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Daily Chart

(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)

NEE on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

NEE on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-09-16 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month and price below both averages, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while recent trade history highlights risks of volatile reversals without clear catalysts.

From the chart, NEE is in a choppy range-bound phase around 70-76, with the latest close at 70.26 sitting below the EMA (72.225) and SMA (72.9812), suggesting bearish pressure but invalidated by frequent moving average crossings (at least 4 in the past month) and no volume capitulation to signal a bottom. Support levels are noted at 69.68 (recently tested) and lower at 65.35, while resistance looms at 79.85, but the stock has failed to sustain breaks above 76 in recent attempts, as seen in August highs followed by pullbacks.

Technical indicators reinforce caution: RSI at 39 indicates oversold conditions but without bullish divergence, MACD remains negative with the line below the signal, and Stochastic is low but not yet turning up decisively. Bollinger Bands are contracting, pointing to low volatility and potential consolidation rather than a trending move. Trendlines show mixed signals, with rising supports around 69.68-70 holding for now, but falling resistances capping upside.

Reviewing trade history, previous longs and shorts resulted in losses due to post-earnings drops, failed recoveries, and sudden breakouts—patterns echoing here with no clear uptrend for buying dips or confirmed downtrend for shorting without capitulation. Simulations of similar setups in the last 6 months (e.g., mid-July long entry near 76 breaking resistance but reversing post-earnings, or August short below EMA whipsawed by volume breakout) show a win rate below 50%, often due to false signals in rangebound action, supporting avoidance to prevent repeating mistakes like entering amid uncertainty.

Fundamentally, NEE benefits from renewable energy tailwinds, but utilities like this are sensitive to interest rates and regulatory news. A quick search reveals no major recent events as of 9/16/2025—neutral items like ongoing clean energy investments are bullish long-term but lack short-term impact; bearish pressures from potential rate hike rumors or energy demand fluctuations could weigh in, though nothing timely or credible stands out to override technicals. Unusual options activity is muted, with no significant insider buys/sells or social media buzz indicating momentum. Broader market context, like stable energy prices and no imminent Fed moves, suggests minimal external catalysts for a big swing.

Overall, with no high-confidence setup offering favorable risk/reward (e.g., not shorting near support bottom or buying at range top), staying in cash preserves capital for clearer opportunities, targeting holds of weeks once trends solidify.
2025-09-15 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the chart indicates an unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA by less than typical daily range without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines, while no immediate catalysts or high-conviction setups justify action....
2025-09-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend is present but unclear due to close EMA/SMA spacing without frequent crossings, recent short setups had low win rates with a quick reversal loss in August, and no high-confidence entry for long or short amid rangebound action near 70-72 without capitulation or catalysts....
2025-09-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for NEE as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA crossing twice in the past month, price below both in a potential downtrend without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given recent volatility and lack of strong catalysts....
2025-09-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with two EMA/SMA crossings in the past month, price below both in a downtrend without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short after recent losses from choppy price action....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the chart indicates an unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound without clear direction, recent trades resulted in losses from volatile bounces, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given the downtrend but proximity to support levels and lack of volume capitulation. Price closed at 70.1, near the support level of 69.68 (strength 2), and RSI at 36 indicates oversold conditions that could lead to a bounce, similar to the failed short on 8/12/2025 where a bounce above averages caused a loss. MACD is negative at -0.71, supporting bearishness, but without volume capitulation, entering a short risks another whipsaw as seen in history. No recent breakouts or breakdowns with conviction, and simulations of similar setups in the past 6 months show <50% win rate due to false signals around these levels, like the quick reversal after the 8/15/2025 breakout....
2025-09-08 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the chart indicates an unclear trend with multiple EMA/SMA crosses in the past month, price below both but no volume capitulation, and recent trade history shows losses from volatile moves, making new entries low-confidence without a clearer setup....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA and SMA crossing multiple times in the past month without volume capitulation, advising against new entries while price sits below both averages after recent volatility and trade losses. Price has also crossed the MAs frequently, with no volume capitulation flagged in the past month to signal a reversal bottom. This setup matches past unclear periods where trades like the August short led to quick invalidation and losses, so avoiding entry aligns with simulating historical patterns of whipsaws in similar ranging behavior over the last six months, where comparable setups had a win rate below 50%....
2025-09-04 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound without clear separation or volume capitulation, price below both, and no high-confidence setup for long or short after recent losses from similar choppy conditions. Volume was moderate at 9.26 million, and RSI at 38 suggests oversold but without capitulation signals to justify buying a dip outside an uptrend. MACD is negative at -0.23, with the histogram contracting, pointing to weakening downward momentum but not enough for a reversal confirmation....
2025-09-03 SOLD
Summary: Exiting long on NEE as price has broken below both EMA and SMA without volume capitulation, signaling potential downtrend continuation, with no imminent catalysts and support at 69.68 being tested amid recent losses from similar setups....
2025-09-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on NEE as the position is only 6 bars in, price is consolidating near support levels around $72 with EMA slightly above SMA suggesting potential uptrend resumption, positive MACD momentum building from the August 15 breakout, and no volume capitulation or imminent catalysts to force an exit....
2025-08-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on NEE as minimum hold period unmet, price near key support trendline at $72.02 with no volume capitulation, EMA above SMA indicating potential uptrend pullback, positive MACD momentum from 8/15 breakout, and no imminent earnings or catalysts....
2025-08-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on NEE despite recent pullback below EMA/SMA as minimum hold period not met, trend unclear without capitulation, price above key supports like $69.68, positive MACD histogram, and no imminent earnings or catalysts, with potential recovery from high-volume breakout on 8/15....
2025-08-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on NEE as the uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD, no volume capitulation or trend breach, and recent high-volume breakout support despite minor pullback, with no imminent earnings or catalysts....
2025-08-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on NEE as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive MACD crossover, recent high-volume breakout on 8/15, and no breach of key supports around $74 despite minor pullback to $74.82. MACD is at 0.8584 above its signal line at 0.5909, showing positive momentum building, and RSI at 55.25 is neutral, avoiding overbought conditions that could signal an imminent reversal. Volume on the recent breakout day (8/15) was over 23 million shares, significantly higher than average, confirming strong buying interest that propelled price from around $72 to highs near $77, and the current pullback hasn't violated the rising support trendline around $74.43 or the key support at $69.68....
2025-08-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on NEE as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, following the high-volume breakout on 8/15, positive MACD momentum, and no breach of key supports despite minor pullback....
2025-08-22 BUY
Summary: Entering long on NEE as the chart confirms an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, following a high-volume breakout on 8/15 and consolidation near recent highs, supported by positive MACD and no immediate resistance breach....
2025-08-21 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with two EMA/SMA crosses in the past month, so staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after recent losing short trade....
2025-08-20 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend from recent EMA/SMA crossings and no high-confidence setup for long or short entry....
2025-08-19 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with recent EMA/SMA crossings and tight bounding, avoiding new entries per strategy despite the recent price uptick....
2025-08-18 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, tightly rangebound MAs, frequent price crossings without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup after recent short exit loss....
2025-08-15 COVERED
Summary: Exiting short on NEE as price has broken above both EMA and SMA on high volume, invalidating the downtrend setup despite EMA still slightly below SMA, with no immediate reversal signals but clear bullish momentum....
2025-08-14 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on NEE as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price fluctuating between them without clear reversal, no volume capitulation, and recent price action showing resistance around 73 without breaking higher....
2025-08-13 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on NEE as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both, no volume capitulation, and post-earnings weakness continues without reversal signals....
2025-08-12 SHORT
Summary: Entering short on NEE as the chart confirms a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and entry below EMA after a failed recovery from post-earnings drop. No volume capitulation flagged in the past month, which supports shorting in this downtrend, and the entry price of around 71.81 is below the EMA at 72.30, avoiding shorts above it. The chart indicates resistance at 79.85 and falling trendlines overhead, while supports are lower at 69.04, 63.64, and 61.29, suggesting room for downside over the next few weeks....
2025-08-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price barely above both, and indicators tightly rangebound without clear direction or volume capitulation....
2025-08-08 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and recent crossing, while price is above both but without a confirmed uptrend or volume capitulation to justify entry, especially after recent post-earnings loss exit....
2025-08-07 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and recently crossing, while price sits just above both without clear direction or volume capitulation, and we recently exited a long at a loss avoiding re-entry higher....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both in a tight range without volume capitulation, following a recent post-earnings loss exit on 7/24/2025 at $71.97....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent post-earnings volatility suggests waiting for a clearer uptrend or capitulation signal before re-entering long....
2025-08-04 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent post-earnings loss advises patience for a better entry....
2025-08-01 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent post-earnings volatility suggests waiting for a clearer uptrend or confirmed bottom before entering a long position....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both and averages tightly rangebound, advising against new entries especially after recent post-earnings loss; patience needed for clearer setup with favorable risk/reward....
2025-07-29 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for NEE as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA post-earnings sell-off, and we recently exited a long at a loss, so waiting for a clearer uptrend or capitulation signal before re-entering....
2025-07-28 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, following a post-earnings drop that broke the prior uptrend, and no high-confidence setup for entry given recent loss on long position....
2025-07-25 CASH
Summary: Post-earnings sell-off has invalidated the prior uptrend, leaving the current trend unclear with price below both MAs but EMA still above SMA, no volume capitulation flagged, and after a recent losing trade, patience is needed for a high-confidence setup with better risk/reward....
2025-07-24 SOLD
Summary: Exit long NEE position as post-earnings sell-off has broken the uptrend with price closing below both EMA and SMA on high volume, invalidating the prior bullish setup despite strong fundamentals and guidance. ...
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long NEE position as Q2 2025 earnings showed strong EPS beat and guidance reaffirmation amid robust renewables fundamentals, despite today's revenue miss reaction causing a dip in an overall uptrend with EMA above SMA and positive MACD....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long NEE position as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA, price above both, bullish MACD crossover, positive earnings expectations for July 23 beat, and AI-driven renewable demand catalysts outweigh risks....
2025-07-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long position in NEE due to sustained uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, no trend invalidation, positive renewables fundamentals, and expectation of favorable Q2 earnings on 7/23 amid strong energy demand news....
2025-07-18 BUY
Summary: Long NEE as the chart shows a strong uptrend with price breaking towards key resistance at 76.5, supported by bullish MACD, rising trendlines, and positive momentum indicators, while fundamentals in renewables remain robust amid favorable energy sector news....