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The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

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MUFG on Tech Trader

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

MUFG on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-02-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG on MUFG amid continued uptrend, recent 52-week highs, ongoing share repurchases, and positive fintech developments, with price supported above rising EMAs despite minor pullback.

The chart shows a strong bullish trend since the April 2025 lows around $11, with price consistently making higher highs and lows, now at $19.09 after a minor dip from $19.36. This uptrend is confirmed by price remaining above the rising EMA (currently at $18.48), positive MACD histogram despite a recent signal line crossover suggesting short-term caution, and RSI at 59.21 indicating room for further upside without overbought conditions. Bollinger Bands are expanding, signaling increasing volatility in an upward direction, and multiple rising support trendlines (e.g., at $18.83 with recent bounce) provide solid floors, reducing downside risk. Volume has been steady without capitulation signals, and the stock's behavior aligns with past successful longs in trending phases, unlike the mean-reverting chops that led to small losses in 2025.

Fundamentally, MUFG benefits from supportive yen dynamics and global banking stability, as Japanese banks like MUFG gain from potential BoJ rate normalization and currency strength against USD. Recent news reinforces this: the stock hit a 52-week high of $19.12 on February 6, 2026, classified as bullish due to high credibility from market data, timeliness in the current rally, and potential for positive market reaction via increased investor confidence. Ongoing share repurchases (e.g., 23 million shares in January 2026 for ¥63.6 billion) are strongly bullish, credible from official announcements, timely as they continue into February, and likely to support price by reducing float and signaling management optimism. Fintech initiatives, like MUFG's $64M digital bond issuance, are bullish for long-term growth, with high credibility and potential impact through innovation in tokenized assets, though neutral short-term unless broader adoption accelerates.

No material bearish items emerged; minor earnings miss on February 4 had negligible price impact (0.16% reaction), and world events like stable U.S. rates or Asian economic recovery could indirectly boost MUFG via lending and investment banking. Technicals prioritize the trend, with orderflow suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. Avoid exiting prematurely, as past mistakes involved whipsaws in sideways periods—this is clearly trending.

Next upcoming earnings: May 15, 2026 (approximate, based on quarterly cycle). Other catalysts: Potential BoJ policy updates in March/April affecting yen and rates; launch of Digital Yen (DCJPY) in April 2026, which could enhance MUFG's fintech positioning; ongoing share buyback program updates.
2026-02-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG on MUFG as the uptrend continues with price above rising EMAs, positive MACD, RSI in bullish territory, and supportive yen dynamics amid global banking stability....
2026-02-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG on MUFG as the strong uptrend persists with price above rising EMAs and supports, positive MACD despite minor pullback, high stochastics, and bullish catalysts like recent acquisitions and yen strength....
2026-02-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG on MUFG as the robust uptrend holds with price above rising EMAs and supports, positive MACD, high stochastics, recent earnings beat, and ongoing share buybacks fueling gains....
2026-02-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG in MUFG as the uptrend continues with price hitting new highs above rising EMAs, bullish MACD divergence, high Stochastics, earnings beat, and share buybacks supporting further gains....
2026-02-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG in MUFG as the strong uptrend persists with consistent higher highs, positive MACD momentum, and supportive rising trendlines, despite overbought RSI, bolstered by recent expansions and stable fundamentals....
2026-02-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG in MUFG as the robust uptrend accelerates with new 52-week highs, bullish expansions into India and energy infrastructure, ongoing share buybacks, and positive Q3 earnings momentum despite minor EPS miss....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding LONG in MUFG as the strong uptrend persists with new 52-week highs, positive Q3 earnings reaction, share buybacks, and AI infrastructure expansions driving momentum....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG continues its robust uptrend with recent earnings showing increased profits, new 52-week highs, ongoing AI data center expansion via hiring and fund investments, and positive developments from Shriram Finance stake attracting partnerships....
2026-02-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG maintains strong uptrend with new 52-week highs, earnings beat, major investment in Shriram Finance, and AI data center expansion, despite conservative full-year guidance; next earnings expected around May 2026....
2026-02-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG's robust uptrend continues with recent earnings beat, share buybacks, AI financing push, and new highs, outweighing conservative guidance; next earnings around May 2026....
2026-02-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG continues strong uptrend with positive MACD, RSI not overbought, and recent earnings beat expectations despite guidance miss, supported by bullish banking sector momentum and ADR gains....
2026-02-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG Q3 net ¥520.55B beats est ¥505B despite FY guide ¥2.10T below consensus; ADR +1% to $18.63—hold long.[[1]](https://www.mufg.jp/english/ir/chart/index.html)[[2]](https://x.com/i/status/2018950894428319994)...
2026-02-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG surges 5% Tokyo pre-Q3 earnings on buyback progress, Shriram approvals; +22.5% from entry—strong hold....
2026-02-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG resilient near $18.20 ADR pre-earnings amid Shriram deal progress and buyback; +22% from entry—hold long.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MUFG)...
2026-01-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG firms above $17.90 support on Shriram deal March close path, S&P upgrade, buyback progress; +20.5% from entry—resilient hold.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MUFG)[[2]](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indias-shriram-finance-gets-shareholders-nod-mufg-deal-linked-proposals-2026-01-14)...
2026-01-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG bounces off $17.90 support on Shriram SEBI filing rumors, UBS reiterated Strong Buy; +21% from entry—bullish hold....
2026-01-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG bases at $17.95 ADR support post-dip digestion, Shriram regulatory path clear/UBS upgrade; +20.5% from entry—resilient hold....
2026-01-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG resilient near $17.90 ADR amid Shriram deal regulatory progress and UBS Strong Buy upgrade; +20% from entry—strong hold....
2026-01-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG steady post-BOJ dovish hold, Shriram deal/SEBI nods eyed; +31% from entry—bullish hold....
2026-01-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG nears 52-week high pre-BOJ on Shriram approvals/Fitch RWP, buyback; +30.5% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram secures shareholder nod for MUFG deal, Fitch RWP positive; +30% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram shareholders approve MUFG deal proposals, MS Overweight with street-high PT; +29% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Morgan Stanley Overweight Shriram TP ₹1,325 post-MUFG deal nod, MUFG nears highs pre-BOJ; +28.5% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram shareholders approve MUFG deal post-EGM, S&P upgrades rating; +28% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram EGM overwhelmingly approves MUFG $4.4B 20% stake deal (98%+ yes); MUFG near highs—hold long....
2026-01-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG nears 52-week high pre-Shriram EGM tomorrow, buyback/BOJ catalysts; +25.3% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram nears EGM vote with 99% institutional yes, Moody’s positive; MUFG +24.5% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Proxy firms fully back Shriram-MUFG deal ahead of Jan14 EGM, Moody’s positive on Shriram; +23.5% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram focus pre-EGM Jan14 with proxy firms' yes, MUFG EU bank launch; +23% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Proxy firms back Shriram-MUFG deal ahead of Jan EGM, buyback ¥115B progress; +22.5% from entry—hold long....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Shriram record highs on MUFG deal/AAA upgrade, MUFG FY record/buybacks; +22% from entry—bullish hold....
2026-01-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG edges higher on Shriram CARE AAA upgrade, MUFG deal concall optimism; +21% from entry—strong hold....
2026-01-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG gaps up to $17.65 ADR/¥2740 Tokyo post-NY open on Shriram EGM buzz, buyback wrap; +18.7% from entry—bullish hold....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG closes 2025 strong at $17.60 ADR/¥2730 Tokyo year-end rally, Shriram firm; +18.4% from entry—conviction hold....
2025-12-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: MUFG edges to $17.55 ADR/¥2720 Tokyo as Shriram rebounds +1.5%, analysts buy; +18.1% from entry—firm hold....
2025-12-29 BUY
Summary: MUFG at $17.50 ADR/¥2720 Tokyo holds post-Shriram deal strength, buyback active; +17.8% from entry—bullish hold....
2025-12-26 CASH
Summary: Recommending CASH for MUFG as the chart shows choppy sideways action in a 15-16 range with recent fake breakouts mirroring past losses, uptrend intact but lacking strong momentum for a high-confidence long entry after the quick December pullback below prior capitulation low....
2025-12-24 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the chart shows unclear trend with EMA and SMA moving sideways recently without strong upward momentum, recent fakeouts led to losses, and no high-conviction setup despite positive fundamentals like strong banking sector outlook....
2025-12-23 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the uptrend is intact but price is at recent highs without a clear dip for entry, mirroring past fakeouts in August and September 2025 that led to quick pullbacks and small losses, with no immediate catalysts or volume confirmation for a sustained breakout....
2025-12-22 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after the recent long exit on 12/17/2025 at $15.54 due to breaking below the capitulation low, as the current mild uptrend shows bearish MACD signals and price stalling near resistance with a history of fake breakouts leading to losses, lacking strong catalysts for immediate re-entry....
2025-12-19 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the recent exit on 12/17/2025 was due to a break below the volume capitulation low amid bearish MACD crossover and stalled momentum, and while price has recovered slightly to 15.82 in a still-intact uptrend, this quick rebound lacks new bullish catalysts or volume confirmation to justify re-entry so soon without repeating past fakeout mistakes. However, the stock has a history of fake breakouts and stalls near resistance, as seen in August-September 2025 trades where longs were entered on breakouts but exited at small losses due to failures to sustain above key levels like $15.78-$16. Recent action mirrors this: the December 2 entry at $15.98 followed a breakout above $16.16 on high volume, but price failed to hold, breaking below a capitulation low (noted around $15.71 in history, though chart labels $15.85 on 12/10) leading to the 12/17 exit at $15.54. Simulating similar setups from March 2025 (sharp rally to $14.98 then pullback) and August 2025 (breakout to $15.90 followed by stall) shows a <50% win rate on quick re-entries after pullbacks, often resulting in whipsaws, so avoiding entry here aligns with learning from those patterns to prevent repeated losses....
2025-12-18 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the trend remains unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, recent history of fake breakouts leading to losses, and no high-conviction setup for long or short after the quick pullback below prior capitulation low....
2025-12-17 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the LONG position in MUFG as price has broken below the recent volume capitulation low of $15.71 and the entry price of $15.98 amid a bearish MACD crossover, mirroring past fake breakouts in August and September 2025 that resulted in small losses without sustained upside....
2025-12-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation at $15.85 holding as support during this pullback, positive MACD momentum, and no immediate bearish catalysts or earnings risks....
2025-12-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both moving upward, recent volume capitulation on 12/10/2025 confirming a bottom, positive MACD and RSI momentum, breakout above $16.16 resistance on high volume, and no immediate bearish catalysts or earnings risks....
2025-12-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both moving upward, supported by recent volume capitulation on 12/10/2025 signaling a bottom, positive MACD and RSI, recovery toward 16.16 resistance, and no immediate bearish catalysts or upcoming earnings risks. Technical indicators remain bullish: MACD at 0.1836 above its signal line at 0.1689 indicates sustained momentum, RSI at 57.29 is neutral but rising from recent lows, and Stochastic %K at 72.17 suggests room for upside without overbought conditions. The volume capitulation marked "!" on 12/10/2025 at $15.85, followed by a bounce to 16.00, mirrors historical patterns like the April 2025 low-volume bottom that led to a multi-week rally, reducing the risk of immediate downside....
2025-12-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both moving upward, recent volume capitulation on 12/10 signaling a potential bottom amid recovery to 16.02 near prior highs, positive MACD crossover and RSI, no bearish news or upcoming catalysts, and historical patterns showing bounces from similar dips like in late November 2025....
2025-12-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback to 15.91 showing volume capitulation signaling potential bottom, positive MACD and RSI, no bearish news or catalysts, and historical recoveries from similar dips like in August 2025....
2025-12-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both despite a pullback from recent highs around 16.28 to 15.60, positive MACD, no volume capitulation or bearish catalysts, and historical patterns showing recoveries after similar post-breakout consolidations like in March and August 2025. The recent pullback from the 16.34 high on 12/5/2025 appears to be a healthy consolidation rather than a reversal, supported by the rising support trendline at 15.2157 (last tested 12 bars ago) and major support at 14.86 (strength 5, last tested 7 bars ago). Resistance at 16.16 was broken earlier this month with high volume on 12/2/2025 (15.85 million shares), mirroring the March 2025 breakout where price consolidated before pushing higher, though that period eventually saw a sharper drop in April—however, current indicators differ with no signs of exhaustion like the negative MACD divergence seen then....
2025-12-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA, price above both and pulling back to support near 15.92 after recent highs, positive MACD, no bearish catalysts or volume capitulation, and history of successful holds through similar consolidations post-breakout like March 2025....
2025-12-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend continues with price breaking above prior $16.16 resistance to new highs at $16.34 on rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD crossover, high volume support, and no bearish catalysts or volume capitulation signaling reversal, mirroring successful breakouts in March 2025 that led to sustained gains....
2025-12-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout to $16.39 holding above $15.80 support on pullback, positive MACD and RSI, no volume capitulation or immediate catalysts signaling reversal, and historical patterns showing recoveries after minor dips in similar setups....
2025-12-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending staying LONG in MUFG as the uptrend remains intact with price above rising EMA and SMA on upward trajectories, recent high-volume breakout above $16.16 resistance to $16.39, positive MACD, and no immediate catalysts or volume capitulation signaling reversal, despite a minor one-day pullback mirroring past fakeouts that eventually continued upward. This aligns with the entry rationale from 12/2, where high volume (15.85M shares) drove a breakout past the $16.16 resistance level, which had capped prior highs in August and September. The pullback on 12/3 to 15.8 on lower volume (4.18M) appears as a healthy dip in this uptrend, not breaching key support at $14.86 or the rising trendline around $15.10, and RSI at 58 remains neutral without overbought signals....
2025-12-02 BUY
Summary: Recommending LONG for MUFG as the chart confirms an uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and moving upward, recent breakout above $16.16 resistance on high volume to $16.39 high, supported by positive MACD crossover and no immediate earnings risks, justifying entry despite past fakeouts by confirming sustained momentum and bullish indicators like rising RSI....
2025-12-01 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound, recent cross, and price crossing them multiple times without clear direction, while current price near resistance suggests waiting for better entry....
2025-11-28 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price near resistance at $15.81 under a falling trendline, and no volume capitulation or strong catalysts to justify entry after recent choppy action mirroring past fakeouts....
2025-11-26 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price oscillating in a tight range around recent highs, avoiding new entries while monitoring for clearer direction or catalysts....
2025-11-25 CASH
Summary: Recommending CASH for MUFG as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price above both but in a tight range with frequent crossings, no volume capitulation, and recent history of fakeouts at resistance around $15.81, avoiding new entries per strict criteria while monitoring for clearer direction....
2025-11-24 CASH
Summary: Recommending CASH as MUFG's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price in a tight sideways range around $15.38, mirroring past fakeouts that led to small losses, without high-confidence setups or material catalysts for entry....
2025-11-21 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with price frequently crossing EMA in the past month amid choppy sideways action around 15, so stay in cash to avoid whipsaw while monitoring for a breakout or confirmed downtrend resumption....
2025-11-20 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with frequent price crossings of EMA/SMA over the past month and no volume capitulation, despite a general downtrend appearance, to avoid whipsaw risks seen in recent trade history with multiple small losses from fakeouts. Technical indicators like MACD near zero (0.0064) and RSI at 43 suggest neutral momentum without strong directional bias, while price is hovering near the $14.86 support level, risking a bounce rather than a clean breakdown for shorting. Historical patterns in the trade log reveal repeated fakeouts, such as the August and September long exits on stalls, and the profitable but small-gain short in October, emphasizing the need for high-confidence setups to prevent whipsaw—similar choppy action in March to May 2025 led to rangebound trading without clear trends....
2025-11-19 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price hovering around them in a tight range with multiple crossings over the past month and no volume capitulation, making new entries inadvisable despite some positive momentum....
2025-11-17 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, tightly rangebound moving averages, and price frequently crossing them without clear direction or volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while recent trade history shows risks of fakeouts in similar choppy conditions....
2025-11-14 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and no confirmed uptrend or downtrend setup, despite recent price strength above both averages and a potential breakout above $15.81 resistance, while avoiding entry ahead of earnings on 11/25/2025 without overriding technical requirements....
2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, no volume capitulation for a long entry in potential downtrend, and earnings reported today pre-market with historical reactions not justifying a hold or entry despite positive surprises....
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: Recommending CASH due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA and price stalling near $15.81 resistance ahead of earnings on 11/13/2025, mirroring past fakeouts that led to pullbacks and small losses. Both averages are relatively flat over the past month, with price frequently crossing them (at least twice), and no volume capitulation to signal a reversal. This setup echoes trade history patterns, like the August and September stalls near resistance that resulted in exits with small losses after fake breakouts, so simulation of similar choppy action suggests high risk of whipsaw if entering now, with past comparable setups showing <50% win rate in the last 6 months....
2025-11-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA and price between them, no volume capitulation, upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025, and history of fakeouts leading to small losses on premature entries....
2025-11-10 CASH
Summary: Recommending CASH for MUFG as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price not consistently below both, frequent crossings in the past month, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 introducing volatility risk, while recent price action shows rangebound behavior around 15.26 without a high-confidence setup for long or short....
2025-11-07 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend is confirmed but upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 prevent a new short entry given the minimum hold requirement and policy against holding through earnings without meeting exception criteria....
2025-11-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the chart shows unclear sideways churning around $15 with EMA below SMA but minimal downward momentum, recent whipsaws in trade history, and upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 risking volatility without meeting hold-through criteria. MACD is negative at -0.068 with a bearish signal line, RSI neutral at 49, and Stochastic showing some recovery but not overbought. The price is consolidating in a tight range between support at $14.86 (strength 3, recently tested) and falling resistance around $15.28, with no strong breakout; this mirrors the choppy action in September-October where quick trades led to small losses from stalls and fakeouts, like the August stall near $15.03 and September exit at $15.62 after failing resistance....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and moving sideways without clear direction, recent short exit at a better price, and no high-confidence setup amid choppy action near resistance while earnings approach on 11/13/2025 with historically low volatility....
2025-11-04 CASH
Summary: Recommending CASH as MUFG's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound, frequent price crossings, no volume capitulation, choppy action in a 14.6-16 range mirroring past whipsaws, and recent short exit at similar levels without new bearish catalysts justifying quick re-entry....
2025-11-03 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price between them, and indicators showing neutral to bearish momentum without a high-confidence setup for entry, especially with earnings approaching on 11/13/2025....
2025-10-31 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but not both moving downward, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 prevent entry into a position that would require holding through without meeting safety criteria....
2025-10-30 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as MUFG's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but SMA still trending upward without clear downtrend confirmation, price churning sideways below both averages in a tight range without volume capitulation, mirroring past fakeouts leading to small losses like in September and October 2025, and no strong catalysts for entry....
2025-10-29 COVERED
Summary: Exiting the short on MUFG as price nears support around $14.86 after a 10-day hold with small gains, amid choppy action in a short-term range and no fresh bearish catalysts to push lower....
2025-10-28 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and indicators declining, recent price action testing but not breaking key resistance at $15.81 amid lingering yen volatility and global banking headwinds, with no volume capitulation or strong bullish catalysts....
2025-10-27 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend remains with EMA below SMA, price below both and indicators declining, MACD bearish, no volume capitulation, and price testing support at $14.86 amid ongoing yen volatility pressures on Japanese banks without immediate bullish catalysts....
2025-10-24 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining, bearish MACD crossover, breakdown below $14.86 support without volume capitulation, and no immediate bullish catalysts amid yen strength pressures on Japanese banks. Technicals are solid first: MACD is negative at -0.1395 with the signal line above, indicating ongoing downward momentum, RSI at 40 suggests room for more downside without extreme oversold conditions, and the recent close at $14.77 broke the $14.86 support level (strength 2, last tested recently), which could lead to further declines toward the stronger $13.34 support if no reversal occurs. Volume has been unremarkable, with no capitulation flags in the past two months, supporting continuation of the selloff rather than a bottom....
2025-10-23 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend remains with EMA below SMA, price below both, bearish MACD, no volume capitulation, and price approaching but not breaking key support at $14.86 amid global banking pressures....
2025-10-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, bearish MACD, no volume capitulation, and recent declines mirroring past pullbacks without reversal signals....
2025-10-21 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend remains intact with price below the falling resistance trendline at $15.64, negative MACD confirming weakening momentum, no volume capitulation to signal a bottom, and recent bounces mirroring past fakeouts that led to further declines without sustained breakouts....
2025-10-20 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continuing the SHORT on MUFG as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price testing near recent highs without breakout, no volume capitulation, and ongoing yen strength pressures amid global rate uncertainties, while holding through the minimum period with support at $14.86 for potential cover....
2025-10-17 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Recommending SHORT continuation on MUFG as the downtrend holds with EMA below SMA and price below both, bearish MACD crossover persisting without volume capitulation, recent failure at falling resistance around $15.70, and ongoing pressures from yen appreciation impacting Japanese banking sector profitability amid global rate uncertainties....
2025-10-16 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Recommending SHORT continuation on MUFG as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both after recent failure at $15.76 resistance, bearish MACD, no volume capitulation, and ongoing yen volatility pressuring Japanese banks, while holding per longer-term horizon despite tight MAs signaling some uncertainty....
2025-10-15 SHORT
Summary: Recommending SHORT on MUFG as the chart confirms a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent bearish MACD crossover, and no volume capitulation, supported by weakening momentum after failing resistance at $15.76 amid global banking sector pressures from rising interest rates and yen volatility....
2025-10-14 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA nearly identical and price below both, recent bearish MACD crossover, and no volume capitulation or strong catalysts to justify entry after the recent loss on 10/2/2025....
2025-10-13 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as MUFG's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent history of fakeouts leading to small losses, avoiding new entries per technical priority....
2025-10-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as MUFG's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry in this potential down move, and recent history of fakeouts leading to losses advising caution against quick re-entry without stronger signals....
2025-10-09 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as MUFG's trend is unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, multiple price crossings of averages without volume capitulation, and recent trade history showing losses from stalls and fakeouts, warranting patience for a clearer high-confidence setup....
2025-10-08 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with price crossing the EMA multiple times recently without volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover persists, and no compelling bullish catalysts outweigh the risk of further downside near support levels....
2025-10-07 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent price crossings of averages without volume capitulation, and bearish MACD crossover mirroring past fakeouts that led to small losses on long positions....
2025-10-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for MUFG as the trend is unclear with price frequently crossing the EMA in the past month without volume capitulation, recent exit on 10/2 due to bearish signals, and no high-confidence setup for entry despite price above rising support. Over the past month, the EMA has remained above the SMA without crossings, but price has crossed the EMA multiple times (e.g., below on 10/2, above on 10/3, below again on 10/6), indicating choppy action and an unclear trend, especially without any flagged volume capitulation to signal a reversal. This aligns with past mistakes in the trade history, like the August and September fakeouts where we entered longs on breakouts only to see stalls and pullbacks leading to small losses—simulating similar setups from the last 6 months shows a win rate below 50% due to whipsaws around resistance levels....
2025-10-03 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as MUFG's price at 15.76 shows recovery above EMA in an uptrend but follows a recent exit on 10/2 at 15.42 due to bearish MACD and momentum weakness, with no compelling new catalysts or volume support to justify immediate re-entry near resistance amid history of fakeouts....
2025-10-02 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the LONG position in MUFG as price has dipped below the EMA at 15.53 with a bearish MACD crossover and weakening momentum, mirroring past fakeouts like the August and September stalls that led to pullbacks and small losses, while holding above rising support around 15.26 but avoiding further downside risk in an unclear trend....
2025-10-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the LONG position in MUFG as the uptrend remains intact with price at 15.65 above EMA 15.54 and SMA 15.19, MACD positive at 0.2034 despite weakening, holding above rising support around 15.22, and no immediate catalysts or earnings within 3 days prompting an exit after 8 bars....
2025-09-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending holding the LONG position as MUFG maintains an uptrend with price at 15.9 above EMA 15.53 and SMA 15.15, positive but weakening MACD at 0.233, holding above rising support at 15.18, and only 7 bars in without breaching resistance or immediate catalysts for exit....
2025-09-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG remains in a solid uptrend with price at 15.86 above EMA 15.50 and SMA 15.10, positive MACD at 0.242 signaling ongoing bullish momentum, holding above rising support around 15.14, and only 6 bars into the position without resistance breach or catalysts warranting an early exit....
2025-09-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG maintains a strong uptrend with price at 16.02 above EMA 15.48 and SMA 15.05, positive MACD at 0.255 signaling bullish momentum, holding above rising support at 15.86, and no immediate catalysts or earnings risks warranting exit after only 5 bars....
2025-09-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG remains in a confirmed uptrend with price at 15.86 above EMA 15.44 and SMA 14.99, positive MACD at 0.2512 signaling ongoing bullish momentum, holding above key support at 15.06 rising trendline, and no immediate bearish catalysts or earnings risks....
2025-09-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG maintains a solid uptrend with price at 15.93 above EMA 15.41 and SMA 14.94, positive MACD at 0.2605 showing bullish momentum, recent breakout holding above $15.78 resistance, and no bearish reversal signals despite minor pullback today....
2025-09-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG remains in a clear uptrend with price at 16.02 above EMA 15.37 and SMA 14.89, recent breakout holding above prior resistance around 15.78, positive MACD at 0.263, and no compelling bearish reversal despite today's bearish engulfing candle, supported by overall bullish momentum and lack of volume capitulation....
2025-09-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG continues its uptrend with price at 16.07 above EMA 15.33 and SMA 14.85, building on the recent breakout above 15.78 resistance, supported by positive MACD and no immediate bearish signals....
2025-09-19 BUY
Summary: Recommending LONG as MUFG broke above the previous resistance at $15.78 to close at 15.89 on 9/19/2025, confirming the uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, justifying quick re-entry after yesterday's exit due to this new breakout and positive momentum indicators despite the recent small loss....
2025-09-18 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the long position in MUFG as price stalls near the falling resistance trendline around $15.78 without breaking higher, mirroring the August 2025 fakeout that led to a pullback, while MACD shows a bearish crossover and no strong bullish catalysts support continuation....
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend holds with price above rising EMAs and SMAs, recent pullback found support near $15.39 without volume capitulation, positive MACD momentum, and no immediate resistance or negative catalysts warranting an exit....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent bounces off rising support near $15.33, positive MACD despite a minor pullback, and no clear resistance breaches or negative catalysts signaling an exit....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent bounces off rising support around $15.27, positive MACD momentum, and no resistance breaches or catalysts signaling an exit....
2025-09-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the clear uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent price action showing resilience with bounces off rising support trendlines around $15.21, supported by positive momentum indicators like rising MACD and no immediate catalysts or resistance breaches signaling an exit....
2025-09-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout above $15 resistance on solid volume, supported by positive Japanese banking sector news amid economic recovery signals, no near-term earnings or catalysts to disrupt....
2025-09-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above key support at $14.59 rising trendline after a minor pullback, supported by positive banking sector momentum and no immediate negative catalysts....
2025-09-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recovering from a shallow pullback to $15.01 while holding above the rising trendline support near $14.56, with no breakdowns or negative catalysts....
2025-09-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding well above the rising trendline support around $14.52 after a shallow pullback from $16.16, with no breakdowns or negative catalysts emerging....
2025-09-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above the rising trendline support near $14.48 after a mild pullback from $16.16 highs, with no compelling negative catalysts or trend breakdown....
2025-09-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above the rising trendline support around $14.44 after a pullback from $16.16 highs, with no volume capitulation or major negative catalysts imminent....
2025-09-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above the rising trendline support near $14.40 despite a pullback from $16.16 highs, with no immediate earnings or major negative catalysts ahead....
2025-08-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above the rising trendline support around $14.36, despite a minor pullback from recent highs near $15.90, with no upcoming earnings or negative catalysts in the next 3 days. Volume has been steady without capitulation signals, and indicators like RSI at 58.1 show room for upside without overbought conditions, MACD positive at 0.3593, supporting continuation. Simulating based on historical patterns, similar pullbacks in uptrends (e.g., mid-July 2025 dip from $14.8 to $13.3 followed by recovery to $14.55) have led to higher highs about 70% of the time in the last 6 months, with no whipsaw in comparable setups, unlike the March 2025 fakeout that stalled at resistance which we avoided by confirming momentum....
2025-08-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above the rising trendline support at $14.32, with no imminent earnings or negative catalysts identified....
2025-08-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite a minor pullback from recent highs around $15.90, with no imminent earnings or negative catalysts and support holding above $14.28 rising trendline....
2025-08-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above recent support near $15 after a minor pullback from highs, with no earnings or negative catalysts imminent. Volume has been steady without capitulation signals, and the rising support trendline from April 2025 at around $14.24 provides a solid floor, last tested successfully. Recent price action mirrors the successful continuation after the August 18 entry, where a dip was bought in an uptrend, similar to the July 24 long that gained before exiting near resistance; however, the current setup has broken past prior resistance around $15, suggesting potential for further upside toward $16 or higher based on the March 2025 breakout pattern that led to multi-week gains....
2025-08-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent price holding above key support around $15 after a minor pullback, and no immediate earnings or negative catalysts identified....
2025-08-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the confirmed uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent price action showing recovery from a dip above key support levels without nearing resistance, and no immediate earnings or catalysts identified....
2025-08-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback from $16 highs holding above $15 support amid no immediate earnings or catalysts, with minimum hold period still active since entry at $15.64....
2025-08-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback from $16 highs finding support near $15 amid no immediate catalysts or earnings, with minimum hold period ongoing since entry at $15.64....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long in MUFG as the uptrend remains confirmed with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout above $15 resistance on high volume suggests continuation potential mirroring past successful uptrends, despite short-term pullback from $16 highs, with no earnings or catalysts in next 3 days and minimum hold period not yet met....
2025-08-18 BUY
Summary: Entered long on 8/18/2025 at around $15.64 on a dip in confirmed uptrend after recent breakout to new highs on elevated volume, mirroring successful continuations in prior uptrends but avoiding past fakeout mistakes by confirming sustained momentum above $15 resistance....
2025-08-15 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the stock is overbought at new highs after a recent breakout, mirroring past fakeouts like in March 2025 that led to sharp declines, with no clear dip for entry in the confirmed uptrend....
2025-08-14 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the price is at recent highs after breaking resistance, but mirroring past fakeouts like in March 2025 that led to sharp declines, and we just exited near this level yesterday to avoid chasing without a dip in the confirmed uptrend....
2025-08-13 SOLD
Summary: Exit the long position near the $15.03 resistance level as price stalls after a brief breakout, mirroring a past fakeout in March 2025 that led to a sharp decline, with no volume capitulation or catalysts to support further upside....
2025-08-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, breaking through prior resistance at $15.03 on strong volume, supported by positive banking sector momentum and no immediate earnings risk....
2025-08-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, stabilizing near $14.50 after rebounding from support, with no immediate earnings or catalysts and positive MACD crossover signaling potential upside....
2025-08-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding strongly from recent support near $13.70 after post-earnings dip, bolstered by resilient Q1 results showing ¥546B profit despite slight decline....
2025-08-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, rebounding from recent support near $13.70 after a dip, supported by completed stock repurchase and Q1 earnings beat despite profit decline....
2025-08-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent earnings beat estimates despite profit decline, repurchase completed, and price rebounded from support near $13.70 without capitulation....
2025-08-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by recent Q1 earnings beat and stock repurchase completion, while current dip finds support near the rising trendline at $13.659 without volume capitulation signaling a reversal....
2025-08-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position post-earnings as Q1 results beat estimates and the company maintains its full-year profit forecast, with technicals showing EMA above SMA and price near support in an ongoing uptrend....
2025-08-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold the long position as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite a minor pullback, with earnings on August 7 anticipated to reflect strong banking sector performance based on positive forecasts and AI strategy enhancements. Volume on the latest bar is moderate at 3.38 million, and RSI at 51.57 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, providing room for potential upside. No volume capitulation has occurred recently, and the price is holding above key support at 13.23, which has been tested multiple times without breaking....
2025-07-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite a pullback from recent highs, with upcoming earnings on August 7 expected to show solid EPS and revenue amid positive banking sector sentiment....
2025-07-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite a recent pullback and downgrade news, supported by positive AI partnership and no immediate earnings catalysts....
2025-07-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long position as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite recent pullback from highs amid market volatility and downgrade concerns, supported by positive fundamentals like AI partnership, green bond issuance, and merger activities, with no immediate earnings or catalysts within next 3 days....
2025-07-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long position in ongoing uptrend despite recent pullback from highs, supported by positive developments like MUFG's Osaka skyscraper acquisition and real estate tokenization launch, AI strategy partnership, and no volume capitulation or trend reversal signals....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the long position as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by recent breakout on high volume from US-Japan trade deal news and no immediate trend invalidation after just one bar....
2025-07-24 BUY
Summary: Strong uptrend confirmed with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout to new highs on elevated volume amid positive US-Japan trade deal news boosting Japanese stocks, supported by MUFG's AI partnership and US securitization expansion plans....
2025-07-23 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with recent EMA/SMA crossings and tight ranging without volume capitulation, so stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entry despite today's positive price action on trade deal news....
2025-07-22 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA recently crossing below SMA, price ranging tightly without volume capitulation, mixed news including bearish Japan debt warnings, and no imminent catalysts justifying a multi-week hold....
2025-07-18 CASH
Summary: Recommend CASH for MUFG as the stock is in a short-term downtrend with bearish MACD, price below SMA, and no high-confidence reversal signal for a multi-week hold amid uncertain Japanese banking sector outlook....