Stocks on Tech Trader

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The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's red day closing at 392.18 after new highs is normal profit-taking in a strong AI uptrend, so we're holding the long from $365.9. The stock ran hard from the March lows near $316 to over $414 recently on the back of blowout Q1 results, a raised 2026 growth outlook above 30%, and insatiable demand for advanced AI chips. Today's move opened at 392.5, tagged 397.87, but sold off to 384.7 before closing right near the open on average volumeâ€”nothing that breaks the higher-low structure or the multi-month uptrend from 2025. We're up about 7% on this position after 14 days, which is a solid winner for us after some choppy smaller losses earlier in March. Fundamentals haven't changed at all: TSMC is projecting 70% annual growth in 2nm capacity through 2028, margins are expanding, and the AI tailwind from Nvidia, Broadcom, and hyperscalers remains "extremely robust." Analyst targets are clustered well above $400 with several in the $450+ range. Geopolitical noise is always in the background but has been repeatedly shrugged off during this cycle. No fresh negative catalyst appeared today. After holding through the post-earnings digestion and the clean breakout, selling here would mean cutting a working position prematurely and risking missing the next leg toward $420+. We'll keep the long with a stop below the $370-375 zone and continue to let it work while the primary trend stays intact. This isn't about fighting momentumâ€”it's about staying disciplined with real money on a name that's still structurally bullish.
2026-04-27	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-24	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-23	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-22	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-21	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-20	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-17	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-16	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-15	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-14	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-13	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-10	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-09	HOLD LONG
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2026-04-08	BUY
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2026-04-07	CASH
Summary: We're staying in CASH for TSM as the daily chart shows choppy consolidation around $340 after the sharp bounce from $316 lows (following $390 Feb high), recent trades delivered net losses, technicals are neutral, and a key March sales report drops April 10. ...
2026-04-06	CASH
Summary: TSM is chopping in a volatile 316-348 range after its February peak, with our recent trades mostly losing money and no clear breakout on daily charts. ...
2026-04-02	SOLD
Summary: We're closing the TSM long entered at $337.95 on 3/31/2026 for a small gain as price sits below the EMA and SMA with negative MACD and neutral RSI on the daily chart. ...
2026-04-01	HOLD LONG
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2026-03-31	BUY
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2026-03-30	CASH
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2026-03-27	CASH
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2026-03-26	SOLD
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2026-03-25	HOLD LONG
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2026-03-24	HOLD LONG
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2026-03-23	BUY
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2026-03-20	SOLD
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2026-03-19	BUY
Summary: Previous CASH call after 3/18's weak red close lacking follow-through is reversed by 3/19's strong recovery from 325 lows closing near 338.46 on higher volume with bullish AI news. ...
2026-03-18	SOLD
Summary: Last LONG decision after 3/17's strong green candle confirming a bounce no longer applies as today's red candle reversed those gains and closed weak near the lows. ...
2026-03-17	BUY
Summary: Previous CASH call on weak post-pullback momentum and chop is no longer valid after today's strong green candle closing at 346.38 with improving volume. ...
2026-03-16	SOLD
Summary: TSM is showing weak momentum after a sharp March pullback from $370+ levels, with the latest low-volume green candle failing to confirm a solid reversal. ...
2026-03-13	BUY
Summary: Hold LONG; oversold STO and price at lower BB signal rebound potential from recent pullback, bolstered by strong AI chip demand, double-digit revenue growth, and new Taiwan-Japan-Arizona semiconductor pact, justifying quick re-entry after 3/12 exit as bearish momentum fades with fresh bullish catalysts at a stabilized lower price....
2026-03-12	SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG to CASH; sharp 5% drop below EMA/SMA supports on high volume signals bearish breakdown amid overbought pullback from Feb highs, despite strong AI revenue news, to avoid further downside risk near lower BB....
2026-03-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; rebound from oversold STO at 21 with price above rising EMAs amid 30% revenue surge on AI demand, despite MACD below signal, targeting 388 upper BB as bullish catalysts persist....
2026-03-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; AI-driven 30% revenue surge and oversold STO at 17.6 support rebound from 340 lower BB, despite MACD below signal and geo risks, targeting 360+ resistance amid bullish news....
2026-03-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; rebound from oversold support at 338 persists with AI mega factory acceleration boosting outlook, despite MACD bearish crossover and geo tensions, as STO remains low and price above lower BB targeting 360+ resistance....
2026-03-06	BUY
Summary: Hold LONG; price hit rising support at 338 with oversold STO and below lower BB, AI revenue growth outlook and price hikes fuel rebound despite geo jitters, re-entering soon after 3/4 exit as much lower entry price and bullish catalysts outweigh prior breakdown concerns now that pullback target reached without further bearish momentum....
2026-03-05	CASH
Summary: TSM's price has broken down further below recent supports with MACD bearish and oversold STO but lacking volume conviction for rebound, while AI demand news is bullish yet offset by China tensions and no immediate catalysts, warranting cash to avoid whipsaw after yesterday's exit....
2026-03-04	SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG to CASH; TSM's recent breakdown below key supports at 368-376 with MACD bearish crossover, STO oversold rebound but volume lacking, and bearish news like China tensions outweighing AI demand signals a pullback to 340-315. ...
2026-03-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's uptrend holds above rising SMA and supports at 336-315 with oversold STO at 41, positive MACD despite crossover, robust AI sales +37% Jan, ASML 50% production boost, Japan 3nm expansion, and US tariff exemptions fueling growth amid pullback....
2026-03-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, positive MACD, healthy RSI, robust AI demand, and analyst upgrades outweighing tariff ruling concerns, targeting new highs....
2026-02-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's robust uptrend continues with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, positive MACD divergence, RSI in healthy range, and surging AI chip demand amid global semiconductor recovery, despite minor pullback from recent highs....
2026-02-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's uptrend persists with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, bullish MACD, AI demand surge, analyst targets to $450, despite today's pullback from overbought levels amid profit-taking....
2026-02-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's uptrend accelerates to $388 on AI chip surge, $2T market cap milestone, 36.8% Jan revenue jump, analyst targets to $421 amid overbought signals but unbroken momentum....
2026-02-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's explosive uptrend persists with price smashing highs on AI boom, fab expansions, tariff exemptions, and analyst targets to $428 amid overbought but sustained momentum....
2026-02-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM maintains strong uptrend with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, bullish MACD, continued AI demand surge, expansions in Taiwan/Japan, positive options flow outweigh any minor pullback risks....
2026-02-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM in robust uptrend with price surging above rising EMAs/SMAs, bullish MACD expansion, AI-driven revenue beats like +37% Jan YoY, expansion plans outweigh minor overbought risks....
2026-02-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; price in strong uptrend above rising EMAs/SMAs with bullish MACD/Stoch divergence, AI chip demand catalysts like Nvidia partnerships and 2nm ramp-up outweighing minor volatility....
2026-02-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; uptrend intact with price above rising EMA/SMA, bullish MACD/Stoch, and fresh AI demand signals like 2nm bookings, capex boosts, and US fab expansions outweighing minor pullback....
2026-02-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; uptrend intact with price above rising EMA/SMA, bullish MACD/Stoch, AI demand fueling revenue surges like 36.8% Jan growth, and 2nm capacity nearly booked out....
2026-02-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's uptrend persists with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, bullish MACD/RSI/Stoch, AI chip growth overtaking mobile, analyst buy ratings, and 13% YTD gains amid market weakness....
2026-02-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's relentless uptrend continues with price surging to new highs above rising EMAs/SMAs, bullish MACD/RSI/Stoch despite overbought levels, record Jan sales, AI demand boom from NVIDIA/Apple, and Japan expansion fueling momentum....
2026-02-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's explosive uptrend persists with price smashing record highs above rising EMAs/SMAs, overbought but bullish MACD/RSI/Stoch, massive AI demand, 36.8% revenue growth, and positive catalysts outweighing risks....
2026-02-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's robust uptrend continues with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, bullish MACD/RSI, 36.8% YoY Jan revenue surge, $52-56B AI capex, and record highs amid positive news flow....
2026-02-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM's uptrend persists with price above rising EMAs/SMAs, positive MACD/RSI, AI demand surge, $52-56B capex, Japan expansion, and no major bearish catalysts, targeting $400 amid volatility....
2026-02-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSM surges to $349.49 breaking resistance on AI demand boom, $52-56B 2026 capex hike, Japan fab expansion, positive MACD/RSI, and uptrend intact despite volatility, targeting $400 post-pullback....
2026-02-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; price bounces off $320 support amid 30% 2026 revenue growth forecast, Zacks strong-buy upgrade, and AI capex supercycle, with neutral RSI and positive MACD despite minor pullback....
2026-02-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; sharp -4.6% dip to $322 on semis profit-taking holds $320 support, neutral RSI reset signals bounce amid endless AI demand....
2026-02-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; today's dip to $332 holds key supports with RSI ~58 buy signal, Strong Buy consensus PT $380-420+ on endless Nvidia AI demand....
2026-02-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Nvidia CEO Huang demands TSMC double capacity over decade for AI demand alone, shares surge 3.8% to $343 on resilient technicals....
2026-01-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; consolidation at $340s holds $332 support with RSI 58 buy signal amid endless AI demand post-Q4 beat....
2026-01-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; mild post-Q4 pullback to $342 holds $332 support with RSI ~57 buy signal and MACD positive amid 30% 2026 growth guide.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/equities/taiwan-semicond.manufacturing-co-technical)[[2]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSM/history)...
2026-01-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; mild dip to $335 holds key supports amid neutral RSI buy signal and intact AI supercycle post-Q4 smash.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/equities/taiwan-semicond.manufacturing-co-technical)[[2]](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/tsm/advanced-charting)...
2026-01-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Q4 profit +35% beat and $52-56B 2026 capex lock AI supercycle, stock holds ~$335 gains amid PT hikes.[[1]](https://pr.tsmc.com/english/news/3281)[[2]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/15/tsmc-q4-profit-record-ai-chip-demand-nt1-trillion.html)...
2026-01-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Q4 revenue +20% beat, record 35% profit jump on AI boom, Goldman PT hike sparks record highs....
2026-01-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Q4 record profit +35% beat on AI surge, Goldman PT hike 35% to Street-high on capacity tight thru 2027....
2026-01-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; AI capex $52-56B locks multi-year supercycle, post-Q4 digestion eyes $380 Elliott with institutional flows intact....
2026-01-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; endless AI demand confirmed post-Q4 record 35% profit beat, $52-56B 2026 capex signals multi-year boom....
2026-01-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; post-Q4 shares near $343 on record 35% profit beat + endless AI demand, $52-56B capex fuels 2026 boom....
2026-01-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Q4 record profit +35% smashes estimates on AI boom, capex $52-56B for 2026 signals endless supercycle....
2026-01-14	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; pre-Q4 earnings buzz with revenue +20% beat, profit +27% forecast on AI surge, Lynx PT raise ahead Nvidia H200 demand....
2026-01-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Q4 profit set to surge 27% on AI boom, Goldman PT hiked 35% to record amid Nvidia H200 China demand ramp....
2026-01-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; analyst PT frenzy post-Goldman to $370+ on AI supercycle, Nvidia H200 ramps solidify capacity premium thru 2027....
2026-01-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Goldman Sachs PT hike to Street-high NT$2330 on AI supercycle thru 2027 drives record highs, Nvidia H200 China demand ramps TSMC output....
2026-01-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Wall Street PT rush after Goldman record rally, AI multi-year supercycle capacity tight thru 2027, Nvidia H200 China boom....
2026-01-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Goldman PT hike to Street-high NT$2330 sparks record surge, AI supercycle thru 2027 + Nvidia H200 China ramp intact....
2026-01-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; TSMC records new highs post-Goldman 35% PT hike on AI supercycle thru 2027, Nvidia H200 China ramp accelerates....
2026-01-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Goldman Sachs hikes PT 35% to NT$2330 on multi-year AI engine, shares surge records amid Nvidia H200 China boom....
2026-01-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Nvidia ramps H200 AI chips with TSMC amid China demand boom, stock up 1.4% shrugging geopolitics, AI 2026 targets $355+....
2025-12-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Dec revenue +43% YoY smashes estimates on AI strength, stock surges to $312, institutional bets pile in....
2025-12-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG; Dec revenue +43% YoY on AI surge, institutional ownership climbs to 5.3%, Elliott $340 intact post-quake shrug....
2025-12-29	BUY
Summary: Hold LONG; institutional frenzy via SEC filings + AI pricing power hikes 2026-29 propel Elliott $340 target....
2025-12-26	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM's price has bounced from recent lows without volume capitulation, but the unclear trend with EMA below SMA, positive yet weak MACD, and no breakdown below $277 support the continued short hold targeting $257 while monitoring for reversal signals....
2025-12-24	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM's chart indicates an unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA and price above both after a bounce, but lacking volume capitulation and with MACD turning positive yet weak, supporting holding the short position targeting support at $257 while monitoring for breakdown below recent lows around $277....
2025-12-23	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM's chart shows an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both after a bounce from lows without volume capitulation, supporting holding the short from $286.87 targeting support near $257 while monitoring resistance at $311 for potential reversal....
2025-12-22	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM's chart continues to show a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price struggling at resistance after a brief bounce without volume capitulation, bearish MACD divergence, and no strong bullish catalysts, supporting holding the short from $286.87 targeting support near $257 while monitoring for sustained breaks above $295....
2025-12-19	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM's chart shows a continued downtrend with EMA below SMA, price failing to sustain above key levels after a brief bounce, bearish MACD, and no volume capitulation, supporting holding the short position from $286.87 targeting support near $257 while monitoring for potential reversal signals....
2025-12-18	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and indicators like bearish MACD supporting continuation of the short from $286.87 targeting support near $257, despite a minor bounce, as no volume capitulation or trend reversal is evident. Technical indicators like MACD remaining negative and RSI at 46 indicate ongoing weakness without oversold conditions warranting an exit. Support at $257.75 hasn't been tested recently, providing a logical target for the short over the next few weeks, while resistance at $311.37 caps upside potential....
2025-12-17	HOLD SHORT
Summary: TSM remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward, recent price breakdown below 280 support amid bearish MACD and no volume capitulation, targeting next support near 257 over the coming weeks while holding the existing short position entered at 286.87....
2025-12-16	SHORT
Summary: TSM is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, and both moving downward, supported by a bearish MACD crossover and recent breakdown from highs around 310, presenting a high-confidence short setup targeting support near 280 or lower over the next few weeks....
2025-12-15	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both, and frequent crossings in the past month, warranting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries amid recent volatility and no clear uptrend for longs or safe downtrend for shorts....
2025-12-11	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and no recent volume capitulation, prompting caution to avoid new entries despite recent price recovery above key levels and positive AI demand fundamentals....
2025-12-10	CASH
Summary: TSM's technical trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and upward momentum, preventing new long or short entries amid recent volatility and no fresh volume capitulation, while strong AI chip demand supports upside but lacks high-confidence setup for immediate action....
2025-12-09	CASH
Summary: TSM's technical trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and both rising, preventing new entries per strict criteria, while the recent rally from November lows shows strength but lacks confirmation for a high-confidence long setup amid overbought risks near resistance....
2025-12-05	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and both moving upward, avoiding new entries per technical rules, while recent bounce from $275 lacks volume capitulation for conviction and prior exit reasons like broken support have partially reversed but not enough for quick re-entry....
2025-12-04	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and tightly bound moving averages, advising against new entries despite strong AI chip demand fundamentals and a recent bounce from support near $273....
2025-12-03	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and no strong uptrend confirmation despite the recent rebound to $295, so staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry while monitoring for clearer direction amid ongoing AI demand strength....
2025-12-02	CASH
Summary: TSM's technicals show an unclear trend with EMA below SMA and sideways movement, preventing new entries despite a recent bounce from support and strong AI demand fundamentals. Price is above both averages, RSI at 54.81 is neutral with room to run, MACD shows a potential bullish crossover (-0.3708 above -1.1185), and Stochastic K at 75.34 suggests building momentum, but these are insufficient to override the unclear trend for entry. No volume capitulation in the past two months, and the prior one on 10/17/2025 at $295.08 is invalidated for new longs as price has already bounced and sustained below it previously....
2025-12-01	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price stuck in a choppy range between $273-292, and we recently exited a long on 11/14/2025 after breaking key support around $280-295, with no compelling new catalysts or volume capitulation to justify quick re-entry despite ongoing AI demand....
2025-11-28	CASH
Summary: TSM's technicals show an unclear trend with EMA below SMA, price above both but without consistent upward momentum, recent volatility around the 275-290 range, and no high-confidence setup for long or short entry given the lack of confirmed uptrend or downtrend, while fundamentals like strong AI chip demand are supportive but secondary to chart signals....
2025-11-26	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and a recent bounce from 275 to 292, so avoid new entries while monitoring for uptrend confirmation amid strong AI demand fundamentals but bearish MACD and no fresh catalysts....
2025-11-25	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both, recent crossover, and tight ranging without clear direction, plus a recent exit from long at similar levels and no compelling new catalysts for immediate re-entry....
2025-11-24	CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price below both following a pullback from highs, lacking a high-confidence setup for entry despite strong AI chip demand fundamentals....
2025-11-21	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as TSM's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both, frequent crossings, and no clear uptrend for long entry or downtrend without recent capitulation for short, compounded by recent volatility and lack of high-confidence setup after the November 14 exit at $284.82 amid weakening support....
2025-11-20	CASH
Summary: TSM's chart shows an unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly converged and moving sideways, price below both after recent declines, avoiding new entries per technical priority, while strong AI demand fundamentals suggest potential rebound but not overriding choppy action....
2025-11-19	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, recent price action showing a downtrend without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given the risk of whipsaw near supports....
2025-11-18	CASH
Summary: TSM's technicals show an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry, and a recent capitulation within 2 months preventing a short, making cash the best position to await a clearer setup....
2025-11-17	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as TSM's trend is unclear with price below declining EMA/SMA, recent support breaks signaling weakness, and no high-confidence setup for long or short after our quick exit from the prior long on 11/14 at $284.82 due to invalidation below $280 and capitulation low....
2025-11-14	SOLD
Summary: TSM's price dipped below key $280 support and the prior capitulation low of around $295 with sustained closes lower, signaling a potential trend weakening despite ongoing AI chip demand, prompting an exit near recent resistance around $285 to lock in and await a clearer uptrend confirmation for re-entry....
2025-11-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend holds with EMA above SMA, price testing but holding key $280 support after post-earnings pullback, supported by strong AI chip demand and no breakdown below capitulation low, targeting $311 resistance....
2025-11-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above SMA, holding above key support at $280 amid strong AI demand and no major breakdowns, supporting continued long position from $295.08 targeting $311 resistance....
2025-11-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from recent dips amid strong AI chip demand and no breakdown below key support at $280, supporting continued holding of the long position from $295.08 targeting $310 resistance....
2025-11-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from support near $280 amid strong AI chip demand and no immediate breakdowns, supporting holding the long position from $295.08 targeting $310-320....
2025-11-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's ongoing uptrend with EMA above SMA, price rebounding near key support at $280 amid strong AI demand and positive fundamentals, supports continuing the long position from $295.08 targeting $310-320 while monitoring for breakdowns below recent lows....
2025-11-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and price holding key supports around $280-290 amid strong AI chip demand, positive technical indicators like RSI at 48.7 showing room for upside, and no immediate breakdowns, continuing the long position from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310-320 while monitoring for sustained weakness....
2025-11-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, price holding above key supports like $280 after a post-earnings dip, bolstered by strong AI chip demand and positive technicals including RSI at 53 with upside potential, continuing the long position from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310 while monitoring for sustained breakdowns below supports....
2025-11-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, price above key supports around $280, supported by strong AI chip demand and positive technicals like RSI at 53.48 with room for upside, holding the long from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310 while monitoring for breakdowns....
2025-11-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues its strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, price above key supports, bolstered by AI demand and positive technicals like RSI at 60.62 with upside room, holding the long from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310 while watching for reversals....
2025-10-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a robust uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, price rebounding above key supports post-earnings with sustained AI demand and positive technicals like RSI at 57.87 showing room for upside, holding the long position from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310 while monitoring for bearish reversals....
2025-10-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues its strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and both rising, rebounding robustly from the post-earnings dip with high volume and sustained AI chip demand momentum, holding the long position from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310 while monitoring for any bearish reversals. Technicals are bullish: RSI at 60.57 indicates room for upside without overbought conditions, MACD at 7.24 above its signal line at 7.99 showing positive momentum, and Slow STO K/D at 84.56/74.16 supporting continuation. The recent bounce from the lower conviction volume capitulation at $295.08 on 10/17 has held, with price sustaining above that low for more than 5 bars, validating the rebound. Support at $280.33 has not been tested recently, and the rising trendline from April lows around $294 provides additional floor....
2025-10-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and both rising, rebounding from post-earnings dip with robust AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts, holding the long position from $295.08 targeting resistance near $310 amid positive momentum....
2025-10-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues its strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding post-earnings with AI chip demand driving momentum, holding the long position from $295.08 for further gains targeting resistance near $310....
2025-10-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from post-earnings dip supported by AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts, holding the long position entered at $295.08 for further upside potential....
2025-10-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from recent dip above capitulation low, supported by strong AI demand and no near-term earnings. ...
2025-10-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent dip stabilizing above volume capitulation low without breaking supports, bolstered by robust AI chip demand and no imminent earnings or catalysts....
2025-10-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent post-earnings dip showing signs of stabilization near volume capitulation low without breaking key supports, supported by strong AI demand fundamentals and no near-term catalysts....
2025-10-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding post-earnings dip supported by volume capitulation at $295.08, strong AI chip demand, and no immediate catalysts, targeting $310 resistance over multi-week horizon....
2025-10-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recovering from post-earnings dip with volume capitulation support, bolstered by robust AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts, targeting resistance near $310 over multi-week hold....
2025-10-17	BUY
Summary: TSM is in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, presenting a high-confidence dip-buy opportunity after a post-earnings pullback, flagged by lower-conviction volume capitulation at $297.46, bolstered by strong AI chip demand and positive technicals like RSI at 58 with room to run....
2025-10-16	CASH
Summary: TSM's chart shows a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, but the bearish MACD crossover on earnings day combined with a negative price reaction and no immediate catalysts suggest waiting for a better dip entry to avoid potential short-term pullback risks....
2025-10-15	CASH
Summary: TSM is in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, but avoiding new entry right before earnings on 10/16/2025 due to unmet surprise criteria and historical mixed reactions, despite strong AI demand and recent rally....
2025-10-14	CASH
Summary: TSM's clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, but upcoming earnings on 10/16/2025 preclude entry to avoid holding through the event without meeting surprise criteria, while recent gains post-exit suggest waiting for a post-earnings dip for re-entry....
2025-10-13	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed uptrend but imminent earnings on 10/16/2025 without meeting hold-through criteria, avoiding entry right before to prevent forced hold through volatile event, while technicals show overbought RSI at 64 with price near recent highs after rebound from 10/10 drop....
2025-10-10	CASH
Summary: Recent exit on 10/2 to lock in gains and avoid earnings risk, with today's sharp drop to 282.77 amid overbought conditions, but uptrend intact and earnings on 10/16 looming, making a new long entry impractical given hold requirements; no compelling short setup in current uptrend....
2025-10-09	CASH
Summary: Stay in cash to sidestep earnings volatility on 10/16/2025, as criteria for holding through aren't met, despite strong uptrend and AI-driven bullish catalysts....
2025-10-08	CASH
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, but avoiding new long entry to prevent holding through earnings on 10/16/2025 since historical surprises don't meet criteria for positive post-earnings reaction....
2025-10-07	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to the strong uptrend but upcoming earnings on 10/16/2025 without met criteria for holding through, preventing a new long entry that requires at least 10-14 day hold, while no short setup exists....
2025-10-06	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to strong uptrend but overbought RSI at 80, recent parabolic price surge to 304.83 risking pullback, and upcoming earnings on 10/16/2025 without meeting hold-through criteria, avoiding entry to prevent holding through the event....
2025-10-03	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after recent exit as TSM's uptrend persists but price is at all-time highs with overbought signals, upcoming earnings on 10/16/2025 prevent full multi-week hold, and no compelling new catalysts justify quick re-entry at worse price....
2025-10-02	SOLD
Summary: Exiting the long TSM position to lock in substantial gains amid overbought technicals near resistance, while avoiding upcoming earnings risk on 10/16/2025 due to unmet surprise criteria, despite strong AI-driven fundamentals and uptrend persistence....
2025-10-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long TSM position as the robust uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by strong AI chip demand and positive semiconductor momentum, while monitoring for resistance around $290 and preparing to exit before the 10/16/2025 earnings due to unmet surprise criteria....
2025-09-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long TSM position as the strong uptrend continues with price well above EMA and SMA, supported by robust AI demand and positive semiconductor sector momentum, though monitoring for potential resistance near recent highs around $280....
2025-09-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long TSM position as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by robust AI chip demand and positive sector tailwinds, despite a brief consolidation near recent highs....
2025-09-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long TSM position as the uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, supported by strong AI demand and positive sector momentum from Nvidia, despite a minor pullback on low volume. Technical indicators like RSI at 64.38 suggest room for upside without overbought conditions, while MACD remains positive at 10.20 above its signal line, and the stock has respected rising support trendlines, including one at $272.81 recently tested. Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating increasing volatility that could favor continuation higher, and volume on the recent dip was unremarkable, lacking capitulation signals that might indicate a reversal....
2025-09-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by robust AI chip demand, positive sector tailwinds from Nvidia's growth, and no clear reversal signals despite recent volatility....
2025-09-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the robust uptrend continues with price well above EMA and SMA, supported by surging AI chip demand, positive sector momentum, and no immediate catalysts for reversal....
2025-09-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the strong uptrend persists with price surging to new all-time highs above EMA and SMA on robust volume, driven by escalating AI chip demand and positive semiconductor sector tailwinds amid global tech recovery....
2025-09-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the uptrend continues with price well above EMA and SMA after recent breakouts to new highs on strong volume, bolstered by sustained AI chip demand and positive sector momentum....
2025-09-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent highs on strong volume, and sustained AI chip demand amid positive sector news....
2025-09-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the long position in TSM as the strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on elevated volume, bolstered by robust AI chip demand and positive industry developments....
2025-09-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the clear uptrend persists with price well above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to all-time highs on strong volume, supported by surging AI chip demand from major clients like Nvidia and positive analyst upgrades, no earnings or major catalysts within 3 days....
2025-09-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in TSM as the uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, supported by strong AI chip demand and recent breakout to new highs, no earnings within 3 days....
2025-09-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in TSM as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent highs driven by strong AI demand and positive semiconductor sector momentum, no immediate earnings or catalysts....
2025-09-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in TSM as the uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, recent highs supported by strong AI chip demand and positive sector news, no earnings or catalysts in next 3 days....
2025-09-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in TSM due to continued uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs at $260.12 supported by strong AI demand and positive news on chip sector growth, with no immediate earnings or catalysts in the next 3 days....
2025-09-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in TSM as the chart confirms a strong uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, recent breakout above prior resistance around $247-248 leading to new highs at $254.73, supported by robust AI chip demand and positive analyst upgrades, while no immediate earnings or catalysts within the next 3 days warrant an exit....
2025-09-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in TSM as the chart shows a breakout above the falling trendline resistance at $247.22 with strong momentum, price well above tightly bound EMA and SMA indicating unclear but improving trend without breakdown, supported by robust AI chip demand and positive news on production expansion, while ignoring minor resistance at $248.28 given the overall uptrend potential....
2025-09-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in TSM as the chart shows price breaking above recent highs with momentum, unclear trend due to tightly bound EMA and SMA but no breakdown below support, and strong AI chip demand amid positive news on expanded capacity outweighing any short-term resistance concerns....
2025-09-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's chart shows an unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA and price between them after a pullback from resistance near $248, but holding the existing long position as the minimum hold period isn't met yet, no breakdown below key support at $221, and strong AI chip demand supports potential rebound amid positive recent news on expanded production capacity....
2025-09-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's chart indicates a recent EMA/SMA cross to downtrend with price below both after a pullback from highs, but holding existing long position as minimum hold period not met, no breakdown below key support at $221, and strong AI chip demand fundamentals support potential rebound without immediate catalysts....
2025-09-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's chart shows a pullback to support around $225-230 with EMA and SMA tightly converged indicating unclear trend, but existing long position held as no breakdown below key levels and strong AI fundamentals persist without immediate catalysts....
2025-08-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's price has dipped below the EMAs but remains supported by a rising trendline around $230, with EMA still above SMA indicating the uptrend isn't fully broken, bolstered by strong August revenue growth of 33% YoY driven by AI demand and no immediate negative catalysts....
2025-08-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, continuing to climb toward resistance near $247 after bouncing from support around $232, supported by strong AI chip demand and no immediate earnings or negative catalysts....
2025-08-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, having bounced from support near $232 and now approaching resistance around $247 amid strong AI chip demand, with no immediate earnings or catalysts to prompt an exit after only 2 days held....
2025-08-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, bouncing from support near $232 amid positive AI demand news, targeting resistance around $247 while holding through the multi-week rally without immediate catalysts....
2025-08-25	BUY
Summary: TSM is in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both after a dip below key levels, supported by a bounce from support near $232 and strong AI chip demand fundamentals, targeting resistance around $247 over the next few weeks....
2025-08-22	CASH
Summary: TSM's trend is unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, recent crossings without volume capitulation, and a fresh exit from a losing long position on 8/20, warranting caution to avoid quick re-entry without stronger signals....
2025-08-21	CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent exit from a losing long position on 8/20, and no volume capitulation or strong reversal signals for a new entry....
2025-08-20	SOLD
Summary: Exit long position as TSM's price broke below key support around $231 and both EMA/SMA amid unclear trend and bearish indicators, locking in to preserve capital while strong AI demand suggests potential rebound later....
2025-08-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM is in an uptrend with EMA above SMA, though price dipped below EMA recently, holding the existing long position from $241.83 as it tests support near $231.76 with potential rebound toward resistance at $248, backed by strong AI demand and no immediate catalysts....
2025-08-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long position from $241.83 as it rebounds toward resistance at $248, supported by strong AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts....
2025-08-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the long position from $241.83 despite recent pullback, targeting resistance at $247-248 supported by AI demand and no near-term catalysts....
2025-08-14	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the long position from $241.83 targeting resistance around $247-248 amid ongoing AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts....
2025-08-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long position from $241.83 amid positive AI demand and no near-term catalysts, targeting resistance near $247 for multi-week upside....
2025-08-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from a brief dip amid positive AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts, holding for multi-week upside toward $247 resistance....
2025-08-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from a minor pullback with positive AI-driven revenue momentum, targeting resistance near $247 for a multi-week hold....
2025-08-08	BUY
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by today's positive July revenue report showing 25.8% YoY growth driven by AI demand, making this minor pullback from recent highs a high-confidence entry for a multi-week hold targeting resistance near $247....
2025-08-07	SOLD
Summary: TSM's price has rebounded strongly to test resistance at the falling trendline around $247.84 after a brief dip from trade secrets leak news, allowing profitable exit from the long position at $228.67 amid sustained uptrend supported by AI demand and positive tariff updates....
2025-08-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA, though price slightly below EMA on recent pullback from trade secrets leak news, but supported by strong AI demand, US fab expansions, and positive revenue guidance, suggesting potential rebound....
2025-08-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite a recent pullback possibly due to trade secrets probe news, supported by strong AI demand, new US fab plans, and positive revenue outlook....
2025-08-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by strong AI chip demand, plans for new US fabs, and positive revenue guidance, despite minor recent pullbacks near resistance....
2025-08-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, bolstered by strong AI demand, recent earnings beat, plans for new US fabs and 1.4nm plants, and analyst buy ratings targeting $270, suggesting continued upside despite today's minor pullback....
2025-07-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by robust AI chip demand, recent Q2 earnings beat with 60% revenue from AI/HPC, upbeat guidance for 2025, and positive analyst updates like Barclays' $275 target, indicating further upside despite minor pullbacks....
2025-07-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues its robust uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, bolstered by strong AI chip demand, positive Q3 guidance, and recent earnings surge, suggesting further upside potential despite nearing resistance....
2025-07-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by robust Q2 earnings, surging AI chip demand, and positive analyst sentiment, outweighing minor pullbacks....
2025-07-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, RSI at 62 showing room for upside, positive MACD, and robust AI-driven fundamentals including recent strong Q2 earnings and projected 20% revenue CAGR, supporting holding the long position despite minor pullback near resistance....
2025-07-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive AI demand news and recent earnings beats, justifying holding the long position entered 9 bars ago at $228.67 despite minor pullbacks....
2025-07-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by recent earnings beats, surging AI demand, and no immediate catalysts or trend invalidation after 8 bars in the position....
2025-07-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent strong Q2 earnings beating estimates and positive AI demand news supporting further upside, despite slight MACD weakness, justifying holding the long position entered at $228.67 seven bars ago now at $240.50....
2025-07-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent Q2 earnings smashed expectations with 39% revenue growth and raised full-year forecast to 30%, driven by AI demand, despite short-term pullback to support at $231.76....
2025-07-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM's chart shows continued uptrend with price breaking to new highs above $240, positive MACD and RSI at 66 indicating momentum, supported by strong AI chip demand and recent earnings beats, outweighing minor pullback....
2025-07-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the existing LONG position in TSM as the stock has surged 8% in three days to new highs on strong volume, maintaining a robust uptrend supported by rising trendlines and ongoing AI chip demand, outweighing overbought RSI and Bollinger Band signals for a potential short-term pullback....
2025-07-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: TSM continues its strong uptrend with recent closes above key supports, positive MACD momentum, RSI at 69 indicating room for upside, bolstered by robust AI chip demand and no major bearish catalysts....
2025-07-14	BUY
Summary: The chart shows TSM in a strong uptrend since April lows, with a bullish EMA/SMA crossover 43 bars ago, RSI at 62 indicating room for upside, positive MACD despite recent signal cross, supported by rising trendlines and strong fundamentals in AI chip demand, outweighing short-term pullback.