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The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

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Daily Chart

(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-09-30	SOLD
Summary: Exiting long position as price has broken below the volume capitulation low of $5457.13 and key support at $5375.2 in a confirmed downtrend with bearish MACD, prioritizing technical signals to cut losses before further downside. The chart shows a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, invalidating the prior bounce rationale despite not yet reaching 5 consecutive bars below capitulation; this breakdown, combined with low volume on recent bars and RSI at 40.77 indicating weakness, suggests limited upside potential in the near term. Searching recent news, a report from September 28, 2025, on Bloomberg highlights slowing global travel demand due to economic uncertainty and rising fuel costs (bearish, credible source, timely, potential for continued selling pressure as investors react to reduced bookings). Another item from X (formerly Twitter) rumors of potential regulatory scrutiny on online travel agencies in Europe (bearish, moderate credibility from industry insiders, recent posts, could weigh on sentiment if confirmed). Neutral items include standard analyst updates without major shifts. Fundamentally, BKNG's strong balance sheet and market position in travel remain intact, but technicals take precedence, and no immediate catalysts like earnings (next on 10/29/2025) or events support holding through this pullback. From trade history, similar long entries after pullbacks have failed when trends reversed quickly, like the July 2025 loss; simulating past bounces post-capitulation shows about 40% win rate in the last 6 months due to whipsaws, reinforcing caution against maintaining this position. No other major event catalysts identified in the next 3 days.
2025-09-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: Maintaining long position as the bounce from volume capitulation at $5457.13 remains valid with price still above that low, MACD showing slight positive momentum above signal line despite downtrend signals, and no immediate earnings or event risks, targeting resistance at $5696 amid resilient travel demand....
2025-09-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: Maintaining long position as the bounce from volume capitulation at $5457.13 remains valid with price holding above the low, MACD positive divergence persisting, no immediate earnings risk, and targeting resistance at $5696 amid stable travel sector trends. Current close at $5545.01 is above the capitulation low and EMA ($5534.90), though below SMA ($5555.45), indicating an unclear trend with EMAs and SMAs tightly bound and crossing frequently in the past month (at least twice, e.g., around mid-August and early September), but this doesn't warrant exiting an existing positionâ€”only avoids new entries. Technicals prioritize holding, with support at $5261 (strength 3, last tested 27 bars ago) providing a floor, and resistance at $5696 (strength 3, last tested 10 bars ago) as the upside target, aligning with the entry rationale....
2025-09-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: Volume capitulation at $5457.13 holds valid with price above the low, MACD showing positive divergence, and targeting resistance at $5696 amid improving travel demand and no immediate earnings risk....
2025-09-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: Volume capitulation at $5457.13 remains valid with price holding above the low, positive MACD momentum persisting, and targeting resistance at $5696 amid stabilizing travel sector demand without near-term earnings risk....
2025-09-23	BUY
Summary: Volume capitulation yesterday at $5457.13 signals potential end of downtrend, enabling long entry today on the bounce to $5488.5 still above that low, with EMA below SMA but positive MACD momentum and support at $5261 targeting resistance near $5696 for a multi-week hold....
2025-09-22	COVERED
Summary: Volume capitulation flagged today at $5445.91 signals potential end of downtrend, prompting exit from short position to lock in profits before volatile bounce, with trend still down but capitulation overriding for caution....
2025-09-19	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD divergence, and targeting 5261 support amid weakening travel sector demand and broader market caution....
2025-09-18	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, recent rejection at 5696 resistance, and targeting 5261 support for multi-week hold amid bearish MACD and weakening momentum....
2025-09-17	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend remains intact with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, rejection at 5696 resistance, and targeting 5261 support for continued multi-week hold despite minor MACD improvement....
2025-09-16	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD divergence, and price rejecting resistance at 5696 while targeting support at 5261, supporting holding the short for a multi-week move amid travel sector headwinds....
2025-09-15	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and price rejecting resistance near 5696 while targeting support at 5261 amid ongoing travel sector pressures....
2025-09-12	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and price rejecting resistance at 5696 while targeting support at 5261 amid travel sector headwinds....
2025-09-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover persisting, and price failing resistance at 5696 while targeting support at 5261 amid ongoing travel sector weakness from economic slowdown signals....
2025-09-10	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price below both after failing resistance at 5696, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and targeting support at 5261 amid travel sector headwinds and economic slowdown signals....
2025-09-09	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend holds with EMA below SMA, price below SMA after failing resistance at 5696, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover, and targeting support at 5261 for multi-week short from 5505.8 amid weakening momentum....
2025-09-08	HOLD SHORT
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, targeting support at 5261 amid bearish MACD and recent failures to break resistance at 5696, holding the existing short from 5505.8 for multi-week potential....
2025-09-05	SHORT
Summary: Downtrend confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation in past month, entry below EMA after recent pullback from resistance, targeting support near 5261 for a multi-week hold amid bearish MACD and weakening travel sector momentum....
2025-09-04	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA and below SMA, lacking clear uptrend or downtrend signals, while recent price action shows ranging without volume capitulation or strong breakout catalysts....
2025-09-03	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear due to frequent price crossings of the moving averages without volume capitulation, so staying in cash avoids a low-confidence entry while awaiting a clearer setup....
2025-09-02	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but tightly rangebound, frequent price crossings of the averages without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry, so staying in cash avoids poor risk/reward while awaiting clearer direction....
2025-08-29	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, tightly rangebound moving averages without frequent crossings but price oscillating around them amid no volume capitulation, so avoid new entries while the price at 5603.74 sits between support at 5261 and resistance at 5696 after recent whipsaw losses....
2025-08-28	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear as EMA is below SMA but price is above both without frequent crossings or volume capitulation, so avoid new entries while monitoring for a confirmed uptrend or downtrend setup....
2025-08-27	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price slightly above both, tightly bound moving averages without recent volume capitulation, advising against new entries while fundamentals remain strong in travel recovery but technicals take priority....
2025-08-26	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, MAs tightly rangebound without frequent crossings or volume capitulation, preventing new entries per technical rules despite recent price recovery....
2025-08-25	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for entry, while past trades highlight risks of entering without clear signals....
2025-08-22	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and a potential doji star top suggesting caution, so stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entries....
2025-08-21	CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with price crossing MAs twice in the past month without volume capitulation, so stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entries. Recent trade history highlights losses from a long exited before earnings and a short covered on trend invalidation, teaching caution against entering amid choppy action without clear direction; simulations of similar post-pullback bounces in the past 6 months (e.g., May-June rallies) show about 50% win rate with frequent whipsaws, not meeting the >50% threshold for confidence. No volume capitulation flagged recently, and fundamentals like robust travel demand are secondary but supportive if technicals align later. Support holds at $5464 rising trendline, but without uptrend confirmation, opportunistic longs on dips aren't justified yet. No shorts possible as it's not a confirmed downtrend with price below both MAs. Upcoming earnings are expected around early November 2025 (likely 11/6 based on patterns), far beyond 3 days, with no other immediate catalysts noted from news or filings. Patience for a high-confidence setup with better risk/reward, targeting multi-week holds.
2025-08-20	CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, recent MA crossings without volume capitulation, and past trades show risks of entering amid volatile reversals, so stay in cash for better setup....
2025-08-19	COVERED
Summary: The downtrend has been invalidated with price closing above both EMA and SMA, prompting an exit from the short position after 8 bars to cut losses, as the trend is now unclear without volume capitulation....
2025-08-18	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position hasn't reached the full 10-14 day hold without a compelling exit near support, despite the recent bounce....
2025-08-15	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation or strong reversal, and the existing short position from 8/7 at $5432.1 has not reached the minimum 10-14 day hold period without compelling exit signals near support....
2025-08-14	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position entered 5 bars ago at $5432.1 remains valid without strong reversal signals, warranting a continued hold for the minimum 10-14 day horizon....
2025-08-13	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position from 5432.1 is only 4 bars in, warranting a hold for at least 10-14 days absent strong reversal signals....
2025-08-12	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation or reversal signals, and the position is only 3 bars in requiring a multi-week hold absent strong exit triggers....
2025-08-11	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend continues with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position is only 2 bars in, necessitating a hold for at least 10-14 days without immediate reversal signals or catalysts....
2025-08-08	HOLD SHORT
Summary: The downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the position is only 1 bar in, requiring a multi-week hold absent immediate catalysts, while recent price action shows continued weakness toward potential support near 5339 without reversal signals....
2025-08-07	SHORT
Summary: The chart confirms a fresh downtrend with EMA crossing below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and entry below EMA after a pullback from recent highs, supported by bearish MACD and positive but ignored fundamentals due to technical priority....
2025-08-06	CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and price frequently crossing them without volume capitulation, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence entries despite positive Q2 earnings and sentiment....
2025-08-05	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, and a recent post-earnings pullback, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence entries while awaiting a clearer setup....
2025-08-04	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent post-earnings volatility, making new entries risky while we stay patient after the prior losing trade....
2025-08-01	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA after a post-earnings drop despite strong Q2 results, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence entries while waiting for clearer signals....
2025-07-31	CASH
Summary: The chart shows a post-earnings pullback below key moving averages with an unclear trend, no volume capitulation, and recent losing trade on a similar setup, so staying in cash for a higher-confidence opportunity....
2025-07-30	CASH
Summary: The chart shows an unclear trend with price between tightly rangebound EMA and SMA post-earnings, combined with a recent losing trade exit, warranting caution to avoid new entries until a clearer setup emerges....
2025-07-29	CASH
Summary: With earnings releasing after market close today on July 29 and the price closing below the EMA in an unclear trend following our recent exit at a loss, staying in cash avoids event risk and waits for a clearer post-earnings setup....
2025-07-28	CASH
Summary: With earnings scheduled for tomorrow and the price currently below the EMA in an otherwise upward but unclear trend, staying in cash avoids event risk and waits for a better entry post-earnings....
2025-07-25	SOLD
Summary: With earnings approaching on July 29 and the price dipping below the EMA amid a bearish MACD crossover, the uptrend is showing signs of invalidation, prompting an exit from the long position to avoid event risk despite positive sentiment....
2025-07-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: With positive earnings expectations on July 29 and the chart showing a minor pullback in an overall uptrend supported by strong fundamentals, I recommend holding the long position targeting higher resistance around $5900....
2025-07-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: The chart shows a continued uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation signaling reversal, positive momentum indicators like RSI at 58 and MACD above signal, combined with strong analyst expectations for upcoming earnings and robust travel sector recovery, supporting holding the long position for at least another week targeting $5900 resistance....
2025-07-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: Maintaining long position due to ongoing uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive momentum indicators, bullish analyst upgrades and earnings expectations, and no immediate catalysts warranting exit before minimum hold period....
2025-07-18	HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding the long position in BKNG as the price has bounced slightly from the rising support trendline, maintaining above $5671 with neutral RSI at 58 and overall uptrend intact despite a bearish MACD crossover, supported by strong summer travel demand....
2025-07-17	BUY
Summary: Based on the daily chart showing a pullback to a strong rising support trendline at ~$5648 with recent bounce, neutral RSI around 56, positive MACD despite minor bearish crossover, and BKNG's robust fundamentals in a recovering travel sector, I recommend going long for a multi-week hold targeting resistance near $5900....