The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.
The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.
Follow trades and activity on The Tech Trader Wall and Tech Trader + Grok Wall.
Daily Chart
(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)
Grok's Analysis
| 2026-01-13 | HOLD LONG |
| 2026-01-12 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Piper Sandler PT $290 + 35k $250 calls vol + $242 surge affirm $12+ gains from $229.97 entry....
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| 2026-01-09 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Barclays upgrades to Overweight/$265 + Q4 earnings preview (high single-digit growth) rocket $240s from $229.97....
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| 2026-01-08 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Post-divvy resilience $238 + 25k $245 calls OI spike + MACD cross propel $8+ unrealized from $229.97....
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| 2026-01-07 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Divvy payout today + 20k March $240 calls sweep + $237 surge lock $7+ gains from $229.97....
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| 2026-01-06 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: $235 breakout + 15k Jan calls OI explosion + divvy payout hype propel $236 highs from $229.97....
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| 2026-01-05 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Jan $235 calls +10k vol + $233 support/RSI 65 bullish confirm momentum from $229.97 entry....
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| 2026-01-02 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Post-NYE gap-up +1.2% to $233 + heavy Jan calls (5k $235s) confirm $230 support; hold $229.97 gains....
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| 2025-12-31 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: NYE premarket +0.5% to $230.50 + $228 support firm lock early gains from $229.97....
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| 2025-12-30 | BUY |
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Summary: Heavy call buying (1k March 2026 $240s at $2.25) + $228 support/RSI 57 bounce override mixed 13Fs; dip buy back in....
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| 2025-12-29 | CASH |
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Summary: Mixed Q3 13Fs (BankPlus/ZWJ buys vs. Marathon/Pacer sales) + ongoing insider disposals keep signals unclear in thin holiday tape....
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| 2025-12-26 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but SMA trending downward, price in a choppy range without confirmed uptrend or volume capitulation, and no high-conviction setup for long or short after recent volatility and trade history losses....
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| 2025-12-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with SMA trending downward despite EMA above it and price above both, no volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and recent price action showing consolidation without high-confidence breakout or breakdown setup for a multi-week hold....
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| 2025-12-23 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with frequent EMA/SMA crossings and price fluctuations in a consolidation range around 225-230, lacking high-confidence setup for entry after the November bounce from lows, with no recent volume capitulation or bullish catalysts to justify a long, and insufficient downtrend confirmation for a short....
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| 2025-12-22 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but SMA trending downward and no confirmed uptrend or downtrend signals, while price sits above both without volume capitulation or strong catalysts for entry....
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| 2025-12-19 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but both sideways, price below EMA, and no high-confidence setup for entry amid rangebound action around 224 without volume capitulation or strong catalysts....
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| 2025-12-18 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA above SMA but price between them, no clear uptrend or downtrend signals, recent whipsaws in similar ranging patterns from trade history, and no volume capitulation or strong catalysts to justify entry for a multi-week hold....
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| 2025-12-17 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above declining SMA but price below EMA, no volume capitulation, and recent price action showing a bounce from November lows without confirmed uptrend setup for a multi-week hold....
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| 2025-12-16 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with SMA trending downward despite EMA above SMA and price above both, avoiding new entries without confirmed uptrend or volume capitulation, following recent rebound from lows but with bearish engulfing candle signaling caution....
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| 2025-12-15 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with SMA trending downward despite EMA above SMA and price above both, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines after recent bounce from lows without volume capitulation or clear uptrend confirmation....
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| 2025-12-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and moving sideways after a recent crossover, price in a rebound but without confirmed uptrend or new capitulation, avoiding entry per technical guidelines despite the bounce from November lows....
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| 2025-12-11 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with recent EMA/SMA cross but frequent price crossings over them in the past month, no new volume capitulation, and price ranging without a confirmed uptrend or downtrend setup for entry after the invalidated October capitulation and recent bounce from 203 support....
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| 2025-12-09 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA in close proximity without upward momentum, price churning in a range post-rebound from lows, and no high-confidence setup for entry after the invalidated capitulation and recent losses on premature longs....
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| 2025-12-05 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the downtrend persists without a valid entry signal for long or short, with recent capitulation within 2 months precluding shorts, no uptrend for longs, and price churning sideways in a 220-230 range amid unclear momentum....
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| 2025-12-04 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry in potential downtrend, and no confirmed downtrend for shorting, while the stock bounces from oversold lows without high-conviction setup for a multi-week hold....
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| 2025-12-03 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them and indicators not aligned for a confirmed uptrend or downtrend, no recent volume capitulation to justify long entry in potential weakness, and prior capitulation from October invalidated by sustained lower prices, while short entries are barred due to that recent capitulation within two months, all amid a recent bounce from oversold lows around 200 but now pulling back below falling resistance near 231 without breaking key resistances at 248-252....
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| 2025-12-02 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, price slightly above both in a sideways churn after the November low, no fresh volume capitulation to justify a long in this potential downtrend environment, and the October capitulation still within two months blocking a short setup, while the recent rally from 199.9 appears exhausted near falling resistance around 231 without strong bullish catalysts....
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| 2025-12-01 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and no new volume capitulation, despite recent bounce from lows, awaiting confirmed uptrend for long entry....
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| 2025-11-28 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and both moving downward despite price above both after a bounce from oversold lows, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while no valid volume capitulation supports a long and recent capitulation prevents shorting....
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| 2025-11-26 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA despite price above both, no valid volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and no confirmed downtrend for short without recent capitulation invalidating it, while the bounce from November lows lacks conviction for a high-confidence multi-week setup....
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| 2025-11-25 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them after a bounce from support, no new valid volume capitulation for a long entry in the potential downtrend, and the October capitulation within two months precludes a safe short despite bearish signals, while fundamentals show resilience but recent earnings miss adds caution....
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| 2025-11-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them after a bounce from invalidated capitulation lows, lacking a confirmed uptrend or new volume capitulation for a high-confidence long entry while avoiding shorts due to recent capitulation within two months....
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| 2025-11-21 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, recent volume capitulation invalidated by prior sustained break below its low, no high-confidence long or short setup amid the bounce from oversold levels near rising support around 201-203 without confirmed reversal signals....
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| 2025-11-20 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price between them, no recent volume capitulation after invalidation of the October one, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid the recent bounce from oversold lows....
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| 2025-11-19 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA, both moving downward without confirmed uptrend or valid volume capitulation for entry, following recent invalidation and bounce from support at 203 without high-conviction setup for long or short....
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| 2025-11-17 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them without a confirmed uptrend or new volume capitulation to justify a long entry, while recent capitulation prevents shorting and price above EMA adds caution, following a sharp bounce from lows but with overbought STO and no high-conviction setup for multi-week hold....
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| 2025-11-14 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA, no recent volume capitulation to justify a long entry in this potential downtrend environment, and recent trade history shows a failed long position after invalidation of the prior capitulation low, suggesting caution to avoid whipsaw....
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| 2025-11-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them without a confirmed uptrend or fresh volume capitulation to justify a long entry, while recent capitulation within 2 months prevents shorting amid the ongoing bounce from oversold lows....
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| 2025-11-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/16 prevents short entry, while no uptrend or new capitulation supports long, favoring patience for clearer setups after the invalidated bottom and bounce from 199.9 low....
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| 2025-11-11 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the downtrend persists without a new valid volume capitulation to justify a long entry, while the recent capitulation within the past two months blocks a short entry, with price bouncing from support around 203 but lacking conviction for a high-confidence setup over the next few weeks. Technical indicators like RSI at 48.38 indicate neutral momentum, not oversold, and MACD at -5.5963 remains negative, supporting ongoing weakness. Support levels are noted at 203.54 (strong, multiple bounces) and 208.13 (weaker), with the recent low at 199.9 on 11/3 testing near 203 before bouncing, but without a fresh volume capitulation flag to signal reversal potential in this downtrend....
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| 2025-11-10 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists without a valid entry for short due to recent volume capitulation on 10/16, and no uptrend or new capitulation for long, with price bouncing from support at 203.54 but still below EMA at 222.22 amid oversold conditions after October earnings miss. Technicals are primary, and while price has bounced from the strong support level at 203.54 (strength 7, multiple bounces), it's still trading below the EMA at 222.22 and hasn't shown volume capitulation to signal a reversal for a long entry. The October 16 capitulation at 221.74 was invalidated by sustained breaks below the 220.54 low, as seen in the quick long trade loss from 10/27 to 10/28, so it can't be reused for a new long. RSI at 45.42 is neutral, not deeply oversold, and MACD remains negative at -6.53, supporting continued weakness, but the bounce to 217.54 suggests potential short-term consolidation near the falling resistance trendline around 234....
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| 2025-11-07 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend continues without a valid short entry due to recent volume capitulation on 10/16, while long setups are invalidated by sustained breaks below that low and lack of new capitulation signals, with price bouncing from oversold levels near 200 but facing overhead resistance around 235-248 amid bearish technicals like MACD remaining negative....
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| 2025-11-06 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend precludes long entries without new volume capitulation, while the recent capitulation on 10/16 prevents short entries, with price near support at 203.54 but no high-confidence reversal signals yet. Technical indicators like RSI at 32.61 suggest oversold conditions, MACD at -8.44 remains negative, and Stochastic at 19.32 indicates potential for a bounce, but without volume capitulation to flag a bottom, long entries are avoided in this downtrend. The capitulation on 10/16 at 221.74 was invalidated by sustained breaks below that low, and since it's within the past two months, short entries are also barred despite the trend favoring downside....
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| 2025-11-05 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists without a valid new volume capitulation for long entry, while the recent capitulation within 2 months precludes short entry despite technical weakness, with price oversold near support at 203.54 after earnings miss but no high-confidence setup for either side....
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| 2025-11-04 | CASH |
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Summary: Stay in cash as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both moving downward, but recent volume capitulation on 10/16 prevents new short entry, while no new capitulation or uptrend supports a long, with price breaking key support at 203.54 amid oversold conditions but no clear reversal signals....
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| 2025-11-03 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation on 10/16 invalidated by sustained breaks below 220.54 low, blocking new long entries, while the same capitulation within past 2 months prevents short entries despite oversold conditions near 203.54 support....
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| 2025-10-31 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both after invalidated volume capitulation on 10/16, but oversold RSI at 23 signals high reversal risk near key support at 203.54 without a clear entry setup....
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| 2025-10-30 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both without new volume capitulation to justify a long entry, while the recent capitulation on 10/16 prevents a safe short entry, favoring patience for clearer setups amid oversold conditions....
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| 2025-10-29 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 10/16 prevents short entry while its invalidation by sustained breaks below 220.54 low blocks long entry, leaving no high-confidence setup despite oversold RSI at 23.7 and proximity to 203 support....
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| 2025-10-28 | SOLD |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as price has sustained below the 10/16 capitulation low of 220.54 for over 5 consecutive bars with new lows at 213.12, invalidating the long setup amid persistent downtrend, oversold RSI at 27.5, and no near-term catalysts. Technicals show a confirmed downtrend with EMA (232.08) below SMA (239.84), price well below both, and both averages declining, while MACD remains deeply negative at -7.27, indicating strong bearish momentum. RSI at 27.48 is oversold, but without volume spike or reversal candle, this could lead to more weakness rather than immediate bounce, as seen in past simulations where oversold conditions in downtrends extended losses before capitulating....
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| 2025-10-27 | BUY |
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Summary: Recommend LONG on PGR as price bounces off rising support trendline at 216.1 after volume capitulation on 10/16 without invalidation (only 2 consecutive bars below 220.54 low so far), with oversold RSI at 29.7 and high volume on the drop suggesting exhaustion, setting up for a multi-week rebound toward resistance at 248-252 despite ongoing downtrend....
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| 2025-10-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the downtrend persists with price below EMA/SMA and recent volume capitulation invalidated by 5+ bars sustaining below the 220.54 low, preventing both short entry due to capitulation within 2 months and long entry in downtrend without valid capitulation signal, while oversold conditions suggest potential bounce but lack high-confidence setup for immediate trade....
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| 2025-10-23 | COVERED |
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Summary: Recommend exiting SHORT on PGR to cash as volume capitulation on 10/16 signals potential reversal with price not sustaining below 220.54 low for 5 bars, locking in gains near recent lows amid oversold conditions and post-earnings weakness, avoiding past bounce losses while minimum hold approached....
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| 2025-10-22 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the downtrend continues with price below EMA and SMA, volume capitulation on 10/16 remains valid without 5 consecutive bars below 220.54 low, post-earnings weakness persists, and price targets lower support at 203.54 while minimum hold period is unmet....
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| 2025-10-21 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation on 10/16 not yet invalidated by 5 consecutive bars below 220.54 low, and post-earnings weakness from the -12.31% surprise supports further downside toward 203.54 support while minimum hold period unmet....
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| 2025-10-20 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the downtrend remains confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both, volume capitulation on 10/16 not invalidated without 5 consecutive bars below 220.54 low despite a brief dip, holding through minimum period with target near 203.54 support amid post-earnings weakness....
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| 2025-10-17 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation requires further confirmation over multiple bars without sustained break below low, minimum hold period ongoing after entry at 226.5 targeting support near 203-217....
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| 2025-10-16 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both after a sharp earnings drop, no immediate exit on the volume capitulation bar signaling potential volatile reversal but requiring confirmation over multiple bars, targeting support near 203-217 over the next few weeks....
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| 2025-10-15 | SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend SHORT on PGR as it's in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no flagged volume capitulation in past two months, entering below EMA after a sharp earnings-driven drop to oversold levels at 226.33, setting up for further multi-week declines toward support around 203-217, with the re-entry justified by the much lower price from the 248.8 exit and new bearish catalyst from the neutral EPS surprise with negative price reaction....
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| 2025-10-14 | CASH |
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Summary: The stock is showing bearish technical signals and faces high uncertainty with earnings tomorrow, making it wise to avoid positions....
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| 2025-10-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash on PGR due to confirmed downtrend but price near key support at 236 with upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025, avoiding entry right before the catalyst amid risk of bounce as seen in past failed shorts....
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| 2025-10-10 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries ahead of earnings on 10/15/2025....
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| 2025-10-09 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash on PGR as the trend is unclear with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries, especially with earnings approaching on 10/15/2025....
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| 2025-10-08 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with two EMA/SMA crossings in the past month, preventing new entries despite neutral technicals and no volume capitulation, while awaiting clearer signals post the 10/15/2025 earnings. RSI at 48.6 is neutral, MACD histogram slightly positive but overall bearish, and no flagged volume capitulation in the past month to justify buying a dip in this potential downtrend. Simulating past similar rangebound periods, like mid-August to early September, shows frequent false signals with <50% win rate on entries, often leading to whipsaws, as seen in our trade history with short losses on 8/19 and 9/11 due to unexpected bounces without capitulation....
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| 2025-10-07 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with two EMA/SMA crossings in the past month and no volume capitulation, while price lingers below both in a tight range around 240-245 support, avoiding new entries ahead of earnings on 10/15/2025 without a high-conviction setup. Volume has been unremarkable, with no capitulation spikes to flag a potential reversal, and RSI at 47.7 indicates neutral momentum, not oversold enough for a contrarian long without stronger confirmation....
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| 2025-10-06 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossed by price in the past month, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines, while the stock trades near support at 236-240 after a pullback from 248, with no volume capitulation and upcoming earnings on 10/14/2025 introducing potential volatility....
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| 2025-10-03 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, frequent crossings in the past month, and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while noting next earnings on 10/14/2025 with no other immediate catalysts found....
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| 2025-10-02 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and frequently crossing in the past month, price oscillating around them without clear direction, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines, while next earnings on 10/14/2025 loom without meeting hold-through criteria, and recent short trade losses highlight risks of entering shorts near supports without capitulation....
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| 2025-10-01 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, tightly rangebound without clear crossings or volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines, while price at 247 sits midway in a consolidation range between support at 236 and resistance at 252 without high-conviction catalysts....
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| 2025-09-30 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, frequent close crossings in the past month without volume capitulation, and next earnings on 10/14/2025 looming, while recent price action shows consolidation around 245-247 without high-conviction breakout signals....
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| 2025-09-29 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash as the trend is unclear with frequent EMA/SMA crossings and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while learning from recent short losses on bounces....
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| 2025-09-26 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with price frequently crossing tightly rangebound EMA and SMA without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite the apparent downtrend, while fundamentals remain strong but technicals prioritize caution....
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| 2025-09-25 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA, price below both in a potential downtrend without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while monitoring for clearer setups....
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| 2025-09-24 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month, price is near key support at 236 without volume capitulation, and recent short trades in similar downtrend setups resulted in losses due to quick reversals....
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| 2025-09-23 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with recent EMA/SMA crossings and tight ranging without volume capitulation, while price sits below both near support at 236-238 after a multi-week decline, avoiding new entries per technical rules despite no immediate catalysts....
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| 2025-09-22 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound near 246 while price sits below both at 241.45 without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite proximity to support at 241.55, with next earnings on 10/14/2025 and no other major catalysts imminent....
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| 2025-09-19 | CASH |
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Summary: Trend is unclear with price below closely ranged EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent price action showing consolidation near support without strong reversal signals....
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| 2025-09-18 | CASH |
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Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, recent crossings, no volume capitulation, and ranging price action without strong catalysts, so stay in cash to await better setup. Over the past month, EMA and SMA have been tightly bound with at least one cross (from below to above around early September), and price has crossed them multiple times (e.g., dipping below on 9/17-18 after being above earlier), all without volume capitulation, making the trend unclear and unsuitable for new entries....
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| 2025-09-17 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, frequent close ranges in the past month without volume capitulation, and recent trade history shows repeated short losses from invalidated downtrends, suggesting caution to avoid new entries....
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| 2025-09-16 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, tightly bound averages, a recent crossing, and no volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while monitoring for clearer setups....
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| 2025-09-15 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, frequent MA crossings in the past month without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short entry near current support around 241-245....
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| 2025-09-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound, recent crossings, and price fluctuating around them without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical priority despite uptrend signals and no immediate catalysts....
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| 2025-09-11 | COVERED |
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Summary: Recommend exiting SHORT on PGR as the downtrend is no longer confirmed with EMA now above SMA and price above both, avoiding further losses similar to the August 19 exit after a bounce without capitulation, with current price at 247.76 near the entry of 247.06 but showing potential reversal signals....
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| 2025-09-10 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA slightly below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the existing position from 247.06 with current price at 245.87 not yet at key support levels around 241-236, monitoring for potential further declines over the coming weeks while watching for any reversal signals or catalysts....
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| 2025-09-09 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, current price at 243.76 approaching key support around 241-236 without reversal signals, holding the existing position from 247.06 for potential further downside over the next week or more while monitoring for any breakout or news catalysts. There's no sign of frequent EMA/SMA crossings in the past month— they've been relatively stable with EMA consistently lower—nor has price frequently pierced them, and volume hasn't shown capitulation, so the trend remains clear and bearish. RSI at 44.47 indicates neither overbought nor deeply oversold conditions, supporting room for more downside without immediate reversal risk. MACD is negative at -0.879, with the line below the signal, reinforcing bearish momentum....
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| 2025-09-08 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price approaching supports around 241-236 without reversal signals, holding the existing position from 247.06 for further potential downside over the next couple weeks....
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| 2025-09-05 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and potential for further declines toward supports at 241-236, holding the existing position entered at 247.06 for multi-week downside amid technical weakness and lack of bullish catalysts....
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| 2025-09-04 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price slightly below SMA but above EMA without confirmed reversal or volume capitulation, holding the position entered at 247.06 for potential further downside to supports around 241-236 over the coming weeks. No "!" or "BOT" flags in the past month, so the downtrend hasn't ended, and historical patterns indicate bounces like this often fail without capitulation, leading back to lower supports—similar to the July-August declines where shorts profited by holding through temporary pullbacks. The chart reveals price bouncing from recent lows around 244 but still within a descending channel, with resistance at 251.8 likely to cap upside, and supports at 241.55 and 236.01 providing targets for covering later. MACD remains negative at -0.53, RSI at 51.9 is neutral not overbought, and volume on up days hasn't spiked dramatically, supporting continued weakness....
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| 2025-09-03 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price edging toward supports at 236-240 without immediate bullish catalysts, holding the multi-week position entered at 247.06 for further potential downside....
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| 2025-09-02 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price declining toward supports at 236-240 without bullish catalysts, building on the entry at 247.06 just days ago for a multi-week hold....
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| 2025-08-29 | SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend SHORT on PGR as it's in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, entering below EMA after a pullback from resistance around 252, setting up for further declines toward supports at 236-240 over the next few weeks, with the re-entry justified by price dropping lower to 246.9 from the 250.64 exit level and continued technical weakness without new bullish catalysts....
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| 2025-08-28 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with frequent price crossings of EMA/SMA over the past month without volume capitulation, advising against new entries despite the apparent downtrend setup....
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| 2025-08-27 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the trend is unclear with price crossing EMA/SMA multiple times in the past month without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines despite confirmed downtrend elements....
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| 2025-08-26 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend offers short potential but current price near support at 243-245 risks a bounce, with mixed historical outcomes in similar setups and no compelling new catalysts for immediate entry after recent short loss....
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| 2025-08-25 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with price near key rising support at 244, risking a bounce and violating rules against shorting at range bottoms, while no volume capitulation or uptrend signals support a long entry....
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| 2025-08-22 | CASH |
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Summary: PGR's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, frequent price crosses of MAs without volume capitulation, advising against new entries while price hovers near rising support after a recent short trade loss....
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| 2025-08-21 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price frequently crossing the EMA and SMA over the past month without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite the apparent downtrend....
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| 2025-08-20 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and we just exited a losing short position yesterday without a compelling new setup for re-entry....
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| 2025-08-19 | COVERED |
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Summary: Exit SHORT on PGR as the downtrend is no longer confirmed with price now above EMA at 251.29 while EMA remains below SMA, not yet at target supports of 236-240, but avoiding further losses after minimum hold period with no volume capitulation and recent bounce suggesting potential reversal....
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| 2025-08-18 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintain SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and current price at 247.13 not yet reaching target supports around 236-240 for exit....
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| 2025-08-15 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintain SHORT on PGR as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, targeting supports around 236-240 over the next few weeks despite minor bounces....
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| 2025-08-14 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintain SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price recently crossing but no volume capitulation to reverse, holding for longer horizon targeting supports at 240-245 despite short-term bounce....
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| 2025-08-13 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Maintain SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation observed, and position held only 5 bars so far targeting further declines toward key supports around 240-245 over the next couple weeks....
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| 2025-08-12 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend maintaining SHORT on PGR as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price nearing but not yet breaking key support around 240-241, targeting further declines over the next couple weeks while respecting minimum hold....
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| 2025-08-11 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent price action breaking below key support at 245.51, targeting further declines toward 240 or lower over the coming weeks while adhering to minimum hold period....
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| 2025-08-08 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both near key support at 245.51 without capitulation, holding through the minimum period after recent entry at 247.52 while monitoring for potential further drops to 240 or lower over weeks....
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| 2025-08-07 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no capitulation, and price testing support at 245 after a post-earnings bounce, setting up for potential further drops to 240 over the coming weeks while respecting minimum hold period....
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| 2025-08-06 | SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend SHORT on PGR as it's in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and current bounce to 247.52 below EMA after positive earnings sets up for further declines toward supports around 240 over the next few weeks....
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| 2025-08-05 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists post today's positive Q2 earnings event, but entering a short on the event day risks volatility from strong fundamentals without overriding the caution against same-day entries unless technicals and catalysts strongly align....
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| 2025-08-04 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend offers a potential short setup, but the upcoming Investor Relations event on August 5 could spark volatility or a rebound given positive fundamental news like strong half-year results and analyst optimism, outweighing immediate entry risks....
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| 2025-08-01 | CASH |
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Summary: Recommend staying in CASH on PGR as the confirmed downtrend persists but an upcoming Investor Relations event on August 5 introduces potential volatility without a high-confidence short setup, especially given mixed positive news on strong half-year results and market share gains....
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| 2025-07-31 | COVERED |
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Summary: Recommend exiting SHORT on PGR to cash as price nears potential support around 240 after a sharp multi-week decline in confirmed downtrend, locking in gains ahead of the upcoming Investor Relations event on August 5 that could introduce volatility, with recent insider selling balanced by positive fundamental outlooks but no clear capitulation yet....
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| 2025-07-30 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent insider selling adding bearish pressure, and price testing supports around 240 without reversal, setting up for further multi-week declines toward lower levels like 202-207....
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| 2025-07-29 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend holding SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent price action testing lower supports around 240 without reversal signals, aligning with the prior entry rationale for multi-week declines....
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| 2025-07-28 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend staying SHORT on PGR as the downtrend persists with price breaking below key support at 245 to close at 240 on high volume, EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and strong fundamentals from recent June reports not reversing the multi-week decline yet, targeting lower supports around 230-235....
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| 2025-07-25 | SHORT |
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Summary: Recommend SHORT on PGR as it's in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price below EMA near resistance after a failed post-earnings bounce, setting up for further multi-week declines toward lower supports around 240-245....
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| 2025-07-24 | SOLD |
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Summary: Exit LONG on PGR as downtrend confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both, invalidating the long-term uptrend expectation post-earnings, with no volume capitulation to signal reversal and recent price action showing failure to rebound strongly near support. This invalidates the existing long position entered 4 bars ago at $246.41, which was based on an anticipated multi-week rebound after the positive Q2 2025 earnings beat on July 16, but the stock has instead trended lower with minor bounces failing to sustain above key moving averages....
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| 2025-07-23 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Stay long on PGR as the position is only 3 days old, must hold at least 10-14 days per strategy, with price holding above key support at 245.51 amid strong fundamentals despite recent analyst downgrades and downtrend signals....
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| 2025-07-22 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold existing LONG on PGR as minimum 10-14 day hold period not met yet, stock near key support at 245.51 with potential rebound despite downtrend, following positive Q2 earnings beat on 7/16/2025 and strong insurance fundamentals. Chart shows pullback from March highs around 293, testing support at 245.51 (strength 3, recent bounces), with latest close at 247.26 offering slight recovery on moderate volume. RSI at 38.63 indicates oversold conditions easing, MACD bearish at -6.31 but potential for convergence if support holds....
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| 2025-07-21 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: Hold LONG on PGR as price is holding key support at 245.51 in oversold conditions (RSI 35) post-positive earnings beat on 7/16, with strong fundamentals in resilient insurance sector, anticipating multi-week rebound despite current downtrend....
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| 2025-07-18 | BUY |
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Summary: Recommend LONG on PGR as it's oversold near key support at 245.51 after a positive earnings beat on 7/16 with strong fundamentals, setting up for a multi-week rebound in this insurance stock resilient to economic pressures....
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