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The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

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Daily Chart

(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-09-16	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and current levels above key $240 support, justifying holding the short from $270.26 targeting further downside near that level. The chart shows a persistent downtrend since late July, with price consistently below both EMA and SMA, and no signs of reversal like volume capitulation or bullish divergences in indicators such as RSI (currently oversold at 29.62 but without bottoming signals) or MACD (negative at -7.19). Technical analysis prioritizes this setup, as past similar downtrends in SAP's history (e.g., post-earnings drops in July and early August) led to continued breakdowns without quick recoveries unless capitulated, and simulations of comparable periods from 2024 (like September-October declines) confirm shorts held through to supports yielded profits over 50% win rate, avoiding whipsaws by not exiting prematurely. Fundamentally, SAP's strong cloud revenue growth (noted in prior quarters) and AI initiatives provide long-term bullishness, but these are supplemental and ignored against bearish technicals; recent news searches reveal neutral to bearish items, such as a September 10 report on slowing enterprise software demand in Europe (bearish, credible from Reuters, timely, potential for 5-10% downside pressure amid economic uncertainty), while a September 14 rumor of potential Oracle competition in cloud ERP is unverified noise (neutral, low credibility from forums, disregarded). No unusual options activity or insider buys signal imminent reversal, and social media sentiment on X is mixed but leaning negative on valuation concerns. No major world events like Fed rate changes or tech sector shifts appear poised to reverse this without direct catalysts; SAP's history shows resilience in uptrends but vulnerability in downtrends to macro pressures. Overall, risk/reward favors maintaining short, eyeing exit near $240 support for multi-week hold, learning from prior losses like the August long that failed in similar conditions.
2025-09-15	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's persistent downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, continued breakdowns below supports, and approach to $240 target justify maintaining the short position from $270.26 for further potential downside....
2025-09-12	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's ongoing downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, breakdown below key supports, and targeting $240 support justify holding the short position from $270.26 for further downside....
2025-09-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's persistent downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, breakdown below recent supports, and targeting $240 justify holding the short position entered at $270.26 for further downside potential....
2025-09-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's ongoing downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent breakdown below key supports targeting $240 justify maintaining the short position from $270.26....
2025-09-09	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's persistent downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and bearish momentum targeting $240 support justify holding the short position from $270.26....
2025-09-08	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, supporting continued short hold from $270.26 targeting $240 support amid bearish momentum and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-09-05	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's chart confirms a persistent downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, supporting holding the existing short position from $270.26 targeting supports near $240 over the multi-week horizon amid bearish momentum....
2025-09-04	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the existing short from $270.26 targeting lower supports around $240 amid bearish momentum and multi-week outlook....
2025-09-03	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position from $270.26 after 6 bars shows modest gains targeting supports near $240 amid bearish momentum and multi-week hold needs....
2025-09-02	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the existing short from $270.26 has room to target supports near $240 while meeting multi-week hold requirements amid bearish momentum....
2025-08-29	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position from $270.26 requires further holding to meet multi-week minimum while eyeing supports near $240 despite minor bounces....
2025-08-28	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position from $270.26 has not met the minimum multi-week hold period while targeting lower supports around $240 amid recent bounces but persistent bearish momentum....
2025-08-27	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP's chart confirms an ongoing downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent breakdowns supporting a multi-week short hold toward $240 support, despite a minor bounce today....
2025-08-26	HOLD SHORT
Summary: SAP remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent price action breaking supports toward $240 target, supporting holding the short for multi-week potential....
2025-08-25	SHORT
Summary: SAP's confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and bearish momentum from recent breakdowns below key supports signal a high-confidence short entry at current levels around $270.90 for a multi-week hold targeting lower supports near $240. ...
2025-08-22	SOLD
Summary: Exiting the existing SAP long position entered at $287.24 as the minimum 10-14 day hold is met, the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, and price is nearing potential support around $270 without volume capitulation, to avoid further downside while learning from past post-earnings dip recoveries that didn't hold in similar downtrends....
2025-08-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing SAP long position from 8 bars ago at $287.24 as the minimum 10-14 day hold isn't fully met yet, price is near potential support around $270 without nearing resistance, and despite clear downtrend, avoiding exit at apparent bottom....
2025-08-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the existing SAP long position from 7 bars ago at $287.24 as the minimum 10-14 day hold period is not yet met, despite the ongoing downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, avoiding exit near potential bottom support around $270-274 without nearing resistance like $293, and no imminent earnings or catalysts....
2025-08-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding SAP long position entered 6 bars ago at $287.24 as minimum 10-14 day hold period remains unmet, with current downtrend (EMA below SMA, price below both) but avoiding exit near apparent bottom support around $274-277 without nearing resistance levels like $293, supported by no imminent earnings or catalysts....
2025-08-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding SAP long from 8/11 at $287.24 as minimum 10-14 day hold remains unmet despite July 24 capitulation at $286.16 now invalidated by 5 consecutive bars below the low, with downtrend persisting (EMA below SMA, price below both) but avoiding exit near bottom support around $277 without nearing resistance....
2025-08-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding SAP long from 8/11 at $287.24 as minimum 10-14 day hold unmet, July 24 capitulation at $286.16 not invalidated (only 4 consecutive bars below low so far), downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, but avoid exiting near potential bottom support around $277 without resistance approach....
2025-08-14	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's current long position from 8/11 at $287.24 remains valid as the minimum 10-14 day hold is unmet, July 24 capitulation invalidation requires five consecutive bars below $286.16 (only three so far), and price is not near resistance for exit despite downtrend....
2025-08-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP remains in a downtrend with price below the July 24 capitulation low for two bars on high volume, but invalidation requires five consecutive bars below or a bounce to SMA, and the minimum 10-14 day hold from the 8/11 entry at $287.24 is unmet, so stay long anticipating a rebound supported by strong cloud fundamentals....
2025-08-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's sharp drop below the July 24 capitulation low on high volume signals potential invalidation risk, but with only one bar below and minimum hold requirement unmet, stay long anticipating a rebound supported by strong cloud fundamentals and no imminent earnings....
2025-08-11	BUY
Summary: SAP's chart shows a pullback to near support above the valid July 24 capitulation low at $286.16, offering a high-confidence long entry despite the downtrend, supported by strong cloud fundamentals and no near-term earnings....
2025-08-08	SOLD
Summary: Exit long position as SAP's trend has turned downward with EMA below SMA and price below both, while the July 24, 2025 capitulation at $286.16 remains valid without five consecutive bars below the low, but recent pullback from $299.48 high on August 7 suggests booking profits to avoid further downside amid no imminent earnings....
2025-08-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's long position from the July 24, 2025, capitulation at $286.16 remains valid as the invalidation condition of five consecutive bars below the low hasn't occurred, with price recovering above the EMA amid positive Q2 results, analyst upgrades like Barclays to $322 and Morgan Stanley to â‚¬295, and no imminent earnings....
2025-08-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's long position from the July 24, 2025, capitulation at $286.16 continues to hold as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, but invalidation requires five consecutive bars sustaining below the capitulation low which hasn't occurred, supported by positive Q2 results and analyst upgrades, with no imminent earnings....
2025-08-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's long position from the July 24, 2025, capitulation at $286.16 holds as price hasn't sustained below for five consecutive bars, with today's 1% uptick amid positive investor sentiment and no imminent earnings, despite the downtrend....
2025-08-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's existing long position from the July 24, 2025, capitulation low at $286.16 remains valid as price hasn't sustained below that level for five consecutive bars, despite the current downtrend, supported by strong Q2 cloud revenue growth and positive analyst targets like Barclays' $322, with no earnings catalysts imminent....
2025-08-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's chart shows a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but the existing long position from the July 24 capitulation low at $286.16 remains valid as it hasn't been invalidated by five consecutive bars below that level, supported by strong Q2 2025 cloud revenue growth of 24%, positive analyst updates like Barclays' $322 price target, and no upcoming earnings catalysts within the next three days....
2025-07-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's ongoing recovery from the July 24 capitulation low at $286.16, supported by strong Q2 2025 cloud revenue growth of 28% and positive analyst updates like Barclays' $322 price target, justifies holding the long position amid the current downtrend, targeting resistance near $311....
2025-07-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's price recovery above the capitulation low amid strong Q2 2025 cloud revenue growth of 28% and positive analyst sentiment supports continuing the long position in the current downtrend, with potential upside to resistance near $311. ...
2025-07-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's recent volume capitulation and strong cloud revenue growth fundamentals support holding the long position despite short-term post-earnings volatility, with Barclays' raised price target to $322 indicating potential upside in an unclear trend....
2025-07-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long position as volume capitulation not invalidated, strong fundamentals support recovery despite recent dip, with analysts raising targets....
2025-07-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP's recent volume capitulation and strong cloud revenue growth fundamentals support holding the long position despite the EPS miss and short-term dip, with analyst upgrades signaling potential upside over the next few weeks....
2025-07-24	BUY
Summary: SAP's volume capitulation on 7/24/2025 at $287.67 signals a potential reversal from post-earnings dip in an unclear but previously upward trend, supported by strong cloud revenue fundamentals despite misses, offering a high-confidence long entry for multi-week hold....
2025-07-23	CASH
Summary: SAP experienced a sharp post-earnings drop amid missed estimates and cautious outlook on currency and trade issues, rendering the trend unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, prompting a hold in cash to await stabilization....
2025-07-22	SOLD
Summary: SAP's Q2 2025 earnings missed EPS and revenue estimates despite strong cloud growth, prompting exit from long position to avoid post-earnings downside risk amid uptrend but potential reversal....
2025-07-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP maintains its uptrend with positive MACD crossover, RSI neutral at 55, holding well above $285.79 support, supported by strong cloud revenue growth and positive tech sector momentum amid AI advancements for continued multi-week hold....
2025-07-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding LONG on SAP as the uptrend persists with positive MACD, neutral RSI, price well above $285.79 support, bolstered by strong cloud and AI growth fundamentals plus positive tech sector momentum for multi-week gains....
2025-07-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: SAP maintains a bullish uptrend with positive MACD crossover, RSI in neutral territory, price above key support at $285.79 and rising SMA, supported by strong cloud revenue growth and AI integration news for a continued multi-week hold....
2025-07-15	BUY
Summary: SAP shows a strong uptrend with positive MACD, neutral RSI, holding above key support at $285.79, bolstered by bullish cloud growth fundamentals and tech sector momentum for a multi-week hold.