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Daily Chart

(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)

RY on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

RY on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-09-30 CASH
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but recent bearish MACD crossover, lack of dip for entry, and no new bullish catalysts suggest waiting for a better long setup to avoid poor entry near highs after our 9/25 exit.

The chart shows RY consolidating near recent highs around $147, with the uptrend intact as defined by price above both moving averages and no unclear trend signals from frequent crossings. However, the bearish MACD crossover noted in our previous exit persists, with MACD at 2.0418 below the signal line at 2.4356, indicating potential short-term weakness. RSI at 63 is neutral, not oversold for a dip buy, and STO has pulled back but remains elevated. Support levels at $132.51 and $126.02 provide downside buffers, but entering long here risks buying at the top of the range without a pullback.

Fundamentally, RY as a major Canadian bank benefits from stable interest rates and economic recovery, but I searched for recent news: positive reports on Canadian banking sector resilience amid lower inflation (bullish, credible from Reuters 9/28/2025, timely, potential for modest upside), and rumors of dividend increases (neutral, unverified social media buzz on X, low credibility without filings). No unusual options activity or insider buys flagged in recent SEC/SEDAR filings. Upcoming earnings are estimated for late November 2025 (around 11/27), well beyond 3 days, so no immediate catalyst risk; historical data shows mixed reactions, but the last one was positive at 5.51% despite 0% surprise.

Simulating based on history: Similar consolidations after highs in July-August led to our profitable exit before earnings, but entering near peaks without volume support often resulted in whipsaws, like the July pullback loss. Win rate on comparable long entries post-pullback is above 50% when on dips, but here it's not a dip, so risk/reward favors caution. No world events like rate cuts or oil shocks appear poised to materially impact RY positively yet. Overall, staying in cash avoids repeating past mistakes of chasing highs, waiting for a confirmed dip or stronger momentum shift.
2025-09-29 CASH
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but bearish MACD crossover, overbought STO from recent highs, and our quick exit on 9/25 due to pullback signals warrant staying in cash to avoid re-entering too soon without stronger bullish confirmation like volume surge or positive catalyst....
2025-09-26 CASH
Summary: RY remains in an uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but bearish MACD crossover, overbought STO declining, and recent exit on 9/25 at similar levels without new bullish catalysts warrant staying in cash to avoid quick re-entry amid potential pullback risks....
2025-09-25 SOLD
Summary: RY's uptrend remains with price above EMA and SMA, but recent pullback below prior highs, bearish MACD crossover, and overbought STO suggest exiting the long at 145.95 for modest gains to await clearer bullish momentum....
2025-09-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues its robust uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, RSI at 67 showing sustained strength without overbought conditions, and no imminent catalysts or resistance levels prompting an exit from the profitable long position entered at $145.26....
2025-09-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, RSI at 73 indicating strength, and no near-term catalysts or resistance breaches signaling an exit from the profitable long position entered at $145.26....
2025-09-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues its robust uptrend with price well above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI at 75 showing strength without extreme overbought, and sustained momentum from post-earnings gap, justifying holding the long position entered at $145.26 for further potential gains....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI at 73 indicating strength, and recent price action holding above key supports post-earnings gap, supporting continued long hold for potential further upside....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum, RSI at 71 showing strength without extreme overbought levels, and support holding firm around 144-145 after recent earnings-driven gap up, supporting continued holding for potential further gains....
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD despite recent signal crossover, RSI at 70 indicating sustained momentum without overbought conditions, and holding above key support at 143.28 amid no imminent catalysts....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum post-earnings gap, RSI at 67 showing room for upside without overbought signals, holding above key support at 142.77, and no imminent catalysts or reversal patterns justifying an exit after the minimum hold period....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD despite recent pullback, RSI at 65 indicating sustained momentum without overbought conditions, post-earnings gap support holding above 140, and no imminent catalysts or reversal signals warranting an exit after satisfying the hold period....
2025-09-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI around 70 showing momentum, post-earnings gap support intact above 140, and no clear reversal or catalysts signaling an exit after the minimum hold....
2025-09-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI at 68 indicating sustained momentum, post-earnings support holding above 140, and no reversal signals or immediate catalysts after minimum hold period....
2025-09-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI at 69 showing momentum, post-earnings gap support holding above 140 without reversal signals, and no immediate catalysts warranting exit after satisfying minimum hold....
2025-09-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY maintains a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI at 71 indicating sustained momentum, and the post-earnings gap from 8/27/2025 holding firm above key supports like 140.20 without signs of reversal, supporting continued holding of the long position for further upside potential....
2025-09-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues its uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI at 71 not extremely overbought, and the post-earnings gap from 8/27/2025 holding above key supports without reversal, justifying holding the long position entered at $145.26 for potential further upside over the coming weeks. MACD is positive at 3.52 with the histogram expanding, indicating sustained momentum, while RSI at 71.14 suggests strength but not yet overbought enough for an immediate reversal. Volume on the recent pullback was lower, typical of a healthy consolidation rather than distribution, and there's no volume capitulation to signal a trend shift....
2025-09-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI not overbought, and the post-earnings gap up from 8/27 holding steady without reversal signals, supporting continued holding of the long position for further gains....
2025-09-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, recent earnings-driven gap up holding gains, and no immediate catalysts or reversal signals, supporting holding the long position entered at $145.26 for further upside potential....
2025-09-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY maintains a strong uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD, no immediate catalysts or trend reversals, and the position's duration supports continued holding for potential further gains....
2025-08-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues its strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA after a positive earnings gap-up, positive MACD, no near-term catalysts or trend breaks, and the minimum hold period not yet met, supporting holding the long position. RSI at 79.38 suggests overbought conditions but not extreme, often seen in strong trends without immediate reversal, especially post-earnings....
2025-08-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a strong uptrend post-earnings gap-up, with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and no immediate catalysts or resistance breaches justifying an exit after just one bar into the minimum hold period....
2025-08-27 BUY
Summary: Re-entering long on RY after positive earnings reaction gapped price up over 6% to new highs in a clear uptrend, with high volume and no immediate catalysts, justifying the quick re-entry as the earnings risk that prompted exit is now resolved with bullish momentum....
2025-08-26 CASH
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and RSI at 65 indicating room for upside, but upcoming earnings on 8/27/2025 tomorrow warrant staying in cash to avoid volatility, especially after recent exit on 8/25/2025 and historical negative post-earnings reaction....
2025-08-25 SOLD
Summary: RY's uptrend remains intact with price above EMA/SMA and positive MACD, but upcoming earnings on 8/27/2025 within 2 days warrant exiting the long position to avoid potential volatility, especially given historical negative post-earnings reaction, while minimum hold period is satisfied after 9 bars from entry at $134.8 yielding modest gains....
2025-08-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD and RSI momentum, no breakdown signals, and earnings on 8/27/2025 more than 3 days away allowing hold while minimum duration supports continuation....
2025-08-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive momentum indicators, and no signs of breakdown, while upcoming earnings on 8/27/2025 do not meet hold-through criteria but are more than 3 days away allowing continued hold per minimum duration....
2025-08-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, healthy RSI, no breakdowns, and earnings on 8/28/2025 meet criteria to hold through given positive historical surprises and reactions....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI in healthy range, no breakdowns, and earnings on 8/28/2025 meet criteria to hold through for potential positive reaction....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a solid uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, healthy RSI, no breakdowns or near-term catalysts, supporting holding the long position entered at $134.8 four bars ago for longer-term gains....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, RSI showing sustained momentum, and no breakdowns or catalysts warranting an early exit from the long position entered at $134.8 three bars ago....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD divergence, RSI at 70 showing sustained momentum, and no immediate catalysts or breakdowns warranting an exit after recent entry at $134.8 for expected multi-week gains....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and RSI showing sustainable momentum without overbought signals, supporting holding the long position entered at $134.8 for potential further gains over the next few weeks....
2025-08-12 BUY
Summary: RY is in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and RSI indicating room for upside, making this a high-confidence long entry after recent recovery from pullback....
2025-08-11 CASH
Summary: RY remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, but after recently exiting a long at a loss on 7/29 at $129.68, avoid re-entering higher at current $133.34 to wait for a better dip entry....
2025-08-08 CASH
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but after recently exiting a long at a loss, it's prudent to wait for a dip rather than buying back in higher near the top of the recent range....
2025-08-07 CASH
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but after a recent losing trade and amid signs of an ongoing pullback from the 134.26 high, staying in cash allows waiting for a deeper dip to re-enter long at a better price with favorable risk/reward....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: RY remains in an uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but after recently exiting a long position at a loss, patience for a better entry price on a dip is warranted to avoid buying back in higher....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but after a recent losing long trade exit at $129.68 amid pullback, staying in cash avoids re-entering higher at $130.44 without stronger confirmation of sustained momentum over the next few weeks....
2025-08-04 CASH
Summary: RY's trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price stuck between them amid recent crossings and no volume capitulation, suggesting avoidance of new entries while we monitor for a clearer uptrend setup after the prior loss exit....
2025-08-01 CASH
Summary: RY's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, recent frequent price crossings of averages without volume capitulation, and a fresh loss from the prior long exit at 129.68, making new entries risky while we wait for a clearer setup or better entry price....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: RY is in an unclear trend with price below both moving averages despite EMA above SMA, suggesting caution and no new entry after recent exit to avoid repeating the mistake of entering amid downside momentum....
2025-07-30 CASH
Summary: RY is experiencing an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent pullback from highs without volume capitulation, and no strong catalysts for immediate reversal, suggesting patience for a better entry in the coming weeks....
2025-07-29 SOLD
Summary: RY has pulled back below key moving averages amid unclear trend signals, with no volume capitulation and recent downside momentum suggesting a potential deeper correction over the next few weeks, prompting an exit from the long position to preserve capital....
2025-07-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing the long position as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA, recent pullback appears as a dip in an ongoing rally supported by positive fundamental news and Elliott wave analysis indicating further upside potential....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, no trend invalidation despite a minor pullback, supported by positive Elliott Wave sentiment and upcoming dividend, warranting holding the long position entered 6 bars ago at $133.02 for at least 10-14 days....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, RSI at 54 indicating room for upside, recent pullback to support near 131 likely a buyable dip without trend invalidation, supported by Elliott Wave analysis suggesting ongoing rally after short-term correction....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, positive MACD, RSI at 64.6 showing room for growth, recent new highs on high volume, and supportive Elliott Wave analysis indicating continued rally from April lows, with next earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long position as uptrend persists with positive fundamentals including recent dividend increase and buy ratings from analysts, supported by Elliott Wave rally signals and no immediate catalysts to disrupt momentum....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: RY continues its strong uptrend with positive MACD, RSI at 61 indicating sustained momentum, and price holding above key support near 131 after a minor pullback, supporting holding the long position for potential gains over the next few weeks....
2025-07-17 BUY
Summary: RY is in a strong uptrend with positive MACD, RSI around 62 indicating balanced momentum, and a recent bounce from support near 131, positioning it well for continued gains over the coming weeks....