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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-11-24	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23 prevents a new short entry, while the invalidated capitulation and persistent downtrend rule out a long position, favoring cash until a clearer setup emerges. The chart shows TXN in a sustained downtrend since the October post-earnings drop, with price consistently below both EMA (164.63) and SMA (171.11) on 11/24/2025, and both averages trending downward without frequent crossings or sideways movement in the past month, confirming a clear bearish trend. For longs, this capitulation is invalidated because price has sustained below the capitulation low for more than 5 consecutive bars (current close at $161.83 is well below $169.75, with multiple bars lower since late October), and we're not in an uptrend to buy dips anyway. Technical indicators support caution: RSI at 47 is neutral, not oversold; Slow STO K at 46.26 and D at 27.85 indicate weakening momentum without overbought conditions; MACD at -3.9072 below signal at -4.5534 shows bearish continuation but no extreme divergence for reversal. Bollinger Bands are contracting (upper 166.07, lower 154.37), suggesting low volatility and potential rangebound action near recent lows around $153-154, with resistance at $182.02 (strength 2, last tested 19 bars ago). Falling resistance trendlines at $180.51, $177.24, and $165.44 further cap upside potential. Volume on 11/24 was moderate at 3.73M, not indicating strong buying interest. Reviewing trade history, we covered a profitable short on 11/11/2025 at $159.73 near support after a decline, avoiding further downside; re-entering short now would repeat the risk of ignoring recent capitulation, as seen in past successful shorts that avoided such signals. Simulations of similar downtrend setups without capitulation (e.g., September-October declines) showed >50% win rate for shorts targeting lower supports, but with capitulation present, past instances like post-July earnings led to volatile bounces, risking whipsawâ€”e.g., after July capitulation, price rebounded to $199 before resuming down. Here, without new capitulation at current lows and price churning sideways below EMA, risk/reward favors waiting over forcing a trade; potential downside to $150-154 support is limited (about 5-7%), while upside to resistance at $165-170 could trap a premature short. Fundamentally, TXN as a semiconductor leader faces ongoing sector headwinds from supply chain issues, potential slowdown in analog chip demand amid economic uncertainty, and competition from peers like ADI or QCOMâ€”recent news searches reveal no major positive catalysts, with rumors of delayed auto sector recovery weighing on sentiment (bearish, credible from industry reports, timely as of November 2025, potential for further price pressure). No unusual options activity or insider buys noted; social media buzz is muted, focusing on broader chip weakness rather than TXN-specific upside. Upcoming earnings are estimated for January 21, 2026 (based on historical Q4 pattern, post-October 21, 2025 report), well beyond 3 days, and historical reactions don't support holding through given negative average move. Overall, no high-confidence setup for long or short; stay in cash to avoid whipsaw in this rangebound downtrend phase, monitoring for new capitulation or trend change.
2025-11-21	CASH
Summary: The stock is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but a volume capitulation on 10/23/2025 within the past 2 months prevents a new short entry, and long setups lack support without an uptrend or valid reversal, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence trades while awaiting clearer direction....
2025-11-20	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23 prevents a new short entry, while no strong reversal signals or uptrend confirmation support going long, so stay in cash awaiting clearer opportunities....
2025-11-19	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, and no valid volume capitulation for a long entry, while the recent capitulation on 10/23 blocks a new short due to the 2-month rule, leaving cash as the best position to avoid low-confidence setups....
2025-11-18	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation invalidated by sustained lower prices, preventing new short entry, while no uptrend or fresh capitulation supports long, so stay in cash awaiting clearer setup....
2025-11-17	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past 2 months prevents a new short entry, while the invalidated capitulation signal and lack of uptrend rule out a long position, favoring cash to await clearer opportunities....
2025-11-14	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no valid recent volume capitulation for a long entry, and a capitulation within the past two months preventing a new short, while price tests key support around $159 with oversold indicators but no high-conviction reversal signals, justifying staying in cash to avoid whipsaw in this rangebound consolidation....
2025-11-13	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/23/2025 prevents a new short entry, while the invalidated capitulation and persistent downtrend rule out a long position, favoring cash until a higher-confidence setup emerges....
2025-11-12	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past 2 months prevents a new short entry, while no valid reversal signals support going long, so stay in cash awaiting better setups....
2025-11-11	COVERED
Summary: Cover the existing short position on TXN near the rising support level around $157 after a substantial price decline from the entry at $170.71, securing profits amid persistent downtrend signals but with oversold conditions and no immediate reversal catalysts....
2025-11-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on TXN as the downtrend continues with price below declining EMA and SMA, no new reversal signals despite oversold RSI, and ongoing semiconductor sector weakness from soft demand....
2025-11-07	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on TXN as the clear downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, oversold RSI suggesting potential bounce but no reversal signals, and semiconductor sector headwinds from weak industrial demand....
2025-11-06	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on TXN as the downtrend continues with price below declining EMA and SMA, invalidated volume capitulation from 10/23, bearish MACD, and no bullish reversal signals amid semiconductor sector weakness....
2025-11-05	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short position on TXN as the downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no valid reversal from the invalidated volume capitulation on 10/23, bearish MACD, and targeting supports near 150-160 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-11-04	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short position as TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, oversold RSI but no confirmed reversal or valid volume capitulation, targeting lower supports near 150 amid semiconductor sector weakness....
2025-11-03	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with price below declining EMA (173.94) and SMA (181.13), invalidated volume capitulation from 10/23, bearish MACD at -5.45, and no confirmed reversal signals, supporting holding the short from $170.71 targeting lower supports around 150 amid ongoing semiconductor weakness....
2025-10-31	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA (174.75) and SMA (182.01), recent volume capitulation invalidated by sustained new lows below 169.75 for over 5 bars, bearish MACD at -5.35 and oversold RSI at 30 without confirmed reversal, holding the short from $170.71 targeting 150 support amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-10-30	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA (175.68) and SMA (182.80), recent closes at new lows around 160 after breaking prior supports, bearish MACD at -5.07 and oversold RSI at 29 without strong reversal signals, holding the short from $170.71 targeting further downside to 150 support over the coming weeks amid weak semiconductor sector sentiment....
2025-10-29	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, the low-conviction volume capitulation on 10/23 remains valid after only 4 bars below its low, persistent bearish MACD, oversold RSI suggesting potential bounce but no strong reversal signals yet, targeting further downside to 150 support over the next few weeks while holding the short from $170.71....
2025-10-28	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, recent low-conviction volume capitulation on 10/23 not yet invalidated after only 3 bars below its low, bearish MACD persisting, and no strong bullish catalysts, supporting holding the short from $170.71 targeting 160-150 supports over the next few weeks....
2025-10-27	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no invalidation of the recent low-conviction volume capitulation yet, bearish MACD and oversold RSI suggesting further downside potential to 160-150 supports over the coming weeks, while no imminent bullish catalysts or events override the technical weakness....
2025-10-24	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation on 10/23 has low conviction and isn't invalidated by sustained lower prices yet, while targeting supports at 160-150 over multi-week hold despite minor bounce, supported by bearish MACD and no imminent bullish catalysts....
2025-10-22	SHORT
Summary: TXN is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and a sharp post-earnings drop confirming bearish momentum for a multi-week short targeting supports around 160-150, justified for quick re-entry after covering on 10/10 due to further 6% decline to new lows....
2025-10-21	CASH
Summary: TXN is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but earnings today prevent any entry, so stay in cash to avoid volatility while monitoring for post-earnings setups....
2025-10-20	CASH
Summary: Imminent earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent any new entry despite clear downtrend conditions favoring a short, with price below EMA and SMA, no recent volume capitulation, and bearish momentum indicators like negative MACD signaling potential further downside targeting support around $170 after earnings volatility....
2025-10-17	CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 and no high-confidence setup for entry without violating hold periods or event policies, so remain in cash awaiting better opportunities post-event....
2025-10-16	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent a new short entry due to the no-hold-through-earnings rule conflicting with minimum hold periods, while no high-confidence reversal signals or catalysts justify a long....
2025-10-15	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent entry into a new short position due to the requirement for multi-week holds and policy against holding through volatile events without meeting specific criteria, while the recent bounce from 171.7 offers no compelling re-entry justification after covering....
2025-10-14	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 prevent new entries to avoid holding through without meeting disregard criteria, while technicals show oversold conditions but no high-confidence reversal for long....
2025-10-13	CASH
Summary: The stock remains in a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025 limit the holding period, and the recent bounce from 171.7 to 175.19 lacks confirmation of further weakness for a high-confidence short entry so soon after covering....
2025-10-10	COVERED
Summary: TXN's price has dropped to near key support at $169.61 with oversold RSI at 35 and no volume capitulation, justifying covering the short from $177.63 to lock in gains amid persistent downtrend but approaching earnings on 10/21/2025....
2025-10-09	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and hasn't reached key support at $169.61, supporting holding the short amid semiconductor sector headwinds and upcoming earnings caution....
2025-10-08	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and hasn't tested key support at $169.61 yet, supporting continuation of the short position amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures and approaching earnings caution....
2025-10-07	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and current levels not yet testing key support at $169.61, supporting holding the short position targeting lower ranges amid semiconductor sector headwinds....
2025-10-06	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce from rising support at $179.3 but still below key resistance and EMA, justifying holding the short from $177.63 targeting lower supports around $170 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures. There's no recent volume capitulation flagged, which supports continuing the downtrend thesis rather than expecting an imminent reversal....
2025-10-03	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, testing rising support at 178-181 but with potential breakdown toward 170-169 amid semiconductor weakness, justifying holding the short from $177.63 despite current unrealized loss....
2025-10-02	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounces stalling near falling resistance around 195-196 while testing rising support at 178-181, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting 170-169 amid persistent semiconductor sector headwinds and upcoming earnings on 10/21/2025....
2025-10-01	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, stalling bounces near falling resistance while testing rising support around 177-181, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting 170 amid ongoing semiconductor weakness. Technical indicators reinforce this: RSI at 38.62 indicates oversold but not extreme conditions warranting an immediate reversal, MACD at -2.97 remains bearish with the line below the signal, and Slow STO at 59.5 suggests fading momentum from recent bounces....
2025-09-30	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent price action bouncing but stalling near falling resistance around 196-198 while testing rising supports at 181-177, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting 170 amid continued semiconductor sector weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-29	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, recent bounce stalling near falling resistance around 196-198, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting lower supports at 181-177 and ultimately 170 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-09-26	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce failing at falling resistance around 197-198, supporting holding the short from $177.63 targeting supports at 176-169 amid persistent semiconductor sector weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-25	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, recent price bounce to 184.44 testing falling resistance around 198-199 but failing to break higher, supporting holding the short position from $177.63 targeting supports at 176-169 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures and lack of strong bullish news....
2025-09-24	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation in the past month, recent bounce to 184.84 testing falling resistance around 198-199 but likely to resume lower toward supports at 176-169 amid semiconductor sector weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-23	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, testing near rising support around $176 but with potential to break lower toward $169 amid ongoing semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-09-22	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, continued weakness below resistance trendlines around $199-200, and targeting support near $169 over the next few weeks amid semiconductor sector headwinds....
2025-09-19	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, testing resistance around $182-183 but failing to break higher, supported by weakening semiconductor sector sentiment and lack of positive catalysts, targeting support near $169 over the next few weeks....
2025-09-18	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce from 177.63 to 182.25 appears temporary resistance test before resuming decline toward $169 support, reinforced by weakening momentum and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-17	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent bounce to 180.31 likely temporary resistance test before resuming decline toward $169-170 support over multi-week hold, supported by weakening momentum and sector headwinds....
2025-09-16	SHORT
Summary: TXN is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, continued price breakdown below prior support at $182.67 justifying quick re-entry short after covering on 9/12 due to further 2.4% decline confirming weakness, targeting lower supports around $169-170 over multi-week hold....
2025-09-15	CASH
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but oversold RSI at 26 suggests potential bounce, making short entry risky near recent lows after our recent exit, so stay in cash for better opportunities....
2025-09-12	COVERED
Summary: TXN's short position should be covered near the rising support at $182.67 after a 7% drop from entry, locking in gains amid oversold RSI at 30.88 and no immediate catalysts for further downside, while the downtrend persists but price tests key support without capitulation....
2025-09-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum from recent breakdowns, and sector weakness in semiconductors supporting further downside to support near 169....
2025-09-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum targeting support near 169, and ongoing sector pressures from weak chip demand....
2025-09-09	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, ongoing semiconductor sector weakness, no volume capitulation, and price targeting support near 169 amid bearish momentum....
2025-09-08	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum from recent breakdowns, semiconductor sector pressures, and targeting supports near 169 amid ongoing weakness....
2025-09-05	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum persisting after recent breakdowns, targeting supports around 170-169 amid semiconductor sector weakness....
2025-09-04	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TXN remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish momentum from weakening MACD and price breaking below recent supports around 199-195, targeting lower levels near 189-170 over the next few weeks amid sector headwinds....
2025-09-03	SHORT
Summary: TXN entered a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both after a sharp drop below key levels, no recent volume capitulation, and bearish momentum indicators supporting a short entry below EMA for a multi-week hold targeting lower supports around 189-170, justified for quick re-entry post-exit due to significant 5.9% price decline confirming breakdown with new sector weakness....
2025-09-02	SOLD
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 should be exited at $199.54 due to price falling below the SMA in an unclear trend, lack of recent volume capitulation, weakening momentum with STO overbought and recent down days, while positive MACD isn't enough to counter the breakdown below key levels without imminent bullish catalysts....
2025-08-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's existing long position from $189.25 remains viable at $202.48 with price above both EMA and SMA in an unclear trend, positive MACD crossover signaling momentum, STO overbought but no immediate resistance breach, recent recovery from capitulation lows without reversal signs, and no earnings or catalysts imminent....
2025-08-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 holds strong at $205.13 with price above both EMA and SMA in an unclear trend, positive MACD, overbought STO but no clear resistance hit, recent bounces from capitulation, and no upcoming earnings or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-08-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's existing long position from $189.25 remains viable at $205.43 with price above both EMA and SMA despite EMA below SMA indicating unclear trend, positive MACD crossover, overbought STO but sustained momentum from recent volume capitulation bounces, no immediate resistance or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-08-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 holds at $205.64 with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD, overbought STO but sustained uptrend momentum post-capitulation, no near-term resistance or catalysts for exit....
2025-08-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's existing long position from $189.25 continues to hold strong at $206.11 with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD crossover, overbought STO but sustained momentum from recent capitulation bounce, no near-term resistance breach or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-08-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position from $189.25 remains strong with price at $206.97 breaking above recent highs and holding over rising supports near $190-$196, despite unclear trend from EMA below SMA, supported by positive MACD and no near-term breakdowns or catalysts....
2025-08-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's long position remains viable with price at $200.78 holding above rising supports near $190-$195 and the July BOT capitulation lows around $178-$181, despite EMA below SMA indicating unclear trend, no breakdown below lows, and next earnings on October 22, 2025....
2025-08-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN continues holding its long position amid a bounce from July volume capitulation BOT signals at $178-$181, with price at $200.08 above rising supports near $184-$189 and EMA at $194.78, despite unclear trend from EMA below SMA, no breakdown below capitulation lows, and next earnings around October 22, 2025....
2025-08-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in a bounce from recent volume capitulation BOT signals around $178-$181, with price at $196.3 holding above rising support trendlines near $184-$189 and EMA at $194.4, unclear trend but no breakdown below capitulation lows, next earnings in October 2025....
2025-08-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN continues holding above volume capitulation lows around $180-$185 with price at $194.2 supported by rising trendlines near $183-$188, unclear trend but no breakdown, distant October earnings, and semiconductor sector resilience....
2025-08-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in recovery from recent volume capitulation lows around $178-$182, with price at $194.45 holding above rising supports near $182-$187 and no immediate breakdown, despite unclear trend signals, supported by semiconductor sector strength and distant next earnings in October 2025....
2025-08-14	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN is bouncing from recent volume capitulation lows around $178-$182 with price at $192.86 holding above rising supports near $182-$186, despite downtrend signals, supported by semiconductor sector recovery and no near-term earnings....
2025-08-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in a bounce from volume capitulation lows at $177.92 and $181.06, with price at $192.97 holding above supports and showing consolidation in a potential reversal, supported by semiconductor sector trends and no immediate earnings risk....
2025-08-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's chart shows a bounce from recent volume capitulation lows at $177.92 and $181.06, with price at $192.74 holding above those levels in a potential reversal setup supported by semiconductor sector strength....
2025-08-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent volume capitulation signals at $177.92 and $181.06 remain valid with price holding above those lows in a downtrend, supported by semiconductor sector tailwinds like US chip investments, justifying holding the existing long position from $189.25 despite the pullback to $184.54....
2025-08-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's valid volume capitulation signals from late July remain intact with price holding above $177.92 lows, supported by Q2 earnings beats, $60B US chip investment, and recent China price hikes on 60k products, justifying holding the existing long position despite the ongoing downtrend and minor pullback to $187.21 from entry at $189.25....
2025-08-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's ongoing downtrend with price below EMA and SMA, but valid volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1/2025 and $181.06 on 7/31/2025 not yet invalidated, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and $60B US chip expansion plan, support continuing to hold the existing long position from $189.25 despite recent pullback to $185.87....
2025-08-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's valid volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1/2025 and $181.06 on 7/31/2025, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and $60B US chip investment announcement, support holding the existing long position from $189.25 for a potential rebound despite the ongoing downtrend....
2025-08-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1/2025 and $181.06 on 7/31/2025 remain valid with price holding above those lows, supported by strong Q2 earnings beats and $60B US chip investment news, justifying continued holding of the existing long position from $189.25 despite the current downtrend for a potential multi-week rebound....
2025-08-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent volume capitulation signals at $177.92 on 8/1 and $181.06 on 7/31 remain valid with price holding above those lows in a downtrend, supported by strong Q2 2025 earnings beats and positive revenue growth, justifying holding the existing long position from $189.25 for a potential multi-week recovery....
2025-08-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent "BOT" volume capitulations on 7/31 and 8/1 at lows around $178-180, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and positive analyst sentiment, support holding the existing long position entered at $189.25 despite the current downtrend, as historical patterns post-capitulation often show volatile recoveries over weeks....
2025-07-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's new "BOT" volume capitulation on 7/31/2025 at $179.81, following the prior one on 7/28, combined with strong Q2 earnings beats and analyst upgrades, supports holding the long position despite the downtrend, as historical patterns show recoveries from similar oversold capitulations....
2025-07-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's ongoing recovery from the "BOT" volume capitulation on 7/28/2025, supported by recent analyst upgrades, strong Q2 earnings beats, and positive institutional buying like Hamlin Capital adding shares, justifies holding the long position entered at $189.25 despite the minor pullback to $188.72 on 7/30/2025, with the next earnings expected in October 2025....
2025-07-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's volume capitulation "BOT" on 7/28 signals a potential reversal after the post-earnings drop, with price recovering to 192.28 on 7/29 above entry at 189.25, and next earnings not until October 2025....
2025-07-28	BUY
Summary: TXN shows volume capitulation "BOT" on 7/28 at recent lows after post-earnings sell-off, signaling potential reversal and uptrend resumption, with next earnings in October 2025....
2025-07-25	SOLD
Summary: TXN's long-term uptrend from April lows invalidated by the sharp post-earnings drop below key supports and moving averages, with price now under both EMA and SMA despite a volume capitulation signal, prompting an exit from the existing long position to avoid further losses while monitoring for clearer trend recovery....
2025-07-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's recent earnings beat estimates with 16% revenue growth, but post-earnings drop shows oversold RSI at 27 and volume capitulation, suggesting a potential rebound in the ongoing uptrend from April lows, with price still above rising support at $177.61....
2025-07-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings sell-off on Q2 2025 beat but in-line Q3 guidance creates oversold dip with high volume capitulation at 185.62, maintaining long-term uptrend from April lows; hold for multi-week recovery....
2025-07-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN's Q2 earnings beat estimates with EPS $1.41 vs $1.32 and revenue $4.45B vs $4.32B, plus positive Q3 guidance, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend from April lows around $140 to recent highs above $220, with price above rising EMA and SMA, healthy RSI at 62, and positive MACD, justifying holding the long position for multi-week potential....
2025-07-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: TXN remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, healthy RSI, and supportive fundamentals including positive analyst expectations for upcoming Q2 earnings on July 23, unusual call options activity, and bullish sector news, justifying holding through the catalyst for potential multi-week gains....
2025-07-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding LONG on TXN as the uptrend from April lows persists with price at $216.62 holding above rising support around $200, healthy RSI at 66, and positive semiconductor sector momentum, despite MACD bearish crossover, for a multi-week hold targeting $230+....
2025-07-17	BUY
Summary: TXN shows a strong uptrend from April lows around $140 to recent highs above $220, with positive MACD crossover, healthy RSI at 66, and price holding above rising support trendline, indicating bullish momentum for a multi-week hold....