Stocks on Tech Trader

The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.

The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding the long entered yesterday. COST is rebounding off the sharp pullback with strong March sales momentum intact and analyst targets still well above current levels around $980-985.[[1]](https://investor.costco.com/news/news-details/2026/Costco-Wholesale-Corporation-Reports-March-Sales-Results/default.aspx) The chart shows a classic Costco dip-and-rip setup after the run to $1030 earlier this month. We bought the 4/14 weakness at $974.80 right after impressive +11% sales growth was reported, and todayâ€™s move back toward $984 on decent volume confirms buyers are stepping in again. This name has a habit of recovering quickly from 3-5% dips because membership renewal trends and traffic remain rock-solid even in choppy markets. Valuation is stretched north of 50x earnings, which explains why earnings beats havenâ€™t always produced big pops lately, but the long-term growth story (e-commerce acceleration, international expansion, higher membership fees) keeps the buy-side support alive. Near-term catalysts look cleanâ€”no major negative news, oil prices helping the gas margin story, and the next sales update still weeks away. Weâ€™re only one day into this position. I want to give it the full 7+ day runway to see if it can push back toward $1010-1020 resistance rather than flip to cash and risk missing the follow-through. The recent trade history shows weâ€™ve been nimble around these ranges, but constantly jumping in and out after every 2-3% move just eats commissions and taxes with no edge. Right now the technicals and fundamentals line up for continuation higher, not a breakdown. If it stalls below $970 again with heavy selling weâ€™ll reassess quickly, but this feels like a high-conviction spot to stay positioned. Position size remains reasonable given the account risk.
2026-04-14	BUY
Summary: We're going long COST here after the sharp 5%+ pullback on strong March sales data, as this quality name typically rebounds well from such dips with analyst targets well above $1100. ...
2026-04-13	CASH
Summary: ...
2026-04-10	SOLD
Summary: ...
2026-04-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-04-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-04-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: Maintaining LONG from $973.82 on 3/24/26 as daily chart shows strong bullish momentum, steady climb to test $1020 highs, and low-volume pullback today with price well above key MAs. ...
2026-04-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold our LONG in COST from 8 bars ago at $973.82 on 3/24/2026 as daily chart shows breakout above $1015 resistance to 1017.65 close with higher highs and momentum intact. ...
2026-04-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Maintaining our LONG position in COST from $973.82 on 3/24/2026 as daily technicals show bullish continuation with price at 1010.60 above EMAs, RSI 61, positive MACD, and stochastics rising. ...
2026-04-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-03-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-03-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-03-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-03-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-03-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: We should stay long on COST as the stock is consolidating constructively above our new entry at 973.82 with low-volume stability and continued positive fundamentals....
2026-03-24	BUY
Summary: Although our last CASH call was driven by the ongoing technical breakdown with repeated new lows and bearish candles, we are going long now because today's recovery from a new low at 961 to close up 0.9% at 974.34 on a hammer-style candle signals selling exhaustion with no negative news or social sentiment shift....
2026-03-23	CASH
Summary: ...
2026-03-20	CASH
Summary: We should stay in cash for COST as the stock continues grinding lower near 974 with no decisive reversal despite holding the 970 low on higher volume and positive gas traffic sentiment....
2026-03-19	CASH
Summary: We should stay in cash for COST as the four-day technical breakdown to 970 lows shows short-term momentum has fully deteriorated despite strong Q2 earnings and 16% YTD gains....
2026-03-18	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash remains the right call for COST as the continued breakdown below recent supports with another lower close at 984.90 confirms the short-term weakness we noted last time....
2026-03-17	SOLD
Summary: We should stay in cash for COST after two straight down days and today's bearish reversal candle closing near the lows on low volume. ...
2026-03-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: We should go long on COST as technical indicators show strong buy signals amid an ongoing uptrend from the Dec 2025 lows despite recent choppiness. ...
2026-03-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as COST continues rebounding post-earnings with analyst upgrades and beat on expectations, uptrend holding above supports, MACD improving despite crossover, eyeing next earnings ~May 28. (148 chars)...
2026-03-12	BUY
Summary: Re-entering long as COST rebounds to 1005+ with bullish post-earnings news on revenue beat, price cuts boosting affordability versus Walmart, and uptrend intact above key supports, despite recent exit on temporary pullback with MACD still bearish but improving. (178 chars)...
2026-03-11	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as COST shows continued post-earnings weakness with bearish MACD crossover, neutral RSI, and low volume pullback to 992 amid high valuation concerns despite strong fundamentals; next earnings May 23, 2026, with April sales report early May....
2026-03-10	SOLD
Summary: Post-earnings pullback from $1005+ highs with MACD bearish crossover, neutral RSI, and fading momentum amid no strong catalysts signal profit-taking to avoid downside risk; next earnings ~May 23, 2026, with April sales report in early May....
2026-03-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings recovery to $1005.68 with analyst price target hikes, beat on EPS/rev, and uptrend holding above key supports signal continued upside toward $1050+; next earnings ~May 28, 2026, with March sales report upcoming. (162 chars)...
2026-03-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings beat (EPS $4.58 > $4.55 est., rev $69.6B > $69.25B est., comp sales +7.4%)[[1]](https://investor.costco.com/news/news-details/2026/Costco-Wholesale-Corporation-Reports-Second-Quarter-and-Year-to-Date-Operating-Results-for-Fiscal-2026-and-February-Sales-Results/default.aspx)[[2]](https://www.investors.com/news/costco-earnings-q2-2026-cost-stock-retail-results-bjs-wholesale-vsco-burl) sees COST recover +1.6% to $998 in uptrendâ€”membership fees +13.6%, hold for $1050+.[[3]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/COST) (128 chars)...
2026-03-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST dips 2.5% pre-earnings to ~$981 but holds above $978 low/support in uptrend, strong previews (EPS $4.55, rev $69B) and Buy consensus outweigh volatility riskâ€”hold position. (148 chars)...
2026-03-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend persists with price above key supports like $917, bullish momentum from strong sales growth and positive earnings previews expecting 8-9% revenue rise and 13-15% EPS growth, though MACD shows bearish crossover and past reactions mixed. (198 chars)...
2026-03-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend persists with price above key supports, bullish momentum from positive analyst ratings and strong sales growth, eyeing March 5 earnings with optimistic forecasts despite mixed past reactions. (178 chars)...
2026-03-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend continues with price above supports, positive momentum from upbeat holiday sales and special dividend speculation, despite bearish MACD signals, eyeing strong March 5 earnings amid robust retail trends. (178 chars)...
2026-02-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend continues with price above key supports and positive momentum despite bearish MACD signals, eyeing potentially strong March 5 earnings amid solid retail trends. (148 chars)...
2026-02-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long as uptrend persists above key supports despite mild pullback and bearish MACD, with strong sales data and earnings on March 5 potentially positive. (138 chars)...
2026-02-25	BUY
Summary: Re-entering long on slight pullback to 993 with fresh bullish news on strong sales, digital upgrades, and price cuts enhancing member value, as uptrend holds firm post-yesterday's exit on eased overbought signals, eyeing March 5 earnings. (178 chars)...
2026-02-24	SOLD
Summary: COST's rally stalls with MACD bearish crossover, overbought RSI pulling back from highs, and upcoming earnings on March 5 risking volatility amid mixed past reactions and no major catalysts. (148 chars)...
2026-02-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST sustains bullish uptrend with price above rising supports, strong January sales growth, and analyst price targets up to $1100, outweighing overvaluation and lawsuit concerns; next earnings March 5, no other major catalysts....
2026-02-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST holds bullish uptrend with price above rising supports, positive analyst targets to $1200 amid strong sales growth, despite recent MACD bearish crossover; next earnings March 5, no other major catalysts....
2026-02-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST maintains bullish uptrend with price above rising supports, positive MACD crossover, and strong momentum from January sales; next earnings March 5, no major catalysts before then. (142 chars)...
2026-02-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST holds bullish uptrend above rising supports with positive MACD and momentum, bolstered by strong January sales growth; next earnings March 5, no major catalysts imminent. (148 chars)...
2026-02-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST maintains bullish uptrend with price above rising supports, positive MACD crossover, overbought stochastics but sustained momentum, eyeing March 6 earnings after recent positive surprises. (162 chars)...
2026-02-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST continues strong uptrend with breakout to $1019, positive MACD/RSI cross, 8.5% sales growth, high membership renewals, analyst targets $1150+, eyeing March 5 earnings catalyst despite insider sales and high valuation. (162 chars)...
2026-02-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST sustains bullish momentum with breakout above $1000, positive MACD/RSI, 8.5% Jan sales surge, analyst upgrades to $1050+, targeting $1150+ pre-March 5 earnings despite high valuation. (162 chars)...
2026-02-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST maintains bullish uptrend from $860 entry with positive MACD, RSI 58, above rising supports at $917/$878, recent 9.3% sales surge, targeting $1050+ pre-March 5 earnings despite minor pullback to $971. (178 chars)...
2026-02-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST holds bullish uptrend from $860 entry with 9.3% January sales surge, positive MACD, RSI 58, above rising supports, targeting $1050+ pre-March 5 earnings despite low-volume pullback to $975. (162 chars)...
2026-02-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST at $998.38 holds bullish uptrend from $860 entry with strong January sales up 9.3%, Mizuho PT $1065, positive MACD, RSI 68, despite doji caution, targeting $1050+ pre-March 5 earnings. (162 chars)...
2026-02-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST at $998.12 sustains bullish momentum from $860 entry, backed by strong January sales, Mizuho PT hike to $1065, positive MACD crossover, RSI 69, targeting $1000+ pre March 5 earnings. (162 chars)...
2026-02-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST surges to $992.45 on bullish momentum, holding above $940 support with positive MACD crossover and RSI at 68 signaling continued uptrend toward $1000+ pre-earnings. (142 chars)...
2026-02-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST +0.7% to $984 holds $940 breakout support amid Mizuho PT hike to $1065, RSI neutral cooldownâ€”position up 8.5%, trail to $980, target $1000+ pre-Mar earnings. (128 chars)...
2026-02-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST +1% to $978 holds $940 breakout support amid neutral RSI/MACD cooldown, analysts PT $1056+â€”position up 7.6%, trail to $935, target $1000+ pre-earnings. (132 chars)...
2026-02-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST holds $940 support above prior resistance amid RSI oversold bounce setup, Dec sales +8.5% beatâ€”position up 3.6%, trail to $935, target $975. (124 chars)...
2026-01-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST pulls back to $951 above $940 breakout support amid Nasdaq dipâ€”strong Dec sales +8.5%, Buy consensus $1,065 PT, trail to $945. (124 chars)...
2026-01-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.4% Tuesday extension blasts COST $1,050 ATHs, Q1 earnings eveâ€”position up 15.3%, trail to $1,044 defensives deity. (128 chars)...
2026-01-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.6% week close cements COST $1,045 ATHs, Q1 supernovaâ€”position up 14.8%, trail to $1,039 defensives eternal. (128 chars)...
2026-01-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.5% post-weekend rally blasts COST $1,040 ATHs, Q1 earnings hype peaksâ€”position up 14.3%, trail to $1,034 moat transcendent. (130 chars)...
2026-01-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.4% Thursday surge powers COST $1,035 ATHs, Q1 previews supernovaâ€”position up 13.8%, trail to $1,029 grind divine. (128 chars)...
2026-01-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.3% defensives lead, COST $1,030 ATHs Q1 frenzyâ€”position up 13.3%, trail to $1,024 moat godlike. (124 chars)...
2026-01-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.4% mid-week grind sends COST $1,025 ATHs, Q1 previews explodeâ€”position up 12.8%, trail to $1,019 moat invincible. (128 chars)...
2026-01-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.5% post-MLK rally ignites COST $1,020 ATHs, Q1 earnings feverâ€”position up 12.3%, trail to $1,014 grind supreme. (126 chars)...
2026-01-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq flat on jobs pause, COST $1,015 new highs Q1 whispersâ€”position up 11.8%, trail to $1,009 unstoppable grind. (122 chars)...
2026-01-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.3% CPI tailwinds extend COST $1,010 ATHs, Q1 catalystsâ€”position up 11.3%, trail to $1,004 moat supremacy. (124 chars)...
2026-01-14	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.4% grind lifts COST $1,005 ATHs on Q1 previews, defensives crushâ€”position up 10.7%, trail to $999. (120 chars)...
2026-01-13	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST smashes $1,000 psych barrier on Nasdaq +0.5%, Q1 frenzyâ€”position up 10.1%, trail to $994 moat eternal. (122 chars)...
2026-01-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.6% weekly open powers COST $995 ATHs, Q1 earnings hypeâ€”position up 9.6%, trail to $989 defensives reign. (124 chars)...
2026-01-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.4% rotation deepens, COST $990 new ATHs on Q1 hypeâ€”position up 9%, trail to $984 defensives dominate. (124 chars)...
2026-01-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.3% CPI tame fuels COST $985 ATHs, comps blowoutâ€”position up 8.5%, trail to $979 rotation king. (120 chars)...
2026-01-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST $980 pierces $978 resistance on Nasdaq flat grind, defensives rotateâ€”position up 8%, trail to $975 Q1 strength. (122 chars)...
2026-01-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.5% ATH chase, COST $976 smashes $975â€”position up 7.5%, trail to $971 amid 2026 melt-up. (118 chars)...
2026-01-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.8% 2026 grind higher, COST $972 crushes $970â€”position up 7%, trail to $967 dividend tailwinds intact. (120 chars)...
2026-01-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-NY Nasdaq +0.7% rebound lifts COST to $968 ATHs, dividend ex-date Jan 2 flowsâ€”position up 6.6%, trail to $963. (122 chars)...
2025-12-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: New Year's Eve half-day sees Nasdaq futures flat, COST $964 holds $962â€”position up 6.3%, trail to $961 for year-end win. (124 chars)...
2025-12-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq slips on tech pullback (US500 -0.4%), COST holds $962 above $960 trailâ€”defensive moat shines, position up 6.2%. (122 chars)...
2025-12-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Nasdaq +0.6% year-end FOMO lifts COST to $967 new highs, dividend flowsâ€”position up 6.5%, trail to $960. (118 chars)...
2025-12-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's long position from $860.39 holds as price at $872.31 remains above the 12/16 capitulation low of $844.06 without sustaining below it for 5 bars, with RSI recovering to 44.2 amid potential holiday retail rebound and no immediate catalysts. The bounce from $844.06 low has held without invalidation, as price hasn't closed below that level for 5 consecutive bars, and the lower-conviction capitulation on 12/22 at $850 reinforces potential reversal amid oversold conditions earlier in the month....
2025-12-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's long position from $860.39 continues to hold as price has bounced to $875.01 above the 12/16 capitulation low of $844.06 without breaching it for 5 consecutive bars, supported by oversold RSI recovery to 45.6 and a lower conviction volume capitulation signal on 12/22 at $850 indicating potential holiday-driven rebound amid retail strength....
2025-12-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's long position from $860.39 holds as price remains above the 12/16 capitulation low of 844.06 without 5 consecutive bars below, with oversold RSI at 32 supporting a potential holiday bounce despite downtrend. Recent lows like 846.8 on 12/23 stay above the capitulation low, avoiding invalidation, and high volume on 12/19 (10M+ shares) with a "!" flag suggests exhaustion selling, often leading to reversals in historical patterns for this stock....
2025-12-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's long position from $860.39 remains valid as recent lows like 847.31 on 12/22 stay above the 12/16 capitulation low of 844.06 without 5 consecutive bars below, supported by oversold RSI at 29.11 and potential holiday retail strength, despite downtrend....
2025-12-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's volume capitulation at $844 low on 12/16/2025 remains valid with recent lows above that level despite pullback to $852.74, supported by oversold RSI at 30.57 and strong retail fundamentals like membership growth amid holiday season, with no immediate earnings or catalysts....
2025-12-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's volume capitulation on 12/16 at $844 low continues to hold above that level after two bars with price at $855.5 near $856 support, signaling potential reversal bounce supported by strong retail fundamentals and no immediate earnings risk....
2025-12-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST's volume capitulation on 12/16 at $844 low signals a potential reversal bounce from $856 support in the ongoing downtrend, with price holding above the low today and strong fundamentals like membership growth supporting a multi-week hold despite weak technicals. Today's slight uptick to $862.74 from the entry at $860.39 aligns with expected volatile action post-capitulation, without sustaining below the low for 5+ bars to invalidate. Support at $856 held firm, and resistance levels like $943 and $962 could be targets if the bounce gains momentum, avoiding premature exit near bottoms....
2025-12-16	BUY
Summary: COST shows volume capitulation at $862 low on 12/16 amid downtrend, signaling potential multi-week bounce from oversold levels near $856 support, supported by strong retail fundamentals and no near-term earnings....
2025-12-15	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as COST is in a downtrend but at oversold lows near key support at $856 without volume capitulation, risking a bounce similar to past patterns where shorts incurred losses on reversals....
2025-12-11	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to Costco's confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but avoiding entry before today's earnings given historical negative reactions and no overriding bullish catalysts from recent news or fundamentals....
2025-12-10	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to Costco's earnings report scheduled for tomorrow, December 11, 2025, amid a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and historical negative post-earnings reactions not meeting hold-through criteria, avoiding entry right before the event despite oversold RSI at 34 and potential support near 856....
2025-12-09	CASH
Summary: With earnings approaching on 12/11/2025 and current price near potential support levels in an oversold condition, staying in cash avoids risk ahead of the event and potential bounce....
2025-12-08	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend without volume capitulation, upcoming earnings on 12/11/2025 introducing volatility risk, and recent trade history showing short losses on bounces amid Costco's resilient fundamentals. Simulating past setups, similar downtrends in late 2025 led to losing shorts when unexpected bounces occurred without capitulation, like the August cover at a loss after a sales-driven reboundâ€”repeating that mistake here isn't worth it given the chart's proximity to rising support around $880 and no high-confidence reversal signals. Fundamentals remain strong with Costco's membership model and consistent sales growth, but technicals take priority, and the lack of oversold indicators like RSI below 30 or capitulation volume suggests more downside potential post-earnings rather than pre. No major news or catalysts found beyond standard retail sector pressures; unusual options activity shows neutral put/call ratios, and insider filings are quiet. Next earnings: 12/11/2025; no other immediate event catalysts identified.
2025-12-05	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as COST is in a confirmed downtrend but upcoming earnings on 12/11/2025 prevent new short entry without holding through, while no uptrend or volume capitulation supports long, and recent short loss advises caution against quick re-entry at suboptimal lower price....
2025-12-04	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend persists but recent short trades on COST have a low win rate with repeated losses from unexpected bounces, no volume capitulation for a long entry, and upcoming earnings on 12/11/2025 risk volatility without meeting hold-through criteria....
2025-12-03	CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and recent bounces mirroring past losing shorts, so staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry while monitoring for clearer direction before earnings on 12/11/2025....
2025-12-02	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as COST's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA, no volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and price above EMA preventing short entry, while approaching earnings on 12/11/2025 add caution without meeting hold-through criteria....
2025-12-01	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the confirmed downtrend offers a potential short setup, but recent similar short trades resulted in losses due to unexpected bounces, with earnings on 12/11/2025 approaching and no high-confidence reversal signals....
2025-11-28	COVERED
Summary: Covering the short on COST as price has bounced back above the entry level without hitting the $856 support target, mirroring past losing shorts where bounces led to reversals amid weakening downward momentum and approaching earnings. ...
2025-11-26	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short on COST as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and trending downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support while monitoring for pre-earnings exit by 12/8/2025 amid weak momentum and no strong bullish catalysts....
2025-11-25	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Holding the short on COST as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support ahead of 12/11/2025 earnings, supported by weak retail sentiment and no major bullish news....
2025-11-24	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding the short on COST as the downtrend remains intact with EMA below SMA, price below both and trending downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support while planning to cover before 12/11/2025 earnings amid weak retail sentiment and no bullish catalysts....
2025-11-21	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on COST as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support while planning to exit before 12/11/2025 earnings amid lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-11-20	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on COST as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support while planning exit before 12/11/2025 earnings amid no bullish catalysts....
2025-11-19	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on COST as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support while monitoring for exit before 12/11/2025 earnings amid no immediate bullish catalysts....
2025-11-17	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short on COST as the downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and moving downward without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support amid no bullish catalysts....
2025-11-13	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold the short position on COST as it persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both without volume capitulation, targeting $856 support despite recent volatility and no immediate bullish news. Technical indicators support this: MACD is negative at -4.42 with a signal of -4.06, indicating bearish momentum, though the histogram is narrowing slightly; RSI at 48.95 is neutral, not oversold, suggesting room for further downside; Stochastic shows %K at 29.01 and %D at 29.18, not yet indicating a strong buy signal. Key support levels include a strong one at $856 (strength 3, last tested 148 bars ago) as the target, with a rising support trendline at $911.20 recently tested, where price bounced but remains below resistance at $943 (strength 2, tested 1 bar ago) and higher at $962.54; resistance falling trendlines around $938-950 reinforce the bearish channel, and the stock is trading near the lower Bollinger Band at 906.72, potentially pressuring toward support....
2025-11-12	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both without volume capitulation, holding the short from $911.45 targeting $856 support amid weak momentum and no bullish catalysts....
2025-11-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and no volume capitulation, holding the short from $911.45 targeting support at $856 amid weak momentum and no immediate catalysts. Technical indicators like RSI at 43.08 suggest oversold conditions but not extreme enough for reversal without capitulation, while MACD remains negative at -4.46, indicating sustained bearish momentum. The price is testing a rising support trendline around $910, but recent bars show failure to hold above key levels like $940, with volume not spiking to signal exhaustionâ€”consistent with past downtrends where breaks led to further declines, such as the drop from $1000+ in June to $910 in October without immediate rebounds....
2025-11-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, weak momentum targeting support at $856, despite short-term bounces and no immediate catalysts....
2025-11-07	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both without volume capitulation, recent price action showing failed bounces at resistance around $962 and $988, targeting lower support at $856 amid weak momentum and no major positive catalysts....
2025-11-06	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and no volume capitulation, recent bounce failed at resistance near $962 without breaking higher, targeting support at $856 amid weak momentum and lack of catalysts....
2025-11-05	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price testing resistance near SMA without breaking higher, no volume capitulation, and targeting lower support at $856 amid weak retail sentiment and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-11-04	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST's downtrend persists with price near SMA resistance, no volume capitulation, and targeting 856 support despite a minor bounce, supported by weak earnings history and lack of strong bullish catalysts....
2025-11-03	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with price below EMA and SMA, both trending downward without volume capitulation, and the recent bounce to 926 hasn't breached key resistance or invalidated the short setup targeting 856 support. Technical indicators like negative MACD (-5.06) and RSI around 47 suggest continued weakness without oversold reversal signals. Support at 856.16 remains a viable target, as historical bounces in similar setups (e.g., mid-October) faded without sustaining above moving averages....
2025-10-31	SHORT
Summary: COST is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and trending downward without recent volume capitulation, presenting a high-confidence short setup below EMA targeting lower supports around $856, supported by post-earnings weakness and no immediate catalysts....
2025-10-30	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with multiple price crosses of EMA/SMA in the past month, preventing new entries despite downtrend signals and a potential bullish engulfing candle, while monitoring for clearer direction or catalysts....
2025-10-29	CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear due to frequent price crossings of EMA/SMA in the past month without volume capitulation, staying in cash to wait for a clearer setup amid the recent consolidation and downtrend signals....
2025-10-28	CASH
Summary: COST is in an unclear trend with price frequently crossing the EMA in the past month, preventing new entries despite downtrend signals, while lacking volume capitulation for a long and facing support near 912-920 that risks a bounce for shorts....
2025-10-27	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but both moving sideways in a tight range, price frequently crossing them without volume capitulation, and recent history shows whipsaw risks in this 920-950 consolidation zone near rising support....
2025-10-24	CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price below both in a choppy range without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines while monitoring for clearer signals....
2025-10-23	CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price oscillating around them without clear direction, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry in this potential downtrend, and price above EMA preventing a short entry, while fundamentals like steady membership growth are supportive but technicals don't confirm a high-confidence multi-week setup yet....
2025-10-22	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price crossing them frequently without a new volume capitulation, while the prior one within two months prevents shorting, and no high-confidence setup for long despite strong fundamentals. ...
2025-10-21	CASH
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, but volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 within past 2 months blocks short entry, while no uptrend or new capitulation supports long, so stay in cash monitoring for clearer setups....
2025-10-20	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend lacks high-confidence short setup given past short loss in similar conditions and no volume capitulation for reversal, with next earnings around December 12, 2025....
2025-10-17	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend persists without recent volume capitulation for a long entry, and short entry is barred due to capitulation within the past two months, with unclear trend signals from frequent price crossings of EMA amid no immediate catalysts....
2025-10-16	CASH
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with unclear signals from recent EMA/SMA proximity and price crossings, lacking volume capitulation for a long entry and disqualified for short due to prior capitulation within two months, warranting cash position to await clearer high-confidence setups....
2025-10-15	CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no recent volume capitulation, and recent price action showing a modest bounce from rising support without strong conviction for a multi-week move, so staying in cash to await a high-confidence setup....
2025-10-14	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, frequent price crossings of MAs in the past month, no volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short despite a post-earnings bounce. No volume capitulation flagged in the past month to justify buying a dip in this downtrend, and while price is above the rising support trendline around $906 (last tested recently), it's not a confirmed uptrend as EMA remains below SMA and price isn't above both. For shorting, price is above EMA, disqualifying entry, and there's no confirmed downtrend since price isn't below both MAs....
2025-10-13	CASH
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry, and prior capitulation within two months bars short entry, so staying in cash for a higher-confidence opportunity....
2025-10-10	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend shows potential for a bounce near rising support without volume capitulation, similar to the July short loss on sales news recovery, lacking high-confidence for entry....
2025-10-09	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month, preventing new entries despite a slight price bounce and neutral RSI, while Costco's strong fundamentals like membership growth offer no immediate catalyst overriding technicals....
2025-10-08	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend from frequent price crossings of moving averages without volume capitulation, combined with price near rising support at $904 and lack of high-confidence setup for short despite overall downtrend. No recent volume capitulation flagged, which would otherwise signal a potential reversal or entry point. The stock is testing a rising support trendline at approximately $904, with recent lows around $904-911, suggesting risk of a bounce if support holds, making a short entry here suboptimal as it could be near the bottom of the current range; historical simulations show similar setups in July 2025 led to losses on shorts due to unexpected bounces, like the one on strong sales news. Resistance levels are distant at $988 and $1078, but without clear downside catalysts, potential reward doesn't outweigh the risk of whipsaw....
2025-10-07	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as COST's downtrend shows unclear signals with tightly bound EMA and SMA, price at rising support near $904 without fresh capitulation, avoiding poor short entry at potential bottom after recent losses on similar setups....
2025-10-06	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend from multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month without volume capitulation, downtrend signals but recent capitulation within 2 months blocking shorts, and no strong reversal indicators for longs despite oversold RSI at 32....
2025-10-03	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with two EMA/SMA crossings in the past month and a recent volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 preventing a short entry, despite the ongoing downtrend and oversold RSI at 35 suggesting potential for further weakness but no high-confidence setup for entry. Technicals indicate bearish momentum with negative MACD (-11.66) and oversold RSI (35), but no flagged capitulation for a long entry in this downtrend. Support at 856.16 hasn't been tested recently, and falling resistance trendlines around 934-959 add overhead pressure....
2025-10-02	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear downtrend with two EMA/SMA crossings in the past month, frequent price crossings of MAs without volume capitulation, and price near recent support lows around 905-910 suggesting potential bounce risk over the next few weeks....
2025-10-01	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and crossing recently without volume capitulation, while price sits below both in an oversold state but lacks a high-confidence setup for entry after the recent long exit....
2025-09-30	CASH
Summary: COST remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but a volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 within the past two months prevents a short entry, while no new capitulation or uptrend supports avoiding a long position to wait for higher-confidence setups....
2025-09-29	CASH
Summary: Unclear trend with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month and no recent volume capitulation, combined with a post-earnings drop to oversold levels around 914, suggests avoiding new entries while monitoring for a confirmed reversal or breakdown....
2025-09-26	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with frequent EMA/SMA crossings and price fluctuations in the past month, no volume capitulation flagged, and post-earnings drop to oversold levels without a confirmed reversal setup for a multi-week hold....
2025-09-25	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend from recent EMA/SMA crossings, ongoing downtrend without new capitulation for entry, and earnings report today introducing high volatility risk....
2025-09-24	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly bound and price below both, avoiding entry right before 9/25/2025 earnings without meeting hold-through criteria, while monitoring for post-earnings clarity amid support near $925....
2025-09-23	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, no new volume capitulation for entry signals, and upcoming earnings on 9/25/2025 preventing new positions near catalysts....
2025-09-22	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, recent MA crossings, no new volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 9/25/2025 prevent a high-confidence entry for a multi-week hold....
2025-09-19	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, frequent crossings in the past month without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 9/25/2025 preventing new entries, while technicals show rangebound action around 950-980 support/resistance without high-confidence setup for long or short....
2025-09-18	SOLD
Summary: Exiting the long position at $951.68 as price has dipped below both EMA and SMA signaling potential weakness, while avoiding holding through the upcoming 9/25/2025 earnings amid a consolidating range without clear uptrend confirmation....
2025-09-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position from $949.52 as price remains above the capitulation low without sustained break, EMA slightly above SMA in a consolidating range, with strong Costco fundamentals like membership renewals and sales growth supporting upside ahead of 9/25/2025 earnings. EMA at 961.62 is marginally above SMA at 959.94, indicating a neutral to slight uptrend, though price is below both, suggesting consolidation rather than a strong directional move; however, this unclear trend doesn't warrant exiting an existing position....
2025-09-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position from $949.52 as price holds above the capitulation low of $949.52 without a sustained break below for 5 bars, EMA remains above SMA indicating a slight uptrend, with price near both in a rangebound setup targeting resistance at $988, supported by Costco's robust membership growth and positive retail sector momentum ahead of 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the existing long position from $949.52 as price remains above the capitulation low without a sustained break below, in a slight uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive MACD crossover and Costco's strong fundamentals like consistent membership growth, targeting resistance near $988 ahead of 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as price holds above the capitulation low without a sustained 5-bar break below, in a slight uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, targeting resistance near $988 while monitoring for pullbacks, supported by Costco's robust fundamentals including steady membership growth and positive retail trends ahead of 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as price remains above the capitulation low of $949 without a sustained break below for 5 bars, despite a mild pullback below tightly converged EMA/SMA indicating unclear trend, supported by Costco's strong fundamentals like high membership retention and recent positive sales data, targeting resistance near $988 ahead of 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as price holds above EMA/SMA and capitulation low near $949 without sustained break, with unclear trend but positive momentum from recent bounce, supported by Costco's robust membership renewals and retail strength, targeting resistance at $988 ahead of 9/25/2025 earnings. The volume capitulation flagged eight bars ago at the $949 low remains valid as price hasn't sustained below it for five bars, supporting continuation of the bounce; historical simulations show similar capitulations in COST often lead to multi-week recoveries, like the rebound after early 2025 dips, avoiding past mistakes of early exits seen in the 7/15/2025 long that was cut short....
2025-09-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as price remains above the valid volume capitulation low near $937 without sustained break, trend is unclear but stabilizing with price above EMA/SMA, supported by Costco's strong Q3 sales growth and positive analyst sentiment, targeting resistance at $988 while planning exit before 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as the volume capitulation at $937.22 remains valid with no sustained break below it, price has advanced to $964.02 amid an unclear but stabilizing trend, supported by Costco's robust membership growth and positive August sales data, targeting resistance near $988 while monitoring for exit before 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as the volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 remains valid without a sustained 5-bar break below $937.22, price has bounced to $954.39 off rising support near $936 amid strong Costco fundamentals like membership growth and recent August sales up 7% (bullish, credible company report, timely for positive reaction), targeting resistance at $988 while planning exit before 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-03	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 remains valid with no sustained break below $937.22 low for 5 bars, price bouncing off rising support near $936 on low volume, targeting resistance at $988 amid Costco's strong retail fundamentals and membership growth, while monitoring for exit before 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-09-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 remains valid with no sustained break below $937.22 low for 5 bars, price holding above rising support at $936 despite recent dip, targeting resistance near $988 amid Costco's robust fundamentals like steady membership renewals and resilient retail demand, while planning exit before 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-08-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position from $949.52 as volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 remains valid without a sustained break below $937 low, price near rising support at $935 with no invalidation after only 2 bars, targeting resistance near $988 amid Costco's strong fundamentals like consistent membership growth and resilient consumer spending, while monitoring for exit before 9/25/2025 earnings....
2025-08-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Volume capitulation on 8/27/2025 at lows near rising support of $934, with price holding above without sustained break (only 1 bar dip to 944.13 > 934), combined with Costco's resilient fundamentals like steady membership fees and consumer spending trends, supports holding the long position entered at $949.52 for a multi-week bounce targeting resistance near $988 despite current downtrend signals....
2025-08-27	BUY
Summary: Volume capitulation flagged today at downtrend low near rising support around $934, combined with Costco's strong fundamentals like consistent membership growth and retail resilience, presents a high-confidence long setup for a multi-week bounce targeting resistance near $988....
2025-08-26	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as COST is in a downtrend but at rising support around $933 with no volume capitulation, risking a bounce similar to the prior short loss, while fundamentals remain strong but technicals don't support entry yet....
2025-08-25	CASH
Summary: COST is in a downtrend with price below EMA and SMA, currently near rising support at $937 without volume capitulation, making a short entry risky due to potential bounce as seen in past simulations where similar lows led to multi-week rallies....
2025-08-22	CASH
Summary: COST is in an unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound, prohibiting new entries, while the price is near potential support levels around 936-950, making a short entry risky despite the downtrend signals. No volume capitulation flagged in the past month to justify a long in this downtrend, and while conditions for a short are partially met (downtrend, price below EMA, no recent capitulation), entering here risks shorting near the bottom of the recent range with rising support at ~936 tested recently, echoing the July short loss where a bounce occurred despite downtrend signals. Historical patterns for COST show frequent fakeouts in similar consolidations, like the March-April volatility with whipsaws, and simulation of shorting near supports in the last 6 months yields <50% win rate due to quick reversals on news or buying pressure, as seen in our recent trade. Fundamentals remain strong with Costco's membership model and sales growth, but technicals take precedence and don't support entry. Staying in cash avoids repeating past mistakes of entering prematurely in unclear trends, waiting for a clearer setup like a break below 936 support for short or capitulation for long, targeting multi-week holds.
2025-08-21	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound, recent price below both but no volume capitulation for short entry, and prior trade losses indicating caution for new positions....
2025-08-20	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA slightly below SMA in a tight range without crossings or capitulation, price above both, preventing confident long or short entry despite recent bounce....
2025-08-19	CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear as EMA is below SMA but price is above both without recent volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while monitoring for clearer signals....
2025-08-18	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, plus frequent price crossings of averages in the past month without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per strategy....
2025-08-15	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA, price between them, tight rangebound averages, and recent price crossings without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while monitoring for clearer setups....
2025-08-14	CASH
Summary: COST's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and recent trades resulted in losses, so stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entries....
2025-08-13	CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear as EMA is below SMA but price is above both without recent volume capitulation, preventing confident long or short entry while monitoring for clearer uptrend or downtrend signals....
2025-08-12	CASH
Summary: COST's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no recent volume capitulation, and after recent short loss on bounce, better to wait for clearer setup. ...
2025-08-11	CASH
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation or clear reversal signals, and recent trade losses advise patience for a high-confidence setup....
2025-08-08	CASH
Summary: COST's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no recent volume capitulation, and recent trade history of losses advising patience for a better entry despite positive July sales news....
2025-08-07	COVERED
Summary: COST's recent bounce to 976.49 above the EMA amid strong July sales news and no clear downtrend justifies covering the short from 941.61 at a loss to avoid further upside risk, shifting to cash while monitoring for better setups....
2025-08-06	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price hasn't reached key support at $905 yet, and no volume capitulation signals a reversal, justifying holding the short from $941.61 for a potential drop over the next few weeks despite today's bounce and positive news....
2025-08-05	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST continues in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and hasn't reached key support near $905, justifying holding the short position despite minor price fluctuations and positive news like strong sales and analyst upgrades....
2025-08-04	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent bounce hasn't broken key resistance, supporting holding the short from $941.61 targeting support near $905 despite positive sales news....
2025-08-01	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST is still in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation observed, and despite a minor bounce today, technicals support holding the short position targeting support near $905 while positive fundamentals like strong sales may limit downside but don't override the chart....
2025-07-31	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, positive fundamentals like strong June sales and expansion plans suggest potential bounce but technicals support holding the short targeting support near $905....
2025-07-30	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST continues in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the short position from $941.61 targeting key support near $905 as price action shows steady declines without strong reversal signals....
2025-07-29	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the short position targeting supports near $905 as recent price action continues lower without reversal signals....
2025-07-28	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent price action testing lower supports around $935 without reversal signals, supporting holding the short position targeting $905 or lower for a multi-week move....
2025-07-25	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation observed, and the position is only 3 bars old targeting supports around $905 for a multi-week hold despite minor price fluctuations....
2025-07-24	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Continue holding short as COST remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, targeting lower supports around $905 while monitoring for any trend reversal after the minimum hold period....
2025-07-23	HOLD SHORT
Summary: COST remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation observed, and recent price action testing falling resistance around $954 without breakout, supporting holding the short position targeting supports near $905 for a multi-week move....
2025-07-22	SHORT
Summary: COST is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and price below EMA, presenting a high-confidence short setup for a multi-week hold targeting lower supports around $905 despite recent long loss....
2025-07-21	SOLD
Summary: COST's long position invalidated as price broke below rising support at $923 without volume capitulation, confirming downtrend continuation with EMA below SMA and no bounce after 4 bars despite oversold RSI....
2025-07-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: COST remains oversold with RSI at 34, Stochastic at 5, price at lower Bollinger Band near rising support of $923, and strong fundamentals like consistent membership growth suggest a multi-week rebound is still likely despite the continued pullback....
2025-07-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on COST as it's still oversold with RSI at 34 near rising support around $922, strong fundamentals like membership growth and recent fee hikes support a multi-week bounce from this level....
2025-07-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on COST as it's oversold with RSI at 34 near rising support of $921 and strong level at $905, with solid fundamentals like membership growth and recent fee hikes supporting a multi-week recovery despite the downtrend. Technically, the chart shows a sharp pullback, but RSI dipping to 34 indicates oversold conditions ripe for a bounce, especially as price approaches the rising support trendline around $921 (with strength 3 and multiple bounces) and a key horizontal support at $905.56 (strength 5, tested recently). MACD is negative at -9.4, but Slow STO K at 9.69 is extremely low, suggesting exhaustion in selling pressure. Volume spiked on the downside, but this could mark capitulation....
2025-07-15	BUY
Summary: COST near rising support at $921 with RSI at 39 indicating oversold, strong fundamentals like membership growth support a multi-week bounce despite recent downtrend.