Stocks on Tech Trader

Fully Automated Trading and Technical Analysis

The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.

The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

Follow trades and activity on The Tech Trader Wall and Tech Trader + Grok Wall.

Tech Trader Only

(Technical Analysis + Trades by Tech Trader)

ASML on Tech Trader

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

ASML on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-04-17 CASH
Summary:

ASML is still chopping violently in a wide range after its post-earnings selloff, and we just took a loss exiting the latest long yesterday. With repeated whipsaw losses in this zone, China export risks, and no decisive breakout, cash is the disciplined move.[[1]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/15/asml-q1-2026-earnings-report.html)

The fundamentals actually improved—Q1 beat, 2026 sales guidance raised to €36-40B on AI-driven demand for EUV tools, and analysts remain mostly bullish with targets above $1,500. Yet the stock has struggled to hold gains, dropping sharply into the mid-1,400s after the April 15 report before today’s +3% rebound to around $1,455. That pattern of strong news yet poor price follow-through matches the last several earnings reactions, which have been negative or muted.[[2]](https://www.reuters.com/business/asml-lifts-2026-outlook-back-stronger-ai-demand-2026-04-15/)

Technically the daily chart shows a series of lower highs since the February peak near $1,547, with price swinging between roughly $1,250 support and $1,520 resistance. Volume on the down days has been heavy, and we’re not seeing sustained conviction on the bounces. After cycling in and out of this name unsuccessfully multiple times in March and early April, re-entering immediately risks another quick stop-out. We’re better off sitting on the sidelines, preserving capital, and waiting for either a convincing move above $1,520 on strong volume or a breakdown that confirms the corrective phase. Seven-day holding periods require higher-probability setups than this noisy consolidation offers right now. If the rebound extends cleanly next week with broader semi strength, we can reassess; until then, cash avoids turning a volatile name into a recurring loser.
2026-04-16 SOLD
Summary: ...
2026-04-15 BUY
Summary: ...
2026-04-14 SOLD
Summary: ...
2026-04-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: ...
2026-04-10 BUY
Summary: We're going long ASML now as the sharp rally from the $1300s to $1484 on strong volume signals a clear momentum shift backed by AI tailwinds and a massive order backlog. ...
2026-04-09 CASH
Summary: Strong recent breakout from 1300s to 1447 looks bullish on Iran ceasefire news easing Asia exposure risks, but with earnings in 6 days, history of EPS misses, China export headwinds, and our string of long-side losses, cash preserves capital best right now. ...
2026-04-08 CASH
Summary: ...
2026-04-07 CASH
Summary: On 4/7/2026 at $1295, we're staying in cash after six straight losing long trades in March and continued weak price action with lower closes and bearish technicals. ...
2026-04-06 CASH
Summary: ASML is stuck in a choppy downtrend with repeated failed bounces and our last six long attempts all losing money, so staying in cash avoids further whipsaw risk ahead of Q1 earnings in nine days. ...
2026-04-02 SOLD
Summary: We're exiting the long from $1320.83 as ASML closed sharply lower on 4/2 with a weak candle below the EMA, neutral RSI near 45, and persistently bearish MACD in a correction from February highs. ...
2026-04-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding our long position in ASML as it extends the rebound with another strong up day closing at 1362 near the highs and no negative news or reversal signals....
2026-03-31 BUY
Summary: Even though we stayed in cash yesterday after the breakdown, we're going long on ASML now as today's strong rebound off the 1248 low to close at 1315 shows buyers defending support with conviction and no negative news....
2026-03-30 CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash for ASML as it broke to new lows at 1248 and closed weak near 1252 with no supportive news or reversal on real-time checks....
2026-03-27 CASH
Summary: ...
2026-03-26 SOLD
Summary: Even though we went long three days ago on the rebound, we're exiting to cash now as today's 4%+ drop to 1333 broke support and wiped out most of our gains on no positive follow-through....
2026-03-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're staying long on ASML as it consolidates near 1395 after the strong rebound, holding above key support with ongoing buybacks and no negative news from today's checks....
2026-03-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding our long position in ASML as it pushed to 1399 on continued strength, confirming the rebound from last week's lows with no negative news or shifts in sentiment from real-time checks....
2026-03-23 BUY
Summary: ...
2026-03-20 SOLD
Summary: We entered long just yesterday on the dip recovery but are exiting to cash immediately as today's breakdown below recent lows to close near 1296 on elevated volume shows the support failed, with no new positive catalyst to hold through this....
2026-03-19 BUY
Summary: Even though we stayed in cash as recently as yesterday, we're going long on ASML now because today's sharp dip to 1310 found solid buying and reversed strongly to close near the highs, signaling potential support while fundamentals remain bullish on AI demand....
2026-03-18 CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash for ASML as it continues chopping within the same volatile range, closing lower today at 1361 without any decisive breakout or trend signal....
2026-03-17 CASH
Summary: We're still staying in cash for ASML because the latest close at 1378.63 shows no real progress or breakout from the choppy corrective range....
2026-03-16 CASH
Summary: We're staying in cash on ASML as it remains stuck in a volatile corrective range after its February peak, with no clear breakout or trend signal on the daily chart. ...
2026-03-13 SOLD
Summary: Exiting long on ASML as price dipped further to 1345 near key 1341 support with bearish MACD and ongoing 2026 growth uncertainty from guidance, outweighing buyback positives and AI demand....
2026-03-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Holding long on ASML as price dipped but held above key rising support near 1341 with oversold indicators signaling potential rebound, supported by positive AI/semiconductor demand and no new bearish catalysts outweighing prior bullish reversal factors....
2026-03-11 BUY
Summary: Re-entering long on ASML as price bounced strongly above broken 1341 support with positive buyback, dividend hike, and AI-driven growth guidance reversing the 3/6 bearish breakdown from outdated export restrictions and downgrades, signaling high-confidence uptrend resumption amid strong semiconductor demand....
2026-03-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as ASML's recent bounce from oversold levels lacks sustained momentum with MACD still bearish and ongoing China export concerns outweighing positive AI bookings, especially after quick exit on 3/6 due to support break and downgrades....
2026-03-09 CASH
Summary: ASML's price is churning sideways below key EMAs with bearish MACD crossover and persistent negative news on US export restrictions and Chinese competition, justifying staying in cash after recent exit on 3/6/2026 amid high volatility and no strong reversal signals....
2026-03-06 SOLD
Summary: Exiting long on ASML as price broke below key support at 1341 amid new bearish developments including US export restrictions, analyst downgrades, and Chinese rare earth controls signaling further downside risks....
2026-03-05 BUY
Summary: Re-entering long on ASML as price held key rising support at 1341 with oversold STO and bullish AI expansion news reversing the 3/3 breakdown and bearish MACD that led to exit, offering better entry at lower price amid strong sector demand....
2026-03-04 CASH
Summary: ASML's price bounced from key support at $1335 but remains below broken rising supports with bearish MACD momentum and no strong bullish catalysts, justifying staying in cash after yesterday's exit to avoid whipsaw in this volatile range....
2026-03-03 SOLD
Summary: ASML's price has broken below multiple rising supports with bearish MACD crossover and weakening momentum amid sector slowdown signals, prompting exit from long at $1365.48 after 11-bar hold from $1406.61 to avoid further downside....
2026-03-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price dipped but holds above key rising supports in an ongoing uptrend, bolstered by strong AI demand, record orders, and expansion plans into advanced packaging, justifying continued long hold from $1406.61....
2026-02-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price dipped today but remains in a strong uptrend above rising supports with positive AI demand and analyst sentiment outweighing short-term volatility, justifying holding the long from $1406.61....
2026-02-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price pulled back sharply today amid investor reassessment of China exposure after a strong run, but robust AI demand, positive 2026 sales guidance of $40-47B, and analyst upgrades outweigh short-term concerns, justifying holding the long position from $1406.61 as the uptrend remains intact above key supports....
2026-02-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML continues its strong uptrend with price surging to new all-time highs above $1527 on robust volume and positive momentum indicators like rising MACD and high RSI, supported by ongoing AI chip demand and no immediate bearish catalysts....
2026-02-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML sustains a robust uptrend with price breaking to new highs near $1502, bolstered by EUV breakthrough enabling 50% more chip output and strong AI-driven demand, outweighing minor MACD bearish crossover to justify holding the long....
2026-02-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price sustains a robust uptrend above key rising support around $1403, with bullish momentum from positive AI-driven semiconductor demand and recent technological advancements, outweighing minor MACD weakening to support holding the long position at current $1484 levels....
2026-02-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price continues its strong uptrend above rising support near $1403 with positive MACD momentum, bullish semiconductor sector demand driven by AI growth, and no major bearish catalysts, supporting holding the long position entered at $1406.61 despite minor volatility....
2026-02-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price holds above rising support at $1403 with bullish MACD crossover, positive AI/semiconductor demand, and no immediate bearish catalysts, justifying continued long hold from $1406.61 entry despite minor pullback....
2026-02-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's continued breakout above $1438 resistance with strong EUV order growth, AI-driven demand, positive 2026 outlook of €34-39B sales, and ongoing buybacks sustain the uptrend from $1403 support despite high valuations....
2026-02-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's price holding above key rising support at $1403 with record Q4 bookings, positive 2026 sales outlook of €34-39bn, and AI-driven demand signals sustained bullish momentum despite minor resistance at $1438 and recent volatility....
2026-02-13 BUY
Summary: ASML's stabilization above key rising support at $1403 with positive 2026 earnings outlook and analyst upgrades justifies re-entry long soon after 2/12 exit, as bearish MACD and resistance break concerns are outweighed by bullish momentum and sector demand....
2026-02-12 SOLD
Summary: ASML's price has broken below the falling resistance trendline at $1447 with MACD showing bearish crossover and weakening momentum after earnings miss, prompting exit from long position held since 12/19/2025 at $1056.02 now at $1410 for substantial gains amid potential pullback risks....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a strong uptrend with price above key moving averages, supported by ongoing €12B buyback, record orders, and positive momentum despite MACD bearishness....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML sustains a robust uptrend with price firmly above moving averages, driven by record €13.2B bookings, strong AI chip demand, €12B buyback program, and optimistic 2026 guidance of €34-39B sales, outweighing temporary MACD bearishness and recent pullback....
2026-02-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML continues its robust uptrend with price well above key moving averages, supported by strong AI and memory chip demand, recent analyst upgrades targeting $1500-2000, and positive order surges despite minor MACD weakness....
2026-02-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMAs, bullish momentum from AI chip demand, and positive MACD despite minor pullback, no major bearish catalysts ahead....
2026-02-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with price above key EMAs, bullish MACD despite recent pullback, supported by strong 2026 sales forecast from AI/memory demand and no immediate catalysts signaling reversal....
2026-02-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: 5.3% dip tests supports on overbought unwind post-earnings; avg PT $1475+, RSI 37 oversold/MACD rebound signal buy.[[1]](https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/asml?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcmoU70-Y6Pn-eQJOBoYIkGFWnA8fXUX8aquk-URnx5yV6W-iEKcaz3&gaa_sig=Gfn0GhnCsDRLDyHjdbm1CXpuQZ9pIsXwcJkmxjPKwXb55Dg5GOm7i6rAXQHdR46NyOUL71V_X_5BVnBRa2afxQ%3D%3D&gaa_ts=6983b0ae)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/asml-holdings-technical)[[3]](https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/ASML/forecast)...
2026-02-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Motley Fool predicts ASML one of best semis 2026 on memory chips, 3% dip buyable despite overbought RSI; hold epic gains.[[1]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/02/03/prediction-asml-could-be-one-of-the-best-semicondu)[[2]](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/prediction-asml-could-one-best-052000129.html)[[3]](https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8578068/asml-holding-nv-asml-shares-down-337-on-feb-3)...
2026-02-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Record Q4 bookings €13.2B/€38.8B backlog beat, 2026 €34-39B guide + €12B buyback fuel AI/EUV upside; hold despite overbought RSI.[[1]](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/asmls-secret-weapon-2026-why-memory-chips-could-drive-massive-growth)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/asml-forecasts-up-to-19-sales-growth-in-2026-on-ai-chip-boom-4469189)...
2026-01-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: TD Cowen hikes PT to $1500 on EUV bookings crush, record €38.8B backlog/€12B buyback outweigh EPS miss noise; hold epic gains....
2026-01-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Wells Fargo hikes PT to $1650/Overweight post-earnings bookings beat, 2026 guide €34-39B crushes ests; momentum roars....
2026-01-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Record Q4 bookings €13.2B beat ests, 2026 guide €34-39B above consensus, €12B buyback launch signal AI strength; hold massively green position....
2026-01-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Bernstein reiterates $1642 PT/Outperform pre-earnings, RSI overbought but MACD bullish/ATH breakout signal hold through volatility....
2026-01-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Bernstein $1642 PT (17% upside) pre-earnings, ATH breakout/strong MAs outweigh overbought RSI; hold for Q4 beat/guidance....
2026-01-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML up 2.57% on TSMC $54B capex signal, High-NA EUV revolution from Intel/TSMC record spend braces for earnings upside....
2026-01-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: TSMC's $52-56B 2026 capex upgrade and ASML's $500B cap record with UBS €1400 PT fuel relentless upside....
2026-01-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: UBS hikes PT to €1400 on TSMC momentum, ASML hits $500B cap record on AI demand—bullish surge intact....
2026-01-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: TSMC $52-56B 2026 capex (70-80% advanced nodes), ASML $500B cap/ATHs, UBS €1400 PT, Morgan Stanley bull €2000 fuel relentless rally....
2026-01-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML surges to $500B cap/record high on TSMC $52-56B capex, Morgan Stanley 70% upside €2000 bull case, KGI/RBC/Wells upgrades $1415-1550....
2026-01-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: Bernstein €1300 PT top pick, Rothschild €1250 hike, 5 AI semis spotlights fuel ATH breakout—momentum unstoppable....
2026-01-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML crowned top semis pick for 2026 by Bernstein and 5 analysts, Rothschild €1250 PT hike, €180M buyback amid EUV upcycle bets....
2026-01-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Rothschild hikes PT €1250/Buy, UBS Q4 signals 2026 upside, stock ATH +14% since NY on EUV/AI bets....
2026-01-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Bernstein top 2026 semi pick €1300 PT, UBS flags Q4 for better 2026, Aletheia $1500 Buy—upgrades fuel surge....
2026-01-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Trefis flags strong 2026 on upgrades/backlog, Aletheia $1500 PT fuels 16% Jan surge—bull case nuclear....
2026-01-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Aletheia doubles PT to $1500/Buy flip, BofA top FY26 pick PT lift, semis rally led by ASML—upside explodes....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Bernstein upgrades to Outperform on DRAM cycle, BofA top FY26 semi pick with PT lift, stock up 16% on AI upgrades—bull run intact....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: BofA names ASML top semi pick for FY26 with PT hike, Aletheia $1500 Buy fueling +3-8% surge—bull run accelerates....
2026-01-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Aletheia Capital's Buy upgrade/PT $1500 doubles down on EUV/AI surge, stock +5-8%—momentum intact....
2026-01-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Aletheia Capital flips to Buy with $1500 PT (from $750 Sell), stock surges 7% on AI outlook—hold for breakout....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Q4 earnings preview buzz, institutional conviction (Artisan/Point72), €37B backlog signal 2026 breakout....
2025-12-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Year-end strength on AI semis tailwinds, €37B backlog/buybacks intact, China fears fading per Morningstar/X; hold for 2026 kickoff....
2025-12-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Seeking Alpha's positive 2026 outlook despite China weakness, Motley Fool "buy on every dip," Artisan/Point72 conviction signal rebound....
2025-12-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent bounce from $1010 support holding strong amid robust AI chip demand and no immediate earnings or catalysts, targeting $1110 resistance while learning from past premature exits like 11/18 and 12/17....
2025-12-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent bounce from $1010 support holding amid strong AI demand and no near-term earnings, targeting $1110 resistance while avoiding past premature exits....
2025-12-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent bounce from $1010 support holding firm amid strong AI chip demand and no immediate earnings or bearish catalysts, targeting $1110 resistance over the coming weeks while learning from past premature exits on pullbacks....
2025-12-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's bounce from $1010 support holds with price above rising SMA amid strong AI semiconductor demand, targeting $1110 resistance over weeks without near-term earnings or bearish catalysts, learning from past quick exits on temporary pullbacks....
2025-12-19 BUY
Summary: ASML is in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent bounce from support near $1010 forming a high-confidence long setup targeting $1110 resistance over weeks, supported by strong AI-driven semiconductor demand and no immediate earnings risk, justifying re-entry after 12/17 exit as the breakdown reversed with bullish momentum....
2025-12-18 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, recent whipsaw after breakdown below trendline, and history of failed entries in volatile conditions warrant quick re-entry caution post-12/17 exit....
2025-12-17 SOLD
Summary: ASML's sharp breakdown below key rising trendline support at $1010 on increased volume without capitulation signals potential further downside amid weakening momentum and bearish semiconductor sector news, prompting exit from long position at current levels around $1015 to lock in remaining value after 11-bar hold from $1108.78 entry....
2025-12-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback holding above key support near $1009 rising trendline without volume capitulation or breakdown, supported by strong AI chip demand and no imminent catalysts for reversal, justifying continued long hold from $1108.78 targeting resistance at $1200+ despite temporary dip to $1072.66....
2025-12-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback holding support near $1077 without breaking key levels, bolstered by strong AI chip demand and no near-term catalysts for reversal, justifying continued long hold from $1108.78 targeting $1200+....
2025-12-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback finding support near $1077 without breaking key levels, supported by strong AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts for downside, justifying holding the long from $1108.78 targeting $1200+ despite short-term volatility....
2025-12-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout above $1110 resistance on increasing volume, bolstered by AI semiconductor demand and no near-term earnings risk, supporting holding the long position from $1108.78 targeting $1200+....
2025-12-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on volume, supported by AI semiconductor demand and no immediate catalysts, justifying holding the long from $1108.78 targeting $1200+....
2025-12-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs at $1140 supported by high volume and ongoing AI chip demand, justifying holding the long position from $1108.78 targeting $1200+ despite minor pullback....
2025-12-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs near $1140 on high volume, and robust AI semiconductor demand outweighing minor pullback, supporting holding the long position from $1108.78 targeting $1200+ over the coming weeks....
2025-12-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs near $1140, and ongoing AI semiconductor demand supporting further upside despite minor pullback, justifying holding the long position entered at $1108.78 targeting above $1200....
2025-12-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on solid volume, and robust AI semiconductor demand outweighing any short-term risks, supporting holding the existing long position for further gains targeting $1200+....
2025-12-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price breaking to new highs above resistance on increasing volume, supported by robust AI semiconductor demand and no near-term catalysts for downside, justifying holding the existing long position entered at $1108.78 for further multi-week gains targeting $1200+....
2025-12-02 BUY
Summary: ASML is in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and rising, recent breakout above prior highs on strong volume, supported by AI-driven semiconductor demand and no immediate earnings risk, justifying re-entry after 11/18 exit as the temporary breakdown reversed with bullish momentum outweighing prior concerns....
2025-12-01 CASH
Summary: ASML's uptrend remains clear with price above rising EMA and SMA, but current levels near recent highs lack a compelling dip for entry, prompting cash position to await better risk/reward setup amid mixed geopolitical news....
2025-11-28 CASH
Summary: ASML's technicals show an unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly converged and price at the top of a recent range around $1053, warranting staying in cash to avoid poor entry after recent whipsaw losses, despite positive AI-driven fundamentals and no immediate catalysts....
2025-11-26 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound and price crossing them twice recently, combined with a recent exit from long on 11/18 due to trendline break, warranting staying in cash to avoid whipsaw despite the bounce to 1047....
2025-11-25 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with price below tightly bound EMA and SMA that are frequently crossing without clear direction or volume capitulation, avoiding new entries while recent recovery from 966 low shows hesitation below 1059 resistance amid neutral RSI and bearish MACD....
2025-11-24 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA, frequent price crossings of the averages in the past month, and no recent volume capitulation, making new entries inadvisable while we await a clearer setup for a multi-week hold....
2025-11-21 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent breakdowns below key supports like the 1059 trendline, no volume capitulation, and a sharp multi-day drop signaling caution, so stay in cash awaiting a clearer high-confidence setup for entry....
2025-11-20 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent pullback below key support without volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long or short amid choppy action post-earnings....
2025-11-19 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash for ASML as the recent exit on 11/18/2025 was due to a break below key trendline support at 1059 with bearish MACD crossover, and the one-day bounce to 1025.98 on 11/19 lacks sufficient confirmation of trend reversal or new bullish catalysts to justify immediate re-entry despite the overall uptrend. However, we're being cautious after the recent loss-making exit on 11/18, where price broke below the 1059 trendline support on increased volume and a bearish MACD crossover, signaling potential weakness. The bounce on 11/19 to a close of 1025.98 is encouraging but represents just a single day's move, and we avoid reacting to short-term fluctuations, focusing instead on bigger multi-week opportunities. MACD remains below its signal line (6.74 vs 14.32), indicating lingering bearish momentum, and price hasn't reclaimed the broken 1059 level, keeping us sidelined to prevent whipsaw....
2025-11-18 SOLD
Summary: ASML's price has broken below key trendline support near $1059 with bearish MACD crossover and increased volume signaling potential reversal in the uptrend, prompting exit from the long position to limit losses despite strong AI fundamentals....
2025-11-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend remains intact with price near EMA and SMA both rising, recent dip finding support without breaking key levels, bolstered by strong semiconductor demand and no imminent catalysts....
2025-11-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in an uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent volatility finding support above $1000 without breaking key levels, strong AI and semiconductor demand supporting recovery toward $1110 resistance despite short-term pullback....
2025-11-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback finding support above $1000 amid strong AI demand and no near-term catalysts, holding long targeting $1110 resistance over coming weeks. Resistance is at $1110 with falling trendlines around $1037-1085, but recent price action has tested and held above lower supports without volume capitulation, suggesting potential for continuation higher rather than reversal....
2025-11-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and rising, recent pullback holding above $1000 support amid strong AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts, targeting $1110 resistance over weeks despite minor dip....
2025-11-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with EMA above SMA, price above both and rising, recent recovery from pullback holding above key support near $1000, supported by strong AI semiconductor demand and no immediate catalysts, targeting $1110 resistance over the coming weeks....
2025-11-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and both rising, recent pullback finding support above EMA after post-earnings breakout, targeting $1110 resistance over weeks amid strong AI semiconductor demand and no near-term catalysts....
2025-11-06 BUY
Summary: ASML is in a clear uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and rising, recent pullback to support forming a hammer candlestick for a high-confidence long entry targeting $1110 resistance over weeks, supported by strong AI chip demand and no near-term earnings....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash after recent exit on 11/4/2025 due to broken trendline support and bearish MACD, with no extremely compelling new information or better re-entry price justifying quick re-entry despite current uptrend and bounce to $1048.48....
2025-11-04 SOLD
Summary: ASML's price has broken below the 1059 trendline support on increased volume with MACD crossing bearish, despite ongoing uptrend and AI demand, prompting exit from long to lock in gains and await clearer setup....
2025-11-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, positive MACD and RSI indicating momentum, supported by AI chip demand and no immediate bearish catalysts, holding long while monitoring resistance near 1110 and support at 1059 trendline....
2025-10-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs near 1075 supported by AI chip demand and positive sector momentum, holding long while monitoring resistance at 1110 and support at 1051 trendline....
2025-10-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML continues strong uptrend with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent highs at 1086 supported by AI/semiconductor momentum, holding long while monitoring resistance near 1110 and support at 1044 trendline or 916 level....
2025-10-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent closes pushing new highs near 1073 supported by AI chip demand and semiconductor sector momentum, holding long while monitoring resistance at 1110 and support at 1036 trendline or 916 level....
2025-10-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs near 1054 supported by AI chip demand and positive semiconductor momentum, holding long while watching support at 1028 trendline or 916 level....
2025-10-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's robust uptrend continues with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs breaking 1050 amid strong AI chip demand and positive semiconductor momentum, holding long while monitoring for breaks below 1021 support trendline or 997 level....
2025-10-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent consolidation holding above 997 support amid strong AI chip demand and positive semiconductor sector momentum, targeting 1100 resistance while monitoring for breaks below 997....
2025-10-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback holding above 997 support amid positive AI chip demand and no bearish catalysts, targeting 1100 resistance while monitoring for sustained breaks below 997....
2025-10-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend persists with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent pullback from 1042 to 1007 finding support near 997 trendline amid positive semiconductor AI demand and no immediate bearish catalysts, targeting 1100 resistance over weeks while monitoring for breaks below 997....
2025-10-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's uptrend remains intact with price above rising EMA and SMA after post-earnings breakout, recent pullback to 1025.94 appears as a healthy dip amid high volume support and positive AI-driven semiconductor momentum, targeting resistance near 1100 over the next few weeks while monitoring for sustained breaks below key supports....
2025-10-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a robust uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, post-earnings breakout holding on high volume, and positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand supporting further upside to $1100 resistance over the coming weeks despite any volatility....
2025-10-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML continues strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent post-earnings surge holding gains on high volume, and bullish AI/semiconductor sector momentum outweighing any short-term volatility for potential upside to $1100 resistance over weeks....
2025-10-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, post-earnings breakout holding above $1000 on solid volume, and positive semiconductor demand from AI growth supporting further upside toward $1100 resistance over the coming weeks....
2025-10-15 BUY
Summary: ASML is in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout above $1000 post-earnings on high volume, and positive AI/semiconductor sector momentum supporting multi-week gains targeting $1100 resistance....
2025-10-14 CASH
Summary: With ASML's earnings report scheduled for tomorrow and recent technical signals showing a pullback with a bearish MACD crossover, it's prudent to stay in cash to avoid potential volatility....
2025-10-13 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 in an uptrend without a high-confidence dip entry, avoiding positions right before catalysts per risk management....
2025-10-10 CASH
Summary: Clear uptrend persists with price above both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 prevent new long entry as minimum hold period would require holding through without meeting surprise criteria, while recent sharp drop from 1043 to 945 on higher volume signals potential weakness without capitulation support....
2025-10-09 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 prevent new entry due to inability to hold through without meeting hold criteria, while recent pullback from highs suggests waiting for better setup....
2025-10-08 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 do not meet criteria for holding through, warranting caution to avoid entry and potential volatility....
2025-10-07 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as the clear uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 prevent entering a new long position that meets the minimum multi-week hold without holding through volatile event, and no downtrend for short....
2025-10-06 CASH
Summary: ASML's chart shows a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but overbought RSI at 86 signals caution, and upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 prevent entry given minimum hold requirements and lack of criteria to hold through volatility....
2025-10-03 CASH
Summary: ASML is in a strong uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but current overbought conditions at all-time highs and upcoming earnings on 10/15/2025 warrant staying in cash to avoid poor entry timing and potential volatility....
2025-10-02 CASH
Summary: ASML's chart shows a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but extreme overbought RSI at 84.7 signals high risk of pullback, especially with earnings on 10/15/2025 approaching and no criteria met to hold through, justifying staying in cash to avoid entering at peak levels....
2025-10-01 CASH
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend continues with price above EMA and SMA, but overbought RSI at 82 and Stochastic at 98 suggest waiting for a dip before entering long, especially with earnings on 10/15/2025 approaching and no criteria met to hold through....
2025-09-30 CASH
Summary: ASML is in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but overbought RSI at 78 signals risk of pullback near all-time highs ahead of 10/15/2025 earnings, so stay in cash for a better dip entry....
2025-09-29 CASH
Summary: ASML's clear uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, but overbought RSI at 78.6, recent exit on 9/25 at $949.55 to avoid 10/15 earnings volatility, and current higher price of $964.66 without a dip or new catalysts make re-entry low-confidence now....
2025-09-26 CASH
Summary: Just exited long position yesterday at $949.55 to secure gains ahead of October earnings, and today's close at $953.32 shows overbought RSI at 77 with no compelling new catalysts for immediate re-entry despite the uptrend....
2025-09-25 SOLD
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend persists with price above EMA and SMA, but exit long position now to lock in gains near recent highs ahead of 10/15/2025 earnings volatility, as historical reactions show risk and no criteria met for holding through....
2025-09-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, holding above the recent breakout level around $942 despite a minor pullback, supported by high volume on the upside and positive semiconductor demand from AI without clear reversal signals, though plan to exit before 10/15 earnings due to historical volatility....
2025-09-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout above $942 resistance, overbought RSI at 82 but supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum and AI demand without reversal signals....
2025-09-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend continues with price surging above EMA and SMA on high volume breakout past $942 resistance, overbought RSI at 82 but no reversal signals amid positive semiconductor demand and AI growth catalysts....
2025-09-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price well above EMA and SMA, recent breakout on high volume pushing toward $942 resistance, supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum and no clear reversal signals despite overbought RSI....
2025-09-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend continues with price breaking to new highs above EMA and SMA on high volume, supported by positive semiconductor demand and no reversal signals, targeting resistance near $942 while holding through the multi-week advance....
2025-09-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on high volume, supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum and no immediate reversal signals, targeting resistance near $942 over the coming weeks....
2025-09-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's strong uptrend continues with price surging to new highs above EMA and SMA on high volume, bolstered by positive semiconductor demand and no reversal signals, targeting resistance near $942 while holding through the next few weeks absent major catalysts....
2025-09-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML's clear uptrend persists with price breaking to new highs above EMA and SMA on strong volume, supported by positive AI/semiconductor sector momentum and no immediate catalysts for reversal, targeting resistance near $942 over the coming weeks....
2025-09-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: ASML remains in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, RSI at 66 indicating sustained momentum, recent breakout above $780 on volume, and positive AI/semiconductor demand outweighing any short-term volatility for a hold targeting $820-860....
2025-09-11 BUY
Summary: ASML is in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, RSI at 64 showing momentum without overbought, recent breakout above $780 resistance on increasing volume, and positive semiconductor sector news including AI demand and easing export concerns supporting a multi-week advance targeting $820-860. ...
2025-09-10 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with multiple EMA/SMA crossings in the past month and price frequently crossing them without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite an uptrend signal on the current bar and positive semiconductor momentum....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA over the past month, no volume capitulation, and price frequently crossing them, warranting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries despite recent upside momentum....
2025-09-08 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and tightly rangebound without volume capitulation, preventing new entries despite recent price strength above both averages and positive MACD crossover signaling potential upside momentum. No volume capitulation has been flagged in the past month, further supporting avoidance of entries in this setup....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no recent volume capitulation, and current price too high for short entry while lacking uptrend confirmation for long, justifying staying in cash to await better setup....
2025-09-04 COVERED
Summary: ASML's price has risen above both EMA and SMA on 9/4/2025, rendering the downtrend unclear without recent volume capitulation, prompting an exit from the short position to limit losses amid potential bullish momentum in the semiconductor sector. This mirrors the previous short exit on 8/26/2025 when price crossed above both averages, leading to a loss-limiting cover at $763.20. Although the minimum hold period is targeted at 10-14 days, trade history demonstrates early exits to cap downside, such as the quick sells on 7/16 and 7/18 to avoid deeper losses from shifting trends....
2025-09-03 SHORT
Summary: ASML is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and current price below EMA providing a high-confidence short setup targeting support near $703 over the next few weeks, despite recent exit on 8/26 at $763.2 with this re-entry justified by a much lower price at $733.16 after continued downside confirming the trend's persistence....
2025-09-02 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with price frequently crossing the EMA multiple times in the past month, EMA below SMA but tightly bound with distance less than typical daily ranges, and no volume capitulation, making new entries risky despite the downtrend appearance and price below both averages at 724.67....
2025-08-29 CASH
Summary: ASML's technicals show an unclear trend with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound at a distance less than recent daily price ranges, prohibiting new entries despite the apparent downtrend, while no material news or catalysts alter this assessment for a high-confidence setup over the next few weeks. No frequent crosses (only stable separation) or price piercings occurred in the past month, and absence of volume capitulation supports caution. Key support at $703.90 could act as a floor if downside continues, but resistance at $819.54 looms overhead from June highs, potentially capping any rebound; the rising support trendline at $707.34 adds a bullish tilt, but the falling resistance at $789.43 reinforces bearish pressure, creating a choppy range-bound environment unsuitable for committed long or short holds of 10-14 days....
2025-08-28 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, lacking a high-confidence setup for long or short amid no recent volume capitulation and recent trade history of quick reversals....
2025-08-27 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, moving averages tightly rangebound without volume capitulation, advising to stay in cash while awaiting a clearer setup for a multi-week hold....
2025-08-26 COVERED
Summary: ASML's price has risen above both EMA and SMA, rendering the downtrend unclear without volume capitulation, prompting an exit from the short position at $758.16 to limit losses amid bullish semiconductor sector momentum and no immediate catalysts for downside....
2025-08-25 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ASML's downtrend persists with EMA below SMA, price recently bouncing but still within a bearish channel targeting support at $703, no volume capitulation, and holding the short position from $735.4 for at least 10-14 days as the minimum period despite short-term volatility....
2025-08-22 HOLD SHORT
Summary: ASML remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, no volume capitulation, and the recent bounce to just above SMA likely temporary, supporting holding the short position targeting support at $703 over the coming weeks....
2025-08-21 SHORT
Summary: ASML is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and current price below EMA providing a high-confidence short setup targeting support near $703 over the next few weeks....
2025-08-20 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price between them, no volume capitulation, and recent trade history showing risks of premature entries in volatile conditions....
2025-08-19 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, no recent volume capitulation, and ranging below resistance without high-confidence setup for long or short....
2025-08-18 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, no volume capitulation, and recent volatility post-earnings drop advises staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries....
2025-08-15 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price between them, no volume capitulation, and recent history of failed long entries post-earnings volatility, so stay in cash for a clearer setup....
2025-08-14 CASH
Summary: Trend is unclear as EMA is below SMA but price sits between them without clear uptrend or downtrend signals, so staying in cash to wait for a high-confidence setup....
2025-08-13 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price between them, and frequent crossings in the past month without new volume capitulation, so no high-confidence entry for long or short while avoiding poor risk/reward near range highs....
2025-08-12 CASH
Summary: ASML's technicals show a mixed trend with EMA below SMA but price between them, invalidated volume capitulation, and no high-confidence setup for long
2025-08-11 CASH
Summary: Downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past month bars short entry, while invalidated capitulation and ongoing downtrend prevent a confident long setup, favoring cash for better opportunities....
2025-08-08 CASH
Summary: Downtrend confirmed with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation within past month prevents new short entry, no uptrend or fresh capitulation for long, so stay in cash for better setup....
2025-08-07 CASH
Summary: Downtrend persists with price below EMA and SMA, no new volume capitulation for long entry, and recent capitulation within past month prevents short entry despite favorable technicals for short....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no recent valid volume capitulation for a long entry, and a capitulation event within the past month preventing a short entry, making cash the prudent position for now....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: The stock is in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but a recent volume capitulation within the past month advises caution against shorting, and long positions are not supported without a valid capitulation or uptrend; no upcoming earnings or catalysts within 3 days....
2025-08-04 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no recent uninvalidated volume capitulation to justify a long entry, and a capitulation event within the past month precludes a short despite favorable conditions....
2025-08-01 CASH
Summary: ASML is in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation invalidated by sustained breaks lower, preventing long entries, while the capitulation within the past month bars short entries despite favorable conditions, so stay in cash for a higher-confidence setup....
2025-07-31 CASH
Summary: ASML is in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, oversold conditions suggesting potential bounce, and strong fundamentals like Q2 earnings beat and expected 15% growth in 2025, but recent post-earnings drop and invalidated volume capitulation make new entries risky without a trend reversal....
2025-07-30 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation invalidated, and current levels near support suggesting potential bounce amid positive trade news, warranting caution over new positions....
2025-07-29 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, invalidated capitulation from 7/17, mixed news including 2026 growth concerns but strong Q2 results and some analyst upgrades, suggesting low-confidence for new positions now; stay in cash awaiting clearer setup....
2025-07-28 CASH
Summary: ASML remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation invalidated, and no high-confidence setup for long or short given trade rules and recent failed recovery attempts amid 2026 revenue caution and geopolitical risks....
2025-07-25 CASH
Summary: Current downtrend persists without new volume capitulation for a long entry, and recent capitulation prevents shorting, while fundamentals suggest long-term potential but short-term uncertainty due to tariffs....
2025-07-24 SOLD
Summary: The volume capitulation from 7/17/2025 has been invalidated by five consecutive bars sustaining below the $742 low, confirming the downtrend's persistence despite Q2 earnings beat and AI fundamentals, prompting an exit from the long position to avoid further losses....
2025-07-23 BUY
Summary: Despite the current downtrend, recent volume capitulation on 7/17/2025 combined with oversold RSI at 35 and strong Q2 earnings beat amid AI-driven fundamentals signal a high-confidence setup for a multi-week recovery bounce from $715....
2025-07-22 CASH
Summary: ASML's trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, recent long trades resulted in losses, and no new high-conviction volume capitulation to justify entry despite oversold conditions....
2025-07-21 CASH
Summary: Recent volume capitulation on 7/17 failed to produce a sustained bounce as price continued lower to 721 amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak semiconductor demand signals, with unclear trend (EMA > SMA but price below both) warranting caution to avoid repeating prior quick losses on long entries....
2025-07-18 SOLD
Summary: Exit ASML long at $734.58 as the expected bounce from 7/17 volume capitulation failed to materialize with continued downside on 7/18 amid persistent bearish geopolitical news on export restrictions, prioritizing loss limitation over minimum hold despite entry rationale of oversold conditions and AI fundamentals for multi-week recovery....
2025-07-17 BUY
Summary: Buy ASML long at $743.25 following volume capitulation on 7/17, oversold RSI at 39, price above key support near $703, and strong AI-driven fundamentals outweighing short-term bearish earnings and geopolitical news for a multi-week recovery....
2025-07-16 SOLD
Summary: Sharp 8% drop on high volume signals potential breakdown below key support amid bearish earnings and geopolitical tensions, warranting exit despite minimum hold rule to limit losses....
2025-07-15 BUY
Summary: ASML shows strong uptrend with price above rising SMA, positive MACD, and RSI at 66 indicating momentum; recent semiconductor demand news and AI boom support further gains over weeks.