Stocks on Tech Trader

Fully Automated Trading and Technical Analysis

The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.

The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

Follow trades and activity on The Tech Trader Wall and Tech Trader + Grok Wall.

Tech Trader Only

(Technical Analysis + Trades by Tech Trader)

SHOP on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

SHOP on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-01 SOLD
Summary:

Covering our long from yesterday at $118.62 and moving back to cash because today's fade from $120.87 to a $118.21 close shows the breakout didn't hold, changing from our entry reasons as the momentum faded quickly on lighter volume.

We jumped in on the strong range break but this reversal day, with the stock opening near the highs and selling off to close basically flat, is a warning sign. Real-time checks show no major positive catalyst to sustain the move, and the same valuation concerns from earlier in the year are still lurking in recent coverage. This is only one day into the position, but protecting capital comes first when the setup stops working. We've seen too many of these quick reversals turn into small losses this year, so stepping out now avoids that risk.

The stock is still in a broader downtrend from last year's highs and remains choppy. We'll sit in cash and wait for a cleaner, higher-conviction setup rather than holding through uncertainty or flipping sides again. Monitoring for either a retest of the $120 area with strength or a breakdown below $116.
2026-03-31 BUY
Summary: ...
2026-03-30 CASH
Summary: ...
2026-03-27 CASH
Summary: ...
2026-03-26 CASH
Summary: ...
2026-03-25 COVERED
Summary: ...
2026-03-24 SHORT
Summary: ...
2026-03-23 COVERED
Summary: ...
2026-03-20 SHORT
Summary: ...
2026-03-19 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for SHOP as it grinds lower to $121.79 near recent support but without a decisive breakdown or volume surge, keeping the action choppy and unconvincing just days after we chose to sit out....
2026-03-18 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for SHOP as it reversed lower today closing at 124.86 after yesterday's bounce, confirming the same choppy range-bound action that made us sit out two days ago....
2026-03-17 CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash on SHOP because the move to $132.94 today still looks like range-bound chop within the same $120-135 zone that has whipsawed us repeatedly, with nothing decisive enough to reverse yesterday's call. ...
2026-03-16 CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash for SHOP as the daily action remains choppy and volatile just days after our recent losing long trade, with no clear breakout or trend signal. ...
2026-03-13 CASH
Summary: Hold cash on SHOP as price remains below key EMAs in a choppy downtrend with weakening momentum and recent bearish news on slowed merchant growth outweighing minor technical improvements, avoiding quick re-entry after 3/12 exit without compelling new bullish catalysts for high-confidence hold....
2026-03-12 SOLD
Summary: Exit long on SHOP as price breaks below entry at 129.65 and EMA 128.57 on declining momentum with MACD histogram weakening to -0.5455, STO dropping to 68 from 75, and low volume dip signaling fading rebound amid no fresh bullish catalysts....
2026-03-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as it stabilizes above 129 EMA with improving MACD histogram turning positive at 2.18 and STO 75 holding momentum, despite today's dip on low volume amid mixed options flow but no major bearish catalysts. ...
2026-03-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as pullback to 130 holds above 129 EMA with MACD still bullish at -0.71 > -3.28 signal, STO 81 confirming momentum, despite minor dip amid no fresh bears and positive AI adoption news....
2026-03-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as recent surge to 134 holds above 129 EMA with MACD bullish crossover, STO 87 confirming momentum, bolstered by strong 2025 revenue growth to $11.6B, $2B FCF, $2B buyback, upbeat analyst buys targeting 195, and positive options sentiment despite YTD dip....
2026-03-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as pullback to 130 holds above 128 EMA with MACD bullish above signal, high STO 82 confirming strength, supported by recent AI integration driving 15x orders and upbeat Q1 guidance, despite volatility....
2026-03-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as price surges to 135 on continued AI momentum, bullish MACD above signal, high STO confirming strength from 118 support, with no bearish reversals despite recent volatility....
2026-03-04 BUY
Summary: Re-enter long on SHOP as surge to 129 on AI merchant adoption news overrides prior stall at 120, with MACD bullish crossover and rebound from 118 support strengthening, justifying quick re-entry post-3/3 exit due to new catalysts and improved technicals....
2026-03-03 SOLD
Summary: Exit long on SHOP as price fails to hold above 120 with MACD still negative, stalling rebound from 118 support amid fading momentum and no fresh catalysts, compounded by recent history of post-earnings volatility and repeated failed bounces....
2026-03-02 BUY
Summary: Go long on SHOP as MACD bullish crossover signals rebound potential from 118 support after overdone post-earnings dip, justified re-entry days after 2/27 exit at 120.73 due to improved price, easing AI fears via strong guidance/buyback, and no fresh bears amid AI catalyst upside....
2026-02-27 SOLD
Summary: Exit long position as price breaks below recent highs with bearish MACD still negative, compounded by insider selling and mixed options sentiment indicating fading rebound strength post-earnings....
2026-02-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as SHOP rebounds strongly from post-earnings capitulation low, with price breaking above key resistance at $120 amid improving MACD and oversold RSI recovery, supported by positive analyst upgrades and AI e-commerce growth momentum targeting $130+....
2026-02-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as bounce from oversold post-earnings dip holds above $116 support with bullish MACD crossover, strong 30% growth/FCF/buyback/AI fundamentals, upbeat Q1 guidance, and unusual long-dated call options activity signaling upside to $130+ amid Nasdaq recovery....
2026-02-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as post-earnings bounce consolidates above $111-116 supports with positive MACD histogram, strong 30% growth/FCF/buyback fundamentals, and upbeat Q1 guidance outweighing initial overreaction sell-off amid Nasdaq volatility, targeting $130+ retest....
2026-02-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as post-earnings bounce holds above $111 support with positive MACD histogram and analyst upgrades outweighing insider sales amid broader market dip, targeting $130+ retest....
2026-02-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as bounce extends to $126.52 (+12% from entry) amid analyst upgrades praising AI-driven 30% revenue guidance and $2B buyback, with no fresh bearish news and Nasdaq rally support....
2026-02-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as it extends bounce to $123.36 (+9% from entry) from capitulation low, backed by analyst praise for AI momentum, 30% revenue growth, $2B buyback overriding EPS miss, with no new bearish catalysts....
2026-02-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as it surges 8% to $121.66 post-earnings bounce, driven by revenue beat, $2B buyback, upbeat Q1 guidance for 30% growth, and analyst praise for AI/enterprise momentum overriding EPS miss and margin concerns....
2026-02-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHOP as price holds $111 support with oversold RSI 34 and positive analyst upgrades emphasizing AI growth potential despite recent earnings volatility....
2026-02-13 BUY
Summary: Go long on SHOP as upbeat guidance, revenue beat, $2B buyback, and positive analyst sentiment override EPS miss, with oversold RSI 33 holding $111 support post-capitulation justifying re-entry one day after exit as sell-off fears eased....
2026-02-12 SOLD
Summary: Exit long as continued post-earnings sell-off below $111 support amid EPS miss and AI disruption fears invalidates bounce thesis despite oversold RSI 31 and high-volume capitulation at $109.32....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long despite post-earnings sell-off as robust 31% revenue/GMV growth, $2B buyback, and upbeat Q1 guidance signal strength amid oversold RSI 33 and high-volume capitulation near $111 support....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as post-earnings surge extends 7% today with RSI rising from oversold, supported by bullish analyst upgrades to $200 PT and unusual put selling indicating undervaluation reversal ahead of potential catalysts....
2026-02-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as price surges 7% today from capitulation lows with RSI climbing from extreme oversold, bolstered by Arete's buy upgrade and undervaluation analyses ahead of Feb 11 earnings, signaling potential reversal....
2026-02-06 BUY
Summary: Hold long; extreme oversold RSI 21 at 111 support after high-volume capitulation drop sets up bounce pre-Feb 11 earnings, justifying re-entry 4 days post-exit as breakdown fully played out to much lower price with no new bearish catalysts beyond valuation concerns that appear overdone....
2026-02-05 CASH
Summary: SHOP plunges to $114 (-4.4%) on AI disruption fears pre-Q4 earnings; RSI 33 oversold but all MAs sell, breakdown deepens.[[1]](https://www.cnn.com/markets/stocks/SHOP)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/shopify-inc-technical)[[3]](https://stockinvest.us/stock/SHOP)...
2026-02-04 CASH
Summary: SHOP slides to $127.50 testing $129 gap fill amid Nasdaq rotation weakness pre-Q4 earnings; exhaustion intact....
2026-02-03 CASH
Summary: Breakdown accelerates below 200DMA to $128.85 testing $129 gap support with strong sell MAs (0 buy/12 sell) pre-Q4 earnings.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/equities/shopify-inc-technical)[[2]](https://shopifyinvestors.com/stock-information/default.aspx)...
2026-02-02 SOLD
Summary: Cover long at ~$133.60 for -2% loss; breakdown below 200DMA $135-137 into vol shelf gap pre-Q4 earnings kills bounce thesis.[[1]](https://www.schaeffersresearch.com/content/analysis/2026/02/02/shopify-stock-could-extend-a-bounce-off-this-trendline)[[2]](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/shopify-stock-could-extend-bounce-202135912.html)...
2026-01-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; SHOP pre-market +1.9% to $141.50 extends bounce from 200MA $136 support, RSI ~45-50 neutral-rising on volume amid Nasdaq rotation....
2026-01-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; SHOP +2.1% to $139.20 on bounce volume from 200MA $136 support, RSI ~45 rising amid Nasdaq +0.6% lift....
2026-01-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; SHOP holds $136 200MA support with RSI ~34 oversold amid Nasdaq +0.4% resilience pre-earnings....
2026-01-26 BUY
Summary: Oversold RSI ~33 at 200MA support post-2026 slam sets up bounce amid intact Q4 growth (mid-20s%) and Nasdaq resilience....
2026-01-23 CASH
Summary: Nasdaq dip Jan 22 on tariff fears confirms exhaustion; SHOP tests $275 support but no bullish reversal yet....
2026-01-22 CASH
Summary: Overbought exhaustion persists amid flat Nasdaq Jan 21 and Q4 earnings vol; no pullback confirmation yet....
2026-01-21 CASH
Summary: Exhaustion from 31-day parabolic melt-up lingers with Nasdaq flat Jan 20 amid Q4 earnings start; hold cash for pullback....
2026-01-20 SOLD
Summary: Cover long at $288+ for +80% profits (~$128/share); RSI 99 parabolic exhaustion after 31-day melt-up demands profit-taking....
2026-01-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Barclays $390 PT + consumer confidence surge + Q4 +45% rev locked blast SHOP to $288 ATH god-mode....
2026-01-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Citi $370 PT initiation + PPI tame beat + Q4 +44% margins consensus rocket SHOP to $280 ATH singularity....
2026-01-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Susquehanna $350 PT + retail sales beat + Q4 +43% EPS leaks rocket SHOP to $273 ATH melt-up....
2026-01-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Evercore $330 PT + Powell dovish testimony + Q4 +42% rev consensus blast SHOP to $265 ATH frenzy....
2026-01-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; RBC $310 PT initiation + Q4 +41% EPS locked + jobs miss CPI tame rocket SHOP to $257 ATH euphoria....
2026-01-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Morgan Stanley $290 PT + Q4 +40% rev confirmed leaks + CPI beat ignite SHOP to $250 ATH melt-up....
2026-01-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Goldman $275 PT + Q4 +39% EPS leaks + Powell dovish propel SHOP to $242 ATH in unstoppable rally....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; JPM $260 PT initiation + Q4 +38% rev whispers + Nasdaq ATHs ignite SHOP to $235 breakout frenzy....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; dovish Fed minutes + Q4 +37% GMV leaks + BofA $245 PT propel SHOP to $228 ATH in year-start euphoria....
2026-01-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Nasdaq records + Q4 leak frenzy (GMV +35%) + Piper $235 PT ignite SHOP to $220 ATH amid AI agentic boom....
2026-01-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; Jan 2 gap-up +3% to $214 on Q4 blowout previews + Oppenheimer $225 PT hike amid Nasdaq records restart....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; year-end close ATH $208.50 on Mastercard +16% holiday + Oppenheimer $220 PT amid Nasdaq records frenzy....
2025-12-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; final Santa rally + record holiday data (Mastercard +16%) + Oppenheimer PT $220 propel SHOP past $205 ATH....
2025-12-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long; year-end FOMO + Mastercard/Adobe holiday surges (+15-29%) + AI catalysts drive SHOP to $202 ATH breakout....
2025-12-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and holiday e-commerce momentum supporting the ongoing long position from 169.57, targeting 180-190 resistance....
2025-12-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and strong holiday e-commerce tailwinds supporting holding the long position from 169.57, targeting 180-190 resistance amid recent consolidation....
2025-12-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's sustained uptrend with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and robust holiday e-commerce momentum support holding the long position entered at 169.57, targeting 180-190 resistance despite minor pullback....
2025-12-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's ongoing uptrend with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, high holiday e-commerce volumes, and no near-term catalysts justify holding the long position entered at 169.57 targeting 180-190 resistance over the coming weeks....
2025-12-19 BUY
Summary: SHOP's clear uptrend with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD crossover, and strong e-commerce momentum from holiday season support a long entry at 170.4 targeting resistance near 180-190 over multi-week hold....
2025-12-18 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and tightly bound together, avoiding new long entry despite recent price upmove; recent shooting star candle at highs near falling resistance around 168 suggests potential pullback with downside risk outweighing limited upside....
2025-12-17 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and tightly rangebound moving averages, preventing new entries despite price above both and some bullish MACD signals, while no high-confidence setups emerge from technicals or recent news. Technical indicators are mixed: RSI at 53.4 is neutral, MACD at 1.89 above its signal at 1.275 suggests some short-term bullishness, but Stochastic at 71.88/77.22 is not overbought, and Bollinger Bands indicate contraction with price near the upper band. No volume capitulation in the past two months, and historical patterns reveal volatility with frequent whipsaws in similar rangebound periods, as seen in September-October where entries led to modest gains but required patience amid pullbacks....
2025-12-15 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price in a choppy range after recent volatility, and no high-confidence setup for entry despite some recovery momentum....
2025-12-12 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and recent crossings, avoiding new entries while price consolidates above key supports around 161 and no immediate catalysts loom. Price remains above both averages, MACD is positive at 2.04 with histogram expanding, and RSI at 55.7 suggests neutral momentum without overbought risks. Support holds firm via a rising trendline at 161 from April lows, with additional backing at 141.3 tested multiple times—recent bounces align with historical patterns where SHOP rebounds from similar levels, as seen in May and October recoveries....
2025-12-11 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both and recent upward momentum, preventing new entries while no high-confidence setup justifies going long or short amid mixed indicators and no immediate catalysts....
2025-12-09 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price action showing consolidation without a clear breakout, prompting us to stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after reviewing past trades where we exited longs amid weakening momentum. MACD is positive at 0.7782 but weak, with RSI at 54.3 in neutral territory, and no volume capitulation in the past two months to justify buying a dip in a potential downtrend. From trade history, we've seen gains from longs in uptrends (e.g., 9/2 to 9/22 gain, 9/24 to 10/10 gain) but losses when momentum faded post-earnings or on pullbacks (e.g., 8/7 to 8/20 loss, 8/1 loss ahead of earnings), so we're avoiding repeats by waiting for a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, and upward slopes before entering long; shorts are not considered as SHOP isn't in a clear downtrend without recent capitulation and as a tech stock prone to positive catalysts. Simulating based on historical patterns, similar consolidation periods in early 2025 (e.g., January rangebound action) led to whipsaws if entered prematurely, with <50% win rate on comparable setups in the last 6 months, reinforcing cash position; for instance, post-November earnings drop mirrored August's weakening after initial gap-up, where we exited to preserve capital. Fundamentally, Shopify's strong e-commerce position with recent GMV growth and partnerships (e.g., ongoing integrations with platforms like TikTok or Amazon) could support upside, but technicals must align first—ignoring any unverified rumors. No unusual options activity or insider buys stand out in recent searches, and broader market factors like holiday retail strength might boost SHOP, but without technical confirmation, we stay sidelined for a high-confidence setup targeting multi-week holds. Upcoming earnings are estimated for mid-February 2026 (based on historical Q4 reporting around Feb 11-12), well beyond 3 days, with no major event catalysts in the next 3 days per latest checks—no conferences or filings noted. If a breakout above $163 occurs with volume, we'd reassess for long, but current risk/reward favors patience to avoid downside to $141 support.
2025-12-05 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and indicators showing sideways consolidation after a recent bounce, lacking a high-confidence setup for new long or short entry while we stay opportunistic for better opportunities....
2025-12-04 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite recent price bounce near resistance, while positive holiday sales news supports potential upside but technicals take priority. This setup mirrors past unclear trends where we avoided entries, like post-11/4 earnings weakness leading to no immediate re-entry. MACD is slightly positive at 0.0142 but with a negative signal line at -1.4132, suggesting emerging bullish momentum yet not a confirmed crossover. RSI at 56.61 indicates neutral conditions, not overbought, and volume on the up days (e.g., 5.58M on 12/3) is average, lacking conviction for a breakout....
2025-12-03 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA, tightly rangebound averages, frequent price crossings (3+ times in past month), and lack of volume capitulation or strong breakout confirmation for a high-confidence multi-week entry....
2025-12-02 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and both moving sideways without clear direction, avoiding new entries while price recovers near falling resistance at $159 without uptrend confirmation or volume capitulation to justify a long....
2025-12-01 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but both not decisively downward, price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent volatility suggesting potential whipsaw without high-confidence setup for long or short....
2025-11-28 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and no clear uptrend or downtrend signals, warranting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after the recent post-earnings volatility and recovery....
2025-11-26 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA after recent crossover, price testing falling resistance around 160 without breakout confirmation, and no volume capitulation or compelling catalysts to justify entry despite recent bounce from support....
2025-11-25 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price near falling resistance around 158, following a sharp post-earnings decline without volume capitulation, suggesting caution amid choppy action and bearish MACD....
2025-11-24 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price sandwiched between them without a decisive breakout, while recent bounce from support lacks volume confirmation for a sustainable uptrend, prompting staying in cash to await clearer direction. There's no volume capitulation flagged in the past two months to justify buying a dip in a potential downtrend, and the chart indicates resistance from falling trendlines around $157-160, which could cap upside. Support at $141.3 has held recently, but without stronger bullish signals like a MACD crossover above zero (current MACD -3.64, below signal) or RSI breaking overbought sustainably (RSI 50.83, neutral), the risk of whipsaw in this rangebound setup is high....
2025-11-21 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but not decisively downtrending, price below both averages, recent post-earnings volatility, and no high-confidence setup for entry despite potential holiday e-commerce boost....
2025-11-20 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA but both largely sideways and recently crossing, price below both after a sharp post-earnings drop, no volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry given support at 141.3 holding but resistance trendlines capping upside....
2025-11-19 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and recently crossing below while price remains below both after a post-earnings decline, prompting caution to avoid new entries despite potential holiday shopping catalysts....
2025-11-18 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and sideways over the past month, price below both following a post-earnings decline without volume capitulation, warranting caution and no new entry to avoid low-confidence setups like past losing trades on weakening momentum....
2025-11-17 CASH
Summary: SHOP's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but both declining and price below them, preventing new entries amid recent post-earnings weakness and lack of volume capitulation....
2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to unclear trend from frequent price crossings of EMA/SMA in the past month, recent sharp drop to 145.46 without volume capitulation, and price below both averages despite EMA still above SMA but starting to decline....
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price below EMA after recent post-earnings volatility, no volume capitulation, and earnings reported today pre-market with neutral surprise but negative reaction history, avoiding entry amid consolidation near support. RSI at 45.5 suggests neutral momentum, not oversold for a long dip buy, and MACD (0.2993) is weakly positive but converging, hinting at potential stall. Support at 141.3 has held historically with three bounces, but falling resistance trendlines around 168-170 cap upside, creating a rangebound setup prone to whipsaws as seen in past simulations (e.g., false rallies in September-October leading to pullbacks)....
2025-11-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below EMA despite recovery attempts post-earnings drop, and upcoming earnings on 11/12/2025 prevent new entries while no high-conviction setup justifies overriding caution after our recent exit on 11/4/2025....
2025-11-10 CASH
Summary: SHOP's recent post-earnings weakness has led to price consolidating below the EMA in an unclear trend, with no high-confidence setup for entry ahead of the next earnings on 11/12/2025. Technicals prioritize here: EMA (161.06) is above SMA (155.92), but price sits below the EMA, and the EMA has been flat to slightly declining over the last few bars, failing the strict uptrend definition (price must be above both, and both moving upward). No downtrend either, as EMA isn't below SMA and not clearly downward....
2025-11-07 CASH
Summary: After recent post-earnings drop, technical trend is unclear with price below EMA and SMA, and upcoming earnings on 11/12/2025 warrant staying in cash for a clearer setup....
2025-11-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with frequent EMA crossings and price below EMA after post-earnings volatility, plus upcoming earnings on 11/12/2025 requiring avoidance of holds through catalysts without meeting positive surprise criteria....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Recent post-earnings weakness on 11/4/2025 with a -6.94% reaction, bearish MACD crossover, and next earnings on 11/12/2025 preclude new entries to avoid holding through the catalyst amid minimum hold requirements, while the uptrend remains intact but lacks a high-confidence dip for long re-entry after our 11/4 exit at 160.94....
2025-11-04 SOLD
Summary: SHOP's post-earnings drop on 11/4/2025 with a -6.09% reaction, bearish MACD crossover, and failure to sustain above recent highs near 179 prompt an exit from the long position at around 162 to secure gains amid weakening momentum....
2025-11-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's strong uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, supportive e-commerce momentum, and earnings criteria met to hold through 11/4/2025, targeting resistance near 180-185. ...
2025-10-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's robust uptrend persists with price well above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, high volume on recent highs, supportive e-commerce trends amid holiday buildup, and earnings criteria met to hold through 11/4/2025....
2025-10-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs supported by high volume and positive MACD, favorable earnings history meeting criteria to hold through 11/4/2025, and e-commerce sector tailwinds from holiday season momentum....
2025-10-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's robust uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs on elevated volume, positive e-commerce sector momentum, and favorable earnings history supporting a hold through the 11/4/2025 report....
2025-10-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's strong uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent highs on high volume, positive earnings history allowing hold through 11/4/2025, and no immediate resistance for exit....
2025-10-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's robust uptrend continues with price well above rising EMA and SMA, strong momentum from recent highs, positive earnings history justifying hold through 11/4/2025, and no resistance triggers for exit....
2025-10-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, strong momentum from recent highs, positive earnings history supporting hold through 11/4/2025, and no clear exit triggers despite volatility....
2025-10-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains strong with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent breakout above 164 resistance on solid volume, positive earnings history allowing hold through 11/4/2025, and no compelling exit signals amid bullish momentum....
2025-10-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, recent recovery from 151 dip holding above key supports near 148-150, positive earnings history meeting hold criteria for 11/4/2025, and no urgent exit signals despite proximity to 164 resistance....
2025-10-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend continues with price above EMA/SMA and recent highs near 165 aligning with prior 170 target, supported by e-commerce growth and positive earnings history, justifying hold beyond minimum period without urgent exit near resistance....
2025-10-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent momentum from recovery and positive e-commerce sector news supporting hold past the 164 resistance target toward 170, with no urgent exit signals after 5-bar hold....
2025-10-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, positive recovery momentum from the recent drop, and no immediate catalysts warranting an exit, supporting a continued multi-week hold targeting resistance near 164....
2025-10-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD, recent recovery from the 10/10 drop, and strong e-commerce growth amid no near-term negative catalysts, justifying continued hold....
2025-10-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend continues with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD momentum, and recovery from recent dip, supported by strong e-commerce fundamentals and no immediate catalysts to exit early....
2025-10-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and recent recovery from a sharp drop, bolstered by e-commerce growth and AI initiatives, targeting resistance at 165-170 over the coming weeks....
2025-10-13 BUY
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, recent recovery from the sharp drop prompting our prior exit, supported by positive MACD and e-commerce sector momentum, justifying re-entry at a slightly higher but still favorable price for a multi-week hold targeting resistance near 165-170....
2025-10-10 SOLD
Summary: SHOP's sharp 7.6% intraday drop on high volume signals weakening momentum in the uptrend, failing to sustain above recent highs and prompting an exit from the long position entered at 148.83 to preserve gains amid potential further pullback toward 145 support....
2025-10-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's robust uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, recent highs on strong volume without reversal signals, and no imminent catalysts, supporting hold toward 170-175 resistance. No frequent EMA/SMA crossings or price whipsaws in the past month, and volume has been supportive during the recent push from 148.83 entry 11 bars ago, now up over 9%—echoing successful prior breakouts like the August gap-up that led to gains before a pullback....
2025-10-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, recent breakout to 167 highs on solid volume echoing prior successful patterns, no weakening signals or near-term catalysts warranting exit, targeting 170-175 resistance....
2025-10-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, recent high-volume push to 169 highs aligning with prior breakout patterns, no volume capitulation or immediate catalysts, supporting continued long hold from $148.83 targeting 170-175 resistance over multi-week horizon....
2025-10-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a robust uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD divergence, high-volume breakout to new highs near 165, and no immediate catalysts, justifying continued hold from $148.83 entry targeting resistance around 170-175....
2025-10-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's strong uptrend persists with price surging above EMA and SMA on high volume breakout to new highs around 162, positive MACD, and no near-term catalysts, supporting continued hold targeting higher resistance near 170-175 after exceeding prior 156-160 zone....
2025-10-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP continues its uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, holding above rising support near 141 after a bounce, positive MACD momentum, and no immediate earnings or catalysts, targeting resistance at 156-160....
2025-10-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent bounce from rising support at 141, positive MACD despite minor pullback signals, and no near-term earnings or catalysts, targeting resistance near 156-160 over the next few weeks....
2025-09-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, recent bounce from rising support near 140, positive MACD momentum despite crossover, and no immediate catalysts, targeting 156-160 resistance....
2025-09-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent close at 148.88 near rising support after pulling back from 157, positive MACD despite signal crossover, and no bearish reversal signals, targeting 156-160 resistance amid strong e-commerce momentum and no imminent catalysts....
2025-09-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend shows EMA above SMA with price near rising support at 140, positive MACD above zero despite bearish crossover, no volume capitulation or bearish reversal, targeting 160-165 resistance amid e-commerce growth and no imminent catalysts....
2025-09-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above SMA despite a short-term pullback below EMA, no clear bearish reversal, positive MACD still above zero, and holding near rising support around 140-143 targeting 160-165 resistance over weeks ahead....
2025-09-24 BUY
Summary: SHOP's clear uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, recent dip to support near 148 providing a high-confidence entry after our 9/22 exit at 157, supported by positive MACD and e-commerce sector momentum, targeting resistance around 160-165 over multi-week hold....
2025-09-23 CASH
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, but today's sharp pullback from highs near resistance without clear volume support or new catalysts suggests waiting for stabilization before re-entering long....
2025-09-22 SOLD
Summary: SHOP has reached the targeted resistance zone around 155-160 amid a sustained uptrend with price above EMA/SMA and positive MACD, but with RSI at 70.9 signaling potential overbought conditions, prompting an exit from the long position entered at 139.04 to secure profits after a 14-bar hold. Volume has been supportive during the recent climb, and MACD remains positive at 4.30 with the line above the signal, indicating continued momentum. However, the price is now testing the upper end of the 155-160 resistance area mentioned in the prior entry rationale, which aligns with recent highs from mid-August, suggesting a logical point to take profits rather than risk a pullback....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, and no immediate catalysts, targeting resistance near 155-160 while holding above key support at 143....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, holding key support near 143, and bullish momentum from e-commerce growth, targeting 155-160 resistance without near-term catalysts....
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD despite minor dip, holding above key support near 141, and potential to test 155-160 resistance amid ongoing e-commerce momentum and no near-term catalysts....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a clear uptrend with price above both rising EMA and SMA, positive momentum despite minor MACD dip, no breakdowns below key support around 140-141, and the position from 139.04 has room to reach 155-160 target amid e-commerce sector strength....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, no breakdowns below key support near 140, positive momentum indicators, and no immediate catalysts or news warranting an exit from the ongoing long position entered at 139.04 targeting 155-160....
2025-09-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, holding above key support near 140, positive momentum in RSI/MACD without divergences, and no immediate catalysts warranting exit after 7 bars from 139.04 entry targeting 155-160....
2025-09-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent closes holding above rising support near 138-140, no bearish divergences in RSI/MACD, and positive e-commerce momentum supporting hold from 139.04 targeting 155-160....
2025-09-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive momentum from recent highs, no imminent catalysts or bearish signals, supporting holding the long position from 139.04 targeting 155-160 amid strong technicals and e-commerce sector tailwinds....
2025-09-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, no bearish signals or imminent catalysts, and positive momentum from recent highs supporting holding the long position from 139.04 targeting 155-160....
2025-09-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout above 141 resistance on solid volume, and no imminent catalysts, supporting holding the existing long from 139.04 for further gains toward 155-160 amid positive e-commerce sector momentum....
2025-09-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, breaking above prior resistance near 141 to close at 145.07 on increasing volume, supporting holding the existing long from 139.04 for further multi-week gains toward 155 amid positive e-commerce momentum and no near-term catalysts....
2025-09-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent close at 139.82 testing but holding near falling resistance around 141, supporting holding the existing long from 139.04 for multi-week upside toward 150 amid no immediate catalysts....
2025-09-02 BUY
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains strong with price above EMA and SMA, and today's hammer candle after dipping to 133.4 near rising support signals a high-confidence long entry for a multi-week hold targeting resistance around 142-150....
2025-08-29 CASH
Summary: SHOP's clear uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, but current positioning near the top of a short-term range around 140-143, combined with bearish MACD crossover and recent trade losses on similar post-earnings pullbacks, favors staying in cash to await a better dip entry for a multi-week hold....
2025-08-28 CASH
Summary: SHOP's clear uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, but lacking a fresh dip for entry after recent exit on weakening signals, combined with bearish MACD and no immediate catalysts, warrants staying in cash for a higher-confidence long setup. However, following the exit on 8/20 at 137.29 due to a bearish MACD crossover and failure to hold post-earnings momentum, the current price represents a partial recovery rather than a new dip, making it a suboptimal entry point—erring on missing the trade to avoid buying mid-range....
2025-08-27 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the uptrend shows weakening signals with MACD below signal line and recent pullback similar to the one that prompted our exit on 8/20/2025 at $137.29, without a much better entry price or compelling new information to justify quick re-entry....
2025-08-26 CASH
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, but bearish MACD crossover, recent post-earnings pullback pattern repeating with stagnant price action around 140, and no compelling new catalysts or volume support for immediate re-entry after the 8/20 exit justify staying in cash to avoid repeating past losses on similar weakening setups....
2025-08-25 CASH
Summary: Recent exit from long position on weakening technicals, combined with bearish MACD crossover and lack of compelling new catalysts, warrants staying in cash to avoid premature re-entry at a higher price....
2025-08-22 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after recent exit from long position on 8/20/2025 at $137.29 amid weakening post-earnings momentum, as re-entering quickly lacks a significantly better price or new compelling catalyst despite current uptrend with price above EMA/SMA....
2025-08-21 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after recent exit as the uptrend shows weakening with MACD bearish crossover and no strong reversal confirmation despite the hammer candle, avoiding quick re-entry without a much better setup....
2025-08-20 SOLD
Summary: SHOP's post-earnings uptrend is weakening with a sustained multi-day pullback below the entry price, bearish MACD crossover, and failure to reach the $160-165 resistance target, prompting an exit from the long position at around $137.60 to lock in the current state and wait for a clearer high-confidence setup....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and a recent pullback presenting a dip-buying opportunity in the ongoing post-earnings momentum, holding the long position from $151.07 targeting $160-165 resistance....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and no breakdowns or upcoming catalysts to justify exiting the long position entered at $151.07, targeting $160-165 resistance....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and no breakdowns or catalysts warranting exit from the long at $151.07, targeting $160-165 resistance despite recent pullback....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and no immediate catalysts or breakdowns justifying an exit from the long position entered at $151.07 targeting $160-165 resistance....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA following the earnings gap-up, positive MACD, and support near $151 holding firm, justifying continued long hold from $151.07 targeting $160-165 resistance. Volume has been supportive during the recent pullback, and there's no volume capitulation to signal a reversal. Indicators like MACD at 8.8872 (positive and rising) and RSI at 70.52 suggest bullish momentum with room before overbought levels, while Slow STO K/D at 84.31/81.44 indicates sustained buying pressure....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA after earnings-driven gap up, positive MACD divergence, and no clear reversal despite minor pullback from highs, supporting continued hold of the long position entered at $151.07 on 8/7/2025 targeting resistance around 160-165....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP's uptrend remains intact with price above rising EMA and SMA post-earnings gap, positive MACD, and no reversal signals, supporting holding the long position from 8/7/2025 at $151.07 targeting resistance near 160 despite minor pullback....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a strong uptrend post-earnings with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and no signs of reversal, supporting holding the long position entered at $151.07 on 8/7/2025 targeting resistance around 160 over the next few weeks....
2025-08-07 BUY
Summary: SHOP's strong Q2 earnings beat on August 6, 2025, drove a massive gap up, confirming an uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and high volume, supporting a long entry for a multi-week hold targeting resistance near 160....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: SHOP's massive post-earnings gap up to 154 on strong Q2 results confirms an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price well above both, but entry here risks chasing highs without a dip, especially after our recent exit at a loss lower....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash to avoid entering a position right before Shopify's Q2 earnings on August 6, 2025, despite the clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, as the stock is nearing resistance around $129 with mixed analyst sentiment and no volume capitulation to signal a reversal, plus our recent exit at a loss advises patience for a better entry post-catalyst....
2025-08-04 CASH
Summary: SHOP's clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA supports holding off for now due to upcoming Q2 earnings on August 6, 2025, avoiding entry right before the catalyst despite positive news on merchant adoption and recent price bounce to 124.74....
2025-08-01 SOLD
Summary: SHOP's uptrend weakened with price dipping below the EMA on a down day ahead of earnings on August 6, 2025, prompting an exit from the long position to avoid holding through the catalyst amid softening technicals....
2025-07-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP maintains a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by recent analyst upgrades to $145, bullish unusual options activity, and positive sentiment, justifying holding the long position through the upcoming earnings on August 6, 2025, as technicals remain strong without signs of breakdown....
2025-07-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP continues in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, bolstered by recent analyst price target increases to $145 and bullish unusual options activity, while positive sentiment from X posts and a breakout holding above $120 support holding the long position ahead of earnings on August 6, 2025....
2025-07-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive analyst upgrades to targets like $145 and bullish sentiment from recent X posts, while the breakout above $120 holds firm despite a minor pullback, justifying holding through the upcoming earnings on August 6, 2025....
2025-07-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, pulling back modestly from recent highs near $129 but holding above key support around $120 amid positive analyst updates and upcoming earnings momentum....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by recent analyst upgrades, positive earnings expectations for August 6, and no trend invalidation despite a minor pullback from highs....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, recent pullback finding support near rising trendline at $116 while positive analyst price targets like KeyBanc's $145 and expected Q2 earnings beat on August 6 provide catalyst for multi-week upside despite short-term dip below entry....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback from highs appears as a dip to buy supported by positive analyst upgrades and earnings expectations, holding through Aug 6 earnings due to strong momentum and historical post-earnings gains....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: SHOP remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive analyst price targets and upcoming earnings not within 3 days, justifying holding the long position despite today's pullback for a multi-week horizon....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding LONG in SHOP as it closes slightly higher at 127.07 from entry at 126.75, with bullish momentum from positive MACD divergence, RSI at 69 showing room to run, high volume on breakout, and supportive e-commerce sector strength amid recent AI partnership news....
2025-07-17 BUY
Summary: SHOP is breaking out to new highs above $120 on increasing volume and positive MACD crossover, with RSI at 68 indicating room for upside, while e-commerce sector strength and recent partnership rumors support a multi-week hold....