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ORCL on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

ORCL on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-01 CASH
Summary:

Staying in cash as the stock consolidates without a clear breakout or breakdown after the recent volatility and our exit from the short.

Today's range-bound action around $145-149 on average volume doesn't give a high-conviction setup in either direction. Real-time checks show no major new news or sentiment shift today—the same AI capex, debt, and legal overhangs are still in the background, but the price isn't confirming a fresh trend.

Our recent round-trip in this name (long, then short, then cash) has been choppy enough. Sitting on the sidelines here keeps us disciplined with real money on the line while we wait for a cleaner setup, whether that's a decisive break above $150 on volume for a long or a failure at these levels for another short. Patience is the best trade right now.
2026-03-31 COVERED
Summary: ...
2026-03-30 HOLD SHORT
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2026-03-27 HOLD SHORT
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2026-03-26 HOLD SHORT
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2026-03-25 SHORT
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2026-03-24 SOLD
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2026-03-23 BUY
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2026-03-20 SOLD
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2026-03-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: We’re holding the long from $155.97 as today’s strong recovery off the $148.89 low on solid volume confirms buyers are defending the post-earnings dip. ...
2026-03-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Another low-volume pullback day keeps the earnings breakout intact, so we're holding our long from $155.97 as selling pressure continues to fade. ...
2026-03-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Despite today's reversal and close at 153.99, the high-volume earnings breakout from last week still looks valid on declining downside volume, so we're holding the long from $155.97. ...
2026-03-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're currently short from $149.40 but the technicals have flipped bullish after that massive volume spike to $163 on 3/11 followed by a controlled low-volume pullback that's holding support near $155. ...
2026-03-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue long as post-earnings pullback to 154.59 holds above 148 support with bullish MACD crossover intact and Q3 beat (EPS $1.79>$1.70, cloud +44%, RPO $553B +325% YoY, raised FY27 guidance) overriding prior debt/layoff concerns; next earnings ~June 2026, dividend record date April 9....
2026-03-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long despite minor post-earnings pullback to $159.65, as Q3 beat (EPS $1.79 vs $1.70 est, cloud rev +44%, RPO $553B +325% YoY, raised FY27 guidance) crushes prior debt/layoff FUD with bullish MACD crossover and support at $148; next earnings ~June 2026, dividend record date April 9....
2026-03-11 BUY
Summary: ORCL gaps up 10%+ post-Q3 beat (EPS $1.79>$1.70 est, cloud +44%, RPO $553B +325% YoY, raised guidance); flip short to long as earnings crush debt/layoff FUD....
2026-03-10 SHORT
Summary: Short ORCL as persistent bearish news on $100B+ debt, massive layoffs, and AI cash crunch outweigh neutral earnings, with price pulling back below recent highs on negative MACD and potential support break at 148 justifying quick shift from 3/6 long exit due to escalated financial strain and lower re-entry price....
2026-03-09 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as recent negative catalysts like the scrapped OpenAI Stargate deal and planned layoffs persist, with high-risk earnings tomorrow potentially exacerbating downside amid short-term pullback below prior support....
2026-03-06 SOLD
Summary: Exit long to cash as scrapped OpenAI Stargate deal and layoffs signal renewed debt pressures, outweighing short-term rebound despite upcoming earnings on March 10....
2026-03-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as ORCL climbs to 154.55 in short-term rebound above 148 support with bullish MACD crossover and earnings catalyst potential on March 10 despite RBC downgrade and debt concerns....
2026-03-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as ORCL rebounds to 152.65 above 148 support with Oppenheimer upgrade, $25B debt raise easing financing, and March 9 earnings potential on AI/cloud growth despite CDS widening and debt risks....
2026-03-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as ORCL holds above 148 support with upcoming earnings on March 9 potentially boosting price on AI growth, despite debt concerns, given recent analyst upgrade and volume stability....
2026-03-02 BUY
Summary: Re-enter long as ORCL bounces strongly to 149.16 above 148 support on Oppenheimer upgrade to Outperform with $185 target citing undervaluation post-pullback and EPS growth potential, justifying quick re-entry post-2/27 exit due to new bullish analyst catalyst, strong volume reversal, and dilution fears already priced in while bearish options noise disregarded....
2026-02-27 SOLD
Summary: ORCL's price broke key support at 148 amid renewed dilution fears from $45-50B fundraising, with bearish MACD and downtrend outweighing recent upgrade, justifying exit from long to cut losses despite positive AI catalysts....
2026-02-26 BUY
Summary: ORCL shows signs of reversal with price stabilizing above key support at 148, RSI climbing from oversold, and bullish AI power deal news easing infrastructure concerns, justifying quick long entry post-2/24 short exit as new catalysts outweigh prior stabilization risks....
2026-02-25 CASH
Summary: Price stabilization near support with mixed news signals warrants caution, holding cash until clearer bullish momentum post-earnings....
2026-02-24 COVERED
Summary: Exit short as price shows signs of stabilization near key support with oversold RSI rebound and positive news on debt resolution, despite ongoing downtrend risks....
2026-02-23 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue short as price breaks lower in persistent downtrend amid dilution fears from $45-50B raise, new lawsuit risks, and oversold bounce failure, with no clear reversal yet....
2026-02-20 SHORT
Summary: Enter short as price breaks below recent supports amid persistent dilution fears from $45-50B fundraising, new securities fraud lawsuit, potential 30k layoffs, and AI competition concerns fueling bearish momentum, justifying quick shift from 2/17 long exit due to escalated negative developments and lower entry price....
2026-02-19 CASH
Summary: ORCL remains in a choppy downtrend with recent sideways churning around 154-160 after exiting long on 2/17 due to dilution fears and downgrade, lacking clear bullish catalysts for immediate re-entry despite some positive analyst views on undervaluation....
2026-02-18 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as ORCL's price action remains choppy and range-bound around 150-160 post the early February low at 136, with persistent dilution fears from the $45-50B AI fundraising, recent analyst downgrade, new class action fraud allegations, and bearish AI sector news from Anthropic's Claude model outweighing the prior analyst upgrade, while technicals show negative MACD and price below falling resistance at ~162, suggesting high risk of whipsaw without clear directional breakout ahead of March 9 earnings....
2026-02-17 SOLD
Summary: Exit long as dilution fears from $45-50B fundraising plans, analyst downgrade, and pullback below entry amid bearish momentum outweigh prior rebound signals....
2026-02-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as ORCL continues rebounding with recent analyst upgrades easing AI funding concerns, RSI at 42 signaling upside room amid improving MACD and short-term uptrend targeting 170+....
2026-02-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as ORCL stabilizes post-bounce with analyst upgrade and $50B funding clarity, RSI at 40 signaling room for upside despite negative MACD, targeting above 160 amid AI cloud demand....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as ORCL bounces on $50B AI financing plan easing debt fears, with RSI at 40 and high volume support, despite negative MACD, targeting reversal above 160; next earnings March 9, 2026....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: ORCL continues upward bounce from oversold lows with RSI improving, high volume support, and easing debt concerns post-financing, despite MACD lag....
2026-02-09 BUY
Summary: ORCL bounces 9% on analyst upgrade to Buy citing pure upside in cloud, post-$50B financing easing debt fears, with RSI rebound from oversold and high volume signaling potential reversal despite ongoing lawsuit....
2026-02-06 CASH
Summary: Recent financing eases debt fears with CDS dropping, but new bondholder lawsuit and oversold bounce in downtrend lack clear reversal for entry....
2026-02-05 COVERED
Summary: Cover short amid plummeting CDS spreads post-$50B financing plan easing credit crunch fears, but hold off long entry until clearer reversal from oversold levels and lawsuit resolution....
2026-01-30 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL slides to $165s amid bondholder lawsuit escalation & Burry put pile-on with CDS at peaks; hold short the credit crunch....
2026-01-27 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL tanks 4% to $175s amid MS CDS buy rec, Burry puts & lawsuit escalation; hold short the intensifying credit crunch....
2026-01-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL grinds ~$182 amid Burry puts & bondholder lawsuit escalation; hold short the debt crisis drag....
2026-01-23 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL grinds to $172s amid lawsuit escalation & Burry short pile-on; hold short the debt unraveling....
2026-01-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL +3% relief rally on geopolitics but bondholder lawsuit & CDS peaks persist; hold short the trap bounce....
2026-01-21 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL crashes another 6-11% to $170s on bondholder lawsuit & CDS 139bps surge; hold short the debt crisis meltdown....
2026-01-20 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL smashes $185 on Moody's actual downgrade to Baa2 & CDS 160bps crisis levels; hold short the debt death spiral....
2026-01-16 SHORT
Summary: From 1/15 CASH due to bondholder lawsuit & Burry short exposing debt risks, escalation with lawsuit specifics (losses from undisclosed $100B+ AI debt) + Burry's bet details + CDS 150bps ATH now confirm downside momentum—short immediately....
2026-01-15 SOLD
Summary: Bondholder lawsuit & Burry short expose AI debt risks, sliding ORCL ~4% to $190s; exit long to cut losses....
2026-01-14 BUY
Summary: ORCL surges to $198 on $523B backlog value vs debt FUD & wedge breakout; long the post-capitulation reversal....
2026-01-13 COVERED
Summary: ORCL hammers $170s on max capitulation volume with CDS exhaustion & X call sweeps; cover short ~12-15% profits for reversal risk....
2026-01-12 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL breaches $180 on Moody's downgrade watch & CDS 150bps explosion; hold short the accelerating debt implosion....
2026-01-09 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL triggers bearish death cross as AI capex weighs & CDS spikes to 125-150bps; hold short the technical breakdown....
2026-01-08 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL probes $185 amid CDS blowout to 106bps & Blue Owl $10B Michigan exit; hold short the AI debt panic per CNBC/Reuters....
2026-01-07 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL tests $190 support amid CDS surges to 106bps & Blue Owl Michigan snub; hold short as AI credit hedge proxy per Benzinga....
2026-01-06 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL drifts ~$190 on OpenAI concerns & UBS PT slash to $280 despite Blue Owl denial; hold short the debt overhang grind....
2026-01-05 SHORT
Summary: Blue Owl bails on $10B Michigan financing as CDS hits 139bps highs & debt fears crush; short the lender revolt....
2026-01-02 CASH
Summary: ORCL sideways ~$190-192 in thin New Year tape post-exhaustion base; no breakout—stay cash avoiding whipsaw into Q1....
2025-12-31 COVERED
Summary: Year-end oversold exhaustion at $190s with call sweeps & RHouse "second look" flips debt FUD; cover short ~3-5% gains for 2026 clarity....
2025-12-30 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ORCL slips post-insider sale amid $127B debt & -$13B FCF into worst quarter finale; hold short the year-end purge....
2025-12-29 SHORT
Summary: ORCL craters 42% from Sept highs toward worst quarter since 2001 on debt crisis & CDS ATH; short the relentless AI unwind....
2025-12-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position as the bounce from volume capitulation low remains valid without sustained breakdown, MACD shows continued bullish improvement, and price holds above entry amid a potential reversal setup despite overall downtrend....
2025-12-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position entered on pullback after volume capitulation, with price now slightly above entry at 198 amid improving MACD bullish convergence, confirmed downtrend but exception allowed, no invalidation as price hasn't sustained below capitulation low for 5+ bars, and no upcoming earnings or catalysts within 3 days justifying multi-week hold for potential reversal higher....
2025-12-23 BUY
Summary: Entering long on pullback after recent volume capitulation, with price still above the capitulation low in a confirmed downtrend allowing exception for entry, better price than recent bounce high, MACD showing bullish convergence, and no immediate catalysts or invalidated signals justifying multi-week hold for potential reversal....
2025-12-22 COVERED
Summary: Covering the short position as price has bounced significantly from recent lows post-capitulation with increasing volume and bullish MACD convergence signaling potential reversal, while the position has met minimum hold and is near support without clear further downside catalysts....
2025-12-19 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short as the downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no confirmed reversal despite recent volume capitulation, and the position remains profitable with room for further downside amid no imminent catalysts....
2025-12-18 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short as the downtrend remains intact with price below declining EMA and SMA, continued high-volume selling without confirmed reversal after low-conviction capitulation, and minimum hold period not yet satisfied amid no imminent catalysts....
2025-12-17 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short as the downtrend persists with price making new lows below declining EMA and SMA, post-earnings weakness amplified by high-volume selling and lack of strong reversal after low-conviction capitulation, while minimum hold period not yet met....
2025-12-16 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short position as the downtrend remains intact with price below declining EMA and SMA, recent new lows post-negative earnings reaction, and low-conviction volume capitulation on 12/12 without strong reversal confirmation amid ongoing selling pressure....
2025-12-15 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short as the downtrend persists with price hitting new lows below moving averages post-negative earnings, despite low-conviction volume capitulation at $189.97 lacking strong reversal confirmation amid high volume selling pressure....
2025-12-12 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short position as the downtrend remains intact with price breaking to new lows below key moving averages, and the lower conviction volume capitulation at $189.92 suggests potential exhaustion but lacks strong confirmation for an immediate reversal amid ongoing weakness from negative earnings reaction....
2025-12-11 SHORT
Summary: Entering short on confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward, post-earnings drop without capitulation, re-entering after prior cover due to further price decline below key supports and negative earnings reaction confirming weakness....
2025-12-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to Oracle's confirmed downtrend without volume capitulation, but avoiding entry on earnings day today (12/10/2025) per risk guidelines, with price at 221.76 showing short-term bounce but no high-confidence short setup above recent supports....
2025-12-09 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to impending earnings on 12/10/2025 and ongoing downtrend without volume capitulation, avoiding entry risks while monitoring for post-earnings setup....
2025-12-08 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash post-earnings as ORCL remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both declining averages, but the mild positive price reaction today introduces volatility risk without a high-confidence short entry at this higher level after our recent exit....
2025-12-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to Oracle's upcoming Q2 earnings on 12/8/2025 within the next 3 days, combined with the ongoing downtrend but no high-confidence entry setup that justifies risk ahead of potential volatility....
2025-12-04 COVERED
Summary: Exit the short position ahead of Oracle's Q2 earnings on 12/8/2025 to mitigate volatility risk, as the downtrend continues with price below declining EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, and no volume capitulation, but earnings reactions have been mixed and significant historically....
2025-12-03 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding the short position as the downtrend remains confirmed with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and recent high-volume selling, while earnings are not within 3 days. Technical indicators support holding the short: MACD is deeply negative at -16.56, though a recent crossover above the signal line at -17.24 suggests potential short-term momentum shift, but this hasn't invalidated the overall bearish setup yet, especially with RSI at 35.67 indicating room for further downside before oversold conditions. Volume has been elevated on down days, like the 44M+ shares on 11/21's drop to $198, without any capitulation flags ("!" or "BOT") in the past two months, reducing the risk of an imminent reversal....
2025-12-02 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding short as the confirmed downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and high-volume selling, while monitoring for exit near lower support levels or before 12/8/2025 earnings....
2025-12-01 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding short as the downtrend remains confirmed with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and high-volume selling pressure outweighing oversold RSI signals, while monitoring for exit near support or before 12/8/2025 earnings....
2025-11-28 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding short as the confirmed downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and oversold RSI indicating potential for further downside amid high-volume selloffs and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-11-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend remains confirmed with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD and oversold RSI suggesting further downside potential amid high-volume breakdowns and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-11-25 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with price below declining EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD/RSI, and recent high-volume breakdowns supporting further downside potential over the next week before upcoming earnings catalyst....
2025-11-24 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend remains intact with price below EMA/SMA both declining, no volume capitulation, weakening MACD/RSI, and recent high-volume selling breaking supports without reversal signals, supporting holding the short position entered at $217.57 for further downside potential over the next couple weeks....
2025-11-21 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with price breaking key supports on high-volume selling, no volume capitulation, weakening indicators like MACD and RSI signaling further downside potential over the coming weeks without imminent reversal catalysts....
2025-11-20 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend continues with price below declining EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, persistent high-volume selling, and weakening momentum indicators supporting further downside potential over the next few weeks....
2025-11-19 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with price below declining EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, high-volume selling pressure, and lack of strong bullish catalysts support holding the short for further potential downside over the coming weeks....
2025-11-18 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with price below declining EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation or bullish catalysts, recent high-volume selling supports further downside over weeks despite short-term bounce, holding short from $217.57....
2025-11-17 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend intact with EMA below SMA and both declining, price below both without volume capitulation, recent high-volume selling pushing below key support at $225, no bullish catalysts or reversals in sight, holding short from $217.57 for further multi-week downside....
2025-11-14 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and both declining, price below both without volume capitulation, high-volume bounce today but still below resistance and prior support break, no immediate catalysts to reverse, holding short position entered at $217.57 for multi-week downside potential....
2025-11-13 SHORT
Summary: Downtrend confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both moving downward without recent volume capitulation, providing high-confidence short entry below EMA after breaking support at 225, with risk/reward favoring further downside over weeks amid weakening momentum and no immediate catalysts....
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the stock is in a downtrend but testing key support at $225 with oversold RSI at 28.7, unclear EMA/SMA dynamics, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given risk of bounce and lack of volume capitulation....
2025-11-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with SMA moving sideways while EMA declines, no volume capitulation, and price in a downtrend but oversold near support without high-confidence setup for long or short entry....
2025-11-10 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with SMA moving sideways while EMA declines below it and price stays well below both after a sharp multi-week drop without volume capitulation, suggesting high risk of whipsaw or bounce from oversold RSI around 32 without clear downtrend confirmation for a short entry. Technical indicators like MACD at -11.56 with a bearish histogram and Slow STO at low levels (1.55% K) indicate oversold conditions, yet without a clear reversal pattern or high-volume bottom, this resembles past fakeouts in the stock's history where attempted long entries during pullbacks led to further downside, as seen in our prior trades with repeated losses on longs amid post-earnings volatility....
2025-11-07 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but SMA still rising slowly, price below both without volume capitulation, recent sharp downside momentum, and no high-confidence setup for long or short entry given the rules and past losing longs on this stock....
2025-11-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but SMA not clearly declining, avoiding entries per technical guidelines while recent history shows volatility and losses on longs without high-confidence setup for short....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear after recent pullback with EMA below SMA but not both clearly declining, no volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and past trades show repeated losses on premature longs amid post-earnings volatility, so staying in cash to avoid whipsaw until a high-confidence setup emerges....
2025-11-04 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with recent EMA crossing below SMA, price below both in a tight range without volume capitulation, and risk/reward not favoring a short entry given support at 225 and potential bounce to 277, while no uptrend for long; recent trade losses highlight need for patience after October 20 exit at 277.18....
2025-11-03 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA that are tightly bound and moving sideways without volume capitulation, following recent exit on 10/20 due to broken support and bearish MACD that still persists amid ongoing downside momentum and no compelling reversal signals....
2025-10-31 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, no clear uptrend or downtrend direction, recent volatility without volume capitulation, and we just exited a losing long position on 10/20 due to breaks below key levels which still persist without new bullish catalysts....
2025-10-30 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA after a sharp high-volume drop to 259.68, no volume capitulation flagged, and recent trade history shows losses from longs during pullbacks, so staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry while awaiting stronger technical confirmation....
2025-10-29 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with price below both EMA and SMA after recent pullback from 313 high, lacking volume capitulation or confirmed reversal for long entry, while no downtrend setup exists for short; staying in cash avoids poor risk/reward amid choppy action and prior losing longs on similar volatility....
2025-10-28 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with price below EMA, no volume capitulation, and recent exit on 10/20/2025 due to broken support and weakening indicators, without new high-conviction catalysts for re-entry so soon....
2025-10-27 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after recent exit as trend remains unclear with price below EMA despite being above SMA, no volume capitulation, and insufficient new bullish catalysts or better entry price to justify quick re-entry....
2025-10-24 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price below declining EMA despite above SMA, no volume capitulation, recent exit on 10/20 from broken support and weakening MACD, and insufficient conviction for re-entry amid post-earnings volatility pullback without new catalysts....
2025-10-23 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with price below EMA after recent pullback and exit on 10/20, lacking strong uptrend signals or new catalysts for immediate re-entry....
2025-10-22 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below EMA but above SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry, recent exit on 10/20 at $277.18 due to breakdown below EMA and support, and no high-confidence setup for re-entry despite slightly lower price now at $274.05....
2025-10-21 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price between EMA and SMA after a recent break below EMA, no volume capitulation, and bearish MACD signals amid post-earnings volatility, avoiding re-entry soon after the 10/20 exit without a confirmed uptrend or new bullish catalysts....
2025-10-20 SOLD
Summary: Exiting long as price has broken below EMA and key support around $287 amid weakening MACD crossover, high-volume selling, and no volume capitulation to signal reversal, despite Oracle's strong AI fundamentals. MACD at 4.9057 below signal at 7.197 confirms bearish momentum shift, and RSI at 45.24 suggests neutral but leaning oversold without conviction for rebound. No recent volume capitulation flagged, and the break below the noted rising support trendline around $253 (last tested 34 bars ago) on elevated volume (31M+ shares on 10/20) points to potential further downside, similar to past post-earnings pullbacks in history where holds led to losses (e.g., 9/29 exit at $282.76 after volatility)....
2025-10-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA and key rising support at $287.5 held on high-volume touch, MACD weakening but no confirmed breakdown amid Oracle's AI/cloud growth momentum and no imminent catalysts....
2025-10-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend remains strong with price above EMA/SMA, positive MACD momentum, recovery from $281.24 entry amid AI/cloud catalysts, and no breakdowns below key supports like $286 rising trendline....
2025-10-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long position as uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, recovery from $281.24 entry to $302.34 amid AI/cloud growth momentum, positive MACD trajectory, and no breakdowns below key supports like $284 rising trendline....
2025-10-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: The stock shows strong upward momentum with positive MACD and recent highs, supported by bullish news on AI and cloud growth....
2025-10-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, strong recovery from $281.24 entry to $309.51 amid positive AI/cloud momentum, no breakdowns below $280 support, and MACD showing bullish potential despite short-term signal lag....
2025-10-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent price recovery to $292.58 from entry at $281.24, no breakdowns below key support near $280, and positive momentum from AI/cloud growth catalysts outweighing short-term MACD weakness....
2025-10-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend remains strong with price well above EMA and SMA, no breakdowns below support near $280, sustained momentum from recent price action, and no catalysts forcing an exit within the next few days....
2025-10-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, no breakdowns below key support near $280, continued momentum from post-earnings recovery, and no imminent catalysts forcing an exit....
2025-10-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, no breakdowns below key support around $275-280, high volume on today's recovery suggesting buying interest, and no imminent earnings or catalysts to force an exit....
2025-10-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend persists with price above EMA/SMA, recent price action showing strength post-pullback without breakdowns, and no imminent catalysts or volume capitulation signaling reversal....
2025-10-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend remains strong with price above EMA and SMA, recent consolidation above key support near $280 showing resilience, no breakdowns or imminent catalysts, and Oracle's robust AI/cloud fundamentals supporting multi-week upside....
2025-10-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent bounce from support near $275-280 showing resilience, no breakdowns or imminent catalysts, and Oracle's strong AI/cloud growth supporting further upside potential over weeks....
2025-10-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as the uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, recent bounce from support showing strength, and no imminent catalysts or breakdowns, supported by Oracle's AI/cloud momentum for multi-week potential....
2025-09-30 BUY
Summary: Re-entering long after recent exit as price dipped further to a better entry in confirmed uptrend with intact support, no imminent catalysts, and strong fundamentals from AI/cloud growth outweighing short-term MACD weakness for multi-week hold potential....
2025-09-29 SOLD
Summary: Pullback has broken key support around $283 on high volume with no volume capitulation, MACD weakening despite technical uptrend still intact, prompting exit after minimum hold to avoid further downside risk amid post-earnings volatility....
2025-09-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend intact with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback testing and holding key support at $283 amid post-earnings AI cloud momentum volatility, no breakdowns or catalysts warranting exit....
2025-09-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend remains with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback holding key supports amid post-earnings volatility in AI cloud momentum, no breakdowns or near-term catalysts to exit....
2025-09-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA despite recent volatility, supported by post-earnings momentum in AI cloud sector and no immediate breakdowns or catalysts warranting exit. The chart shows a massive gap up on huge volume post-earnings, followed by a dip to around $292 on September 12th, a bounce back to $328 on September 22nd, and now a pullback to $306, which aligns with historical patterns of volatile consolidation after big moves in ORCL—similar to the July-August period where a breakout led to a flat exit on trend break, but here no such break has occurred yet....
2025-09-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback to 310-312 finding support without breaking key levels, supported by ongoing AI cloud growth momentum and no immediate catalysts....
2025-09-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent recovery from healthy pullback near 292-298 support without capitulation, bolstered by positive AI cloud momentum and no near-term catalysts....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA after earnings-driven gap, healthy pullback finding support around 292-298 without volume capitulation, supported by positive AI cloud momentum and no immediate catalysts....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA post-earnings gap, recent pullback to 298 appears healthy without breaking key supports around 269-280, bolstered by ongoing AI cloud growth and no near-term catalysts....
2025-09-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA/SMA after massive earnings gap, recent pullback appears as a healthy dip without trend breakdown, supported by positive AI cloud momentum and no immediate catalysts....
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists post-earnings gap with price above EMA/SMA, no trend breakdown, and positive AI momentum outweighing minor pullback, holding for multi-week potential....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Massive earnings-driven gap up on 9/10/2025 established a strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, high volume confirmation, and positive AI/cloud momentum, justifying holding through the recent pullback as technicals remain intact without trend breakdown....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Massive post-earnings gap up on 9/10/2025 confirmed strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, high volume, positive momentum indicators, and bullish cloud/AI news supporting multi-week hold despite recent pullback....
2025-09-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Massive earnings-driven gap up on 9/10/2025 established a strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, high volume confirmation, and no breakdown signals despite today's pullback, supporting holding the existing long position for multi-week potential....
2025-09-10 BUY
Summary: Massive post-earnings breakout on 9/10/2025 with 37% gap up, huge volume, price well above EMA/SMA confirming strong uptrend, justifying re-entry after prior exit due to new catalyst and momentum shift....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA, recent price crossings of moving averages, no volume capitulation, and earnings report scheduled for today after market close, avoiding entry on earnings day despite positive price action. No recent volume capitulation flagged in the past month, so no basis for buying a dip in a potential downtrend. MACD is bearish at -1.78 with histogram negative, RSI at 55 is neutral, and Stochastic %K at 59.8 suggests mild momentum but not overbought. Support at $225.12 (strength 2, recent bounces), resistance at $260.87 (strength 2), and a falling trendline from $260.87 with slope -0.375, last tested 19 bars ago—price broke above recent highs but remains below that trendline, indicating potential overhead pressure....
2025-09-08 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, price just above both without strong momentum, no volume capitulation, and earnings tomorrow on 9/9/2025 barring entry, following our exit on 8/19 at a lower price amid broken uptrend....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation for long entry, upcoming earnings on 9/9/2025 preventing min hold period for new positions, and recent price action showing rejection at resistance without strong reversal signals....
2025-09-04 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend without volume capitulation for long entry, short entry blocked by upcoming earnings on 9/8/2025 requiring exit too soon against minimum hold period, and no high-conviction setup overriding technicals....
2025-09-03 CASH
Summary: Upcoming earnings on 9/8/2025 loom too close for a new entry given the need for multi-week holds without crossing catalysts, while the clear downtrend lacks volume capitulation for a confident short and recent price action shows choppy support tests around 220-225 without strong reversal signals....
2025-09-02 CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound after a recent crossover, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 9/8/2025, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence entries amid potential volatility....
2025-08-29 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both after a sharp drop, no volume capitulation, and recent exit on broken uptrend, so stay in cash to avoid poor entry while awaiting clearer setup or catalysts....
2025-08-28 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to clear uptrend resumption but upcoming earnings on 9/8/2025 preventing a minimum 10-14 day hold without violating rules against holding through catalysts, with no qualifying history to disregard and recent exit on 8/19/2025 after trend break now reversed by price reclaiming above EMA/SMA....
2025-08-27 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent exit on 8/19 after trend break, no volume capitulation for new entry, and upcoming earnings on 9/8/2025 that we cannot hold through based on historical criteria not being met for positive surprise threshold....
2025-08-26 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent exit on 8/19 without new catalysts or improved entry price to justify quick re-entry....
2025-08-25 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry in potential downtrend, and upcoming earnings on 9/8/2025 prevent a new position that must hold at least 10-14 days without violating hold-through rules....
2025-08-22 CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but price between them, recent sharp drop without volume capitulation, and we just exited a long position on 8/19 at a similar price level, so avoid re-entry to prevent whipsaw....
2025-08-21 CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with price between EMA and SMA after a recent pullback from highs, no volume capitulation, and we just exited a losing long position, so better to wait for a high-confidence setup....
2025-08-20 CASH
Summary: The uptrend remains broken with price below the EMA on a sharp volume spike drop, making the current setup unclear for new entries while we just exited a long position yesterday to avoid further losses....
2025-08-19 SOLD
Summary: The uptrend is broken with price now below the EMA, MACD showing a bearish crossover, and the position slightly underwater after a sharp drop below recent support at $235.41, prompting an exit to preserve capital without imminent catalysts or confirmed reversal to downtrend....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, no clear reversal despite recent volatility, and the position remains profitable without imminent catalysts or resistance breaches prompting an exit....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend remains strong with price above both EMA and SMA, recent price action breaking above prior highs with increasing volume, and no reversal signals or upcoming catalysts warranting an exit from the profitable long position entered at $234.96 now at $248.77....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend persists with price above both EMA and SMA, no reversal signals despite recent pullback from $257 resistance, and strong fundamentals in AI/cloud growth support continuing the long position entered at $234.96 now at $244.46 targeting higher levels....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback from resistance at $257 shows no reversal signs, and strong AI/cloud momentum supports holding the long position from $234.96 now at $243.58 for further upside potential....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, strong momentum from AI/cloud growth, and no signs of reversal, supporting holding the long position from $234.96 now at $254.20 for potential further upside....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent highs supported by AI/cloud momentum, justifying holding the long from $234.96 now at $253.11 for further gains....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: The uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback finding support without volume capitulation, bolstered by strong cloud/AI growth news and analyst targets up to $325, justifying holding the long position from $234.96 now at $249.86....
2025-08-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, supported by recent analyst price target hikes to $280-$325 driven by AI and cloud growth momentum, positive news on investments and partnerships, and no near-term earnings risk, justifying holding the long position entered at $234.96 now at $248.99....
2025-08-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by multiple analyst PT hikes to $280-$325 on AI and cloud growth acceleration, positive sentiment from X posts, and no immediate earnings risk, supporting hold of long position from $234.96 at current $255.46 despite MACD below signal....
2025-08-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent gains to $254.88 supported by BofA's $295 PT hike on AI demand, positive X sentiment on cloud growth, and no near-term earnings risk, justifying continued hold from $234.96 despite MACD below signal....
2025-08-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback to $244.42 on 8/1/2025 recovered to $252.1, supported by bullish AI cloud growth news, UBS $280 PT, positive X sentiment on revenue acceleration, justifying hold from $234.96 despite MACD below signal....
2025-08-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback on 8/1/2025 appears as a buyable dip supported by bullish AI cloud news, $138B backlog, UBS $280 PT upgrade, and positive X sentiment, justifying continued long hold from $234.96 despite MACD bearish crossover....
2025-07-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, supported by AI cloud momentum, $138B backlog, and $270 analyst target, justifies holding long position from $234.96 despite nearing overbought levels....
2025-07-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by AI cloud growth, $138B backlog, and analyst upgrades to $270 target, supporting continued hold despite overbought conditions....
2025-07-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, supported by AI-driven cloud growth and positive analyst upgrades targeting $270, favoring hold despite overbought signals....
2025-07-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, positive analyst upgrades to $270 PT amid AI infrastructure growth, and no immediate catalysts or volume capitulation to warrant exit despite touching minor resistance....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by analyst upgrades to $270-315 targets amid AI growth news, holding through overbought signals for multi-week momentum....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive analyst upgrades and AI growth news, justifying hold despite overbought signals for multi-week momentum....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong uptrend continues with price above EMA/SMA, recent pullback finding support near rising trendline around 237, positive AI-driven momentum from Q4 earnings beat and analyst upgrades favoring multi-week hold despite overbought signals....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing strong uptrend with positive analyst upgrades and AI demand news supporting multi-week hold despite recent pullback....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on ORCL as the uptrend continues with strong momentum post-breakout, recent highs, and positive AI catalysts outweighing mild overbought signals for a multi-week horizon....
2025-07-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on ORCL as the strong uptrend persists with recent highs, positive MACD momentum, and high volume supporting further upside despite overbought RSI, aligning with multi-week hold strategy from entry at 234.96....
2025-07-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing strong uptrend with price breaking to new highs above $240 on solid volume and positive momentum indicators, holding long position from $234.96 as overbought RSI suggests caution but no reversal signals yet....
2025-07-15 BUY
Summary: Strong uptrend with breakout above 200 on high volume from likely earnings catalyst, overbought indicators but momentum favors multi-week hold despite pullback risk.