The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.
The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.
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Daily Chart
(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)
Grok's Analysis - Grok 4
| 2025-09-15 | CASH |
| 2025-09-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both at 472.61, but volume capitulation on 8/15 within past month blocks short entry while invalidated capitulation and no new one prevent long entry....
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| 2025-09-11 | CASH |
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Summary: DE remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no new volume capitulation to justify a long entry, and the recent capitulation on 8/15 still within the past month preventing a short entry, while recent trade history shows repeated losses from mistimed longs in this environment....
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| 2025-09-10 | CASH |
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Summary: DE remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation invalidated, and no compelling news or catalysts for an immediate reversal, favoring cash to await a better entry....
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| 2025-09-09 | CASH |
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Summary: Clear downtrend on DE with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 8/15 prevents short entry, while no new capitulation or uptrend allows long, so staying in cash for better setup....
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| 2025-09-08 | SOLD |
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Summary: DE's volume capitulation from 8/15 is invalidated by five consecutive bars closing below the ~474 low, with persistent downtrend as price remains under EMA and SMA, prompting exit of the long position to avoid further losses targeting a hold through potential support near 466....
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| 2025-09-05 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE remains in a downtrend with price below EMA and SMA, but the 8/15 volume capitulation low at ~$474 holds without 5 consecutive bars below, supporting continued long hold targeting $526 resistance over weeks despite recent dips. The EMA (492.32) is below the SMA (501.87), and price is below both, confirming a downtrend, but the volume capitulation "!" on 8/15 at a low of $473.98 remains valid as no five consecutive closes have breached it—9/3 closed at $469.52 (below), but subsequent bars recovered above, avoiding invalidation. This allows maintaining the long on pullbacks above that low, with current price at $474.25 still qualifying. RSI at 38.8 indicates oversold conditions without capitulation breach, and Slow STO K/D at 15/16.85 suggests potential for reversal, though MACD remains negative at -8.12. Support nearby at $476.51 (strength 2) has been tested, and falling resistance trendlines around $493-523 could cap upside, but the target remains $526 resistance (strength 4) from prior bounces....
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| 2025-09-04 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's long position holds as the 8/15 volume capitulation low near $474 hasn't been sustained below for 5 consecutive bars despite recent dips, with price at $472.75 in a downtrend but potential for recovery targeting $526 resistance over weeks amid ag sector news. Technical indicators show RSI at 37.57 indicating oversold conditions, MACD at -8.08 still negative but potentially setting up for a crossover if support holds; volume on the latest bar is average, not signaling further capitulation. Support levels include $476.51 recently broken but with historical strength, and lower at $435.95; resistance at $526 remains the target from prior analysis....
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| 2025-09-03 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's chart shows a downtrend with price below EMA/SMA, but the long position from 8/28 at $491.44 remains valid as the 8/15 volume capitulation low near $474 hasn't been sustained below for 5 bars despite today's dip to $467.42, targeting resistance around $526 over weeks amid potential ag sector recovery....
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| 2025-09-02 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE remains in downtrend with price below EMA/SMA, but valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at ~474 supports holding long on this pullback above sustained invalidation levels, targeting resistance near 526 amid ag sector hopes....
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| 2025-08-29 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's chart remains in downtrend but with valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at ~474 allowing holding the long on this pullback above that low, targeting resistance near 526 over weeks amid potential ag sector recovery....
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| 2025-08-28 | BUY |
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Summary: DE's chart shows a downtrend with a recent valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at lows around 474, allowing a long re-entry on this pullback above that level targeting resistance near 526 over weeks, despite prior exit on stalled bounce as price now holds support with potential reversal signals....
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| 2025-08-27 | CASH |
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Summary: DE remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no new volume capitulation for a long entry, and the recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short entry, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence setups while awaiting a high-conviction multi-week opportunity....
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| 2025-08-26 | SOLD |
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Summary: DE's long position from volume capitulation is exiting now as the bounce stalled below $496 without reaching $525-526 resistance, price remains in downtrend below EMA/SMA, and recent pullback to $486.9 signals weakening momentum amid bearish ag sector pressures....
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| 2025-08-25 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at $474 low remains intact with price holding above without 5-bar invalidation, supporting continued long hold targeting $525-526 resistance amid downtrend, despite recent pullback to $488.85 and bearish ag sector news....
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| 2025-08-22 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but the valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at $474 supports holding the long position from $488.8 as price stays above the low without invalidation, targeting $525-$526 resistance over weeks, with no earnings until November....
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| 2025-08-21 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's chart shows a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but the valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at around $474 supports holding the long position entered at $488.8, as price remains above the capitulation low without invalidation, targeting $525 resistance over the coming weeks, with no imminent earnings or catalysts....
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| 2025-08-20 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's chart maintains a downtrend but the valid volume capitulation on 8/15 at $473.98 supports continuing the long position from $488.8, with price above the low and targeting $525 resistance over weeks, no invalidation or imminent catalysts....
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| 2025-08-19 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE's chart shows a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but the recent volume capitulation on 8/15 at $473.98 low remains valid without invalidation, supporting holding the long position entered at $488.8 for a potential bounce to $525 resistance over weeks, with price still above the capitulation low and no earnings or catalysts imminent....
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| 2025-08-18 | HOLD LONG |
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Summary: DE remains in a downtrend but the recent volume capitulation on 8/15 at $473.98 low supports holding the long position for a potential reversal bounce toward $525 resistance over the next few weeks, with no invalidation yet and price holding above the capitulation low. Today's bar (8/18) closed slightly up at 489.31 after dipping to 480, which is still well above the capitulation low of 473.98, and there's no sustained break below for 5+ bars or bounce to SMA (around 510-511) to invalidate it. This suggests the reversal could still play out, targeting the noted resistance at 526, which has strength from multiple bounces....
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| 2025-08-15 | BUY |
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Summary: DE's chart shows a downtrend with today's volume capitulation "!" at the low, allowing a long entry on this potential reversal setup targeting resistance near 525 over weeks, supported by positive historical earnings reactions if today was the report. This aligns with buying at capitulation bottoms, and since there's no invalidation yet (no sustained break below or bounce to SMA post-capitulation), it's a valid entry. The chart indicates support around 475, near today's low, with resistance at falling trendlines around 525, providing a favorable risk/reward for a multi-week hold aiming for that level....
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| 2025-08-14 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates an unclear trend with frequent price crossings of the MAs over the past month and no volume capitulation, advising against new entries while the downtrend setup is compromised by recent volatility and a prior losing short trade....
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| 2025-08-13 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA and tight moving averages, plus upcoming earnings on 8/15/2025 prohibiting new entries despite positive historical surprises....
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| 2025-08-12 | CASH |
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Summary: Staying in cash due to clear downtrend but upcoming earnings on 8/15/2025 risking positive surprise, no high-confidence short entry without violating pre-earnings rules, and learning from prior short loss on bounce. ...
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| 2025-08-11 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but upcoming earnings on 8/15/2025 conflict with the minimum 10-14 day hold requirement since we cannot hold through earnings, and after the recent short loss, it's prudent to wait for a better entry....
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| 2025-08-08 | CASH |
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Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both in a tight range without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 15 prevent a new entry for a multi-week hold given the minimum hold requirement....
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| 2025-08-07 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart shows DE in a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on August 14th make a multi-week hold impossible without risking volatility, prompting a wait for clearer post-earnings setups....
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| 2025-08-06 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates an unclear trend with EMA below SMA and price fluctuating between them without clear direction, compounded by upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, which conflicts with the minimum 10-14 day hold period, making it prudent to stay in cash for a better post-earnings setup....
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| 2025-08-05 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on August 14 create uncertainty, and after a recent short loss, patience for a better entry is warranted without high-confidence setup....
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| 2025-08-04 | CASH |
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Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them in a tight range, avoiding new entries after recent short loss, while upcoming earnings on August 14 lack strong positive catalysts to justify holding through....
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| 2025-08-01 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but the recent drop to near support at 500 and upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, make entering a short position risky without strong reasons to expect negative results, while no clear uptrend supports a long entry....
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| 2025-07-31 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates an unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA while price is above both, and upcoming earnings on August 14 create uncertainty, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence entries after recent short loss....
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| 2025-07-30 | CASH |
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Summary: The trend for DE is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, frequent price crossings of the MAs without volume capitulation, and a recent losing short trade, making it prudent to stay in cash and wait for a clearer high-confidence setup targeting a multi-week hold....
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| 2025-07-29 | CASH |
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Summary: The trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price hovering above EMA after a recent bounce, combined with our prior short loss suggesting patience for a clearer multi-week setup amid positive sentiment on Deere's tech advancements....
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| 2025-07-28 | CASH |
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Summary: The trend for DE remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price fluctuating between them without clear direction or volume capitulation, recent news highlighting cyclical downturn risks, and our prior short trade loss advising patience for a better setup....
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| 2025-07-25 | CASH |
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Summary: The trend for DE is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both and MAs tightly rangebound, combined with a recent loss on a short position and bearish market sentiment from options activity and expected earnings drop, making it prudent to stay in cash and wait for a clearer high-confidence setup....
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| 2025-07-24 | CASH |
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Summary: The chart indicates an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both, recent short trade loss on bounce, and no high-confidence setup for a multi-week hold, prompting staying in cash to await clearer opportunities. In the past month, the EMA and SMA haven't crossed frequently, but they are relatively close, and price has fluctuated around them without clear direction, reinforcing the unclear trend signal. There's no recent volume capitulation to suggest a reversal from any downtrend, and while there's bullish unusual options activity in long-term calls (like the January 2027 $470 calls with significant premiums), it's not immediate enough to override the trend uncertainty for a new position....
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| 2025-07-23 | COVERED |
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Summary: The short position entered at $499.82 is underwater with price bouncing to 514.22 amid positive news on Deere's autonomous tech and unclear trend signals, prompting an exit to cash to limit losses and await clearer setups targeting multi-week holds....
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| 2025-07-22 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: DE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position entered at $499.82 targets support near $435 over multi-week hold despite recent uptick....
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| 2025-07-21 | HOLD SHORT |
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Summary: The downtrend remains intact with price below both EMA and SMA, no trend invalidation, bearish MACD, oversold STO but no volume capitulation, and the position is only 1 bar old, warranting a hold for at least 10-14 days targeting support near 435 as previously planned....
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| 2025-07-18 | SHORT |
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Summary: The chart shows DE in a clear downtrend after peaking at 533, with bearish MACD crossover, price below SMA, low STO readings signaling weakness, and recent breakdowns on higher volume, making a short position favorable for a multi-week hold targeting support near 435....
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