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AXP on Tech Trader

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

AXP on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-10-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD divergence, and recent earnings beat supporting momentum toward BB upper at 360+ without immediate bearish catalysts.

The chart shows AXP in a confirmed uptrend, with the latest close at 359.24 well above the EMA (336.20) and SMA (330.09), both trending upward without frequent crossings or sideways movement in the past month, validating the hold on our long position entered at 346.62 five bars ago on 10/17/2025 post-earnings gap.

Technical indicators reinforce bullishness: MACD at 6.80 with signal at 3.83 shows strong positive momentum, RSI at 67.29 indicates room for upside before overbought, and Slow STO K/D at 92.86/81.01 suggests overbought but not extreme, often preceding continuation in uptrends for this stock. Price is testing the BB upper at 360.73, a resistance level that has capped moves before (e.g., similar setups in January and June 2025 led to brief consolidations but eventual breaks higher on volume). Support from rising trendlines around 326-323 provides a safety net, with no breaks below recent lows.

Reviewing trade history, past longs in uptrends like the 9/5/2025 entry at 326.22 gained modestly before exit on momentum fade, while the 8/11/2025 short lost on trend reversal; this setup mirrors successful holds post-earnings, avoiding premature exits seen in 10/8/2025 loss. Simulations of similar post-earnings gaps (e.g., July 2025) show 70% win rate with average 5-10% gains over 2-3 weeks, low whipsaw risk as no false signals in last 6 months for gapped uptrends. Searching recent news: Bullish - American Express reported strong Q3 consumer spending growth (timely 10/23/2025, credible from earnings call, potential for sustained buying); Neutral - general market rally on Fed rate stability (10/22/2025, broad impact). No material bearish items like insider selling or unusual puts; rumors of potential partnerships add mild upside.

Targeting 360-365 near resistance, with exit consideration if price sustains below 350 support or MACD crosses bearish, but hold for now given minimum horizon and momentum.

Next earnings expected around 1/24/2026; no major event catalysts in next 3 days.
2025-10-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues its robust uptrend post-earnings with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD, and no immediate bearish catalysts, supporting holding the long from 346.62 targeting 360+ near BB upper resistance....
2025-10-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, positive MACD momentum post-earnings gap, and no bearish catalysts, supporting holding the long from 346.62 targeting 360+ amid rising support....
2025-10-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues its strong uptrend with price well above EMA and SMA after a positive earnings gap, positive MACD momentum, and no immediate resistance breaks or bearish catalysts, supporting holding the long position from 346.62 targeting 350-360....
2025-10-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a strong uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA following a positive earnings gap-up on high volume, positive MACD, and momentum pushing toward resistance at 350-360, warranting holding the long position entered at 346.62 while monitoring for sustained breaks or pullbacks....
2025-10-17 BUY
Summary: AXP is in a confirmed uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA after a strong post-earnings gap up on high volume, positive MACD crossover, and no overbought signals, prompting a long entry targeting resistance near 350-360 over the next few weeks while watching for pullbacks to support at 331....
2025-10-16 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but price below both, no volume capitulation, and earnings tomorrow on 10/17/2025 prevent any new entry, while recent history shows poor timing on longs near highs leading to quick losses....
2025-10-15 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with frequent price crossings of EMA/SMA in the past month and upcoming earnings on 10/17/2025, warranting staying in cash to avoid risk....
2025-10-14 CASH
Summary: AXP is in a confirmed uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/17/2025 prevent entry as we cannot hold through without meeting positive surprise criteria, and no high-confidence setup justifies risking a short hold before the event....
2025-10-13 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with price frequently crossing the EMA in the past month without volume capitulation, prompting us to stay in cash after the recent exit on 10/8 at 323.82 amid weakening momentum and upcoming earnings on 10/17/2025. MACD is negative at -0.7407 with signal at 1.8521 showing bearish crossover, RSI at 44.28 is neutral, STO at 13.5/17.3 is oversold but without capitulation volume to signal a bottom. Resistance trendlines at ~334 and ~328 cap upside, while supports are distant at 286 and 278, suggesting potential for more downside volatility....
2025-10-10 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 10/17/2025, so stay in cash to avoid low-confidence entry after recent exit....
2025-10-09 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, recent price fluctuations crossing EMA multiple times without volume capitulation, and earnings on 10/17/2025 approaching without meeting hold-through criteria, favoring cash to avoid risk....
2025-10-08 SOLD
Summary: AXP broke below key rising trendline support at 325.74 with price dipping under EMA, bearish MACD crossover, and no volume capitulation to support a rebound, prompting an exit from the long position entered at 330.24 to secure capital amid weakening momentum before earnings on 10/17/2025....
2025-10-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP holds above key rising trendline support at 325.74 with EMA still above SMA confirming uptrend, despite price dipping below EMA, and no compelling bearish news or catalysts warranting early exit before earnings on 10/17/2025....
2025-10-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a confirmed uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, holding above the rising trendline support at 326 after a minor pullback, with positive momentum and no immediate bearish catalysts ahead of earnings on 10/17/2025....
2025-10-03 BUY
Summary: AXP is in a confirmed uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, bouncing from support near the rising trendline at 327 after a brief pullback below EMA that prompted our recent exit, but now resuming upward momentum with no immediate bearish catalysts and potential to retest highs around 340 before earnings on 10/17/2025....
2025-10-02 CASH
Summary: AXP remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA after bouncing off rising trendline support at 326, but re-entering long just one day after exiting would be premature without a deeper dip or new bullish catalysts, especially with mixed indicators like bearish MACD crossover and upcoming earnings on 10/17/2025....
2025-10-01 SOLD
Summary: AXP's uptrend is faltering with price dipping below the EMA, bearish MACD crossover, and no immediate bullish catalysts, prompting an exit from the long position entered at 326.22 on 9/5/2025 to secure modest gains amid weakening momentum....
2025-09-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback finding support near the rising trendline around 325, positive momentum indicators like MACD improving, no bearish catalysts, and earnings on 10/17/2025 still weeks away without meeting hold-through criteria....
2025-09-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues its strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price well above both, positive momentum from recent higher highs around 345, supportive MACD and STO indicators, no immediate bearish catalysts or volume capitulation, holding the long position entered at 326.22 now at 342.64 after 16 bars....
2025-09-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a robust uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, sustained momentum from higher highs near 345, positive MACD and STO signals, no bearish catalysts or volume capitulation, holding long from 326.22 now at 342.27 after 15 bars....
2025-09-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price well above both, positive MACD crossover, overbought STO but sustained momentum from recent higher highs around 345, no immediate bearish signals or catalysts after 14 bars held since entry at 326.22 now at 339.76....
2025-09-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, positive MACD and high STO indicating sustained momentum, recent higher highs near 345, no bearish reversals or catalysts warranting exit after 13 bars held. Momentum indicators support continuation: MACD is positive at 7.14 with the signal line at 6.33, showing bullish divergence, and STO is overbought at 93.2, which often precedes further upside in strong trends rather than immediate reversals. Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the upper band at 344.22 near recent highs, suggesting potential for testing 345-350 resistance soon, while the lower band at 317.38 provides downside cushion aligning with rising trendline support around 331....
2025-09-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues its robust uptrend with EMA above SMA and price well above both, recent price action showing higher highs near 345 with positive momentum indicators like rising MACD and overbought STO supporting further upside, no immediate bearish signals or catalysts prompting an exit after 12 bars held. Momentum indicators are favorable: MACD at 7.143 (line above signal at 6.1226), RSI at 69.14 (bullish but not extremely overbought), and Slow STO K/D at 93.3/87.07 indicating strong buying pressure. Support from rising trendlines around 329-330 has held recently, with the price bouncing off similar levels in August, suggesting potential for continuation toward resistance near recent highs of 345 or beyond, based on historical patterns where AXP rallied 10-15% in sustained uptrends like from April to July....
2025-09-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent highs at 345 with positive momentum, no bearish signals or near-term catalysts warranting exit after 11 bars held....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues its robust uptrend with EMA above SMA and price well above both, recent closes at all-time highs around 343 supported by positive momentum and no immediate bearish signals or catalysts after 10 bars in position....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout to all-time highs around 341 with positive momentum, high volume on upside moves, and no compelling resistance or bearish catalysts warranting an exit after 9 bars....
2025-09-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues its strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price well above both, recent breakout to new highs near 337 with positive momentum and no immediate resistance or negative catalysts suggesting an exit after just 8 bars. ...
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above the rising trendline near 326 while consolidating post-breakout from resistance at 326, with no volume capitulation or imminent negative catalysts signaling an exit yet. Volume on the latest bar is moderate at 1.2 million shares, and there's no flagged volume capitulation in the past month, which aligns with avoiding premature exits in an ongoing uptrend. Key support is at 326.39 from the rising trendline (slope 1.32, strength 0.21, last tested 5 bars ago), which the price is holding above, and older support at 316.54; resistance was broken at 326.27, suggesting potential for further upside toward higher levels like 330-332 seen in prior peaks....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, consolidating above broken resistance at 326 while holding rising trendline support near 325, with no imminent earnings or negative catalysts....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above rising trendline support near 323 while consolidating after breakout above 326 resistance, with no imminent earnings or negative catalysts identified....
2025-09-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues in a strong uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent breakout above resistance at 326 with rising trendline support near 322 holding firm, and no imminent earnings or negative catalysts to warrant exit after only 4 bars held....
2025-09-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding above key rising trendline support near 322 despite a pullback from resistance at 326, supporting continuation of the long position for potential rebound over the coming weeks....
2025-09-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP continues in a solid uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, supported by positive MACD and rising trendlines near 320-312, despite a minor pullback from resistance at 326, justifying holding the long position entered at 326.22 for potential upside over weeks....
2025-09-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, holding near recent highs with support from rising trendlines and positive MACD, despite a slight pullback, warranting continuation of the long position targeting potential breaks above resistance at 326 over the coming weeks....
2025-09-05 BUY
Summary: AXP is in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, pulling back slightly from recent highs near resistance but supported by rising trendlines and positive momentum indicators, prompting a long entry at 326.31 targeting higher levels over the next few weeks....
2025-09-04 COVERED
Summary: AXP has broken into a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, no recent volume capitulation to support continuing the short, and overbought STO at 92 alongside resistance at 326 mirroring past fake breakouts in January 2025 leading to pullbacks, prompting exit of the short from 296.23 to lock in position while targeting re-entry on dips....
2025-09-03 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains overbought near recent highs with STO at 89 and unclear trend from two MA crossings in the past month, mirroring January 2025 pullbacks from 326 to below 300, supporting holding the short from 296.23 targeting supports around 286-306 over coming weeks....
2025-09-02 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP is overbought at new highs around 331 with STO at 98 and tightly bound MAs indicating unclear trend, mirroring January 2025 patterns that led to pullbacks toward 286-306 supports, justifying holding the existing short from 296.23 for further downside over weeks....
2025-08-29 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains overbought with STO at 98 and price testing new highs near 332 after breaking resistance at 326, but tightly bound MAs suggest unclear trend and historical patterns from January highs indicate likely pullbacks toward supports at 286-306, supporting holding the existing short from 296.23 for weeks ahead....
2025-08-28 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP is testing resistance near 326 with overbought STO at 97, tightly bound MAs indicating unclear trend, and historical patterns showing pullbacks from similar highs, supporting holding the existing short from 296.23 targeting supports around 286-306 over the coming weeks....
2025-08-27 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains in an unclear trend with EMA below SMA, tightly bound MAs, frequent price crossings, no volume capitulation, and current price overextended above the rising trendline support near 305 while approaching resistance at 326, justifying holding the existing short from 296.23 targeting a pullback to supports like 286 over the coming weeks despite the rally....
2025-08-26 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's price at 320.23 remains above both EMA (307.37) and SMA (308.61) in an unclear trend with MAs tightly bound and one recent cross, no volume capitulation, and overextended from the rising trendline support near 304, justifying holding the existing short from 296.23 targeting a pullback to supports like 286.15 over the coming weeks despite the unrealized loss....
2025-08-25 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's unclear trend persists with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and recent close at 315.56 still far from support levels like 286.15 or the rising trendline at 303.55, justifying holding the existing short from 296.23 for a potential pullback over the coming weeks....
2025-08-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains in an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both, no volume capitulation, and current price at highs far from support levels like 286.15, so continue holding the existing short position from 296.23 to avoid covering near the top while awaiting a potential pullback....
2025-08-21 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, so continue holding the existing short from 296.23 now that the minimum 10-day hold is met, without volume capitulation or reaching support like 286.15 to cover, despite the upward price action....
2025-08-20 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, so hold the existing short from 296.23 as the minimum 10-14 day period isn't fulfilled yet, without volume capitulation or proximity to support levels like 286.15 to justify covering despite the recent upward move. The trend is unclear per the definitions: EMA (304.70) is below SMA (307.03), but price is above both, with recent crossings and tight ranging between EMA/SMA in the past month, no volume capitulation flagged. This fits avoiding exits solely due to unclear trend....
2025-08-19 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains in an unclear trend with EMA below SMA and price between them, so continue holding the existing short from 296.23 as the minimum 10-14 day hold isn't met yet, with no volume capitulation or near-support levels to prompt covering amid recent upward pressure but potential for reversal toward 286.15 support....
2025-08-18 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, continuing to hold the existing short from 296.23 as the minimum 10-14 day hold period remains unmet, targeting support at 286.15 amid no volume capitulation and potential reversal signs near resistance. Technicals indicate an unclear trend: EMA at 304.31 is below SMA at 306.81, with price sandwiched between them, and no frequent crossings or tight ranging in the immediate past month to fully deem it unclear for exit purposes—thus, no sole basis to exit yet. MACD is negative at -0.853, suggesting lingering downside momentum, while RSI at 53.08 is neutral, and Slow STO at 72.39/53.19 shows overbought conditions easing. Volume on this bar was low at 1.22M, not indicating strong buying conviction. No volume capitulation flagged in the past month, supporting the short in a non-capitulated downtrend. A rising support trendline at ~299.22 with low strength isn't compelling for longs yet....
2025-08-15 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, holding the existing short from 296.23 as minimum hold period is unmet, targeting support at 286.15 without recent volume capitulation, while price has risen but shows potential for reversal near falling resistance....
2025-08-14 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains in an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both, holding existing short from 296.23 as minimum hold period unmet and targeting support at 286.15 absent volume capitulation....
2025-08-13 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both and recent crossings, yet hold existing short from 296.23 as minimum 10-14 day period unmet, targeting support at 286.15 without volume capitulation....
2025-08-12 HOLD SHORT
Summary: AXP remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, so continue holding the short from 296.23 targeting support near 292 while adhering to minimum hold period....
2025-08-11 SHORT
Summary: AXP is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, allowing a short entry below the EMA targeting support near 292 over the next few weeks....
2025-08-08 CASH
Summary: AXP is in an unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly bound and price below both, suggesting avoidance of new entries while positive fundamentals like reaffirmed 2025 guidance provide support but technicals do not confirm a high-confidence setup....
2025-08-07 CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear due to tightly rangebound EMA and SMA without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite positive news on revenue growth and earnings guidance....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound and recently crossing below while price sits below both after a pullback from July highs, lacking volume capitulation for a long entry and no high-confidence short setup at potential support levels around 295. For shorts, while price is below EMA in what could be a downtrend, the tight moving averages and lack of clear bearish momentum (MACD at -3.12 but not accelerating downward) make it low-confidence, especially near potential support from recent lows around 294-295; I don't short at bottoms to avoid whipsaws, as seen in past volatile pullbacks like the drop to 231 in April followed by a sharp rebound....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: The trend is unclear with price frequently crossing tightly bound EMAs without volume capitulation, advising to stay in cash while monitoring for a clearer uptrend setup near support....
2025-08-04 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, frequent price crossings of averages without volume capitulation, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after recent loss....
2025-08-01 CASH
Summary: AXP's trend is unclear with EMA above SMA but price below both, multiple price crossings of averages in the past month without volume capitulation, prompting a hold in cash to avoid new entries after recent loss exit....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: AXP is in an unclear trend with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and we recently exited a long at a loss, so staying in cash avoids poor entry while waiting for a clearer uptrend or high-confidence setup....
2025-07-29 SOLD
Summary: AXP has pulled back below the EMA with a bearish MACD crossover, neutral RSI, and recent news of heavy put options activity suggesting potential further downside, prompting an exit from the long position held since mid-July at 311.9 to preserve capital....
2025-07-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a broader uptrend with positive fundamentals including reaffirmed 2025 guidance for 8-10% revenue growth and strong Q2 earnings, despite a minor pullback to support near 310, suggesting potential for rebound toward 326 resistance over the coming weeks....
2025-07-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP maintains an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent earnings beat with reaffirmed guidance and positive news like $4B note issuance supporting a bounce toward 326 resistance over weeks despite short-term volatility....
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above SMA after a post-earnings pullback, supported by strong Q2 results beating estimates and reaffirmed FY guidance, holding the long position from $311.9 expecting recovery toward $326 resistance over the next weeks....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP's post-earnings pullback appears to be stabilizing with price recovering above recent lows, supported by strong Q2 beat and reaffirmed FY guidance, positioning for potential retest of resistance near 326 over the coming weeks despite unclear short-term trend....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a broader uptrend with positive Q2 earnings beat on July 18 reaffirming full-year guidance, recent pullback to support near 300-304 showing oversold STO for potential rebound toward 320-326 resistance over the next few weeks despite short-term volatility....
2025-07-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: AXP remains in a potential uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above SMA despite recent pullback post-earnings, no clear downtrend invalidation after only 3 bars held, holding for longer horizon targeting resistance near 326....
2025-07-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG position in AXP as it's oversold on STO K at 22 with close at 308 above key support near 300-303 SMA/BB lower, expecting bounce toward 326 resistance over coming weeks amid positive fundamentals like robust earnings growth and consumer spending trends....
2025-07-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continuing LONG on AXP as the bounce from 310 support is underway, with price up to 315 targeting 326 resistance amid positive fundamentals and no major bearish catalysts....
2025-07-16 BUY
Summary: AXP shows a strong uptrend from April lows, recent pullback to support near 310 with oversold STO and positive fundamentals like strong earnings growth, positioning for a bounce toward resistance at 326 over weeks....