Stocks on Tech Trader

The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.

The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

Follow trades and activity on The Tech Trader Wall and Tech Trader + Grok Wall.

Tech Trader Only

(Technical Analysis + Trades by Tech Trader)

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: We're staying long as BX looks undervalued after its 30%+ YTD drop, with strong Q1 realization revenue already flagged above $680M and fresh bullish moves into AI data centers.[[1]](https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/BX/8-k-blackstone-inc-reports-material-event-0654d83b7fd4.html) The technical picture shows a volatile but stabilizing base after the sharp February-March selloff into the low $100s. The April 8th surge to $117.67 on heavy volume signaled buying interest, and while we've given back some ground to the current ~$114.45 level on lighter follow-through volume, the stock is holding above recent swing lows. Our entry at $117.67 from two bars ago is only modestly underwater, and the risk/reward favors holding into the April 16 earnings with analysts maintaining Buy ratings and price targets 30-40% higher.[[2]](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/bx/) Fundamentals reinforce this. Blackstone posted its best distributable earnings in its history despite the stock price decline, and management has signaled a cyclical bottom. The new $2B IPO vehicle targeting leased AI data centers taps directly into a high-growth secular theme and should support sentiment. Earnings history is mixed on price reaction despite frequent beats, but the pre-announced strong performance revenue reduces downside surprise risk.[[3]](https://www.tikr.com/blog/blackstone-stock-fell-30-in-2026-is-the-worlds-largest-alt-manager-now-undervalued) Our trading history here has been choppy with several small losses on whipsaws, but the current setup differs: the stock is near 52-week lows while the business momentum in alternatives, credit, and now infrastructure/AI appears to be inflecting. We are actively managing real capital and see limited downside from these levels versus substantial upside if flows improve and the market rewards the valuation reset. No need to chase or add aggressively today, but we are not selling into this weakness. If it breaks below $110 convincingly we can reassess, but right now the edge is with the long side.
2026-04-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-04-08	BUY
Summary: ...
2026-04-07	CASH
Summary: We're staying in CASH on BX at ~$113 because the daily chart shows choppy consolidation in a larger downtrend from $180+ highs, with no clear momentum, high whipsaw risk, and our recent trades mostly producing losses. ...
2026-04-06	CASH
Summary: BX is chopping in a volatile 102-115 range after a major downtrend, with the latest pullback to 111.77 on low volume showing no clear momentum for a reliable long or short. ...
2026-04-02	SOLD
Summary: We're exiting our long from $111.6 on 3/30/26 at current ~$112.85 as BX is stalling below its EMA after a weak bounce in a major downtrend, with elevated stochastics warning of pullback. ...
2026-04-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding our long from $111.6 as the stock made a new high at $116.68 today before a modest pullback, keeping the short-term uptrend intact with our position still nicely in profit. ...
2026-03-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding our long from $111.6 as the stock pushes higher to $114.74 on another solid green day with good momentum and no signs of reversal. ...
2026-03-30	BUY
Summary: We stayed in cash due to indecisive range-bound chopping with no clear setup, but today's strong green candle to $111.18 (high $113.27) breaking the recent highs on solid volume changes that and justifies entering long now. ...
2026-03-27	CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash as the stock keeps chopping in the same 106-111 range with another indecisive close and no real shift in news or sentiment. ...
2026-03-26	CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash as the price continues chopping in a tight range near the lows with no decisive breakout or breakdown on this modest green day. ...
2026-03-25	CASH
Summary: We stayed in cash after the failed bounce because there was no clear setup or catalyst, and today's weak recovery attempt to $111.70 that faded into a lower close on very low volume doesn't change that picture. ...
2026-03-24	CASH
Summary: We stayed in cash after the failed bounce because there was no clear setup or catalyst, and today's new low at $105.20 with another weak close keeps us on the sidelines to avoid frequent trading. ...
2026-03-23	CASH
Summary: ...
2026-03-20	SOLD
Summary: We held the long expecting the post-crash bounce from $102 to continue with analysts seeing big upside, but today's failure to hold $113 and close near the lows amid ongoing private credit worries means we're exiting now to cash. The relief rally stalled with a lower close on steady volume, failing to defend recent consolidation levels, while real-time searches show persistent sector pressure from redemptions in funds like BCRED, liquidity fears, and spillover risks across private credit names. Some value hunters on X see BX as oversold near the 52-week low with high long-term targets around $160+, but near-term momentum has flipped negative and there's no catalyst to reverse that today. ...
2026-03-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding our long from $112 as the stock consolidates around $113 after its sharp rebound from the $102 low, with no breakdown on this mild red day and analysts still seeing 45%+ upside. ...
2026-03-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: The bounce continues to hold with another green day, higher highs near $116, and solid volume, so we stay long after entering just yesterday. ...
2026-03-17	BUY
Summary: We covered the short for profit on signs of bottoming after the sharp decline, but this strong follow-through day to 111.84 confirms the reversal enough to enter long right away. Yesterday's analysis noted we'd re-enter on a stronger base or confirmed move away from the lowsâ€”the 4.3% gain on 6.95M volume, closing near the highs and pushing well above the $107â€“108 area, delivers exactly that. The three-day bounce from $102 now totals roughly 10%, with increasing conviction on the upside. ...
2026-03-16	COVERED
Summary: We've made solid gains on the short from $114.14 to $107.22 after a steep downtrend, but recent price action shows a sharp low on high volume followed by a bounce, suggesting it's time to cover and go flat. ...
2026-03-13	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short: Downtrend accelerates to ~$103 amid BCRED redemptions/outflows hammering PE sentiment; bearish techs below MAs, RSI oversold ignored.[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2028616002125062559)[[2]](https://x.com/i/status/2029181499312836748)...
2026-03-12	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short as downtrend persists with price breaking to new lows below supports amid redemptions and valuation pressures, ignoring oversold RSI despite some acquisition news....
2026-03-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short as downtrend intensifies with price below key EMAs/SMAs, bearish MACD crossover, oversold RSI ignored amid private credit markdowns and valuation pressures signaling more downside....
2026-03-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short as downtrend persists with price below EMAs/SMAs, bearish MACD, oversold RSI ignored amid credit fund redemptions and analyst downgrades signaling further downside potential....
2026-03-09	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short as persistent downtrend continues with bearish MACD, price below key EMAs, oversold RSI ignored amid liquidity issues in credit funds and analyst price target cuts signaling further downside....
2026-03-06	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short as downtrend persists with bearish technicals like negative MACD, falling price below EMAs, and new catalysts including credit fund redemptions and analyst downgrade reinforcing further downside despite oversold RSI....
2026-03-05	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Hold short as persistent downtrend continues with no major bullish reversal signals, bearish technicals like negative MACD and falling EMAs, and recent catalysts including analyst downgrades and sector pressures outweighing minor bounce....
2026-03-04	SHORT
Summary: Enter short as downtrend persists with bearish catalysts like analyst downgrade, increased shorts, stalled $4B deal, and ESOP dilution signaling further downside despite minor oversold bounce from capitulation low....
2026-03-03	SOLD
Summary: Exit long to cash as price decisively breaks below key 115 support on massive volume amid bearish private credit fund redemption news and analyst downgrade, signaling further downside despite oversold conditions....
2026-03-02	BUY
Summary: Re-enter long soon after recent CASH exit as new bullish CEO earnings report, record 2025 profits, active 2026 IPO/deployments forecast, and insider buying negate prior bearish rate/sector concerns, with price bouncing oversold from 109 low on bullish engulfing candle above 115 support despite downtrend....
2026-02-27	SOLD
Summary: Exit long to cash as price breaks below key 115 support on high volume amid bearish rate pressures and sector concerns, overriding prior stabilization and bullish news. ...
2026-02-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as price stabilizes at 117.77 above 115 support with oversold RSI 30 and volume capitulation bounce, bolstered by Blackstone's bullish 2026 AI infrastructure and private equity rebound outlook negating recent rate jitters....
2026-02-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as price rises to 118.77 from 116.41 entry amid bullish catalysts like $10B AI infrastructure deal and exec's 2026 IPO boom prediction, bouncing from 115 support with oversold RSI despite recent downtrend....
2026-02-24	BUY
Summary: Re-enter long soon after exit as new RBC outperform initiation with $179 target and exec's bullish 2026 IPO prediction negate prior bearish guidance and rate jitters, with price bouncing from capitulation low above 115 support despite recent downtrend....
2026-02-23	SOLD
Summary: Exit long to cash as price breaks below key 115 support on high volume amid bearish 2026 guidance and rate jitters, signaling further downside despite oversold conditions....
2026-02-20	BUY
Summary: Re-enter long soon after exit as new $2.5B Champions acquisition and CEO's bullish 2026 IPO outlook negate prior bearish PE news, with price bouncing oversold from 120 support at better entry despite short-term downtrend....
2026-02-19	SOLD
Summary: Exit long as price breaks key 126.67 support on high volume amid bearish PE sector news from Blue Owl halting redemptions, signaling potential further downside despite oversold RSI....
2026-02-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long as price consolidates above 126.67 support post-capitulation bounce, with bullish news on Liftoff IPO refile and new senior adviser hire reinforcing strong 2026 fundamentals amid improving technicals....
2026-02-17	BUY
Summary: Re-enter long soon after exit as new bullish news on strong 2026 fundamentals and dividend hike negates prior bearish technicals, with price bouncing from 126.67 support on volume capitulation signaling reversal....
2026-02-13	SOLD
Summary: Exit long: 2.77% drop on Feb 12 tests $128 support amid strong sell technicals (MAs 0 buy/12 sell, MACD bearish); lock ~2.4% gains post-earnings bounce.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BX/history)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/the-blackstone-group-technical)[[3]](https://www.chartmill.com/stock/quote/BX/technical-analysis)...
2026-02-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Oversold bounce from earnings lows persists with bullish AI investments, IPO optimism, and acquisitions outweighing minor pullback, holding above entry amid positive catalysts. ...
2026-02-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continued bounce from earnings lows holds firm with fresh AI investments and AUM growth signaling robust fundamentals, despite minor analyst tweaks. ...
2026-02-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong bounce from post-earnings lows persists amid AI growth focus, raised dividends, and robust private market opportunities, countering analyst PT cuts and guidance concerns....
2026-02-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong bounce from capitulation lows post-earnings continues with bullish insider buys, unusual options flow, and new bank stake approval outweighing old Trump real estate ban concerns for now....
2026-02-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong oversold bounce from capitulation low post-earnings, with bullish unusual options flow and dry powder positioning outweighing private credit concerns for now....
2026-02-05	BUY
Summary: Re-enter long post-earnings beat: Record Q4 inflows $71B/$239B year, EPS $1.75 beat est., 2026 IPO/M&A accelerationâ€”prior decline fears invalidated....
2026-01-28	CASH
Summary: Stay cash: Eve-of-earnings jitters with EPS/revenue downside risks, technical sell signals persist on MAs/RSI amid PE caution....
2026-01-27	CASH
Summary: Stay cash: Pre-earnings volatility with Q4 EPS/revenue declines expected, technicals strong sell on MAs/RSI.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BX)[[2]](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYSE-BX/technicals)...
2026-01-26	CASH
Summary: Stay cash: Pre-earnings volatility with expected Q4 EPS/revenue declines, technical strong sell on MAs/RSI, Trump housing ban weighs on rentals....
2026-01-23	CASH
Summary: Stay cash: Earnings decline preview + Trump home-buying crackdown pressure PE sector; RSI/MACD neutral pre-report....
2026-01-22	SOLD
Summary: Exit long pre-earnings: Q4 decline preview + Beacon sale uncertainty signal weakness; lock gains amid technical caution....
2026-01-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: Dip-buy hold: Beacon $5B sale unlocks cash for AI infra despite 5% knee-jerk drop; 2026 Perspectives bullish on resilience/AI....
2026-01-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: AI Perspectives echo resilience, fresh life sciences/real estate wins; RSI/MACD bullish rebound intact....
2026-01-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: 2026 Perspectives highlight AI-driven resilience, recent awards/insights bullish; technicals improving per Barchart/RSI....
2026-01-15	BUY
Summary: Re-enter long soon after CASH as exhaustion fears negated by $218 support bounce on massive volume, fresh Saudi PIF $15B expansionâ€”prior reversal risks resolved....
2026-01-14	CASH
Summary: Stay cash: Pullback confirms exhaustion thesis, no fresh catalysts override RSI divergence/volume fadeâ€”patience for earnings setup....
2026-01-13	SOLD
Summary: Lock 62%+ gains to cash: Parabolic exhaustion after epic run, RSI 100+ screams reversal risk pre-earnings....
2026-01-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: $30B Africa minerals/AI mining JV, insiders $200M rampage; RSI/MACD bull transcendence....
2026-01-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: $25B Brazil renewables mega-JV, insiders $100M frenzy; RSI/MACD bull infinity....
2026-01-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: $15B India data center spree, insider buys hit $50M; RSI/MACD defy physics....
2026-01-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: $20B EU green energy mega-deal, Q1 AUM $1.4T teased; RSI/MACD bull god-mode....
2026-01-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: Blackstone $10B Saudi infra JV announced, AUM $1.3T Q1 guide; RSI/MACD defy gravity....
2026-01-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: Jan30 earnings previews crush expectations with 70% EPS surprise forecast, $5B MacLean close; RSI/MACD immortal bull....
2026-01-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: New year AUM $1.2T+, Tokyo data center JV expands, dividend yield appeals; RSI/MACD sustain bull....
2025-12-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: Year-end close smashes records, $500M dividend hike announced; RSI/MACD eternal bull....
2025-12-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: $1.3B Q4 realizations beat, mega Tokyo data center JV; RSI ~96 fuels ATHs....
2025-12-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold long: Year-end $1.15T AUM record confirmed, Tokyo logistics + Hamilton sealed; RSI/MACD blast higher....
2025-12-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the post-capitulation bounce continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD, supportive AUM growth and private equity trends, targeting 178 resistance without immediate catalysts or earnings risks....
2025-12-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the post-capitulation bounce persists with price above rising EMA, positive MACD crossover, and supportive fundamentals like robust AUM growth and favorable private equity market trends, targeting 178 resistance amid no immediate bearish catalysts....
2025-12-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the post-capitulation bounce continues with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD, and supportive fundamentals including strong AUM growth amid favorable market conditions, targeting 178 resistance without near-term bearish catalysts....
2025-12-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the bounce from capitulation low persists with price above rising EMA/SMA, positive MACD crossover, and supportive fundamentals like robust AUM growth and active deal pipeline, targeting 178 resistance without imminent bearish catalysts....
2025-12-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the bounce from capitulation low continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and no bearish catalysts, targeting 178 resistance amid strong fundamentals like AUM growth and deal activity....
2025-12-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the bounce from capitulation low persists with price above rising EMA and flat SMA, positive MACD crossover, and bullish momentum amid strong AUM growth and deal flow, targeting 178 resistance without near-term bearish catalysts....
2025-12-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the post-capitulation bounce continues with price above EMA/SMA in emerging uptrend, positive MACD, and no imminent bearish catalysts, targeting 178 resistance amid robust AUM and deal activity....
2025-12-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the post-capitulation bounce persists with price above key supports around 138-150, positive MACD crossover, and no bearish catalysts, targeting 178 resistance amid strong AUM growth....
2025-12-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the bounce from November volume capitulation continues with price holding above key supports like 138-134, positive MACD, and targeting 178 resistance, supported by strong fundamentals including robust AUM growth and no imminent bearish catalysts....
2025-12-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the bounce from volume capitulation persists with price above EMA/SMA and key supports around 138-134, bullish MACD crossover, and targeting 178 resistance amid positive fundamentals like strong AUM growth and no near-term bearish catalysts....
2025-12-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the bounce from volume capitulation continues with price above key supports and bullish MACD, targeting 178 resistance amid strong fundamentals and no immediate bearish catalysts....
2025-12-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX amid continued bounce from volume capitulation low, price above EMA/SMA with bullish MACD crossover, targeting 178 resistance, supported by strong AUM growth and positive deal news without bearish catalysts....
2025-12-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price breaks out above recent highs with bullish MACD crossover, positive momentum from volume capitulation bounce, targeting 178 resistance amid strong AUM growth and no immediate bearish news....
2025-12-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price stabilizes above 150 breakout with improving MACD crossover, positive momentum from prior volume capitulation, targeting 178 resistance amid robust AUM growth and no bearish catalysts....
2025-12-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price continues above the 150 breakout level with improving MACD and positive momentum from recent volume capitulation bounce, targeting resistance near 178 amid strong fundamentals like robust AUM growth and no immediate bearish catalysts....
2025-12-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price holds above recent breakout level around 150 with improving MACD and no immediate catalysts, despite unclear trend with EMA below SMA, targeting resistance near 178 amid positive fundamentals like strong AUM growth....
2025-12-03	BUY
Summary: Entering long on BX after breakout above prior 148-150 resistance following volume capitulation bounce, with improving MACD crossover, price above EMA, and no immediate bearish catalysts, justifying quick re-entry as the exit reasons (nearing resistance in unclear trend) no longer apply with this bullish momentum shift and higher highs....
2025-12-02	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for BX as the downtrend persists without a fresh high-confidence setup for long despite recent capitulation, and short entry is barred by that capitulation within two months, with no major new catalysts justifying immediate re-entry after recent exit near resistance....
2025-12-01	SOLD
Summary: Exiting long on BX as price nears 148-150 resistance target after bounce from capitulation low, with MACD improving but EMA below SMA in unclear downtrend and no fresh bullish catalysts....
2025-11-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price sustains above 136.89 capitulation low with improving MACD crossover and neutral RSI around 50, no earnings or bearish catalysts imminent, targeting resistance near 148-150 over next week....
2025-11-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing long hold on BX as price remains above 136.89 capitulation low without sustained break below, showing bounce to 146 amid neutral RSI and improving MACD, with no near-term earnings or bearish news....
2025-11-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing long hold on BX as price sustains above 136.89 capitulation low without 5-bar break below, bouncing towards 150 resistance amid improving MACD and neutral RSI, with no immediate earnings or bearish catalysts....
2025-11-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price remains above the 136.89 capitulation low without sustained break below for 5 bars, showing resilience in bounce toward 150 resistance amid low RSI and no immediate catalysts. Current close at 142.12 is up from entry at 138.42, with the position only 5 bars old, aligning with the preference for multi-week holds rather than quick exits. Technicals show EMA (148.13) below SMA (158.35) and price below both, confirming the downtrend, but the capitulation supports holding for a potential rebound, especially as RSI at 40.72 suggests room for upside without being overbought, and MACD (-4.88) is above its signal (-5.58), hinting at improving momentum....
2025-11-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price holds above capitulation low of 136.89 without sustained break, with RSI at 41.4 showing potential for further bounce toward 150-160 resistance amid no near-term earnings or catalysts....
2025-11-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price recovers above capitulation low of 136.89 without sustained break below, RSI at 33.3 indicates room for bounce, targeting 150-160 resistance over weeks amid no near-term earnings or catalysts....
2025-11-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as price holds near capitulation low of 136.89 without 5-bar sustained break below, oversold RSI at 29.67 signals potential bounce in downtrend, targeting 150-160 resistance over multi-week horizon amid no immediate catalysts....
2025-11-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX after volume capitulation at $136.89 on 11/14, with price at $137.44 still above that low amid oversold RSI of 28.09, persistent downtrend but no invalidation yet, targeting bounce to $150-160 resistance over multi-week hold, no immediate earnings or catalysts....
2025-11-17	BUY
Summary: Covering short and entering long on BX after recent volume capitulation signal at 11/14 low of 136.89, with price holding above that level amid oversold RSI at 28.8, persistent downtrend but no invalidation of bottom, and no immediate earnings or catalysts, targeting a multi-week bounce towards 150-160 resistance....
2025-11-13	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as the persistent downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and both declining without volume capitulation, recent price action testing lower supports around 138-144 after minor bounces, and no immediate bullish catalysts from technicals, fundamentals, or news to warrant an exit yet....
2025-11-12	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as the downtrend remains intact with EMA below SMA, price below both and both declining without volume capitulation, recent price stabilizing near 144 support after a minor bounce, and no bullish catalysts or reversal signals emerging from technicals or news....
2025-11-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining without volume capitulation or reversal, currently testing near 140-145 support after small bounce, with no immediate catalysts shifting momentum....
2025-11-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as downtrend remains intact with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining, no volume capitulation, and price approaching but not yet at key support around 140-142 without reversal signals....
2025-11-07	SHORT
Summary: Entering short on BX in confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and both declining, no volume capitulation in past two months, after small bounce from recent lows providing better entry than prior cover at 144.32, justifying quick re-entry due to intact bearish momentum, higher entry price for short, and no new bullish catalysts shifting the trend....
2025-11-06	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the downtrend persists but price is at key support around 140-146 with oversold RSI near 28, recent exit from short position, and no fresh bearish catalysts or volume capitulation to justify quick re-entry short near the bottom of the range....
2025-11-05	COVERED
Summary: Exiting short on BX as price approaches key support around 140-146 with oversold RSI at 29 suggesting potential bounce, locking in gains after 13-day hold amid persistent downtrend but no fresh bearish catalysts....
2025-11-04	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as the persistent downtrend continues with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD and oversold RSI without reversal signals, and price nearing key support at 140-146 amid weak momentum and lack of bullish catalysts. Technicals show bearish continuation: MACD at -6.34 remains negative with a widening histogram, RSI at 25.48 is oversold but lacks divergence for reversal (similar to past downtrends where oversold conditions extended without bounce until capitulation), and Stochastic at 1.40 indicates extreme weakness. Volume has been elevated on down days (e.g., 6M+ shares on 11/3 and 11/4 declines), supporting seller dominance, and no "!" or "BOT" flags appear in the last two months to signal a bottom. The price is approaching the 140-146 support zone mentioned in the entry rationale, but historical patterns for BX show that breaks below similar supports (e.g., mid-2025 drops from 170s to 120s) often lead to further downside before stabilization, with false bounces trapping early coversâ€”simulating forward, if it holds the pattern from April 2025's sharp drop, we could see extension to 130-135 before any rebound, favoring holding the short for better risk/reward rather than covering prematurely near this level....
2025-11-03	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as the downtrend persists with price below EMA/SMA, no volume capitulation, weak momentum indicators like declining MACD and oversold RSI without reversal, and approaching lower supports around 140-146 amid bearish market sentiment. Technicals show continued weakness: RSI at 25.95 indicates oversold but no bullish divergence yet, MACD at -6.10 with histogram negative, Stochastic oversold but not crossing up convincingly, and Bollinger Bands widening downward with price hugging the lower band. Volume has been elevated on down days (e.g., 6M+ shares on recent drops), supporting bearish conviction without any "!" or "BOT" capitulation flags in the last two months to signal a bottom. Key supports are at 140 (psychological/prior lows), with stronger ones at 120.16 (multiple bounces) and a rising trendline around 120; resistance from falling trendlines at 146.56 and 152.18 caps upside....
2025-10-31	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as downtrend continues with price breaking lower in a confirmed bearish setup, no volume capitulation, and approaching 140 support amid weak momentum and post-earnings pressure....
2025-10-30	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining without capitulation, approaching 140-150 support post-earnings miss, with no imminent bullish catalysts or earnings....
2025-10-29	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Maintaining short on BX as downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining without capitulation, nearing 140-150 support target post-negative earnings, with no bullish catalysts imminent....
2025-10-28	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Staying short on BX as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both and declining without volume capitulation, post-negative earnings reaction, targeting 140-150 support over multi-week hold amid no imminent bullish catalysts....
2025-10-27	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Staying short on BX as the confirmed downtrend continues with EMA below SMA, price below both without volume capitulation, recent negative earnings reaction persisting, and no bullish catalysts, targeting 140-150 support over multi-week hold....
2025-10-24	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Staying short on BX as the downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both without volume capitulation, post-negative earnings reaction, targeting 140-150 support over multi-week hold despite minor uptick....
2025-10-23	SHORT
Summary: Entering short on BX in confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and breaking recent lows post-negative earnings reaction without volume capitulation, targeting further downside to 140-150 support over multi-week hold....
2025-10-22	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend without volume capitulation, upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 with positive historical reactions making short risky, and no high-confidence entry setup for long amid recent support break at $162.69....
2025-10-21	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for BX due to confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, imminent earnings on 10/23/2025 preventing new entries, lack of volume capitulation for contrarian longs, and no high-confidence short setup amid potential volatility from recent support tests and broader market uncertainties....
2025-10-20	CASH
Summary: Upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 prevents new entry, with downtrend intact but no volume capitulation and price near potential support, favoring patience for clearer post-earnings setup....
2025-10-17	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for BX as the clear downtrend prohibits long entry without capitulation, while upcoming earnings timing conflicts with minimum hold period for a short position, supported by weak technicals and lack of bullish catalysts....
2025-10-16	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for BX as the downtrend is confirmed without volume capitulation for a long entry, shorting near the recent low risks poor entry at the bottom of the range, and upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 prevent a new position with the required multi-week hold....
2025-10-15	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as BX is in a downtrend but price is near key support at $162.69 without volume capitulation, risking a bounce, and with low-confidence setup due to upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 potentially causing volatility against a short position. Technical indicators support bearishness with MACD at -4.064 showing downward momentum, RSI at 42 not oversold but neutral, and price below falling trendlines, but the lack of conviction comes from recent action: a sharp drop to $153.16 on 10/10 with high volume (6.6M, though not flagged as capitulation) followed by a bounce to $163.98, now pulling back, suggesting potential for volatile whipsaw rather than smooth continuation lower....
2025-10-14	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the confirmed downtrend limits long entries without capitulation, while short entry is avoided near recent bounce from support around 153-156 with earnings on 10/23/2025 approaching, offering poor risk/reward for a multi-week hold amid potential positive surprise based on history....
2025-10-13	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for BX as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound close together without clear separation or volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical guidelines, while upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 loom 10 days away potentially conflicting with minimum hold periods....
2025-10-10	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the downtrend is confirmed but price is oversold at recent lows with no volume capitulation, earnings on 10/23/2025 loom too close for a new multi-week entry without risking hold-through volatility, and no high-confidence setup justifies shorting near potential support or longing against technicals....
2025-10-09	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the downtrend continues without volume capitulation, but price is oversold at RSI 30 near rising support around 160, risking a bounce similar to past oversold recoveries, with earnings on 10/23/2025 adding volatility uncertainty....
2025-10-08	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the chart shows an unclear trend with tightly bound EMA and SMA, recent price declines testing support at $162.69 without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given the downtrend definition but lack of clear momentum....
2025-10-07	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound without crossings or volume capitulation, price below both indicating no confirmed uptrend for long entry, and not a downtrend for short, while recent price action shows a decline from September highs with bearish MACD and no high-conviction setup for a multi-week hold....
2025-10-06	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, no volume capitulation, and recent downward momentum without high-confidence setup for long or short. MACD is bearish at -1.49 with the signal line above, RSI at 37 suggests oversold but not extreme, and volume is unremarkable at 1.56M without any capitulation flags. Support is noted at $162.69 with moderate strength, while resistance looms at $194; we're not at the bottom of a range for shorting nor dipping in a confirmed uptrend for buying....
2025-10-03	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but tightly rangebound (distance under typical daily range) and price below both without volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical rules despite no immediate catalysts....
2025-10-02	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, recent price decline without strong reversal signals, and upcoming earnings on 10/23/2025 not meeting hold-through criteria....
2025-10-01	CASH
Summary: Trend unclear with price below both EMA and SMA while EMA remains above SMA, recent bearish breakdown below key supports without volume capitulation, and no compelling bullish catalysts to justify entry ahead of earnings....
2025-09-30	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but price below both after recent dips, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover, and no high-conviction setup for long or short amid dropping momentum and upcoming earnings on 10/16/2025. RSI at 39 suggests oversold but not extreme, while MACD (1.10) below signal (2.78) points to bearish momentum. Support at $162.69 holds potential, but recent breakdowns from highs near $188 in mid-September reflect weakening bulls, with no clear reversal patterns like hammers or engulfing candles on the daily chart. Historical simulations from similar pullbacks (e.g., August dips below EMA leading to further downside before bounces) show <50% win rate for longs without confirmed uptrends, as seen in our prior loss on 9/3 exit at $167.34 after entering near range highsâ€”reinforcing caution against buying non-uptrend dips....
2025-09-29	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend remains unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, bearish MACD signal, no volume capitulation, and recent exit on 9/25 due to similar conditions, lacking a high-confidence entry for long or short with earnings approaching on 10/16/2025. MACD at 2.017 is below the signal line at 3.203, suggesting bearish momentum, while RSI at 48 is neutral and Stochastic %K at 28.85 points to oversold conditions but not extreme enough for conviction without other confirmations. Volume was low at 1.5M, below recent averages, showing lack of strong buying interest....
2025-09-26	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend remains unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, recent pullback without volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover, and just exited long position yesterday at similar levels without new bullish catalysts to justify quick re-entry....
2025-09-25	SOLD
Summary: Exiting long on BX after 13-bar hold as price dipped below EMA in unclear trend with bearish MACD cross, locking in small gains near mid-range without breaking key support, while avoiding potential further downside amid no strong bullish catalysts....
2025-09-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, recent pullback not breaking key supports, and no immediate catalysts or reversal signals, with potential for recovery toward 194 resistance....
2025-09-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD momentum, no reversal signals, and recent price action bouncing from supports without nearing key resistance at 194 yet....
2025-09-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD and RSI showing momentum, no reversal signals, and supported by recent bullish news on asset management growth without nearing resistance yet. Technical indicators are supportive: MACD is positive at 4.71 with the line above the signal, RSI at 64.5 indicates room for upside without being overbought, and the price is bouncing off rising support trendlines around 179-180, far from the key support at 162.69. We're approaching but not yet at the resistance level of 194, which has historical strength from late 2024 bounces, suggesting potential for further gains before considering an exit near that zone....
2025-09-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD and RSI indicating sustained momentum toward $194 resistance, supported by recent AUM growth and bullish market sentiment without reversal signals....
2025-09-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD momentum pushing toward $194 resistance, no reversal signals, and supportive fundamentals from recent asset management growth amid favorable market conditions....
2025-09-17	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, momentum toward $194 resistance, no reversal signals, and supportive news on asset growth. MACD remains bullish at 3.96 above its signal line at 2.72, indicating sustained momentum, while RSI at 67.77 suggests room for further upside without being overbought. Volume has been solid on recent up days, like the 6.4M shares on 9/11 with a strong close at 183.92, supporting continuation rather than exhaustion....
2025-09-16	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, recent momentum pushing toward $194 resistance, and no trend reversal or immediate catalysts....
2025-09-15	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, recent breakout momentum toward $194 resistance, and no immediate catalysts or trend reversal signals....
2025-09-12	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX due to sustained uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD momentum, recent highs pushing toward $194 resistance, no immediate earnings or catalysts, and supportive fundamentals from strong asset management growth....
2025-09-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, strong momentum from recent highs, no immediate catalysts or trend reversals, and price advancing toward resistance at $194 from entry at $173.3....
2025-09-10	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, recent price strength towards resistance at $194 without catalysts or trend breaks, building on prior entry at $173.3 after quick recovery....
2025-09-09	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on BX as the uptrend remains confirmed with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD, recent bounce from support without immediate catalysts, and no trend-violating dips after quick re-entry at $173.3. There's no volume capitulation flagged in the recent data, but that's not needed here since we're already in position and not entering anew in a downtrend. MACD is positive at 1.1223, though slightly below its signal line, indicating ongoing bullish momentum from the recent recovery, and RSI at 57.27 is neutral, avoiding overbought conditions that led to pullbacks in prior trades like the August exit near resistance....
2025-09-08	BUY
Summary: Entering long on BX as the chart shows a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both after a pullback, supported by positive MACD and recent bounce from support, with no immediate earnings or catalysts and improved conviction from price recovery above prior exit level, justifying quick re-entry due to clarified trend and bullish momentum shift. This comes after our 9/3 exit at 167.34 amid an unclear trend with price dipping below EMA and bearish MACD crossover; what changed is the swift recovery with price surging back above key levels on decent volume, MACD turning positive at 0.95 (though still below signal, showing early bullish divergence), and RSI at 57 neutral, avoiding overbought risks. We're not chasing highsâ€” this entry follows a dip from recent peaks, aligning with buying pullbacks in uptrends, and the lack of volume capitulation keeps downside protected without invalidation signals....
2025-09-05	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound, price frequently crossing them in the past month without volume capitulation, and recent trade resulted in a loss on pullback below EMA....
2025-09-04	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash on BX as the trend remains unclear with price frequently crossing MAs without volume capitulation, despite an apparent uptrend and recent bounce, while avoiding quick re-entry after yesterday's exit without significant new bullish catalysts or better entry price. This warrants avoiding new entries, especially since we just exited a long position yesterday at 167.34 on a dip below EMA and bearish MACD crossover; today's bounce back above doesn't provide a substantially better setup or new information to justify re-entering so soon, as MACD remains below its signal line (0.8166 < 1.3091) indicating lingering bearish momentum....
2025-09-03	SOLD
Summary: Exiting long on BX as price dipped below EMA in unclear trend with bearish MACD crossover, locking in position after 12-bar hold near potential support around 165-169 while avoiding further downside risk without volume capitulation or bullish catalysts....
2025-09-02	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding near support around 169 while eyeing resistance at 175, no bearish catalysts or volume capitulation, bolstered by positive asset management sector trends and recent insider buying signals....
2025-08-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend remains with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above recent support near 169-170 while approaching 175 resistance, no immediate catalysts or bearish signals, supported by positive sector momentum in asset management....
2025-08-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent bounce from $163 support holding, approaching $175 resistance without bearish signals or catalysts, in stable sector. ...
2025-08-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the confirmed uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent bounce from $163 support holding firm, targeting $175 resistance, position 8 bars old requiring extended hold amid stable asset management sector without imminent catalysts....
2025-08-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, position only 7 bars old mandating longer hold, recent bounce from $163 support targeting $175 resistance amid positive asset management sector momentum and no near-term catalysts....
2025-08-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, position only 6 bars old requiring extended hold, recent pullback from $177 high but bouncing off support near $164 without capitulation, targeting resistance at $175-194 amid positive fundamentals and no imminent catalysts....
2025-08-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, position only 5 bars old requiring multi-week hold, recent bounce from support near $164 with no capitulation or catalysts to exit, aiming for resistance near $175-194 based on historical recoveries....
2025-08-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the position is only 4 bars old and requires a multi-week hold, EMA remains above SMA supporting an uptrend bias despite price temporarily below EMA, no volume capitulation or catalysts to exit, and support near $160 continues to hold with potential for rebound based on historical pullback recoveries....
2025-08-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the position is only 3 bars old requiring a multi-week hold, EMA remains above SMA indicating persistent uptrend despite price dipping below EMA, no volume capitulation or upcoming catalysts to force exit, and recent support around $160 holding....
2025-08-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX despite price dipping slightly below EMA, as overall uptrend with EMA above SMA persists, no volume capitulation or catalysts warrant exit, recent pullback held above rising support around $147, positive MACD, and position only 2 bars old requiring multi-week hold....
2025-08-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on BX as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback held above rising support, positive MACD despite slight bearish signal, and no immediate catalysts or volume capitulation to warrant early exit after just 1 bar....
2025-08-15	BUY
Summary: Entering long on BX after pullback in confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, near rising support, positive MACD, and strong fundamentals from earnings growth....
2025-08-14	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as BX is testing resistance near $175 in an uptrend without a clear dip for entry, following recent exit to avoid chasing slightly higher prices....
2025-08-13	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the uptrend persists but current price is not a dip after recent exit, with MACD showing bearish signals suggesting potential pullback for better entry....
2025-08-12	SOLD
Summary: Exiting LONG on BX as price nears resistance at $175 with MACD bearish cross and recent pullbacks, despite intact uptrend, to lock in gains after 18-bar hold....
2025-08-11	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, no volume capitulation or trend uncertainty, and positive momentum from recent earnings beat and AUM growth, despite minor pullback near support....
2025-08-08	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by recent Q2 earnings beat, record $1.2T AUM, and positive discussions on financial performance, despite a minor pullback from July highs toward support around 167 without breakdown or volume capitulation....
2025-08-07	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive fundamentals like $1.167T AUM, recent $1.6B profit, $52B inflows, and M&A activity for TechnoPro, despite a pullback to 167.38 near support without volume capitulation....
2025-08-06	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, despite a pullback to 169.97 amid BXSL's Q2 earnings miss, but supported by strong fundamentals like $1.2T AUM and no volume capitulation, with price above key supports at 148.57 and 137.52. This pullback from the recent high of 178.11 on 7/24 appears to be a healthy dip in an uptrend, as we've seen similar retracements in the past six months (e.g., from November highs to December lows) that resolved higher without capitulation, often rebounding on positive sentiment or fundamental strength....
2025-08-05	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, bolstered by strong Q2 2025 earnings surge of 25%, record $1.2T AUM, and positive online sentiment, despite recent pullback to 167.62 still above key supports like 148 and 137 without volume capitulation....
2025-08-04	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by strong Q2 earnings with 25% spike, record $1.2T AUM, and positive sentiment from online discussions, despite minor pullback to 170.5 near support without breaking key levels like 148 or 137....
2025-08-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend continues with EMA above SMA and price above both, bolstered by strong Q2 earnings, record AUM, and positive acquisition news like the Enverus deal, despite a recent pullback from highs around 178 without breaking key supports at 148 or 137....
2025-07-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by strong Q2 earnings with record AUM and inflows, despite a minor pullback possibly linked to BXMT news, with no breakdowns below key supports like 174 or 165 and aiming for resistance near 194....
2025-07-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX amid persistent uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, bolstered by recent Q2 earnings strength including record AUM and inflows, despite minor pullback on BXMT subsidiary news, with no breakdowns below key supports like 174.73 or 165 and targeting resistance near 194....
2025-07-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the clear uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by strong Q2 earnings beats, record AUM growth, positive news on acquisitions and dividends, and no immediate catalysts or breakdowns below key supports like 165, targeting resistance near 194 over the coming weeks....
2025-07-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: Stay long on BX as the uptrend persists with EMA above SMA, price above both, recent earnings beats showing strong AUM growth and dividend increase, and no immediate catalysts or breakdowns, targeting resistance near 194 while monitoring support at 172-175....
2025-07-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by strong Q2 2025 earnings, positive analyst upgrades, and bullish sentiment from trade deals, targeting 194 resistance with stop below 165....
2025-07-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue holding LONG on BX as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by strong Q2 2025 earnings beat, revenue growth to $3,712M, AUM over $1.2T, analyst price target upgrades to $165-$185, and positive momentum towards $194 resistance, with no trend invalidation despite overbought RSI....
2025-07-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the uptrend remains intact with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive earnings expectations, recent $25B infrastructure investment news, and Morgan Stanley's price target raise to $185, targeting 175-194 resistance despite upcoming earnings....
2025-07-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as uptrend persists with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by bullish news like major AI investment in NetBrain and positive earnings expectations, despite upcoming earnings on July 24th which historically show volatility but current fundamentals suggest favorable outcome, with targets near 175-194 resistance and stop below 165....
2025-07-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG on BX as the position is only 1 bar in, adhering to minimum week-long hold, with price at 168.76 still above 165 stop, positive MACD, uptrend intact, and targeting 175-194 despite minor pullback....
2025-07-17	BUY
Summary: BX shows a strong bullish uptrend with price breaking above the 20-day SMA, MACD bullish crossover, and recent highs approaching resistance at 175, supported by increasing volume and positive fundamentals like AUM growth....