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CSCO on Tech Trader

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

CSCO on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: Cisco's post-earnings jump to new highs shows strength in an uptrend, but the red candle with upper wick suggests potential exhaustion without a clear dip for entry, so staying in cash to await a better pullback opportunity.

Recent price action on 11/13/2025 reflects a strong earnings reaction, closing at $77.08 after hitting $79.50 intraday, but the bearish candlestick pattern and overbought RSI at 70.73 indicate risk of a near-term pullback; fundamentals remain solid with Cisco's AI and cybersecurity growth, yet technicals prioritize waiting for a dip above key support like $69.28 rising trendline.

Searching for news, Cisco reported Q1 FY2026 earnings on 11/12/2025 with revenue beating estimates by 2% driven by Splunk integration and AI demand, classified as bullish due to credible analyst upgrades and positive market reaction potential, though no unusual options activity or insider buys noted post-report.

No major rumors or filings suggest immediate catalysts, and social media buzz is mixed with some profit-taking concerns; historical patterns show post-earnings rallies often pull back 3-5% before resuming uptrends, as seen after May 2025 earnings.

Simulating based on past setups, similar breakouts in June-July 2025 led to whipsaws with <50% win rate on immediate entries, reinforcing caution against chasing highs; learning from September 2025 short loss, avoiding counter-trend trades here.

Next earnings expected around February 12, 2026, with no events in the next 3 days.
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash post-earnings as CSCO's price at 73.61 is near recent highs without a clear dip in the ongoing uptrend, avoiding entry at the top of the range while monitoring for a pullback to support around 71-72 for better risk/reward....
2025-11-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to Cisco's earnings report scheduled for tomorrow, November 12, 2025, with mixed historical reactions and no strong basis to enter beforehand, despite the ongoing uptrend providing a potential dip-buy setup post-pullback from recent highs....
2025-11-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash ahead of Cisco's earnings on 11/12/2025, as the uptrend is intact but entry rules prohibit positions right before catalysts without meeting hold-through criteria, and no compelling dip or new bullish drivers justify re-entry so soon after the 11/4 exit at similar levels....
2025-11-07 CASH
Summary: Recent pullback in CSCO's uptrend offers a potential dip buy near support, but with earnings on 11/12/2025 approaching and no overriding catalysts or volume capitulation to justify quick re-entry after the 11/4 exit at 72.32, staying in cash avoids risk while awaiting clearer post-earnings direction....
2025-11-06 CASH
Summary: Cisco's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, but the sharp pullback from recent highs near 75 on declining volume, combined with upcoming earnings on 11/12/2025 and no qualifying positive surprise history to hold through, warrants staying in cash to avoid risk while awaiting a post-earnings dip-buy setup or clearer catalysts....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to upcoming earnings on 11/12/2025 and inability to hold a new position for the minimum period without violating earnings rules, despite intact uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, plus no high-confidence short setup in this environment....
2025-11-04 SOLD
Summary: Cisco's uptrend remains intact but price pulled back sharply from recent highs near 75 on lower volume, prompting exit of the long position to lock in gains ahead of earnings on 11/12/2025 with no other major catalysts found....
2025-11-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's strong uptrend continues with price breaking to new highs above rising EMA and SMA, supported by positive AI and cybersecurity demand, no bearish catalysts, and targeting resistance near 75-76 while holding the existing long from $70.66 for further upside over weeks....
2025-10-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs at 73.2 supported by positive AI demand and no immediate bearish catalysts, holding the long from $70.66 targeting 74-75 resistance....
2025-10-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's strong uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs at 72.82 amid positive AI and cybersecurity momentum, holding the long position from $70.66 with no immediate bearish catalysts or earnings within 3 days, targeting resistance near 73-74....
2025-10-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs broken to 72.82 amid positive AI and cybersecurity demand, no bearish catalysts or volume capitulation, targeting 73-74 resistance while planning exit before 11/12/2025 earnings....
2025-10-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's strong uptrend continues with price breaking above prior highs to 72.43, supported by rising EMA/SMA, positive AI-driven demand, and no immediate bearish catalysts, justifying holding the long position from 70.66 targeting 73-74 resistance....
2025-10-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout above prior highs supported by positive AI networking demand and no immediate bearish catalysts, justifying holding the long position from 70.66 targeting 72-73 resistance....
2025-10-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's ongoing uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent recovery from pullback supported by positive AI and cybersecurity news, and no immediate bearish catalysts justify holding the long position entered at 70.66 targeting resistance near 72....
2025-10-22 BUY
Summary: Cisco's clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback recovery to 70.66 near prior highs, supported by AI-driven growth catalysts and positive fundamentals like strong earnings beats, prompts a long entry targeting resistance around 72 over the next few weeks with support at 66.85 offering favorable risk/reward....
2025-10-21 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month, preventing new entries despite price above both averages, while recent upmove lacks conviction without volume support or catalysts. RSI at 60.85 suggests neutral momentum, not overbought, and STO is high at 86 but no immediate reversal signals like dojis. Volume has been average, no capitulation flagged, and support at 66.85 was recently tested but held....
2025-10-20 CASH
Summary: Cisco's strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA suggests potential for longs, but current positioning near recent highs without a clear dip or volume capitulation, combined with overbought STO and upcoming earnings on 11/12/2025, warrants staying in cash to avoid poor entry and await a better pullback opportunity....
2025-10-17 CASH
Summary: Cisco's uptrend remains strong with price above EMA and SMA, but current levels near falling resistance at $70.77 suggest waiting for a dip to enter long for better risk/reward over the next few weeks....
2025-10-16 CASH
Summary: Cisco's technicals show an unclear trend with frequent EMA/SMA crossings and tight ranging over the past month, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries despite positive fundamentals like AI demand. ...
2025-10-15 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend remains unclear with frequent EMA and SMA crossings in the past month, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries amid stable technicals and no immediate catalysts. RSI at 55.91 is neutral, MACD is slightly positive at 0.2786 above its signal line at 0.2263, and Slow STO %K at 55.24 suggests mild momentum, but nothing compelling for a directional bet. Volume has been average, with no capitulation signals to justify buying in a potential downtrend reversal....
2025-10-14 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month prevents new entries, while price remains in a tight range around 67-69 without strong momentum or catalysts for a sustained move....
2025-10-13 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA nearly overlapping in a tight range over the past month, price below both without volume capitulation, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after recent short loss....
2025-10-10 CASH
Summary: Cisco's unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly bound and recent crossings, combined with price below both and no volume capitulation, advises staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries while monitoring for clearer setups....
2025-10-09 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and price crossing them multiple times in the past month without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite the recent uptick to 69.9 and overall uptrend from summer lows....
2025-10-08 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, price frequently crossing MAs in the past month without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry despite recent price strength....
2025-10-07 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and tight ranging without clear direction, while price hovers near resistance at 69.58 without breakout conviction, following recent short loss coverage on 9/17/2025....
2025-10-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as CSCO's trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, tightly rangebound averages, frequent price crossings without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical rules despite price above both and no immediate earnings or catalysts....
2025-10-03 CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with EMA below SMA and price sandwiched between them without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while recent history shows small-range consolidation around 68 with no strong catalysts for directional move....
2025-10-02 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, tightly rangebound averages without clear direction, prompting staying in cash to await a high-confidence setup....
2025-10-01 CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price near resistance at 69.58 after recent bounce from 66, no volume capitulation, and past simulations show similar range-bound patterns leading to whipsaws with <50% win rate on entries, prompting staying in cash to await clearer uptrend or downtrend setup....
2025-09-30 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA, frequent price crossings of moving averages, no volume capitulation, and price near resistance at 69.58 without high-conviction setup for long or short over the next few weeks. No recent volume capitulation flagged in the data, so no basis for buying a dip in a potential downtrend. Current price is just below resistance at 69.58 (strength 2, recently tested), with support at 65.72 further below—entering long here risks buying near the top of the range, while shorting above EMA (67.791) is prohibited, and the trend isn't clearly down anyway....
2025-09-29 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound below typical daily ranges without clear direction, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while no immediate catalysts or volume capitulation signal a reversal....
2025-09-26 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and price crossing them multiple times in the past month without volume capitulation, prompting caution and avoidance of new entries despite the apparent downtrend setup....
2025-09-25 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and price crossing them multiple times without volume capitulation, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after recent short loss....
2025-09-24 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend remains unclear with price frequently crossing the EMA and SMA over the past month, preventing a new short entry despite the downtrend signals and recent pullback below key levels. Volume has been unremarkable without capitulation flags, and RSI at 45.66 suggests neither extreme oversold nor overbought conditions, while MACD remains negative but converging slightly....
2025-09-23 CASH
Summary: Cisco's unclear trend with tightly bound EMA below SMA, price below both but with recent crossings without volume capitulation, combined with the recent short trade loss and no high-confidence setup, warrants staying in cash to await a clearer downtrend or uptrend confirmation for a new entry....
2025-09-22 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and price crossing them twice recently without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries despite downtrend signals, while recent news like AI demand remains neutral without material impact....
2025-09-19 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA, frequent price crossings of moving averages, and no volume capitulation, making new entries risky after recent short loss on breakout....
2025-09-18 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and recent short exit on 9/17 due to price breaking above EMA, prompting caution against quick re-entry without stronger signals. RSI at 55 is neutral, Slow STO at 44/30 suggests some upward momentum but not oversold for a dip buy, and MACD is slightly negative but converging, hinting at potential stabilization rather than a decisive move. Support holds at 66.98 with decent strength from prior bounces, while resistance looms near 69.25 from the Bollinger upper band, keeping it in a range without high-confidence breakout....
2025-09-17 COVERED
Summary: Exiting the short position in CSCO as price has broken above the EMA, signaling a potential trend reversal with increasing momentum and no immediate bearish catalysts, locking in current status to avoid further losses. Over the past month, the EMA has remained below the SMA without frequent crossings, but price has fluctuated around these levels multiple times, suggesting choppy action rather than a clear directional trend. RSI at 50.26 is neutral, Slow STO K at 26.0 and D at 23.6 indicate oversold conditions easing, and MACD at -0.26 with signal -0.22 shows bearish but converging momentum, potentially setting up for a bullish crossover. Support at $66.98 has held recently, with the last test 14 bars ago, and a rising trendline from much lower levels isn't immediately relevant. Bollinger Bands are narrowing (upper $69.13, lower $66.13), pointing to reduced volatility and a possible range-bound period, but the recent bounce from $66.53 on 9/12 suggests buyers stepping in....
2025-09-16 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Cisco remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the short from $66.88 as technicals support further downside potential over weeks despite minor pullback....
2025-09-15 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Cisco's persistent downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent close below key support at 66.98 without decisive breakdown signal holding the short for potential further downside over weeks....
2025-09-12 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Cisco's ongoing downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price nearing but not decisively breaking lower support levels around 66-67 justify holding the short position for further potential downside over the coming weeks....
2025-09-11 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Cisco's downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation or reversal signals, and recent bounce failing at resistance near 68.5 supports holding the short from 66.88 targeting support around 66-67 over the coming weeks....
2025-09-10 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Cisco's downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price recently pulling back but still targeting support at 65-66 without volume capitulation or trend reversal signals, supporting holding the short position entered at 66.88 for longer-term profits over weeks....
2025-09-09 HOLD SHORT
Summary: Cisco's ongoing downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent pullback from resistance without volume capitulation, and weakening momentum support holding the short position targeting lower support around 65-66 over the coming weeks....
2025-09-08 SHORT
Summary: Cisco's clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and entry below EMA after a pullback from resistance, supported by weakening momentum indicators and lack of positive catalysts, prompts a short position targeting support near 65-66 over the next few weeks....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as CSCO's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, price below both without volume capitulation, and recent exit on 8/28 at 69.43 advises caution against quick re-entry despite lower price at 67.08....
2025-09-04 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA in a tight range, price action showing consolidation without high-confidence breakout signals, and no recent volume capitulation or catalysts to justify entry, favoring patience for better setups....
2025-09-03 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear downtrend with tightly bound EMA and SMA, price near support at 66.98 avoiding poor short entry, no volume capitulation for long, and no high-confidence setup for multi-week hold....
2025-09-02 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both, and frequent price crossings of the moving averages in the past month without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while no high-confidence setup emerges from chart patterns or supplemental factors....
2025-08-29 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA in a tightly bound range and price above both without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while recent post-earnings stabilization and AI catalysts suggest potential upside but technicals take priority for holding cash....
2025-08-28 SOLD
Summary: Exiting the long position in CSCO near falling resistance at 69.43 as price stalls with EMA below SMA in an unclear trend, securing small gains amid no immediate catalysts and potential for pullback. MACD is flat near zero (-0.0004), suggesting waning momentum, while RSI at 56.42 is neutral and STO K at 41.09 shows room for upside but no overbought signal. Volume on this up day was lower at 9.1M compared to recent averages, not confirming strong buying conviction....
2025-08-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position in CSCO as price has rebounded above both EMA and SMA amid an unclear trend, with support at 66.98 holding firm and no breakdown, while monitoring for a potential push toward falling resistance near 69.43 over the coming weeks....
2025-08-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the existing long position from 8/14 at $69.3 as the minimum hold period hasn't been met yet, with today's close at 68.36 rebounding above both EMA (68.03) and SMA (68.19) despite EMA below SMA indicating unclear trend, while monitoring for potential break above falling resistance near 69.69 or breakdown below support at 66.98....
2025-08-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the existing long position from 8/14 at $69.3 as the minimum 10-14 day hold period hasn't been met yet, despite the emerging downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, while monitoring for a potential rebound above the falling resistance at $69.95 or breakdown below support at $66.98....
2025-08-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing to hold the existing long position from 8/14 at $69.3 as the minimum 10-14 day hold period hasn't been met yet, with price stabilizing just above the $66.98 support level in an unclear trend where EMA and SMA are tightly rangebound without recent volume capitulation, and no immediate earnings or catalysts ahead....
2025-08-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding the long position as the minimum 10-14 day hold period from the 8/14 entry at $69.3 has not been met, with price stabilizing near the $66.98 support level after a post-earnings dip, despite an unclear trend due to tightly rangebound EMA and SMA without volume capitulation....
2025-08-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding long position as minimum hold period not yet met, with price stabilizing near $66.98 support after post-earnings dip, despite unclear trend....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's long position from 8/14 at $69.3 remains intact as the minimum hold period hasn't elapsed, with price near $66.98 support holding despite a post-earnings dip and unclear trend from price below EMA/SMA....
2025-08-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's price has dipped below EMA and SMA post-earnings, but the minimum hold period mandates staying long, with support near $66.98 holding and potential AI catalysts for rebound....
2025-08-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's uptrend shows signs of weakness with price below EMA and SMA after a sharp post-earnings drop, but minimum hold period requires staying long, supported by proximity to $66.21 support and ongoing AI demand catalysts. The trend is now unclear as EMA remains above SMA, but price has dipped below both without frequent crossings or rangebound behavior in the past month to fully disqualify holding; no volume capitulation was flagged, so this isn't confirmed as a trend reversal....
2025-08-14 BUY
Summary: Cisco's uptrend remains intact with price above both EMA and SMA, recent pullback from highs provides a dip-buy opportunity post-earnings with favorable risk/reward near support levels and ongoing AI catalyst. ...
2025-08-13 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to uptrend but impending earnings on 8/14/2025 without meeting hold-through criteria, avoiding entry right before catalyst despite recent pullback from highs near support trendline....
2025-08-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash to avoid entering right before Cisco's earnings report expected around August 13-14, 2025, despite the strong uptrend and positive momentum, as technicals show no clear dip for entry and risk/reward is unfavorable pre-event....
2025-08-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to strong uptrend but upcoming earnings on 8/14/2025 within 3 days, avoiding entry to prevent holding through high-volatility event without meeting safety criteria, while recent price at 70.74 shows pullback from 72.02 high with support at 66.21....
2025-08-08 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear due to price crossing below EMA twice in the past month without volume capitulation, preventing new entries, while upcoming earnings on August 13, 2025, further supports staying in cash to avoid holding through the event. ...
2025-08-07 CASH
Summary: Cisco's clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA is promising, but upcoming earnings on August 13, 2025, prevent a new long entry now as the minimum 10-14 day hold would force holding through the event, violating risk guidelines....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: Cisco's clear uptrend offers buying opportunities on dips, but with Q4 earnings on August 13th just 7 days away, entering now would violate the minimum 10-14 day hold by requiring an exit to avoid holding through the event, so staying in cash is prudent until after earnings for a better long setup....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with recent price crossings of the EMA twice in the past month, prompting caution against new entries despite the overall uptrend and mixed news signals including a UBS price target increase to $74 but offset by a prior Evercore downgrade and a voice phishing incident....
2025-08-04 CASH
Summary: Cisco's uptrend remains intact with price above EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on August 13, 2025, combined with recent downgrade and no compelling positive catalysts, make entering a new long position risky given the minimum hold period would require holding through the event....
2025-08-01 CASH
Summary: Cisco's price has dipped below the EMA amid a recent analyst downgrade and lack of clear AI revenue details, rendering the trend unclear without volume capitulation, prompting staying in cash to await a high-confidence setup with favorable risk/reward. This transitional state, combined with no recent volume capitulation, advises against new entries—longs require a confirmed uptrend for buying dips, and shorts need a downtrend without entering above the EMA....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: Cisco's uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, but upcoming Q4 FY2025 earnings expected around mid-August 2025 introduce uncertainty amid recent downgrade on unclear AI revenue details, prompting caution to avoid holding through the event without stronger positive catalysts....
2025-07-30 CASH
Summary: Cisco's trend is unclear with price dipping below the EMA amid recent analyst downgrade and no strong catalysts, suggesting patience for a better entry in this uptrending but volatile stock....
2025-07-29 CASH
Summary: Cisco's recent downgrade by Evercore ISI highlights limited upside without clearer AI revenue details, and after exiting the long position yesterday amid a stalling uptrend, it's prudent to stay in cash for a better entry on a confirmed dip in this ongoing uptrend....
2025-07-28 SOLD
Summary: Cisco's recent downgrade by Evercore ISI to in-line amid unclear AI revenue details, combined with price dipping below the EMA in a stalling uptrend and no immediate catalysts, prompts exiting the long position to lock in small gains and await clearer setups....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's ongoing uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive AI-driven sentiment, raised analyst targets, and no immediate catalysts or trend invalidation support holding the long position for further upside over weeks....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's ongoing uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, combined with positive AI-driven news, raised price targets, and no trend invalidation, supports holding the long position for potential rebound over the coming weeks....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's ongoing uptrend with EMA above SMA, price holding above both, positive AI and cybersecurity news, raised analyst targets, and no immediate catalysts justify holding the long position for potential further gains over the coming weeks....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's ongoing uptrend, bullish AI and cybersecurity news, undervalued metrics, and analyst upgrades support holding the long position for further gains over the coming weeks, with support around 65-66 and next earnings in mid-August. ...
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's price at 68.05 remains above entry of 67.37 in ongoing uptrend with STO recovering from oversold, recent AI initiatives bullish, holding for multi-week potential despite minor pullback, support at 65 intact....
2025-07-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cisco's continued uptrend with positive MACD, STO rebounding from lows, and bullish AI networking news support holding the long position for potential further gains over weeks, with support at 65 holding firm....
2025-07-16 BUY
Summary: Ciscos pullback in a strong uptrend, oversold STO, and recent earnings beat with AI demand signal high-confidence rebound potential over weeks, with support at 65 offering favorable risk/reward....