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TXN on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

TXN on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-20 SOLD
Summary: We're locking in solid gains and shifting to cash ahead of earnings in two days after a strong 17% run from our entry.

The daily chart shows a powerful breakout and uptrend since early April, with price surging from the $199 area where we bought on 4/6 to over $230 recently, hitting new highs alongside other semiconductor names. Volume has supported the moves on several up days, and recent analyst upgrades plus positive sector momentum in AI and analog chips add to the bullish case. Our position is up nicely in just two weeks, which meets the minimum hold period.

That said, TXN has a history of sharp post-earnings moves in both directions—even on beats—like the -13% reaction last July despite a positive surprise. With the report due April 22, implied volatility is likely elevated and we could easily give back a chunk of these gains on any miss or cautious guidance. Our recent trade history shows a pattern of smaller wins and losses from jumping in and out during uncertain periods; staying disciplined here by banking profits reduces risk of being whipsawed if the reaction disappoints.

The broader market and chip sector look healthy, so this isn't a permanent exit. We'll reassess after the print for a potential re-entry on a clear setup with better risk/reward. Right now, protecting capital after a good run feels like the highest-conviction move with real money on the line. No edge in holding through an event when the stock has already priced in a lot of optimism.
2026-04-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-04-16 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-15 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-14 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-13 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're staying long on TXN as the stock has broken out sharply on strong volume with a fresh Stifel upgrade to Buy and a $250 price target, building on our solid entry at $199.42. ...
2026-04-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Momentum is accelerating on the NVIDIA AI and robotics partnership plus a fresh analyst upgrade, pushing us nicely into profit—holding the long. ...
2026-04-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-04-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying LONG our position entered 4/6/26 at $199.42 as TXN holds near $200 on the daily chart after recovering from March lows around 186 with bullish momentum, higher lows, and supportive technicals favoring continuation higher. ...
2026-04-06 BUY
Summary: On 4/6/2026 with TXN closing at 198.38, going long here as it shows strong daily price action near highs after bouncing from the 186 March low with improving short-term momentum. ...
2026-04-02 SOLD
Summary: We're in a weak bounce within a clear downtrend from the Feb highs near 228, with price still below the EMA around 197 and far under the SMA near 206, so exit the long from 194.14 to protect the small gain. ...
2026-04-01 HOLD LONG
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2026-03-31 BUY
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2026-03-30 CASH
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2026-03-27 SOLD
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2026-03-26 HOLD LONG
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2026-03-25 HOLD LONG
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2026-03-24 BUY
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2026-03-23 CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash as today's gap up open to 194.60 reversed sharply into a weak close at 189.33 near the lows, showing sellers overwhelmed any positive momentum on the news....
2026-03-20 SOLD
Summary: After entering long yesterday on the dip-buy with AI news and intraday recovery off the lows, we're exiting to cash now because today's failure to hold above 188 with a weak close at 186.90 shows sellers remain in control and the expected bounce didn't materialize....
2026-03-19 BUY
Summary: After exiting to cash on the weak rebound and breakdown below 194 that showed no buyer conviction, we're going long now as today's sharp dip to 184.90 found buyers with a recovery close on elevated volume amid fresh positive AI data center news. ...
2026-03-18 CASH
Summary: Today's breakdown below 194 with a close at 191.27 confirms the lack of buying conviction I noted in the last session, so we're staying in cash after exiting the long near 194....
2026-03-17 SOLD
Summary: The stock opened higher but sold off to close slightly lower on very low volume, showing no real follow-through after the bounce, so we're exiting the long to lock in the small gain and wait for clearer direction. ...
2026-03-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're staying long because the stock found support around the $190 level after the recent drop and has started bouncing back above our entry with improving short-term price action. ...
2026-03-13 BUY
Summary: Re-enter LONG quickly after 3/12 exit as new bullish news on analog chip price hikes and strong 2026 outlook override prior bearish MACD/downtrend, with oversold RSI/STO at 32.67/6.32 signaling rebound potential from better 190.71 price vs 190.05 exit, targeting resistance at 220 amid no volume capitulation....
2026-03-12 SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG to CASH as price drops to 191.12 below 193.23 entry with bearish MACD crossover and momentum fading, despite oversold RSI/STO signaling potential rebound, to avoid whipsaw in apparent short-term downtrend targeting lower BB at 187....
2026-03-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as price rebounds to 198.61 from 193.23 entry amid improving semis demand, strong 2026 FCF from capex cuts, and oversold STO/RSI signaling upside potential, overriding bearish MACD/downtrend....
2026-03-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as price rebounds to 197.54 from 193.23 entry amid positive 2026 FCF outlook and semis recovery, overriding bearish MACD/downtrend with oversold RSI/STO signaling potential upside, despite recent inventory pressure....
2026-03-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as oversold RSI 30/STO 0.75 at lower BB signals rebound potential in improving semis sector, with positive 2026 FCF outlook from capex cut and next earnings April 22 overriding short-term downtrend/MACD bearish....
2026-03-06 BUY
Summary: Re-enter LONG quickly after 3/5 exit at oversold 192.66 with positive 2026 outlook news overriding prior bearish MACD/breakdown, as lower price and improving semis demand justify despite short-term downtrend....
2026-03-05 SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG to CASH as price breaks below key support at 202 amid bearish MACD crossover and weakening momentum, despite oversold RSI/STO, to avoid further downside in apparent short-term downtrend targeting 176-180....
2026-03-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as price tests rising support at $202.48 amid oversold RSI/STO, positive MACD, and no major bearish catalysts, with potential rebound in semis uptrend targeting $220+ resistance....
2026-03-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as price bounces off key rising support at $202.26 amid confirmed Silicon Labs acquisition boosting growth, strong FCF from capex cuts, analyst upgrades targeting $250, and institutional buys overriding recent bearish MACD crossover in the broader uptrend....
2026-03-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as price holds lower Bollinger Band support at $209.91 amid sustained bullish catalysts from 2026 capex cuts boosting FCF to $8+/share, analyst upgrades targeting $250, and potential Silicon Labs acquisition, overriding recent MACD bearish crossover in the uptrend....
2026-02-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as price tests lower Bollinger Band support at $210.77 amid sustained bullish catalysts from capex cuts boosting 2026 FCF to $8+/share and analyst upgrades targeting $250, with no new bearish developments overriding the uptrend....
2026-02-26 BUY
Summary: Re-enter LONG quickly after 2/24 exit as new capex cut boosts 2026 FCF to $8+/share, analyst upgrades target to $250, and price at oversold support near BB lower/EMA signals rebound potential in uptrend, overriding prior bearish MACD with fresh bullish catalysts....
2026-02-25 CASH
Summary: TXN's recent pullback continues with bearish MACD crossover and capex cut news signaling caution, while oversold STO suggests potential bounce but insufficient for quick re-entry after yesterday's exit amid unclear trend. ...
2026-02-24 SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG—pullback below EMA with bearish MACD crossover and oversold STO signals weakening momentum amid semis sector caution, locking in minor loss to await rebound confirmation....
2026-02-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—Cantor PT hike to $250 signals FCF strength into 2026, uptrend breakout with accumulation intact despite minor pre-market dip....
2026-02-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—rebounds from $218.05 Feb19 close to $219.84+ today on institutional adds like Vanguard/Rothschild, strong buy technicals despite minor dip.[[1]](https://investor.ti.com/stock-information/stock-quote-historical-price-lookup)[[2]](https://www.zacks.com/stock/chart/TXN/eps)[[3]](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-texas-instruments-incorporated-txn-shares-bought-by-rothschild-co-wealth-management-uk-ltd-2026-02-19)...
2026-02-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—resilient uptrend above EMAs with bullish MACD/RSI despite minor dip, supported by semis rally and acquisition synergies; no reversal signals....
2026-02-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—minor -1.5% dip to $222.77 close on low 1.5M vol pullback, uptrend intact above EMAs with strong buy technicals/RSI momentum.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/history)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/texas-instru-technical)...
2026-02-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—uptrend intact above rising supports/EMAs with positive MACD despite overbought STO, fueled by potential $7B Silicon Labs acquisition rumors and semis rebound, no major bearish catalysts....
2026-02-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—new highs ~$225+ on institutional adds like Findlay Park's 144k shares + JPM PT $227 overweight despite insider sales; uptrend intact.[[1]](https://www.quiverquant.com/news/Fund+Update:+144,500+TEXAS+INSTRUMENTS+(TXN)+shares+added+to+Findlay+Park+Partners+LLP+portfolio)[[2]](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-texas-instruments-incorporated-txn-shares-sold-by-atria-investments-inc-2026-02-13)...
2026-02-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—uptrend intact with price above rising EMAs, bullish MACD crossover, high RSI/STO momentum, positive semis sector tailwinds from AI demand and supply chain recovery; next earnings April 22, 2026, potential Fed rate cut catalyst mid-March....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—strong uptrend persists with price hitting new highs above rising EMAs/supports, bullish MACD/RSI momentum, positive analyst upgrades and acquisition buzz outweighing insider sales; next earnings April 22, 2026, no major events soon....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—uptrend persists with price above rising supports/EMAs, positive momentum (MACD/RSI), semis strength, and dividend today; next earnings April 22, 2026, no major events soon....
2026-02-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—strong uptrend continues post-earnings surge with bullish acquisition impacts and positive guidance, despite minor pullback; next earnings April 22, 2026, dividend payable February 10, 2026....
2026-02-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—$7.5B Silicon Labs acquisition boosts wireless/IoT strength amid AI data center demand surge and strong uptrend; next earnings April 22, 2026....
2026-02-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—Silicon Labs $7.5B acquisition dip normal for acquirer, resilient on Q1 guide beats/70% DC growth; PT hikes to $240+.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-02-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—$7.5B Silicon Labs buyout expands wireless edge with $450M synergies, sustaining post-earnings rally to ATH despite minor dip.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-02-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—sustained rally to new ATH $225+ on 70% data center growth + Q1 guide beats, technicals strong buy.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-02-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—all-time high $224+ on 70% data center surge + Q1 guide beat, momentum intact post-earnings.[[1]](https://au.investing.com/news/company-news/texas-instruments-stock-hits-alltime-high-at-22211-usd-93CH-4235641)[[2]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)...
2026-01-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—consolidating gains post-Q4 with strong Q1 guide/analyst hikes to $225-250 amid data center surge; dip resilient.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-01-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—earnings miss overlooked for strong Q1 guide beat sparking 10%+ surge to $218+, analyst PT hikes signal continued semis rebound.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-01-28 BUY
Summary: Quick LONG entry 1 day after CASH—Q1 guidance beat sparked 9%+ surge erasing prior selloff fears, with analysts upgrading on recovery momentum.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-01-27 SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG on post-Q4 selloff to $170.71 (-5.6%) after in-line earnings disappointed on guidance/industrial weakness....
2026-01-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—momentum surges +1.7% to $196.59 with Susquehanna PT hike to $225 on industrial recovery ahead of tomorrow's Q4 earnings beat potential.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TXN/)[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/txn/)...
2026-01-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—TXN Q4 preview signals beat on industrial/auto/data center recovery + TSM's insane guidance rockets semis sector....
2026-01-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—TSM's 20% dividend hike + AI rev target 30% for 2026 fuels semis surge, TXN eyes $220 resistance on US infra momentum....
2026-01-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—TSM's blowout earnings (35% rev growth, 30% 2026 guide) propels semis rally into Tue open, TXN volume/momentum intact....
2026-01-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—semis exploding post-TSM blowout earnings with TXN volume surge, institutional flows, analyst upgrades fueling momentum....
2026-01-16 BUY
Summary: TSM blowout earnings + capex hike ignite semis rally (LRCX +7%), TXN bounces on technical inverse H&S/continuation triangle....
2026-01-15 CASH
Summary: Chips/tech drag TXN lower second straight session amid earnings uncertainty—stay CASH post-exit....
2026-01-14 SOLD
Summary: Tech weighs TXN amid diverging analyst views pre-earnings—exit LONG to lock ~10% gains before volatility....
2026-01-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—Q4 earnings Jan 28 whisper +2% beat, semis rally lifts TXN to $190+; technicals confirm bull flag extension....
2026-01-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—earnings preview buzz builds with Zacks Rank #3 Hold upgrade potential, +8% rally holds above key support amid semis surge....
2026-01-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—Zacks flags investor attention on breakout +8.2% momentum, valuation fair post-dip; mixed market favors resilient semis....
2026-01-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—dip to $185.71 (-3.33%) on Goldman PT cut lags market but sentiment flipped bullish, stability ahead of earnings....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—+8.2% YTD surge breaks STP/HSTP with sentiment flip blue, valuation fair post-rally....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—Dow smashes records on bullish 2026 open, TXN rides semis momentum ~$178+ with no reversal....
2026-01-05 BUY
Summary: Chip rally kicks off 2026 with TXN +2-3% jumps, overriding Jan2 selloff—enter on fresh momentum....
2026-01-02 SOLD
Summary: TXN slid to $173.49 (-1.1%) lagging broader market in year-end chip selloff—exit LONG to cut ~1% loss, no bullish reversal....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG—year-end rally flows stabilize ~$175 hold post-Fed minutes despite low vol; bull flag/inverse H&S intact targeting $185+....
2025-12-30 BUY
Summary: Quick re-entry to LONG just 1 day after CASH—bull flags confirmed with volume breakout on Monday open + weekend institutional catalysts override whipsaw risk that prompted exit....
2025-12-29 SOLD
Summary: Cover SHORT flat—bull flags forming on daily/weekly per X traders, shares stabilize ~$177 amid institutional lifts despite downgrade noise....
2025-12-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in an uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive but converging MACD, neutral RSI around 55, and no imminent bearish catalysts or earnings until 1/22/2026, justifying continued holding of the long position from $178.82 targeting resistance near $182 amid semiconductor sector recovery signals....
2025-12-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN maintains an uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD, neutral RSI, and no near-term bearish catalysts or earnings, supporting continued holding of the long position from $178.82 targeting resistance near $182 amid ongoing semiconductor sector momentum. Volume is low on the latest bar, but there's no capitulation signal, and the trend remains intact without price sustaining below key levels....
2025-12-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in an uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD, neutral RSI, and no imminent earnings or bearish catalysts, supporting holding the long position targeting resistance near 182-185 amid semiconductor sector strength....
2025-12-22 BUY
Summary: TXN is in an emerging uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and pulling higher after a recent dip to support, supported by positive MACD and RSI not overbought, targeting resistance around 182-185 over the next few weeks while avoiding any near-term earnings....
2025-12-19 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but SMA trending downward, no recent volume capitulation for long entry in potential weakness, and price ranging below falling resistance without high-conviction bullish catalysts, so stay in cash awaiting clearer uptrend or setup....
2025-12-17 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear after recent EMA/SMA crossover with SMA flat to down, price churning in a range without breakout, and no volume capitulation or catalysts to justify entry despite positive MACD....
2025-12-15 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but SMA moving sideways to slightly down, price in a range near resistance at 182 without high-confidence breakout or reversal signals, so stay in cash to avoid low-reward entries....
2025-12-12 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but SMA trending downward and recent EMA/SMA cross, preventing new entries despite a bullish MACD and recent rally from November lows, while we remain in cash post-covering the short on 11/11 at $159.73....
2025-12-11 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but SMA moving sideways, price near resistance at $182 without clear uptrend confirmation or volume capitulation for a long entry, while overbought STO and no downtrend for short justify staying in cash to avoid poor risk/reward. Technical indicators like MACD showing a bullish crossover (4.33 > 2.30) and RSI at 64 suggest some momentum, but SlowSTO at 94/93 is overbought, risking a pullback, especially near the $182 resistance level with historical bounces. Support at $154.90 appears solid with multiple tests, but without a dip to buy in a confirmed uptrend or volume capitulation, long entry lacks conviction. No downtrend exists for shorting, as EMA > SMA and price > both, with no recent capitulation to avoid....
2025-12-09 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with a recent EMA crossover above a downward-trending SMA, price above both but no confirmed uptrend or downtrend, overbought STO at 93.77 signaling potential pullback, and no fresh volume capitulation, warranting cash position to avoid low-confidence entry after recent bounce from November lows around 154 to 182 high....
2025-12-05 CASH
Summary: The trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA in a tight range and sideways movement over the past month without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite recent bullish momentum from MACD crossover and price above both averages, while overbought RSI and STO suggest caution against chasing the rally....
2025-12-04 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and both moving sideways without a clear direction, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries while monitoring for trend confirmation or new catalysts. ...
2025-12-03 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA despite price crossing above both recently, RSI overbought at 70 near resistance of $182, and no fresh volume capitulation to justify a long entry amid overbought conditions and potential pullback risks....
2025-12-02 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price above both but mixed directions on the averages without a clear uptrend or downtrend confirmation, recent volume capitulation potentially supporting a bounce but invalidated by prior sustains below lows, so stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entry while monitoring for trend clarity....
2025-12-01 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them and no recent valid volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while monitoring for clearer direction amid overbought indicators and resistance near 175-182....
2025-11-28 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and no valid entry signals for long or short, given the recent invalidated volume capitulation and price above EMA preventing a short entry, while we stay opportunistic for clearer setups....
2025-11-26 CASH
Summary: TXN's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, no recent valid volume capitulation for long entry, and recent capitulation within 2 months preventing short entry, while price bounces from support without high-conviction reversal signals....
2025-11-25 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23 invalidates long entries and cautions against new shorts within 2 months, while sideways churning around 153-162 suggests waiting for a breakout or better risk/reward setup after our 11/11 exit at 159.73; next earnings expected around January 21, 2026, with no other imminent catalysts....
2025-11-24 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23 prevents a new short entry, while the invalidated capitulation and persistent downtrend rule out a long position, favoring cash until a clearer setup emerges....
2025-11-21 CASH
Summary: The stock is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but a volume capitulation on 10/23/2025 within the past 2 months prevents a new short entry, and long setups lack support without an uptrend or valid reversal, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence trades while awaiting clearer direction....
2025-11-20 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23 prevents a new short entry, while no strong reversal signals or uptrend confirmation support going long, so stay in cash awaiting clearer opportunities....
2025-11-19 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, and no valid volume capitulation for a long entry, while the recent capitulation on 10/23 blocks a new short due to the 2-month rule, leaving cash as the best position to avoid low-confidence setups....
2025-11-18 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation invalidated by sustained lower prices, preventing new short entry, while no uptrend or fresh capitulation supports long, so stay in cash awaiting clearer setup....
2025-11-17 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past 2 months prevents a new short entry, while the invalidated capitulation signal and lack of uptrend rule out a long position, favoring cash to await clearer opportunities....
2025-11-14 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no valid recent volume capitulation for a long entry, and a capitulation within the past two months preventing a new short, while price tests key support around $159 with oversold indicators but no high-conviction reversal signals, justifying staying in cash to avoid whipsaw in this rangebound consolidation....
2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23/2025 prevents a new short entry, while the invalidated capitulation and persistent downtrend rule out a long position, favoring cash until a higher-confidence setup emerges....
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past 2 months prevents a new short entry, while no valid reversal signals support going long, so stay in cash awaiting better setups....
2025-11-11 COVERED
Summary: Cover the existing short position on TXN near the rising support level around $157 after a substantial price decline from the entry at $170.71, securing profits amid persistent downtrend signals but with oversold conditions and no immediate reversal catalysts....
2025-11-10 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on TXN as the downtrend continues with price below declining EMA and SMA, no new reversal signals despite oversold RSI, and ongoing semiconductor sector weakness from soft demand....
2025-11-07 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on TXN as the clear downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, oversold RSI suggesting potential bounce but no reversal signals, and semiconductor sector headwinds from weak industrial demand....
2025-11-06 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on TXN as the downtrend continues with price below declining EMA and SMA, invalidated volume capitulation from 10/23, bearish MACD, and no bullish reversal signals amid semiconductor sector weakness....
2025-11-05 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short position on TXN as the downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no valid reversal from the invalidated volume capitulation on 10/23, bearish MACD, and targeting supports near 150-160 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-11-04 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short position as TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, oversold RSI but no confirmed reversal or valid volume capitulation, targeting lower supports near 150 amid semiconductor sector weakness....
2025-11-03 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with price below declining EMA (173.94) and SMA (181.13), invalidated volume capitulation from 10/23, bearish MACD at -5.45, and no confirmed reversal signals, supporting holding the short from $170.71 targeting lower supports around 150 amid ongoing semiconductor weakness....
2025-10-31 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA (174.75) and SMA (182.01), recent volume capitulation invalidated by sustained new lows below 169.75 for over 5 bars, bearish MACD at -5.35 and oversold RSI at 30 without confirmed reversal, holding the short from $170.71 targeting 150 support amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-10-30 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA (175.68) and SMA (182.80), recent closes at new lows around 160 after breaking prior supports, bearish MACD at -5.07 and oversold RSI at 29 without strong reversal signals, holding the short from $170.71 targeting further downside to 150 support over the coming weeks amid weak semiconductor sector sentiment....
2025-10-29 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, the low-conviction volume capitulation on 10/23 remains valid after only 4 bars below its low, persistent bearish MACD, oversold RSI suggesting potential bounce but no strong reversal signals yet, targeting further downside to 150 support over the next few weeks while holding the short from $170.71....
2025-10-28 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, recent low-conviction volume capitulation on 10/23 not yet invalidated after only 3 bars below its low, bearish MACD persisting, and no strong bullish catalysts, supporting holding the short from $170.71 targeting 160-150 supports over the next few weeks....
2025-10-27 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no invalidation of the recent low-conviction volume capitulation yet, bearish MACD and oversold RSI suggesting further downside potential to 160-150 supports over the coming weeks, while no imminent bullish catalysts or events override the technical weakness....
2025-10-24 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation on 10/23 has low conviction and isn't invalidated by sustained lower prices yet, while targeting supports at 160-150 over multi-week hold despite minor bounce, supported by bearish MACD and no imminent bullish catalysts....
2025-10-22 SHORT
Summary: TXN is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and a sharp post-earnings drop confirming bearish momentum for a multi-week short targeting supports around 160-150, justified for quick re-entry after covering on 10/10 due to further 6% decline to new lows....
2025-10-21 CASH
Summary: TXN is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but earnings today prevent any entry, so stay in cash to avoid volatility while monitoring for post-earnings setups....
2025-10-20 CASH
Summary: Imminent earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent any new entry despite clear downtrend conditions favoring a short, with price below EMA and SMA, no recent volume capitulation, and bearish momentum indicators like negative MACD signaling potential further downside targeting support around $170 after earnings volatility....
2025-10-17 CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 and no high-confidence setup for entry without violating hold periods or event policies, so remain in cash awaiting better opportunities post-event....
2025-10-16 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent a new short entry due to the no-hold-through-earnings rule conflicting with minimum hold periods, while no high-confidence reversal signals or catalysts justify a long....
2025-10-15 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent entry into a new short position due to the requirement for multi-week holds and policy against holding through volatile events without meeting specific criteria, while the recent bounce from 171.7 offers no compelling re-entry justification after covering....
2025-10-14 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent new entries to avoid holding through without meeting disregard criteria, while technicals show oversold conditions but no high-confidence reversal for long....
2025-10-13 CASH
Summary: The stock remains in a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 limit the holding period, and the recent bounce from 171.7 to 175.19 lacks confirmation of further weakness for a high-confidence short entry so soon after covering....
2025-10-10 COVERED
Summary: TXN's price has dropped to near key support at $169.61 with oversold RSI at 35 and no volume capitulation, justifying covering the short from $177.63 to lock in gains amid persistent downtrend but approaching earnings on 10/21/2025....
2025-10-09 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and hasn't reached key support at $169.61, supporting holding the short amid semiconductor sector headwinds and upcoming earnings caution....
2025-10-08 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and hasn't tested key support at $169.61 yet, supporting continuation of the short position amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures and approaching earnings caution....
2025-10-07 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and current levels not yet testing key support at $169.61, supporting holding the short position targeting lower ranges amid semiconductor sector headwinds....
2025-10-06 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce from rising support at $179.3 but still below key resistance and EMA, justifying holding the short from $177.63 targeting lower supports around $170 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures. There's no recent volume capitulation flagged, which supports continuing the downtrend thesis rather than expecting an imminent reversal....
2025-10-03 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, testing rising support at 178-181 but with potential breakdown toward 170-169 amid semiconductor weakness, justifying holding the short from $177.63 despite current unrealized loss....
2025-10-02 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounces stalling near falling resistance around 195-196 while testing rising support at 178-181, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting 170-169 amid persistent semiconductor sector headwinds and upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025....
2025-10-01 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, stalling bounces near falling resistance while testing rising support around 177-181, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting 170 amid ongoing semiconductor weakness. Technical indicators reinforce this: RSI at 38.62 indicates oversold but not extreme conditions warranting an immediate reversal, MACD at -2.97 remains bearish with the line below the signal, and Slow STO at 59.5 suggests fading momentum from recent bounces....
2025-09-30 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent price action bouncing but stalling near falling resistance around 196-198 while testing rising supports at 181-177, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting 170 amid continued semiconductor sector weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-29 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, recent bounce stalling near falling resistance around 196-198, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting lower supports at 181-177 and ultimately 170 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-09-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce failing at falling resistance around 197-198, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting supports at 176-169 amid persistent semiconductor sector weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-25 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, recent price bounce to 184.44 testing falling resistance around 198-199 but failing to break higher, supporting holding the short position from $177.63 targeting supports at 176-169 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures and lack of strong bullish news....
2025-09-24 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation in the past month, recent bounce to 184.84 testing falling resistance around 198-199 but likely to resume lower toward supports at 176-169 amid semiconductor sector weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-23 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, testing near rising support around $176 but with potential to break lower toward $169 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-09-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, continued weakness below resistance trendlines around $199-200, and targeting support near $169 over the next few weeks amid semiconductor sector headwinds....
2025-09-19 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, testing resistance around $182-183 but failing to break higher, supported by weakening semiconductor sector sentiment and lack of positive catalysts, targeting support near $169 over the next few weeks....
2025-09-18 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce from 177.63 to 182.25 appears temporary resistance test before resuming decline toward $169 support, reinforced by weakening momentum and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-17 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce to 180.31 likely temporary resistance test before resuming decline toward $169-170 support over multi-week hold, supported by weakening momentum and sector headwinds....
2025-09-16 SHORT
Summary: TXN is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, continued price breakdown below prior support at $182.67 justifying quick re-entry short after covering on 9/12 due to further 2.4% decline confirming weakness, targeting lower supports around $169-170 over multi-week hold....
2025-09-15 CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but oversold RSI at 26 suggests potential bounce, making short entry risky near recent lows after our recent exit, so stay in cash for better opportunities....
2025-09-12 COVERED
Summary: TXN's short position should be covered near the rising support at $182.67 after a 7% drop from entry, locking in gains amid oversold RSI at 30.88 and no immediate catalysts for further downside, while the downtrend persists but price tests key support without capitulation....
2025-09-11 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum from recent breakdowns, and sector weakness in semiconductors supporting further downside to support near 169....
2025-09-10 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum targeting support near 169, and ongoing sector pressures from weak chip demand....
2025-09-09 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, ongoing semiconductor sector weakness, no volume capitulation, and price targeting support near 169 amid bearish momentum....
2025-09-08 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum from recent breakdowns, semiconductor sector pressures, and targeting supports near 169 amid ongoing weakness....
2025-09-05 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum persisting after recent breakdowns, targeting supports around 170-169 amid semiconductor sector weakness....
2025-09-04 HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum from weakening MACD and price breaking below recent supports around 199-195, targeting lower levels near 189-170 over the next few weeks amid sector headwinds....
2025-09-03 SHORT
Summary: TXN entered a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both after a sharp drop below key levels, no recent volume capitulation, and bearish momentum indicators supporting a short entry below EMA for a multi-week hold targeting lower supports around 189-170, justified for quick re-entry post-exit due to significant 5.9% price decline confirming breakdown with new sector weakness....
2025-09-02 SOLD
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 should be exited at $199.54 due to price falling below the SMA in an unclear trend, lack of recent volume capitulation, weakening momentum with STO overbought and recent down days, while positive MACD isn't enough to counter the breakdown below key levels without imminent bullish catalysts....
2025-08-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's existing long position from $189.25 remains viable at $202.48 with price above both EMA and SMA in an unclear trend, positive MACD crossover signaling momentum, STO overbought but no immediate resistance breach, recent recovery from capitulation lows without reversal signs, and no earnings or catalysts imminent....
2025-08-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 holds strong at $205.13 with price above both EMA and SMA in an unclear trend, positive MACD, overbought STO but no clear resistance hit, recent bounces from capitulation, and no upcoming earnings or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-08-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's existing long position from $189.25 remains viable at $205.43 with price above both EMA and SMA despite EMA below SMA indicating unclear trend, positive MACD crossover, overbought STO but sustained momentum from recent volume capitulation bounces, no immediate resistance or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-08-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 holds at $205.64 with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD, overbought STO but sustained uptrend momentum post-capitulation, no near-term resistance or catalysts for exit....
2025-08-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's existing long position from $189.25 continues to hold strong at $206.11 with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD crossover, overbought STO but sustained momentum from recent capitulation bounce, no near-term resistance breach or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-08-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 remains strong with price at $206.97 breaking above recent highs and holding over rising supports near $190-$196, despite unclear trend from EMA below SMA, supported by positive MACD and no near-term breakdowns or catalysts....
2025-08-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position remains viable with price at $200.78 holding above rising supports near $190-$195 and the July BOT capitulation lows around $178-$181, despite EMA below SMA indicating unclear trend, no breakdown below lows, and next earnings on October 22, 2025....
2025-08-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN continues holding its long position amid a bounce from July volume capitulation BOT signals at $178-$181, with price at $200.08 above rising supports near $184-$189 and EMA at $194.78, despite unclear trend from EMA below SMA, no breakdown below capitulation lows, and next earnings around October 22, 2025....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in a bounce from recent volume capitulation BOT signals around $178-$181, with price at $196.3 holding above rising support trendlines near $184-$189 and EMA at $194.4, unclear trend but no breakdown below capitulation lows, next earnings in October 2025....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN continues holding above volume capitulation lows around $180-$185 with price at $194.2 supported by rising trendlines near $183-$188, unclear trend but no breakdown, distant October earnings, and semiconductor sector resilience....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in recovery from recent volume capitulation lows around $178-$182, with price at $194.45 holding above rising supports near $182-$187 and no immediate breakdown, despite unclear trend signals, supported by semiconductor sector strength and distant next earnings in October 2025....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN is bouncing from recent volume capitulation lows around $178-$182 with price at $192.86 holding above rising supports near $182-$186, despite downtrend signals, supported by semiconductor sector recovery and no near-term earnings....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in a bounce from volume capitulation lows at $177.92 and $181.06, with price at $192.97 holding above supports and showing consolidation in a potential reversal, supported by semiconductor sector trends and no immediate earnings risk....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's chart shows a bounce from recent volume capitulation lows at $177.92 and $181.06, with price at $192.74 holding above those levels in a potential reversal setup supported by semiconductor sector strength....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent volume capitulation signals at $177.92 and $181.06 remain valid with price holding above those lows in a downtrend, supported by semiconductor sector tailwinds like US chip investments, justifying holding the existing long position from $189.25 despite the pullback to $184.54....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's valid volume capitulation signals from late July remain intact with price holding above $177.92 lows, supported by Q2 earnings beats, $60B US chip investment, and recent China price hikes on 60k products, justifying holding the existing long position despite the ongoing downtrend and minor pullback to $187.21 from entry at $189.25....
2025-08-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's ongoing downtrend with price below EMA and SMA, but valid volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1/2025 and $181.06 on 7/31/2025 not yet invalidated, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and $60B US chip expansion plan, support continuing to hold the existing long position from $189.25 despite recent pullback to $185.87....
2025-08-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's valid volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1/2025 and $181.06 on 7/31/2025, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and $60B US chip investment announcement, support holding the existing long position from $189.25 for a potential rebound despite the ongoing downtrend....
2025-08-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1/2025 and $181.06 on 7/31/2025 remain valid with price holding above those lows, supported by strong Q2 earnings beats and $60B US chip investment news, justifying continued holding of the existing long position from $189.25 despite the current downtrend for a potential multi-week rebound....
2025-08-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1 and $181.06 on 7/31 remain valid with price holding above those lows in a downtrend, supported by strong Q2 2025 earnings beats and positive revenue growth, justifying holding the existing long position from $189.25 for a potential multi-week recovery....
2025-08-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent "BOT" volume capitulations on 7/31 and 8/1 at lows around $178-180, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and positive analyst sentiment, support holding the existing long position entered at $189.25 despite the current downtrend, as historical patterns post-capitulation often show volatile recoveries over weeks....
2025-07-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's new "BOT" volume capitulation on 7/31/2025 at $179.81, following the prior one on 7/28, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and analyst upgrades, supports holding the long position despite the downtrend, as historical patterns show recoveries from similar oversold capitulations....
2025-07-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's ongoing recovery from the "BOT" volume capitulation on 7/28/2025, supported by recent analyst upgrades, strong Q2 earnings beats, and positive institutional buying like Hamlin Capital adding shares, justifies holding the long position entered at $189.25 despite the minor pullback to $188.72 on 7/30/2025, with the next earnings expected in October 2025....
2025-07-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's volume capitulation "BOT" on 7/28 signals a potential reversal after the post-earnings drop, with price recovering to 192.28 on 7/29 above entry at 189.25, and next earnings not until October 2025....
2025-07-28 BUY
Summary: TXN shows volume capitulation "BOT" on 7/28 at recent lows after post-earnings sell-off, signaling potential reversal and uptrend resumption, with next earnings in October 2025....
2025-07-25 SOLD
Summary: TXN's long-term uptrend from April lows invalidated by the sharp post-earnings drop below key supports and moving averages, with price now under both EMA and SMA despite a volume capitulation signal, prompting an exit from the existing long position to avoid further losses while monitoring for clearer trend recovery....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent earnings beat estimates with 16% revenue growth, but post-earnings drop shows oversold RSI at 27 and volume capitulation, suggesting a potential rebound in the ongoing uptrend from April lows, with price still above rising support at $177.61....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings sell-off on Q2 2025 beat but in-line Q3 guidance creates oversold dip with high volume capitulation at 185.62, maintaining long-term uptrend from April lows; hold for multi-week recovery....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's Q2 earnings beat estimates with EPS $1.41 vs $1.32 and revenue $4.45B vs $4.32B, plus positive Q3 guidance, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend from April lows around $140 to recent highs above $220, with price above rising EMA and SMA, healthy RSI at 62, and positive MACD, justifying holding the long position for multi-week potential....
2025-07-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, healthy RSI, and supportive fundamentals including positive analyst expectations for upcoming Q2 earnings on July 23, unusual call options activity, and bullish sector news, justifying holding through the catalyst for potential multi-week gains....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding LONG on TXN as the uptrend from April lows persists with price at $216.62 holding above rising support around $200, healthy RSI at 66, and positive semiconductor sector momentum, despite MACD bearish crossover, for a multi-week hold targeting $230+....
2025-07-17 BUY
Summary: TXN shows a strong uptrend from April lows around $140 to recent highs above $220, with positive MACD crossover, healthy RSI at 66, and price holding above rising support trendline, indicating bullish momentum for a multi-week hold....