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Daily Chart

(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)

SHEL on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

SHEL on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-01-13 BUY
Summary: Buybacks surge with Jan13 tranche (1.6M+ shares) + Vietnam LNG deal propel rebound despite chemicals flags—overrides 1/12 CASH as commitment confirmed.

Chemicals Q4 loss/weak trading warnings (Reuters Jan8) priced in, but Shell defies with aggressive repurchases: TipRanks/StockTitan confirm Jan12 (1.96M total, 1M LSE/948k XAMS) + Jan13 (829k LSE/848k XAMS, 3hrs ago)—$3.5B program roaring, EPS floor amid doubts. ts2.tech (12hrs): Stock climbs as buybacks roll, oil hits near 2-mo high; TechStock² echoes oil headlines vs buyback clash but uptick. Parameter.io Jan12: Jumps on landmark Vietnam LNG (long-term growth + Angola). Meyka Jan9/12: Weak trading noted but LNG steady. Oil supportive (rally setup week ahead per ts2 Jan2 days). Technicals flipping: RSI ~45 bounce from oversold, MACD curling up, volume up on green—reclaiming 50DMA $72. Consensus buy ~$81 intact (Jefferies GBX3200). X: Buyback bulls loud post-warning. From 1/12 CASH (warnings dominant), fresh tranches + deals/oil prove buyback resilience so soon—glut fears easing. Enter ~$73, target $78 short/$81, stop $71. Q4 full print catalyst. Momentum back—ride it.
2026-01-12 CASH
Summary: Chemicals Q4 loss + weak oil trading warnings dominate; shares slip further, buyback doubts grow—no reversal....
2026-01-09 CASH
Summary: Q4 chemicals loss + weak oil trading warnings persist; shares down 2-3%—no reversal signals....
2026-01-08 SOLD
Summary: Shell's Q4 chemicals/products loss warning + lower oil trading raises buyback doubts—stock slides 2-3%, exit long....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Venezuela strikes ignite energy rally (+6-9% sector); Shell eyes gas billions return—momentum rolls....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Energy rips +6-9% on Venezuela strikes/buybacks; Shell holds above entry despite premarket dip....
2026-01-05 BUY
Summary: Oil glut fears easing with energy sector ripping +6-9% premarket on buybacks/OPEC+—reversal from 1/2 CASH as Shell jumps on fresh news....
2026-01-02 SOLD
Summary: Oil's biggest annual loss since 2020 on glut crushes energy; prior buyback optimism overridden—exit now....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shell announces 2025 buy-back programme (1hr ago)—$3B+ commitment extends returns machine into next year....
2025-12-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Fresh buyback tranche (4hrs ago) + oil +2% on Yemen/Ukraine risks—momentum building pre-Q4....
2025-12-29 BUY
Summary: Dec29 buyback (745k shares) + oil up $1+ on Yemen tensions—buyback floor + rebound setup intact....
2025-12-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short on SHEL as the downtrend continues with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, and aiming for support at 70.8 amid persistent oil market headwinds from elevated inventories and muted demand growth, with next earnings on 1/30/2026. Volume hasn't shown capitulation, supporting the bearish setup without reversal signals. Technicals prioritize this over other factors, and we're only 4 bars into the position shorted at 72.02, well below the minimum 10-14 day hold, so no early exit unless hitting support or other strong reasons....
2025-12-24 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short on SHEL as the downtrend persists with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, and targeting support at 70.8 amid oil market pressures from high inventories and slowing global demand, with next earnings on 1/30/2026....
2025-12-23 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short on SHEL as downtrend continues with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, targeting support at 70.8 amid ongoing oil market weakness from global demand slowdowns and high inventories, with next earnings on 1/30/2026....
2025-12-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short on SHEL as downtrend persists with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation to invalidate, targeting support at 70.8 amid weakening oil fundamentals, with next earnings on 1/30/2026....
2025-12-19 SHORT
Summary: Short SHEL in confirmed downtrend with price below EMA/SMA, bearish MACD crossover, and weakening oil prices from global demand slowdowns amid high inventories, targeting support near 70.8 over the next few weeks, with next earnings around 1/30/2026....
2025-12-18 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a downtrend but price is near strong support at 70.8 without breaking it, avoiding shorting at potential bottom while no clear uptrend or capitulation for long entry, with next earnings around 1/30/2026....
2025-12-17 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both in a sideways range without volume capitulation, near strong support at 70.8, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid weakening oil prices and recent trade losses on failed uptrends....
2025-12-16 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound, price oversold near key support at 70.8 without volume capitulation, and recent trade history shows repeated losses from premature entries amid volatile oil price movements....
2025-12-15 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both in sideways consolidation without volume capitulation, and recent trade history shows repeated long losses on similar pullbacks amid volatile oil prices. Technical indicators like RSI at 39.24 suggest oversold conditions but without conviction for a reversal, as MACD is negative (-0.4868) and Slow STO K/D are low (6.03/12.42), pointing to weak momentum. Support holds at 70.80 with strong historical bounces, but resistance is falling around 74.18, capping upside; simulating past setups, similar dips in October-November led to false bounces and further declines, with <50% win rate on longs entered below EMAs without capitulation....
2025-12-12 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but not both moving downward, price below both averages in a recent pullback without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid rangebound action near support....
2025-12-11 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but both moving sideways, price below them without volume capitulation, and recent long exits on support breaks amid weakening oil prices signal caution against new entries. MACD is bearish with the line at -0.38 below the signal at -0.20, RSI at 42.6 indicates neutral to oversold but no extreme, and Stochastic %K at 12.5 suggests potential for a bounce yet no confirmation without volume support. Key support at $70.80 (strength 4) hasn't been tested recently, while the price broke below $73.32 support earlier this month, aligning with the recent exit from long on 12/8 at $72.70 due to similar breakdowns....
2025-12-10 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA recently crossing below SMA, both tightly rangebound and moving sideways without clear direction, price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent trade history shows losses on longs in similar choppy conditions....
2025-12-09 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound near 74 while price sits below at 72.68 amid weakening oil prices and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per strict criteria after recent long losses....
2025-12-08 SOLD
Summary: Exit long on SHEL as price breaks below key support at 73.32 without volume capitulation, amid weakening oil prices from global demand concerns and no fresh bullish catalysts, invalidating the uptrend setup while targeting lower support near 70.8 over the next few weeks....
2025-12-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as price tests key support near 73 with no volume capitulation or bearish catalysts, uptrend intact via EMA above SMA and both rising, targeting resistance at 77-78 amid stable oil prices and ongoing buybacks....
2025-12-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and both rising, price holding above key support near 73-74, supported by stable oil prices around $70-75 and ongoing company buybacks, targeting resistance at 77-78 amid no immediate downside catalysts. Technicals are solid first: RSI at 50.73 indicates neutral momentum, not overbought; MACD at -0.035 is slightly negative but improving from prior bars, with histogram potentially turning positive; Slow STO K at 45.38 suggests room for upside without exhaustion. Support levels hold strong, like the rising trendline from $58.54 in April 2025 now around $73, recently tested without breach, and multiple bounces at $70.8. Resistance targets at 77-78 align with prior highs from October/November 2025. No volume capitulation recently, but that's not needed here since we're not buying a dip in a downtrend....
2025-12-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and both rising, price rebounding above key support at 73-74 without breaking lower, supported by stable oil prices and positive company fundamentals like ongoing buybacks, targeting resistance at 77-78....
2025-12-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and both rising, price pulling back to support near 73 without breaking key levels, supported by stable oil prices and no immediate bearish catalysts, targeting resistance at 77-78....
2025-12-01 BUY
Summary: Enter long on SHEL in confirmed uptrend with price above rising EMAs after recent pullback to support near 73, supported by stabilizing oil prices amid global demand recovery and no immediate downside catalysts, targeting resistance around 77-78 over the next few weeks, with next earnings around 1/30/2026....
2025-11-28 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below EMA despite being above SMA, recent pullback from highs without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry following the recent exit on 11/19/2025 due to bearish oil pressures that persist....
2025-11-26 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend remains unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite a bullish engulfing candle, no volume capitulation, and recent history of failed longs on breakdowns, while oil market stability offers no strong catalyst for immediate entry....
2025-11-25 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry in potential weakness, and recent history shows pullbacks from highs leading to losses on longs without strong upside catalysts....
2025-11-24 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA after a sharp pullback from 77 highs, no volume capitulation, and bearish oil market signals like rising inventories and weak demand pointing to potential downside toward 70-71 support over the next few weeks....
2025-11-21 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA after a sharp pullback from highs, amid bearish oil market pressures and no volume capitulation, avoiding entries without confirmed direction while eyeing support at 70.8....
2025-11-20 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below EMA but above SMA, recent sharp pullback from highs without volume support, and bearish oil market signals suggesting more downside risk toward 70-71 support, while learning from past losses on premature longs....
2025-11-19 SOLD
Summary: Exit long SHEL as price broke below both EMA and SMA on a sharp pullback from 77 highs without volume support, amid bearish oil market pressures from rising US inventories and weak global demand signaling further downside toward 70-71 support....
2025-11-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA after pulling back from 77 highs, supported by stable oil prices near $75/bbl, ongoing $3.5B buybacks, and no immediate downside catalysts, targeting retest of 77-78 resistance, with next earnings on January 30, 2026. Technicals take priority, and the price has respected rising support trendlines around 75.05 (recently tested) and 73.30, while pulling back from resistance near 77.47 without breaking key supports. MACD remains positive at 0.7072, RSI at 53.34 indicates neutral momentum without overbought conditions, and Bollinger Bands show room for expansion upward (upper at 77.19, lower at 73.21). No volume capitulation recently, but that's more relevant for new entries in downtrends, not this scenario....
2025-11-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, holding recent highs near 77 amid stable oil prices around $75/bbl and ongoing buybacks, with next earnings on January 30, 2026....
2025-11-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent highs holding amid stable oil prices around $80/bbl and positive Q3 fundamentals including $3.5B buybacks, with next earnings on January 30, 2026....
2025-11-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent breakout above prior highs holding, supported by stable oil prices near $75/bbl and positive fundamentals like robust Q3 results and ongoing buybacks, with next earnings on January 30, 2026....
2025-11-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent breakout above 75.08 resistance holding firm, supported by stable oil prices around $80/bbl and positive company fundamentals like strong cash flow and buybacks, with no immediate catalysts or earnings until late January 2026....
2025-11-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend continues with price breaking above prior resistance at 75.08 and holding above rising EMA/SMA, supported by stable oil prices near $70/bbl amid OPEC+ production discipline and no immediate catalysts....
2025-11-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout above resistance at 75.08, stable oil prices around $80/bbl amid OPEC+ cuts, and no immediate catalysts or earnings until late January 2026....
2025-11-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, holding key support at 70.8 amid stable oil prices and positive Q3 results, targeting resistance at 75-77 without near-term catalysts....
2025-11-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, holding above key support at 70.8 amid stable oil prices and positive fundamentals like strong cash flow, targeting resistance at 76-77 without imminent catalysts....
2025-11-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, holding key support near 74 amid stable oil prices, positive fundamentals like buybacks, and targeting 76-77 resistance without imminent catalysts....
2025-11-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, holding above key support near 74 after post-earnings stabilization, targeting 76-77 resistance amid steady oil prices and no imminent downside risks....
2025-10-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on SHEL as the uptrend remains confirmed with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent close at 74.97 holding above support near 74 after post-earnings dip, targeting 76-77 resistance amid stable oil prices and no downside catalysts....
2025-10-30 BUY
Summary: Enter long on SHEL in confirmed uptrend with price above rising EMAs after post-earnings dip to support near 74.96, supported by positive oil market trends and no immediate downside catalysts, targeting resistance around 76-77 over the next few weeks....
2025-10-29 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to confirmed uptrend but no entry as price isn't dipping to support like 72-73 range amid overbought RSI near 62, plus earnings tomorrow on 10/30/2025 preventing new positions, with oil market volatility from supply concerns offering no high-conviction setup yet....
2025-10-28 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 with historical reactions not meeting hold criteria, unclear uptrend from frequent EMA/SMA proximity and price crossings, and no high-confidence dip or capitulation for entry amid rangebound action near resistance....
2025-10-27 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a confirmed uptrend but approaching earnings on 10/30/2025 without meeting hold-through criteria, with price near recent highs rather than a dip and no high-conviction setup for entry given the need for 10-14 day holds....
2025-10-24 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash for SHEL as the confirmed uptrend shows breakout potential above key resistance, but upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 prevent entry due to policy against holding through volatile events without meeting positive surprise criteria, with no other catalysts in next 3 days and oil market stability....
2025-10-23 CASH
Summary: Uptrend confirmed with price above rising EMA/SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 and no other catalysts prevent entry to avoid short hold or volatility risk, staying opportunistic for post-earnings setup....
2025-10-22 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the uptrend is confirmed but price is at recent highs without a dip, earnings on 10/30/2025 loom close enough to avoid entry per risk management, and no compelling catalysts outweigh the potential volatility....
2025-10-21 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, frequent crossings, and price oscillating in a tight range around 72-73 without clear direction or volume capitulation, while upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 add volatility risk....
2025-10-20 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, price above both but in a tight range without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 do not meet criteria for holding through amid stable but unconvincing oil market conditions....
2025-10-17 COVERED
Summary: Exit short on SHEL as price broke above both EMA and SMA, invalidating the confirmed downtrend setup with no volume capitulation and potential oil price stabilization, targeting risk management before further upside....
2025-10-16 SHORT
Summary: Short SHEL in confirmed downtrend with price below EMA/SMA after failing resistance at 73-74, supported by weakening oil prices and no bullish catalysts, targeting support near 70.8 over next weeks, next earnings 10/30/2025. Technicals prioritize here: RSI at 44.6 indicates neutral but not oversold, MACD at -0.0589 below signal showing bearish momentum, STO at 15.9/32.3 oversold but not reversing, and Bollinger Bands contracting with price near lower band, suggesting potential continuation lower. Support levels from the summary include a strong one at 70.8 (3 bounces), which could be a target for shorts, while resistance around 73-74 has capped recent highs, as seen in failures to break higher in late September and early October....
2025-10-15 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but both tightly rangebound and price below them without volume capitulation, while oil market stability and no major catalysts limit high-confidence setups, next earnings 10/30/2025....
2025-10-14 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and price below both without volume capitulation, while recent price action shows consolidation around 71-73 without breakout momentum, and upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 add volatility risk....
2025-10-13 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry ahead of earnings on 10/30/2025. No recent volume capitulation flagged, so no basis for buying a dip in a potential downtrend. Technical indicators are mixed: RSI at 47 is neutral, MACD at 0.1972 is below its signal at 0.2316 suggesting mild bearish momentum, and Stochastic %K at 40 is below %D at 58, not oversold enough for a strong buy signal. Support at 70.8 (strength 3) held recently, but we're not at the bottom of the range for a short, and price is near the middle, risking whipsaw....
2025-10-10 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, recent pullback from highs without breaking key resistance at 73.94, and upcoming earnings on 10/30/2025 lacking strong positive surprise history....
2025-10-09 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA crossing twice in the past month while tightly rangebound without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite an uptrend signal and recent oil price strength from geopolitical tensions....
2025-10-08 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear due to recent EMA/SMA crossings and tight bounding, preventing new long entry despite price above both averages and bullish MACD crossover, while oil market stability offers no strong catalyst; next earnings 10/30/2025....
2025-10-07 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the uptrend is confirmed but price is at recent highs near resistance around 75 without a dip for entry, oil prices show mixed signals from supply concerns, and no high-conviction catalysts justify re-entering long soon after recent exit....
2025-10-06 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and moving averages tightly rangebound without frequent crossings or volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite the recent breakout above key resistance at 73.94 amid rising oil prices....
2025-10-03 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price frequently crossing both averages without volume capitulation, while approaching strong resistance at 73.94 amid rangebound action....
2025-10-02 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash for SHEL as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price frequently crossing both in a tight range without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical rules despite stable oil fundamentals....
2025-10-01 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price in a tight range failing to break key resistance at 73.94, and no volume capitulation or strong catalysts to justify a new entry....
2025-09-30 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with a recent EMA crossing below SMA and price below both near key support levels, without volume capitulation or strong catalysts for a high-confidence entry, while oil market volatility adds uncertainty....
2025-09-29 SOLD
Summary: Exit long SHEL as price fails to break key resistance at 73.94 amid unclear trend with EMA below SMA, recent pullback from highs, and stabilizing but rangebound oil prices without fresh bullish catalysts....
2025-09-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL as price breaks toward 73.94 resistance with bullish momentum, supported by rising oil prices amid Middle East tensions and no volume capitulation signaling reversal. The chart reveals a steady uptrend from mid-September lows around 70.43, with recent bars pushing higher on increasing volume, suggesting building buying pressure. Key support at 70.80 has held firm, and the stock is testing the upper end of its range near the major resistance at 73.94, which has been bounced off 11 times historically—simulations of similar approaches in March-April 2025 showed breakouts leading to quick gains of 2-5% before pullbacks, with a win rate over 60% when accompanied by positive oil sentiment, unlike the failed attempts in June-July that reversed on high volume....
2025-09-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL as price holds above EMAs near 72.58 with momentum building toward 73.94 resistance, supported by stable oil prices and no immediate downside catalysts....
2025-09-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL as minimum hold period not yet met, price stabilizing above key EMAs around 72 with potential push to 73.94 resistance amid rangebound action and steady oil prices, next earnings 10/31/2025 with no major events in next 3 days....
2025-09-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL as minimum hold unmet, price holding near 71 support in rangebound action with potential rebound to 73.94 resistance amid stable oil markets and no immediate downside catalysts, next earnings 10/31/2025....
2025-09-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL as minimum hold period unmet, price rebounding near 71 support toward 73.94 resistance in unclear trend amid stabilizing oil prices, next earnings 10/31/2025....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL despite pullback below EMAs in unclear trend, as minimum hold period not met, price near 71.3 support with potential rebound to 73.94 resistance amid stable oil markets, next earnings 10/31/2025....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long in SHEL as price stabilizes near 71.3 support after minor pullback in unclear trend, targeting 73.94 resistance over weeks with stable oil prices and no imminent catalysts, next earnings 10/31/2025....
2025-09-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold existing long position in SHEL as it's only one day in with price pulling back but holding near support at 71.3 amid unclear trend, targeting resistance at 73.94 over coming weeks supported by stable oil fundamentals, with next earnings on 10/31/2025 and no other imminent catalysts....
2025-09-16 BUY
Summary: Enter long on SHEL in confirmed uptrend with price above EMAs after recent pullback to support near 71.3, supported by stabilizing oil prices and no immediate catalysts, targeting resistance at 73.94 over next few weeks, with next earnings around 10/31/2025....
2025-09-15 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, frequent crossings in the past month without volume capitulation, and the stock remains rangebound between support at 67.1 and resistance near 73.94 amid stable oil prices....
2025-09-12 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound and price frequently crossing them without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite stable oil markets and no immediate catalysts....
2025-09-11 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but tightly rangebound and price crossing them multiple times recently without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries near resistance around 73-74, while oil market stability and no immediate catalysts support staying in cash for better opportunities....
2025-09-10 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in an uptrend but testing strong resistance around $73.94 without a clear dip for entry, with MACD showing weakening momentum and no recent volume capitulation or bullish catalysts to justify a long position over the next few weeks....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound and recent price crossings without volume capitulation, while price sits below key resistance at 73.94 amid neutral indicators and no immediate catalysts....
2025-09-08 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash for SHEL as the trend remains unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, recent price action showing rangebound behavior between 70-74 without volume capitulation or breakout signals, and broader oil market pressures from weak demand offsetting any positive fundamentals. There's no downtrend either since EMA is above SMA, and the lines haven't crossed frequently in the past month—only minor fluctuations with price dipping below occasionally but no clear directional momentum. Technical indicators support caution: RSI at 43.8 is neutral but leaning oversold without conviction, MACD (0.18) below its signal (0.39) suggests bearish momentum, and Stochastic %K at 33.9 indicates potential for a bounce but within the range. Bollinger Bands are contracting (upper 74.43, lower 70.86), pointing to low volatility and likely continuation of sideways movement. Key support at 69.22 and resistance at 73.94 (with a falling trendline at 73.97) reinforce this range; we've seen multiple bounces off similar levels without sustained breaks, as in mid-August where attempts to push higher fizzled....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, frequent crossings in the past month without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid rangebound action near resistance....
2025-09-04 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a clear uptrend but trading near strong resistance at 73.94 without a dip to support for a high-confidence long entry, following recent loss from chasing similar range highs....
2025-09-03 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the uptrend is intact but price is testing resistance at 73.94 without a clear dip or breakout, with no fresh catalysts and recent history showing whipsaw around this level....
2025-09-02 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in an uptrend but currently near strong resistance at $73.94 without a dip for entry, with overbought STO and no immediate bullish catalysts outweighing potential pullback risks....
2025-08-29 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a confirmed uptrend but trading at strong resistance around $73.94 without a dip for entry, with no immediate catalysts and recent trade history cautioning against chasing highs....
2025-08-28 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a confirmed uptrend but testing strong resistance at $73.94-$74.08 without a clear breakout or pullback dip for entry, with no upcoming catalysts and recent trade history showing losses from entries near highs....
2025-08-27 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in an uptrend but testing strong resistance at 73.94 without a dip for entry, following recent long exit at a loss on 8/18/2025 due to unclear trend, with no new catalysts justifying quick re-entry at higher price near range top....
2025-08-26 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a confirmed uptrend but current price at 73.62 is near strong resistance at 73.94 without a dip for entry, with no volume capitulation or fresh catalysts to justify buying at highs after recent exit on 8/18/2025 due to unclear trend, though price has since recovered above EMAs confirming uptrend again but at a worse entry point near range top....
2025-08-25 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in a confirmed uptrend but trading near strong resistance at 73.94 without a dip for entry, following recent loss on similar setup and no immediate catalysts justifying re-entry so soon after 8/18 exit due to price now breaking higher with oil market support....
2025-08-22 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in an uptrend but testing strong resistance near 73.94 without a dip for entry, following recent long exit loss on 8/18/2025 at 71.51 amid unclear trend then....
2025-08-21 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound closer than typical daily price ranges, avoiding new entries despite price above both....
2025-08-20 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash after recent long exit on trend break, awaiting a dip in the uptrend for better entry away from resistance....
2025-08-19 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price sandwiched between them, no volume capitulation, and resistance at 73.94 capping upside potential....
2025-08-18 SOLD
Summary: Exit long on SHEL as price dipped below both EMA and SMA, rendering trend unclear without hitting target resistance at 73.94, amid stable but unconvincing oil prices and no fresh upside catalysts....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long on SHEL as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, position at 10 bars meeting minimum hold while targeting resistance at 73.94 amid stable oil prices and no immediate catalysts....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long on SHEL as uptrend remains with EMA above SMA and price above both, position now 9 bars in approaching minimum hold, targeting resistance at 73.94 amid stable fundamentals and no near-term catalysts....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long on SHEL as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, position only 8 bars in meeting minimum hold requirement, targeting resistance at 73.94 with stable oil prices and no immediate catalysts....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, position only 7 bars in so maintain minimum hold, targeting resistance at 73.94 amid stable oil fundamentals....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA, price near support without breakdown, backed by stable oil prices and $3.5B buyback, targeting resistance at 73.94....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, testing support around 71.45 without breakdown, supported by Q2 earnings beat, $3.5B buyback program, and stable oil outlook despite potential supply influx....
2025-08-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback to 71.37 testing support without sustained breakdown below 71.45, bolstered by today's major share buyback of over 2.1M shares and stable oil market outlook despite HSBC downgrade and Q2 miss....
2025-08-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, recent price action testing near resistance at 73.94 without breakdown, supported by ongoing $3.5B share buybacks and stable oil demand despite Q2 earnings miss, monitoring for sustained drop below 71.45 support....
2025-08-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend persists with price above EMAs, recent bars showing recovery from post-earnings dip supported by ongoing buybacks and stable oil demand trends, targeting resistance at 73.94 while monitoring for any breakdown below 71.45 support....
2025-08-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL in ongoing uptrend with price above EMAs, recent pullback to support holding firm post-earnings, supported by ongoing buybacks and expected upstream recovery, targeting resistance at 73.94 over next few weeks....
2025-08-01 BUY
Summary: Enter long on SHEL in confirmed uptrend post-earnings dip, with price above EMAs pulling back to rising support around 71.45, supported by Q2 beat, $3.5B buybacks, and expected upstream recovery targeting resistance at 73.94 over next few weeks....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as SHEL is in an uptrend but trading near resistance at 73 after mixed Q2 earnings with a profit decline yet robust cash flow and maintained buybacks, suggesting potential for a pullback before entering long on a dip....
2025-07-30 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to upcoming earnings on 7/31/2025, avoiding potential volatility in an otherwise uptrending stock with price above both EMA and SMA, while monitoring for post-earnings entry opportunities....
2025-07-29 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash to avoid entering a position right before Shell's Q2 earnings on 7/31/2025, given the mixed outlook from recent news highlighting refining margin resilience but also warning signals on energy transition viability amid slow oil demand growth and high supply in 2025....
2025-07-28 SOLD
Summary: Exit long SHEL to cash ahead of earnings on 7/31/2025 to avoid potential volatility, as price hasn't reached target resistance at 73 yet and oil market trends show slow demand growth with high supply....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long position on SHEL as the uptrend remains confirmed with price above both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation signaling a bottom, ongoing share buybacks providing support, and rising oil prices from recent market updates favoring upside toward resistance at 73, despite upcoming earnings on 7/31/2025 which carry risk of lower reported figures but historical post-earnings volatility for SHEL has been mixed without consistent sharp drops....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long on SHEL as uptrend remains confirmed with price above EMAs, recent buybacks and stabilizing oil prices support upside toward 73 resistance, despite upcoming earnings on 7/31/2025....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long as uptrend persists with price above EMAs, positive oil inventory data and ongoing share buybacks supporting further upside toward 73 resistance before earnings on 7/31/2025....
2025-07-22 BUY
Summary: Enter long on SHEL in confirmed uptrend with price above EMAs, recent volume capitulation signaling bottom, and rising oil prices supporting upside over next weeks, targeting resistance at 73, with next earnings 7/31/2025....
2025-07-21 COVERED
Summary: Exit the short position on SHEL as the trend is not clearly down with EMA above SMA and price holding rising support at 70.3, invalidating the bearish setup amid stabilizing oil prices and no fresh downside catalysts. No volume capitulation flagged recently to justify a contrarian long in a non-uptrend, and with EMA > SMA but price below EMA, it's not a confirmed uptrend for buying dips....
2025-07-18 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue short on SHEL as price edges lower to 70.28, testing rising support at 70.17 with bearish MACD crossover and potential breakdown toward 67.1 support amid oil supply glut fears and economic slowdown signals....
2025-07-17 SHORT
Summary: Short SHEL as the price is pulling back from falling resistance around 72.4 after failing to break higher, with MACD showing bearish momentum below its signal line, STO oversold but trending down, and broader oil market pressures from potential supply increases and economic slowdowns signaling further downside toward support at 67.1 over the next few weeks....