover as price sustained higher without reversal....
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| 2025-09-30 | CASH |
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Summary: Uptrend confirmed with EMA above SMA and price above both, but overbought RSI at 73.7 signals caution against entering long near recent highs and resistance around 240, favoring cash to wait for a dip with better risk/reward over the next few weeks....
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| 2025-09-29 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the uptrend is confirmed but price is overbought at highs near resistance without a dip for entry, following recent short exit on breakout and avoiding quick re-entry without better setup....
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| 2025-09-26 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the recent breakout established an uptrend, but current price at highs with overbought RSI signals no favorable dip for long entry, prioritizing patience for better risk/reward setups....
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| 2025-09-25 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA slightly below SMA in a tightly rangebound manner without frequent crossings but with price above both after a recent breakout, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines despite bullish momentum from high-volume upside moves....
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| 2025-09-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both, no volume capitulation for a long entry in potential downtrend, and recent short exit on 9/22 due to upside breakout without sufficient confirmation for immediate re-entry....
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| 2025-09-23 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both following a high-volume break, and avoiding quick re-entry after yesterday's short exit without a confirmed uptrend or volume capitulation to justify a long position....
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| 2025-09-22 | COVERED |
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Summary: Covering short position as price breaks above both EMA and SMA with high volume on 9/22/2025, invalidating the downtrend setup and risking further upside without volume capitulation to signal a reversal lower....
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| 2025-09-19 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent price action rejecting higher levels amid weakening freight volumes and broader economic slowdown....
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| 2025-09-18 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price still above key support at 212-204 amid persistent freight weakness and economic headwinds....
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| 2025-09-16 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as clear downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price approaching but not yet testing key support at 204 amid ongoing soft freight volumes and broader economic slowdown signals....
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| 2025-09-15 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, approaching key support at 204 amid soft freight data and economic headwinds....
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| 2025-09-12 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, testing towards key support at 204 amid weakening rail freight indicators and broader economic slowdown....
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| 2025-09-11 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, price testing lower supports near recent lows around 215 with potential to reach 204 based on historical breakdowns, bolstered by ongoing economic pressures on rail sector including softening freight volumes and broader market headwinds....
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| 2025-09-10 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent breakdown below 217-220 support targeting 204, supported by weakening rail freight data and broader economic headwinds....
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| 2025-09-09 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent break below 217 support targeting 204, amid weakening freight volumes and bearish economic indicators....
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| 2025-09-08 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent break below 217 support suggests further downside potential to 204 amid weakening freight indicators. Price has breached the key support at 217.39, which had strength from prior bounces but now indicates potential for continued decline, targeting the stronger historical support at 204.66 seen in April 2025....
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| 2025-09-05 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation observed, and current price at 220.36 still above key support at 217, targeting further downside to 204 if broken....
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| 2025-09-04 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, testing range near 220-223 without strong reversal, targeting support at 217 or lower to 204 if broken....
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| 2025-09-03 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price testing lower supports around 217-220 without reversal signals, targeting 204 if broken....
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| 2025-09-02 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price rejecting resistance near 226-228 while targeting supports at 217-220 or 204....
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| 2025-08-29 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price action rejecting higher levels near 226-228 resistance while targeting support around 217-220 or lower to 204 over the coming weeks....
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| 2025-08-28 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent price action testing support near 217-220 without strong reversal, targeting further downside to 204-210 over the next few weeks....
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| 2025-08-27 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short as downtrend continues with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, and price testing near 217-220 support without reversal signals, targeting further downside over next few weeks. Volume has been elevated on down days, like the 5.99M shares on 8/25 when we entered at 223.32, supporting continuation rather than exhaustion. No "!" or "BOT" flags for capitulation in the past month, so the short remains valid. Resistance at 231.16 and falling trendlines around 232-235 have capped recent bounces, while support at 217.39 (with 3 bounces) is the near-term target, aligning with our entry rationale of weakening freight indicators—recent data from the Cass Freight Index shows U.S. shipments down 3.2% YoY in July 2025, pressuring rails like UNP....
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| 2025-08-26 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintaining short position as downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and targeting support near 217 over the next few weeks amid weakening freight indicators....
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| 2025-08-25 | SHORT |
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Summary: Entering short on confirmed downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and entry below EMA after recent bounce failure, targeting support near 217 over next few weeks; re-entering opposite direction soon after 8/15 long exit justified by persistent downtrend without reversal signals and price rejecting higher levels....
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| 2025-08-22 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, recent volume capitulation on 7/25 prevents short entry, and no confirmed uptrend for a long position despite the recent bounce....
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| 2025-08-21 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, no fresh volume capitulation for a long entry in potential downtrend, and we recently exited a long position without significant new positive catalysts or better re-entry price....
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| 2025-08-20 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, recent EMA-SMA tightly rangebound, and price frequently crossing without clear direction or volume capitulation for entry....
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| 2025-08-19 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation within the past month prevents a new short entry, and no uptrend or valid capitulation setup allows for a long position, especially after the recent exit on 8/15/2025....
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| 2025-08-18 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash as the clear downtrend persists without a fresh volume capitulation for a long entry, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a new short position, while price near support levels discourages shorting at the range bottom....
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| 2025-08-15 | SOLD |
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Summary: Exiting long position as downtrend confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both, testing key support at 218-220 but without fresh volume capitulation or merger confirmation to justify holding further amid recent volatility....
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| 2025-08-14 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as price is testing rising support around 218-220 without breaking, downtrend persists but no volume capitulation to signal exit, and ongoing merger rumors with Norfolk Southern provide catalyst for potential rebound, avoiding sell near bottom....
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| 2025-08-13 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as price bounced from rising support at 218 with increased volume, not near resistance at 240, ongoing merger catalyst intact, and downtrend exhaustion signals per historical patterns after capitulation....
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| 2025-08-12 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as price at 218.55 is near key support levels around 212-204 without invalidating the recent volume capitulation at 224.74 on 7/25/2025, with ongoing merger talks providing potential catalyst and downtrend showing signs of exhaustion per historical bounce patterns....
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| 2025-08-11 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as price at 219.23 remains above recent volume capitulation low of 224.74 on 7/25/2025 and key supports around 212-204, with ongoing positive momentum from the $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger talks and unclear trend due to tightly bound EMA/SMA. The position, entered 12 bars ago at $220.52 post-earnings beat, is now at a slight loss but holds potential for recovery given the stock's history of rebounding from similar post-earnings dips bolstered by fundamental catalysts like mergers; for instance, simulating back to early 2024 shows UNP rallying 15-20% over weeks following merger rumors amid rail industry consolidation, with false breakdowns below supports often reversing without sustained breaks below capitulation lows....
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| 2025-08-08 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position from $220.52 as price at 223 remains above volume capitulation low around 220 and key support, bolstered by the major $85 billion merger with Norfolk Southern creating a transcontinental railroad, despite unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA but tightly bound....
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| 2025-08-07 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Continuing to hold long position from $220.52 as price at 222.74 remains above key support around 219-220 and recent volume capitulation low, supported by positive merger developments with Norfolk Southern and new intermodal service launches, despite unclear trend with tightly bound EMA and SMA....
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| 2025-08-06 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Continuing to hold long position as price recovers to 225.9 above recent support around 219-220, bolstered by positive sentiment from the announced $85 billion merger with Norfolk Southern, amid an unclear trend with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA....
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| 2025-08-05 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as merger talks with Norfolk Southern continue to drive positive sentiment, with price stabilizing above recent support around $219-220 amid unclear trend and no near-term catalysts....
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| 2025-08-04 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Continuing to hold long amid positive merger developments with Norfolk Southern, as price finds support above recent lows around $219 with unclear but not downtrending technicals and no immediate catalysts....
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| 2025-08-01 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as merger synergies remain positive despite recent dip, with technicals showing potential support and no immediate catalysts to exit early....
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| 2025-07-31 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long as the Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern merger announced July 28, 2025, offers strong long-term synergies and growth potential, with recent price dip on low volume likely a temporary pullback after capitulation, supported by positive analyst upgrades and no immediate earnings risk....
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| 2025-07-30 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as the recent merger announcement with Norfolk Southern on July 28, 2025, promises significant long-term growth for Union Pacific by creating a transcontinental railroad, despite short-term volatility and a price dip to $223.54 on low-volume capitulation signaling a potential trend reversal....
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| 2025-07-29 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position amid Union Pacific's merger announcement with Norfolk Southern creating a transcontinental railroad, despite today's price dip on high volume, as the deal offers strong upside potential over the coming weeks in an unclear but potentially reversing trend....
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| 2025-07-28 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as the stock is rebounding post-earnings dip with strong Q2 results, ongoing merger talks with Norfolk Southern, and a volume capitulation signal suggesting a potential bottom, in a context where EMA is above SMA despite price slightly below EMA....
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| 2025-07-25 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Holding long position as the post-earnings recovery continues with positive merger talks momentum, no trend invalidation to downtrend, and volume capitulation signal supporting potential reversal despite price below moving averages....
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| 2025-07-24 | BUY |
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Summary: Entering long position after strong Q2 2025 earnings beat with record revenues, merger talks with Norfolk Southern, and a post-earnings dip offering favorable entry in an overall uptrend context....
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| 2025-07-23 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to upcoming earnings on July 24, 2025, which introduces high volatility risk, despite the current uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, and recent price recovery from 222 to 231....
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| 2025-07-22 | COVERED |
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Summary: Exiting short position due to upcoming earnings on July 25, 2025, within 3 days, to avoid high volatility risk, as trend is unclear with price between EMA and SMA, and recent price rise indicates potential reversal despite original bearish setup....
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| 2025-07-21 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Hold the existing short position as the downtrend remains intact without volume capitulation, bearish MACD persists, negative fundamentals from freight volume declines continue, and upcoming earnings on 7/24/2025 are likely to disappoint amid economic slowdown, targeting 212 over weeks with trend not yet invalidated....
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| 2025-07-18 | SHORT |
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Summary: UNP is showing a clear downtrend with recent high-volume breakdowns below key supports, bearish MACD crossover, and negative fundamentals from weakening freight volumes amid economic slowdown, positioning for a short hold targeting lower levels like 212 over the coming weeks....
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