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NVDA on Tech Trader

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

NVDA on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-02-23 CASH
Summary: NVDA's price is consolidating in a tight range around $190 with overbought stochastics and upcoming earnings on February 25, 2026, warranting caution after recent exit to avoid pre-earnings volatility.

Recent chart shows NVDA in a short-term uptrend from early February lows near $172, bouncing off rising support around $175 while testing falling resistance at $194, but with RSI neutral at 55 and MACD showing mild bullish momentum yet stochastics overbought at 88, suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation rather than strong trend; volume on the latest bar is average without capitulation, and price closed slightly up at $190.28 after hitting $193.95 intraday, failing to break resistance convincingly.

Fundamentally, I searched for recent news: bullish items include Nvidia's strong AI chip demand with Blackwell ramp-up and analyst upgrades (e.g., BofA raising PT to $220 on data center growth), classified as bullish due to credible sources and timely Q1 2026 outlook potentially driving price up; bearish news involves ongoing US-China trade tensions risking export curbs, neutral to bearish as it's speculative without new escalations; neutral on broader market sentiment with no major catalysts beyond earnings. Integrated material impacts favor holding cash, as earnings history shows negative reactions despite beats (e.g., -3.15% last quarter), and gamma exposure risks volatility.

No other major event catalysts immediately upcoming beyond the Q4 earnings on Feb 25, 2026; next potential is GTC conference in March, but focus remains on earnings guidance for Blackwell and China sales.

Given the recent exit on Feb 20 to lock gains and avoid earnings risk, re-entry lacks compelling new information like a significant dip or trend reversal, so staying in cash prevents whipsaw in this sideways chop ahead of the report.
2026-02-20 SOLD
Summary: NVDA faces short-term downward pressure from negative gamma exposure on Feb 20 ahead of Feb 25 earnings, despite overall bullish analyst outlook and Blackwell momentum, prompting exit from long position held since Jan 23 at 187.67 now at 189.32 to lock small gains and sidestep volatility....
2026-02-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds above EMAs with positive MACD crossover and high 94% earnings beat odds on Feb 25 amid Blackwell ramp, massive capex inflows, and analyst PTs to $300+....
2026-02-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA rallies 2%+ on Meta's multi-year $50B+ Blackwell/Rubin GPU deal, analysts PT $260+ eye Feb25 earnings double-beat.[[1]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/18/meta-deal-for-nvidia-chips-is-a-big-deal-these-2-charts-illustrate-why.html)[[2]](https://www.ainvest.com/news/meta-nvidia-deal-strong-jobs-data-assessing-priced-optimism-2602)...
2026-02-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA pre-earnings dip to $184 oversold RSI ~40/MACD divergence eyes rebound, analysts PT $260+ expect $65B+ rev beat....
2026-02-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA dips 2-3% on Arista CEO favoring AMD but RSI 37 oversold/MACD divergence eyes rebound above $180 support pre-Feb25 earnings....
2026-02-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds above key EMAs with positive MACD crossover and STO momentum, bolstered by bullish superchip production news and analyst revenue beats ahead of Feb 25 earnings, despite minor pullback....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA rebounds strongly above EMA/SMA with bullish MACD and STO, CEO highlights tight GPU demand boosting optimism ahead of Feb 25 earnings, outweighing OpenAI deal doubts and insider sales....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds above EMA/SMA post-dip rebound with bullish MACD crossover, positive CEO capex comments and $500B revenue outlook outweigh inventory concerns, eyeing Feb 25 earnings for AI beat amid analyst optimism....
2026-02-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA rebounds sharply on CEO's AI demand comments and tight GPU supply, holding above key EMAs with bullish stochastics and earnings Feb 25 eyed for strong beat amid analyst targets up to $300....
2026-02-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA surges 8% on CEO's sustainable $660B AI capex comments and Big Tech spending plans, with analysts' avg PT $264 and earnings Feb 25 supporting hold amid bounce above EMAs....
2026-02-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA dips to $172 AH oversold RSI 30/MACD sell but analysts avg PT $260 strong buy (39 firms), hold long pre-earnings.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp-technical)[[2]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/nvda/forecast)...
2026-02-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA consolidates ~$191 pre-Q4 earnings (Feb25) on confirmed China H200 orders (Alibaba/Tencent 400k+ units), RSI 57/MACD bullish....
2026-01-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA firms ~$190 amid China H200 approvals for Alibaba/Tencent/ByteDance (hundreds of thousands units), RSI 55/MACD bullish pre-earnings....
2026-01-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA surges +2% to $192 on China approving H200 imports for Alibaba/Tencent/ByteDance (400k+ units), timed with Jensen's visit—reopens $10B+ TAM....
2026-01-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds $189 amid China H200 prep approvals/Jensen trip, RSI 56 neutral/MACD buy signals rebound.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA)[[2]](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/article/tokenring-2026-1-27-the-great-ai-re-balancing-nvidias-h200-returns-to-china-as-jensen-huang-navigates-a-new-geopolitical-frontier)[[3]](https://altindex.com/ticker/nvda/technical-analysis)...
2026-01-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds ~$188 post-China H200 prep orders signal, RSI ~54/MACD bullish divergence eyes $190 resistance.[[1]](https://www.investors.com/research/nvidia-nvda-stock-ai-january-2026)[[2]](https://stockinvest.us/stock/NVDA)...
2026-01-23 BUY
Summary: Last CASH'd on China H200 blocks slashing market share, but US eases exports w/25% tariff (FinancialContent) unlocks billions—re-enter LONG on chip slide dip....
2026-01-22 SOLD
Summary: Escalating China H200 blocks slash NVDA market share to 8%, H&S pattern targets $170—sell to lock breakeven amid crash risks....
2026-01-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA stabilizes ~$180 on China H200 halt but Q4 $65B guide/Blackwell demand intact, RSI oversold bounce setup....
2026-01-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA tests $179-180 support on China H200 blocks but Blackwell/Rubin demand robust, BofA $190 PT holds....
2026-01-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA down 3% YTD on China H200 curbs but Motley Fool "time to buy the dip," 24/7 Wall St $200+ 2026 forecast....
2026-01-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA dips on China H200 import restrictions but holds $181 support, Motley Fool eyes Jan15-Feb4 jump on Blackwell/Rubin catalysts....
2026-01-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA edges to $186 on TSMC H200 China order surge/Blackwell demand, CES Rubin tailwinds, RSI 52/MACD bullish....
2026-01-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds $185 on China H200 export ambiguity but CES Rubin/Blackwell demand intact, BofA PT hikes, RSI/MACD bullish....
2026-01-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA consolidates ~$185 amid China H200 prepayment FUD but CES Vera Rubin/Blackwell hype drives $200B rev outlook, BofA PTs strong....
2026-01-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA firms ~$190 post-CES on Vera Rubin/Blackwell $500B pipeline, China H200 demand, RSI 58/MACD bullish....
2026-01-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA consolidates ~$188 post-CES on Vera Rubin/Blackwell ramps despite AI cycle clash, BofA $275 PT intact....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA rallies post-CES on Vera Rubin launch/Blackwell $500B demand, China H200 ramps, BofA $275 PT....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA surges post-CES Jensen keynote on Vera Rubin launch/5x AI compute, Blackwell full prod, China H200 demand, BofA $275 PT....
2026-01-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA rallies to $195+ on live CES NVIDIA event/Blackwell demand, H200 China shipments mid-Feb, RSI 55/MACD bullish....
2026-01-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA opens 2026 ~$190+ on CES hype/China H200 ramps, RSI 54/MACD bullish continuation....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA ~$189 EOY strength on China H200 ramps/BofA $275 PT, RSI 53/MACD bullish....
2025-12-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA holds $188+ on H200 China mid-Feb shipments/Groq deal, BofA $275 PT, RSI/MACD bullish into EOY....
2025-12-29 BUY
Summary: NVDA consolidates ~$188 on Groq $20B deal/H200 China mid-Feb shipments, BofA $275 PT, bullish RSI/MACD....
2025-12-26 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, avoiding new entries while recent price action shows recovery from December lows without confirmed uptrend or volume capitulation to justify a long position....
2025-12-24 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both prevents new entries, while recent history shows whipsaw risks in similar sideways patterns without strong catalysts. Technical indicators like MACD improving but still negative (-0.42) and RSI at 56 suggest neutral momentum, with no clear uptrend or downtrend established. Support at 168.41 was tested recently but held, while resistance near 199.94 looms above, and a falling trendline around 201 adds overhead pressure; however, without trend confirmation, entries are avoided to prevent whipsaw, as seen in past trades like the December short exited at a loss after an unexpected breakout....
2025-12-23 COVERED
Summary: Exit the existing short position from 12/12/2025 at $175.02 to limit losses as price has broken above key resistance at $184 and both EMA/SMA without reaching target supports of 168-161, with improving MACD and no volume capitulation to sustain downtrend, while minimum hold period is satisfied....
2025-12-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding the short from 12/12/2025 at $175.02 as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price testing resistance near $184 without breaking higher, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD divergence, and minimum hold period now met but not yet at target supports of 168-161 to cover....
2025-12-19 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding the short position as the downtrend remains with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, targeting supports at 168-161, and minimum hold period not yet met since 12/12/2025 entry at $175.02 amid bearish MACD. Volume has been elevated on down days, supporting continued weakness, with RSI at 49 neutral but MACD histogram negative at -0.24, indicating bearish momentum. No volume capitulation flagged in the last two months, so no reversal signal for longs in this downtrend. Key supports at 168.41 (strength 2) and 161.61 (strength 3) remain untested recently, providing a target for the short with favorable risk/reward if price resumes lower; resistance at 199.94 and falling trendline around 202 caps upside. Simulating based on history, similar downtrend shorts in March-April 2025 targeted supports successfully for gains (e.g., 3/11 entry at 108.76 covered at 108.38 near 103.65 support; 4/1 at 110.15 covered at 101.8 near 101.6), while premature exits led to losses (e.g., 4/8 at 96.3 covered at 109.02 after rally without reaching target). Whipsaw check: Comparable setups in last 6 months had >50% win rate when holding to support without capitulation interrupting, unlike volatile periods post-earnings. Fundamentals supplement: NVDA's AI dominance persists, but recent filings show insider selling (e.g., executives offloading shares in Nov-Dec 2025), unusual options activity leans put-heavy with high put/call ratio signaling bearish sentiment. Searched news: (1) Dec 18 rumor of delayed Blackwell chip shipments due to design issues—bearish, credible from supply chain reports, timely, potential for 5-10% downside reaction as seen in past delays; (2) Dec 17 positive AI demand forecast from analyst—bullish but neutral impact, low credibility as unverified, minimal timeliness post-earnings; (3) Broader market: Fed rate cut expectations for 2026 could boost tech, but NVDA's high valuation (P/E ~50x) makes it vulnerable to pullbacks—neutral to bearish linkage. Integrated the chip delay rumor as material bearish catalyst reinforcing the short. No other catalysts in next 3 days. Overall, high-confidence hold on short, avoiding exit until near support or invalidation, learning from history not to cover prematurely during choppy downtrends.
2025-12-18 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding the short position as the downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, targeting supports at 168-161, and minimum hold period not yet satisfied since entry on 12/12/2025....
2025-12-17 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding short as downtrend persists with price below declining EMA and SMA, no capitulation, targeting supports at 168-161, and hold period not yet met....
2025-12-16 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding short as downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, targeting lower supports around 168-161 over weeks, and minimum hold period not yet satisfied despite minor bounce above entry....
2025-12-15 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Clear downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward without capitulation, holding short from $175.02 targeting supports at 168-161 over weeks despite minor bounce, as minimum hold not met and no invalidation....
2025-12-12 SHORT
Summary: Clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both moving downward without volume capitulation allows short entry below EMA targeting supports at 168-161 over weeks, supported by bearish MACD and recent breakdown below 176 support....
2025-12-11 CASH
Summary: Unclear downtrend with EMA below SMA but SMA slightly up and close distance signaling rangebound action without high-confidence entry for long or short, especially near support at 176.76 avoiding poor short timing after recent volatility....
2025-12-10 CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend is not confirmed as SMA is still trending upward while EMA declines, making the overall trend unclear and unsuitable for new entries, with price churning sideways in a range around 180-185 after recent volatility....
2025-12-09 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but both flat to slightly up without downward movement, price crossing EMA twice recently in a tight range around 184-187, no volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short entry targeting bigger moves over weeks....
2025-12-05 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, frequent crossings in the past month, price below both averages in a sideways range without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while no high-confidence setup exists for long or short over the next few weeks....
2025-12-04 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but both moving sideways in a tight range, price crossing them frequently without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while recent price action shows consolidation around 180-183 after post-earnings decline....
2025-12-03 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with EMA below SMA but both moving sideways, price below both without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry after recent post-earnings decline, staying in cash to await better opportunities....
2025-12-02 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and moving sideways post-earnings volatility, avoiding new entries while awaiting clearer high-confidence setup targeting support around 171 or resistance near 188....
2025-12-01 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but both moving sideways without a definitive downtrend, price below averages, no volume capitulation, and post-earnings volatility persisting, warranting caution to avoid low-confidence entries....
2025-11-28 CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend signals with price below EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and unclear trend from tight moving averages prevent new entries, while recent post-earnings weakness and bearish MACD support staying in cash to await better setups. Price has been making lower highs and lows since the November peak around $207, bouncing weakly off support near $173 but failing to reclaim key levels, reminiscent of the March 2025 downtrend where we successfully shorted multiple times before covering near supports like $103-$108. RSI at 41.34 is neutral but leaning oversold without capitulation volume, MACD at -2.87 shows bearish momentum with the line below signal, and Stochastic at low levels suggests potential for short-term bounce but not reversal. Bollinger Bands are contracting, pointing to low volatility and possible rangebound action ahead, with upper band at $205.52 far above current price....
2025-11-26 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with recent EMA/SMA cross, tight ranging averages, no volume capitulation, and price below both in a choppy post-earnings environment lacking high-confidence setup for long or short over the next few weeks....
2025-11-25 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both and both indicators declining without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per strict criteria while monitoring for high-confidence setups amid recent post-earnings volatility....
2025-11-24 CASH
Summary: Clear uptrend not confirmed with price below both EMA and SMA after post-earnings drop, avoiding new entry in unclear trend without volume capitulation, while recent history shows whipsaw risks in similar pullbacks....
2025-11-21 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with price below both EMA and SMA in a rangebound consolidation post-earnings, lacking high-confidence setup for entry while recent volatility suggests waiting for clearer direction or support test....
2025-11-20 CASH
Summary: Clear uptrend invalidated post-earnings with price below EMA and SMA amid bearish MACD crossover and no volume capitulation, prompting stay in cash to await high-confidence setup like confirmed trend resumption or reversal signal....
2025-11-19 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation for reversal, and earnings today on 11/19/2025 which doesn't meet hold-through criteria amid recent pullback from highs....
2025-11-18 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA amid recent pullback from highs, combined with upcoming earnings on 11/19/2025 prohibiting new entry, no volume capitulation or high-confidence setup for long or short over the next few weeks....
2025-11-17 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash to avoid entry right before the 11/19/2025 earnings date, as technicals show an unclear trend with price below EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation for a reversal signal, and historical earnings reactions do not meet criteria for holding through....
2025-11-14 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed uptrend but upcoming earnings on 11/19/2025 without criteria to hold through, avoiding entry that would conflict with minimum hold period amid recent volatility and no high-confidence dip setup. However, the next earnings date is 11/19/2025, and historical data doesn't satisfy the hold-through conditions (only one surprise >=7% in the last four quarters, average reaction -1.37% <0.5%), so any new position can't be held through it....
2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after recent long exit on 11/12/2025 at $193.8 ahead of earnings, as trend is unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation for reversal, and upcoming earnings on 11/19/2025 prevent new entry meeting minimum hold without holding through, with no other imminent catalysts found....
2025-11-12 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the existing long position from $183.22 at current levels around $192.58 to secure gains ahead of 11/19/2025 earnings, as historical surprises and reactions don't meet hold-through criteria, combined with a recent bearish MACD crossover signaling weakening momentum despite the overall uptrend....
2025-11-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, price at $193.94 above both after 17-bar hold from $183.22 entry, strong AI sector momentum from recent partnerships and demand, positive unusual options call activity, no volume capitulation or immediate resistance breaches warranting exit ahead of 11/19/2025 earnings....
2025-11-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, price above both at $198.82, strong AI demand, positive unusual options activity in calls, and no immediate resistance breaches or catalysts warranting exit after 16-bar hold from $183.22....
2025-11-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and both rising, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $187.15 after 15 bars amid strong AI chip demand, positive insider buying, and no breaches of key supports like the $178.92 rising trendline or imminent catalysts....
2025-11-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $189.43 after 14 bars amid strong AI demand and no breaches of key supports like the $183.99 rising trendline or imminent catalysts....
2025-11-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $198.62 after 13 bars amid strong AI sector momentum and no breaches of key supports like $183.34 rising trendline or imminent earnings triggers....
2025-11-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA, price above both and moving upward, recent breakout to $212 highs on strong volume amid positive AI demand and no immediate exit triggers like support breaches or earnings within 3 days, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $199.50 with MACD positive....
2025-11-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with price breaking to new highs above $200 on strong volume and positive AI sector momentum, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $207.76 as MACD remains bullish without resistance breaches or exit triggers....
2025-10-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $204.38 after strong breakout above $190 resistance on high volume and positive AI demand momentum, with MACD bullish and no exit signals near current highs....
2025-10-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $202.73 after minor pullback from highs amid strong AI sector momentum and positive technicals like RSI at 66.86 with no invalidation signals....
2025-10-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $206.96 after continued breakout momentum targeting $210-220 resistance amid strong AI demand and positive technicals, no invalidation....
2025-10-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both continues, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $202.07 after breakout above $195-200 resistance targeting next levels around $210-220 over weeks amid robust AI demand and positive momentum, no invalidation like sustained break below $190 support....
2025-10-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both persists, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $190.56 targeting $195-200 resistance over weeks amid strong AI chip demand and positive momentum, no invalidation like sustained break below $180 support....
2025-10-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both continues, holding existing long from $183.22 now at $187.4 targeting $195 resistance over weeks amid strong AI demand and positive momentum, no invalidation like break below supports....
2025-10-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both persists, holding existing long from $183.22 targeting $195 resistance over weeks amid strong AI chip demand and positive sector momentum, as minimum hold not met without invalidation like sustained break below recent supports....
2025-10-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA despite price dipping below both on minor pullback, holding existing long from $183.22 targeting $195 resistance over weeks amid strong AI demand and no imminent catalysts, as minimum hold period not yet met without invalidation....
2025-10-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price near both persists without invalidation of the long entry at $183.22, holding through minor pullback targeting resistance near $195 over weeks amid strong AI sector momentum and no imminent catalysts. Current close at $181.43 represents a minor pullback from the $183.22 entry two bars ago, but with RSI at 49.2 indicating neutral momentum (not oversold), MACD positive but converging, and Stochastic showing room to recover from 22.5, the setup supports holding for a rebound. Support at $168.41 (strength 2, last tested 13 bars ago) provides a buffer, while resistance near $195 aligns with recent highs and BB Upper around $192, offering a logical target for the multi-week hold....
2025-10-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the recent long entry at $183.22 targeting resistance near $195 over weeks amid positive AI momentum and no imminent catalysts, as technicals remain supportive without invalidation....
2025-10-17 BUY
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both allows buying this dip near support after recent recovery above EMA, targeting resistance around 195 over weeks, justified by quick rebound since 10/15 exit as price crossed back above EMA confirming trend resumption amid positive AI sector momentum....
2025-10-16 CASH
Summary: Clear uptrend not confirmed with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, bearish MACD crossover signals weakening momentum, avoiding new entries per trend rules while no high-confidence reversal or capitulation evident....
2025-10-15 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the existing long position from $187.24 as price has dropped below the EMA with a bearish MACD crossover and RSI at 47.6 indicating weakening momentum in an unclear trend, meeting minimum hold while avoiding further downside risk near support levels without volume capitulation....
2025-10-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Despite the recent dip below our entry price amid US-China tensions, NVDA's strong AI-driven fundamentals and positive analyst outlooks point to continued upside....
2025-10-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $187.24 as minimum hold period unmet and technicals show bullish momentum with MACD crossover and RSI at 57 supporting further upside to $200+ resistance amid strong AI sector tailwinds....
2025-10-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $187.24 as minimum hold period unmet despite today's pullback to $185.66, supported by strong AI demand and breakout momentum targeting $200+....
2025-10-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding existing long from $187.24 as minimum hold period unmet, recent breakout to new highs around $195 with strong volume and positive AI momentum targeting $200+....
2025-10-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from $187.24 as minimum hold period remains unmet, recent closes stabilizing above $185 with positive momentum targeting $200+ amid ongoing AI sector strength and no immediate catalysts....
2025-10-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both continues, holding the existing long from $187.24 as minimum hold period unmet, recent price stabilizing near $185 after breakout above $184 on strong volume, targeting $200+ amid sustained AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts....
2025-10-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both persists despite unclear trend signals from two recent crossings, holding the long position from $187.24 as minimum period unmet, recent breakout above $184 holds on decent volume targeting $200+ amid ongoing AI demand strength and no imminent catalysts....
2025-10-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the recent breakout above $184 resistance on solid volume, targeting $200+ amid strong AI sector momentum and no imminent catalysts disrupting the multi-week advance....
2025-10-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout above $184 resistance holding firm on strong volume, targeting $200+ amid sustained AI demand and no imminent catalysts....
2025-10-01 BUY
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout above $184 resistance on strong volume, targeting $200+ over weeks amid positive AI sector momentum....
2025-09-30 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and tightly rangebound without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite price above both and recent breakout above $184 resistance, while holding cash awaits clearer high-confidence setup targeting bigger moves....
2025-09-29 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA slightly below SMA in a tight range without recent volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while price tests resistance at 184 without breakout conviction, following technical priority to stay opportunistic for better setups....
2025-09-26 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both after a recent crossing, avoiding new entries while the chart shows consolidation near resistance without high-confidence setup for long or short over the next few weeks....
2025-09-25 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, tightly bound averages without frequent crossings or recent volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry after recent exit near resistance on 9/22 amid a pullback to 177.25....
2025-09-24 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and avoiding re-entry soon after 9/22 exit without significant new bullish catalysts or better price....
2025-09-23 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend from EMA below SMA, tightly rangebound averages, and multiple price crossings without recent volume capitulation, avoiding new entries after recent long exit near resistance amid no imminent catalysts....
2025-09-22 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the existing long near the $184 resistance after minimum hold period, with price testing highs amid unclear trend signals from EMA below SMA, securing gains from the $177.17 entry....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long from $177.17 as the minimum hold period is not yet met, with no sustained break below the $173.14 capitulation low for 5 consecutive bars, price holding above EMA and SMA targeting resistance near $184 amid positive AI sector developments and no imminent earnings....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position from $177.17 as the minimum hold period remains unmet, with no sustained break below the $173.14 capitulation low for 5 bars, price recovering above both EMA and SMA amid unclear trend but targeting resistance near $184 supported by strong AI sector momentum....
2025-09-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear downtrend emerging with EMA below SMA and price below both, but holding existing long from 177.17 as minimum hold period unmet, no sustained break below capitulation low of 173.14 for 5 bars, and targeting potential rebound to resistance at 184 amid strong AI demand....
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend remains intact despite minor EMA/SMA cross with price above both, holding the existing long from 177.17 above recent capitulation low of 173.14 and targeting resistance at 184, supported by strong AI chip demand and no catalysts within 3 days....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA slightly above SMA and price above both supports holding the existing long from 177.17, with rebound from recent capitulation and targeting resistance at 184 amid ongoing AI demand strength and no imminent catalysts....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both supports holding the recent long entry at 177.17 near support after rebound from capitulation low, targeting resistance around 184 amid positive AI sector momentum and no imminent catalysts....
2025-09-11 BUY
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both allows buying this dip near support after recent recovery above prior lows, targeting resistance around 184 over the next few weeks, justified by quick rebound and positive AI demand news outweighing short-term volatility....
2025-09-10 CASH
Summary: Clear uptrend is present but trend signals are unclear due to tightly rangebound EMA and SMA with no high-confidence setup for entry, staying in cash post recent long exit to await better opportunities targeting resistance near 184 over weeks....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, no fresh volume capitulation for a long entry, and recent long exit on invalidation advises caution against quick re-entry without stronger signals....
2025-09-08 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the long position from $180.17 as price has now sustained below the 8/29/2025 capitulation low of $173.14 for 5 consecutive bars, invalidating the prior reversal signal, while the chart shows weakening momentum with closes below both EMA and SMA amid a multi-day pullback, meeting the minimum hold after 11 calendar days and targeting a exit near recent support to lock in the position without chasing further downside....
2025-09-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA continues, existing long from 180.17 held as minimum 10-14 day period unmet, drop below 8/29 capitulation low of 173.14 not yet sustained 5+ bars (only 4 so far), targeting 184-190 resistance amid pullback without imminent catalysts....
2025-09-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA persists but price temporarily below both after pullback, existing long from 180.17 remains valid as drop below 8/29 capitulation low of 173.14 isn't sustained for 5+ bars yet (only 3 so far), holding through this dip targeting 184-190 resistance with minimum hold period not met and no imminent catalysts. Price closed at 170.98 after testing lows around 169.41, but this pullback follows a lower-conviction volume capitulation on 8/29 at 174.18 (with low of 173.14), and the drop hasn't sustained below that level for 5 consecutive bars—only 9/2, 9/3, and 9/4 qualify so far, so the reversal potential remains intact for now. Support levels are noted at 161.61 (stronger with recent bounces) and 138.83, both well below current price, suggesting room before major breakdowns, while resistance targets around 184-190 match prior highs from August....
2025-09-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA continues, existing long from 180.17 remains valid as price drop below 8/29 capitulation low of 173.14 isn't sustained for 5+ bars yet, holding through this pullback targeting 184-190 resistance with no imminent catalysts found....
2025-09-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA persists despite price dipping below both temporarily, existing long position from 180.17 not invalidated as drop below capitulation low at 173.14 on 8/29 isn't sustained for 5+ bars, holding through this pullback targeting 184-190 resistance amid no imminent catalysts....
2025-08-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend remains with EMA above SMA, price dipped to support at 174 with volume capitulation "!" signaling potential bottom, holding long from 180.17 targeting 184-190 as post-earnings pullback resumes per historical NVDA patterns....
2025-08-28 BUY
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, entering long on this post-earnings hammer bottom pullback near rising support at 174, targeting resistance around 184-190 over the next few weeks, as historical patterns show NVDA often resumes uptrends after neutral earnings with strong technicals....
2025-08-27 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to earnings report today, confirmed uptrend but price near resistance without a clear dip for entry, avoiding positions around high-volatility events per historical patterns....
2025-08-26 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed uptrend but impending earnings on 8/27/2025 without criteria met to hold through, avoiding entry right before to prevent volatility risk while awaiting post-earnings clarity for a potential dip buy in the ongoing uptrend....
2025-08-25 CASH
Summary: Clear uptrend confirmed with EMA above SMA and price above both, but staying in cash due to imminent earnings on 8/27/2025 and price near falling resistance at 181.91, avoiding entry right before catalyst with no hold-through criteria met....
2025-08-22 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed uptrend but upcoming earnings on 8/27/2025 preventing new long entry, as historical data doesn't meet hold-through criteria and minimum hold would require holding through it, with no other catalysts found....
2025-08-21 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the uptrend persists but entering a new long now would require holding through upcoming earnings on 8/27/2025 without meeting hold-through criteria, and we just exited a position yesterday to avoid that volatility....
2025-08-20 SOLD
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, but exiting the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 174.66 after a hammer bottom, securing small gains ahead of earnings on 8/27/2025 since historical surprises and reactions don't meet hold-through criteria, no other imminent catalysts found....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 176.32 above key supports without reversal, targeting resistance near 185-187 or exit before earnings on 8/27/2025....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long position from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 182.23 near recent highs without reversal signals, targeting exit near resistance at 185-187 or before earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 180.02 near recent highs with no reversal signals, planning exit near resistance around 185 or before earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 181.94 with strong momentum, no reversal signals, planning exit near resistance or before earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 181.44 with RSI at 65.4 showing continued strength near BB upper band, no reversal signals amid AI sector momentum, planning exit before earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 182.61 near BB upper band with RSI at 68.9 showing strength, supported by AI demand and no reversal signals, next earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 182.22 near recent highs with RSI at 68.6 showing strength but not extreme overbought, supported by ongoing AI chip demand momentum and no immediate reversal signals, with next earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 182.78 near all-time highs with RSI at 70 indicating overbought but no reversal, supported by bullish analyst targets to $227.95, strong AI demand sentiment on X, and upcoming earnings on August 27, 2025....
2025-08-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA closes at 180.16 near recent highs amid bullish analyst predictions to $220, strong AI demand news, positive X sentiment, and no reversal signals with RSI at 67....
2025-08-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA pushes to 179.74 amid positive analyst forecasts to $220, strong AI demand news, bullish X sentiment, and no reversal signals with RSI at 66....
2025-08-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA hits 180 highs amid bullish analyst targets to $220, strong AI demand forecasts, positive sentiment on X, and no reversal signals despite RSI at 66....
2025-08-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA surges to new highs at 180 amid bullish analyst targets up to $220, strong AI demand news, positive X sentiment, and no signs of reversal despite overbought RSI at 68.6....
2025-08-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA bounces from rising support at 170.89 amid analyst targets up to $200, strong AI capex news from Microsoft and Meta, bullish X sentiment, and no reversal despite minor pullback....
2025-07-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as NVDA hits new highs near 178 amid raised analyst targets to $200, strong AI demand, bullish options flow, and no reversal signals despite overbought RSI....
2025-07-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as price breaks to new highs near 177 amid bullish analyst targets up to $200 and strong AI demand forecasts, with no reversal signals despite CEO insider sales....
2025-07-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as price tests but holds above recent support around 171-173 amid bullish analyst forecasts and no trend reversal signals....
2025-07-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding the existing long from 7/21 at 171.38 as price approaches target resistance near 177-180 without reaching it yet, supported by positive AI news and sentiment, with no earnings or catalysts in the next 3 days....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: The NVDA daily chart maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, positive MACD and STO, no volume capitulation, supportive rising trendlines, and continued AI demand fundamentals driving bullish momentum without immediate catalysts to disrupt....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: The NVDA chart maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, positive MACD, high RSI/STO indicating sustained momentum, supported by bullish analyst targets up to $200 and AI demand news, holding the long position from $164.07....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA remains in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both, positive AI news like xAI GPU orders and analyst upgrades, and no immediate catalysts to exit the position entered 7 bars ago at $164.07....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: The NVDA daily chart maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive MACD, high RSI without divergence, recent bullish news from TSMC on AI demand, and no immediate earnings risk, justifying holding the long position entered at $164.07 for further upside potential over the next few weeks....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: NVDA's daily chart continues its strong bullish uptrend with rising closes, positive MACD crossover, overbought but sustained RSI near 78, supportive trendlines, and NVIDIA's AI dominance amid high demand, justifying holding the long position entered at $164.07 four bars ago....
2025-07-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: The NVDA daily chart continues its strong bullish uptrend from the April 2025 low, with rising prices breaking recent highs, positive MACD crossover, overbought but sustained RSI/STO, supportive EMAs and trendlines, and NVIDIA's AI dominance amid high demand supporting further upside despite overbought signals....
2025-07-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as NVDA's daily chart shows sustained bullish momentum with rising prices, positive MACD crossover, overbought but resilient RSI/STO, supportive trendlines, and strong AI demand fundamentals driving potential for further upside....
2025-07-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Resizing position: current 607 @ $164.07 ($99,590), expected 609, Buy 2 ($328)
2025-07-14 BUY
Summary: The NVDA daily chart shows a strong bullish uptrend since the April 2025 bottom, with positive MACD, overbought but sustained RSI and STO indicators, rising EMAs, supportive trendlines, and NVIDIAs fundamental strength in AI demand supporting continued upside momentum.