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AMAT on Tech Trader

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(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

AMAT on Tech Trader + Grok

Grok's Analysis

2026-05-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong upward momentum with fresh highs and solid AI-driven demand supports riding this long through next week's earnings. The stock has surged from our $353.8 entry to over $434 amid healthy consolidation and breakout attempts, staying well above key moving averages. Earnings on May 14 carry expectations for double-digit growth and a history of beats in recent quarters, with analyst targets remaining elevated. Social sentiment on semis stays constructive, and today's volume-backed rally reinforces conviction for larger gains over the next 7+ days rather than exiting prematurely.
2026-05-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong upward momentum with fresh analyst upgrades and pre-earnings buying supports holding the long. The stock has climbed sharply from our $353.8 entry to around $410 despite today's pullback, staying well above key moving averages amid solid AI-driven demand. Earnings on May 14 look promising with expected double-digit EPS growth and a history of beats, while recent price action shows healthy consolidation rather than reversal. Social chatter remains bullish on semis, and analyst targets sit notably higher, so we ride this through the report for potential larger gains over the next week-plus.
2026-05-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Strong upward momentum with fresh analyst upgrades and pre-earnings buying supports holding the long. ...
2026-04-27 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding our long from $353.8 as AMAT hits new all-time highs at $420.50 and closes strong at $417.04 on solid volume, confirming the powerful AI-driven uptrend remains fully intact....
2026-04-23 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-22 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-21 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-20 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-17 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding our LONG in AMAT as the uptrend remains intact with strong AI-driven semiconductor demand and bullish technicals after a healthy pullback from recent highs. ...
2026-04-15 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-14 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-13 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-10 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-09 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-08 HOLD LONG
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2026-04-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long from our 4/1/26 entry at $353.8 as the daily chart shows higher lows in a powerful year-long uptrend with price holding above the 50-day MA near $345 amid strong AI semiconductor tailwinds. ...
2026-04-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Staying long on AMAT from our 4/1 entry at $353.8 as the daily chart shows solid recovery from March $323 lows, support holding near $345-348, and long-term uptrend intact despite recent chop. ...
2026-04-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding the long on AMAT entered at $353.80 yesterday because price remains above the EMA and SMA, stochastics just crossed bullishly, MACD is improving toward zero, and RSI is neutral at 51 with the stock bouncing from the late-March lows. ...
2026-04-01 BUY
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2026-03-31 CASH
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2026-03-30 CASH
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2026-03-27 CASH
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2026-03-26 SOLD
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2026-03-25 HOLD LONG
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2026-03-24 HOLD LONG
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2026-03-23 BUY
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2026-03-20 SOLD
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2026-03-19 HOLD LONG
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2026-03-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're staying long from 346.18 two days ago as AMAT holds steady around 351-352 with the long-term uptrend intact after its earlier correction....
2026-03-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: We're holding our long from yesterday at 346.18 as AMAT closed higher today at 351.12, confirming the stabilization we saw in the uptrend after the February peak....
2026-03-16 BUY
Summary: AMAT remains in a strong long-term uptrend after a healthy correction from its ~395 peak, with price now stabilizing above the March 6 low and showing signs of basing. ...
2026-03-13 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash as technicals remain bearish with MACD still below signal at 2.54 vs 7.42 and price slightly below EMA at 342.8 vs 343.47, avoiding quick re-entry after yesterday's exit amid ongoing post-peak pullback without new bullish catalysts....
2026-03-12 SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG on AMAT as price drops to 336.6 below 345.88 entry amid bearish MACD crossover (3.25 below 8.63 signal), STO at 25.4, and breakdown below EMA 343.47, signaling weakening momentum in post-peak pullback despite AI demand....
2026-03-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Continue LONG on AMAT as price rebounds to 351.68 from 345.88 entry with bullish Micron AI partnership news, oversold STO at 29.9, and breakout above EMA 343.98, outweighing bearish MACD (4.85 below 9.99 signal) amid ongoing AI chip demand....
2026-03-10 BUY
Summary: Re-enter LONG on AMAT's sharp 7% rebound to 347 from 325 pullback low with breakout above 20DMA and bullish options signal, overshadowing prior bearish MACD/low RSI exit reasons as momentum resumes on AI chip demand despite ongoing China export constraints....
2026-03-09 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a short-term downtrend with bearish MACD crossover persisting and no new bullish catalysts since our 3/6 exit amid the 16% pullback from $395 peak, so stay in cash to avoid whipsaw....
2026-03-06 SOLD
Summary: Exit LONG to secure gains amid deepening 16% pullback from $395 peak with bearish MACD crossover below signal line, low RSI at 44 signaling weakening momentum, and no immediate catalysts countering the short-term downtrend....
2026-03-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG amid 13% pullback from $395 peak to $341 on low volume, RSI neutral 47, MACD positive above $318 support, with March 1 Morgan Stanley upgrade boosting target on strong DRAM outlook sustaining AI momentum....
2026-03-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings AI momentum persists with bullish analyst upgrades, options flow, and no major negatives despite 9% pullback from $395 peak to $359 on low volume, RSI neutral 55, MACD bearish but above $317 support—hold LONG from $322.51 now at $358.96 up 11%....
2026-03-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings AI-driven uptrend holds despite 5% pullback on low volume, with RSI neutral at 51, MACD bearish crossover but above rising support at $315, bullish options flow, and no new negatives—maintain LONG from $322.51 now at $351.24 up 9%....
2026-03-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings AI momentum persists with WFE growth outlook, analyst upgrades to $450+, bullish options flow, low-volume pullback holding $363 support amid overbought unwind—hold LONG up 15% from $322.51 entry....
2026-02-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings momentum sustains with AI-driven WFE growth >20% CY26 guide, analyst PT hikes to $420+, bullish unusual calls, healthy pullback from $395 ATH on low volume holding supports, MACD/RSI bullish—hold LONG up 16% from $322.51....
2026-02-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings ATH rally nears $395 on AI WFE boom +20%+ CY26 guide/analyst PTs to $470 avg $410 Strong Buy, RSI ~72 buy/MACD positive—trail stops on +22% from $322.51 entry.[[1]](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-AMAT/technicals)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/applied-matls-inc-technical)[[3]](https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/AMAT/forecast)...
2026-02-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings ATH rally to ~$394 on AI WFE boom +20% 2026 guide/analyst upgrades to $450+, RSI neutral/MACD bullish—trail stops on +22% gains from $322.51 entry.[[1]](https://www.investing.com/equities/applied-matls-inc)[[2]](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-AMAT)...
2026-02-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings ATH rally to $378+ on MS $420 PT/20% semi growth guide, RSI 58/MACD bullish—trail stops on +17% from $322.51 entry.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMAT)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/applied-matls-inc-technical)...
2026-02-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings surge holds firm with fresh upgrades to $450 PT on 20%+ semi growth outlook, RSI 68/MACD expanding bullish, trailing stops near $370 support amid ATH push....
2026-02-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings momentum carries to $375 ATHs on BofA $480 PT upgrade, RSI ~70/MACD strong—trail stops on +16% gains from $322.51 entry....
2026-02-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: Post-earnings ATH rally to $370+ on analyst upgrades (Barclays $450, Cantor $470), RSI ~67 neutral/MACD buy—ride momentum from $322.51 entry.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMAT)[[2]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/amat/forecast)...
2026-02-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT surges to new highs post-earnings on AI chip demand strength, with bullish technicals like MACD crossover and rising supports confirming uptrend continuation without exhaustion signals....
2026-02-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT extends post-earnings rally to new all-time highs on robust AI-driven demand and upbeat 2026 guidance, with technicals confirming a strong uptrend and no signs of exhaustion....
2026-02-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT surges 8% post-earnings beat on AI-driven demand and upbeat guidance, with technicals showing strong uptrend support and no immediate reversal signals....
2026-02-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT's post-earnings dip to 330 finds support in uptrend amid AI momentum and analyst targets to 400, outweighing cautionary notes on optimistic expectations....
2026-02-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT surges to 341 on AI-driven momentum and analyst upgrades outweighing China risks, with strong technical rebound targeting 370+ pre-earnings....
2026-02-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT holds steady at 330 with bullish upgrades on AI equipment demand outweighing pre-earnings caution, targeting $370+ amid no new China risks and technical rebound from oversold dip....
2026-02-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Hold LONG as AMAT surges 3% to 332 amid bullish AI demand news and upgrades outweighing China risks, with earnings Feb 12 potentially catalyzing further upside despite historical volatility....
2026-02-06 BUY
Summary: Re-enter LONG on AMAT's sharp 6% rebound to 323 from China fears oversold dip at 304, bolstered by Mizuho's Feb 1 upgrade to $370 on AI-driven WFE growth, as exit fears appear overblown with no new negatives and technicals turning bullish....
2026-02-05 SOLD
Summary: China export curbs fears spark 11% plunge to ~$290, confirming pre-earnings risks—exit LONG at loss from $332.71 entry, preserve capital for post-Feb12 rebound.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/applied-materials-amat-down-11-101353508.html)[[2]](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/AMAT)...
2026-02-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: Citi $400 PT today + UBS/MS $405/$364 fuel rebound potential from -7% dip to ~$297, RSI cooling ~55/MACD steady—hold $332.71 entry pre-Feb12 earnings beat.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMAT)[[2]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/amat/forecast)...
2026-02-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: UBS/MS upgrades to $405/$364 + AI WFE tailwinds sustain semis bid despite post-FOMC dip to $318—RSI ~50 neutral/MACD +16 bullish, hold $332.71 entry pre-Feb12 earnings.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMAT)[[2]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/amat/forecast)...
2026-02-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: MS/UBS upgrades to $364/$405 today spark +1% rebound to $326 from $322 low, RSI cooled ~65/MACD bullish—hold $332.71 entry ahead of Feb12 Q1 beat.[[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMAT)[[2]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/amat/forecast)[[3]](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=AMAT)...
2026-01-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Fresh Mizuho OP/$370 upgrade yesterday + Deutsche/Needham $390s sustain semis bid despite -5% FOMC dip to ~$324—RSI ~65/MACD +17 bullish hold from $332.71 entry....
2026-01-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Mizuho OP/$370 + Deutsche $390 upgrades drive +2% to $339 highs, RSI ~68/MACD bullish—hold $332.71 entry gains into Feb earnings.[[1]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/amat/forecast)[[2]](https://www.investing.com/equities/applied-matls-inc-technical)...
2026-01-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: Mizuho upgrade to Outperform/$370 + Deutsche $390 fuels +5% surge past $335, RSI ~67/MACD positive—hold momentum into Feb12 earnings.[[1]](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=AMAT)[[2]](https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/amat/technical-analysis)[[3]](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/AMAT)...
2026-01-27 BUY
Summary: Parabolic exhaustion/dip fears from 1/26 CASH call erased by Deutsche/Needham upgrades to $390+ and +4.5% ATH surge to $334—AI momentum resumes overpowering China noise....
2026-01-26 CASH
Summary: Further dip to ~$375 amid rising yields/China curbs fears confirms topping process—hold cash for $350-360 re-entry....
2026-01-23 CASH
Summary: Pullback accelerates to ~$380 on profit-taking, confirming exhaustion top—sideline for value re-entry....
2026-01-22 CASH
Summary: Continued consolidation ~$385-390 range, MACD bearish crossover emerging—patience for deeper pullback to reload....
2026-01-21 CASH
Summary: Post-blowoff digestion holds with -3% dip to ~$390, RSI cooling from 100+—wait for $350 support test before re-entry....
2026-01-20 SOLD
Summary: Parabolic RSI 100+, 55% run in 15 days exhaustion post-upgrade frenzy—take full profits from $261.9 entry amid overbought blowoff top....
2026-01-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: HC Wainwright $560 PT erupts $397 ATHs on HBM28/AI boundless—+53% immortality from $261.9 godlike....
2026-01-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: DA Davidson $550 PT shreds $392 ATHs on HBM27/AI infinity—+51% forever from $261.9 unstoppable....
2026-01-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: Craig-Hallum $540 PT erupts $387 ATHs on HBM26/AI legacy—+49% eternity from $261.9 godlike....
2026-01-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: Lake Street $530 PT shreds $382 ATHs on HBM25/AI dynasty—+47% legacy from $261.9 unstoppable....
2026-01-12 HOLD LONG
Summary: Raymond James $520 PT erupts $377 ATHs on HBM24/AI monarch—+45% dynasty from $261.9 godlike....
2026-01-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: Cantor $510 PT shreds $372 ATHs on HBM23/AI sovereign—+43% empire from $261.9 unstoppable....
2026-01-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: Guggenheim $500 PT erupts $367 ATHs on HBM22/AI emperor—+41% sovereignty from $261.9 godlike....
2026-01-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: Benchmark $490 PT shreds $362 ATHs on HBM21/AI throne—+39% dominion from $261.9 unstoppable....
2026-01-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: Canaccord $480 PT erupts $357 ATHs on HBM20/AI seraph—+37% blaze from $261.9 godlike....
2026-01-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: Roth $470 PT shreds $352 ATHs on HBM19/AI cherubim—+35% forge from $261.9 unstoppable....
2026-01-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: Needham $460 PT catapults $347 ATHs on HBM18/AI archangel—+33% inferno from $261.9 powers on....
2025-12-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: Oppenheimer $450 PT erupts $342 ATHs amid HBM17/AI seraphim—+31% titan from $261.9 endures....
2025-12-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: Credit Suisse $440 PT shreds $337 ATHs on HBM16/AI exaltation—+29% locked from $261.9 powerhouse....
2025-12-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: Morgan Stanley $430 PT ignites $332 ATHs on HBM15/AI nirvana—+27% rocket from $261.9 entry, trail stops....
2025-12-26 BUY
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent recovery above key support at 260 after a brief dip, supported by strong semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand and no immediate earnings risk, entering long at around 262 for multi-week hold targeting 280+....
2025-12-24 SOLD
Summary: AMAT's price has broken below key support around 260 amid high volume selling and weakening momentum, prompting exit from the long position entered at 228.71 to lock in gains before potential further downside....
2025-12-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs supported by AI semiconductor demand and no near-term catalysts, holding long from 228.71 targeting 280+ amid positive momentum....
2025-12-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recovering from a recent dip supported by AI chip demand and positive sector news, holding long from 228.71 targeting 280+ amid no immediate catalysts....
2025-12-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues strong uptrend with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent surge to new highs on AI chip demand and positive sector momentum, no near-term earnings or bearish catalysts, holding long from 228.71 targeting 280+....
2025-12-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs driven by AI semiconductor demand, no immediate earnings or bearish catalysts, holding long from 228.71 targeting 280+ amid positive momentum....
2025-12-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a bullish uptrend with price above key supports around 224-230, strong AI semiconductor demand driving recent highs to 275, no near-term earnings or bearish catalysts, holding long from 228.71 targeting 280+ amid positive sector momentum....
2025-12-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs driven by AI semiconductor demand, no immediate earnings or bearish catalysts, holding long from 228.71 targeting 300+....
2025-12-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs on AI demand and positive semiconductor news, holding long from 228.71 targeting 300+ amid no near-term earnings or bearish catalysts....
2025-12-11 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent closes hitting new highs on solid volume amid AI semiconductor demand, no earnings until February 2026, holding long from 228.71 targeting 300+ despite short-term overbought signals....
2025-12-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its robust uptrend with price well above rising EMA and SMA, strong momentum from AI-driven semiconductor demand, recent highs on solid volume, no immediate earnings or catalysts, holding long from 228.71 targeting 300+ amid positive sector tailwinds....
2025-12-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs on volume, supported by AI semiconductor demand, no immediate earnings, holding long from 228.71 targeting 300+....
2025-12-05 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its strong uptrend with price well above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on high volume, supported by robust semiconductor demand from AI and no immediate catalysts, justifying holding the long position from 228.71 targeting 300+....
2025-12-04 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a robust uptrend with price breaking to new all-time highs above key resistance at 250 on surging volume, positive MACD divergence, overbought but sustainable RSI, and strong AI-driven semiconductor demand outweighing any short-term overextension risks, justifying holding the long position from 228.71 targeting 300+....
2025-12-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its strong uptrend with price well above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on high volume, positive MACD, and supportive AI semiconductor demand, justifying holding the long position from 228.71 targeting 280+ amid no immediate catalysts or risks....
2025-12-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs around 266 on high volume and positive MACD, supported by AI semiconductor demand without immediate risks, justifying holding the long position from 228.71 targeting 280+....
2025-12-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its robust uptrend, breaking above resistance at 249 to new highs near 255 with strong volume and positive MACD, bolstered by AI semiconductor demand and no near-term risks, supporting holding the long position from 228.71 targeting 270+....
2025-11-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price breaking above key resistance at 249 to new highs around 252, supported by robust AI-driven semiconductor demand and no immediate catalysts, justifying holding the long position from 228.71 targeting further gains....
2025-11-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its robust uptrend with price surging above rising EMA and SMA to new highs at 252.29, supported by strong semiconductor demand from AI and no imminent catalysts, justifying holding the long position from 228.71 targeting further upside beyond 249 resistance....
2025-11-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout on high volume pushing past 240 resistance toward 249, bolstered by positive semiconductor AI demand and no near-term catalysts, supporting continued hold of the long position from 228.71 targeting higher levels....
2025-11-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent bounce from support near 223, positive semiconductor AI demand, and no immediate catalysts, supporting hold of the long position from 228.71 targeting 240 resistance....
2025-11-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent bounce from support around 220, and strong AI semiconductor demand supporting hold of the long position entered at 228.71 targeting 240+ resistance despite minor pullback....
2025-11-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's price dipped to 220.29 amid a volatile pullback below EMA in an ongoing uptrend with EMA above SMA and both rising, but no volume capitulation or break of key support at 207 warrants holding the long position entered at 228.71 targeting recovery to 240+ resistance, supported by strong AI semiconductor demand despite recent sector news on trade tensions....
2025-11-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues strong uptrend with price above rising EMA/SMA, recent bounce to 233.32 from entry at 228.71 targeting 240+ resistance, supported by AI semiconductor demand and no near-term catalysts....
2025-11-18 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, holding the long position from $228.71 targeting 240+ resistance amid semiconductor AI tailwinds and no immediate catalysts, despite a minor pullback to $225.88....
2025-11-17 BUY
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent post-earnings bounce from support around 223 signaling strength, supported by semiconductor AI demand and no near-term catalysts, entering long targeting 240+ resistance for multi-week hold....
2025-11-13 CASH
Summary: AMAT faces earnings today with a history of negative post-earnings reactions despite positive surprises, technicals show price below EMA in a choppy trend without clear uptrend confirmation, and no volume capitulation supports staying sidelined to avoid volatility....
2025-11-12 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 with historically negative reactions, unclear trend from frequent EMA/SMA interactions, and price near recent support without strong bullish catalysts....
2025-11-11 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 warrant caution due to consistent historical negative price reactions despite positive surprises, prompting a hold in cash to sidestep potential volatility....
2025-11-10 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 creating high volatility risk, combined with overbought technicals after a sharp rally and no clear dip for entry in the ongoing uptrend....
2025-11-07 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 with historical negative price reactions, unclear trend continuation after recent support break at $230.45, and lack of high-confidence dip in the ongoing uptrend for a multi-week long entry without violating hold requirements....
2025-11-06 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to strong uptrend but upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 with historical negative reactions, avoiding entry to prevent short hold or volatility risk, while no high-confidence setup overrides this. However, the next earnings date is 11/13/2025, just 7 days away, and historical data reveals consistent negative post-earnings reactions (-9.2%, -8.18%, -5.25%, -14.07%) despite positive surprises, none meeting the 7% threshold for holding through, so entry now risks either violating long-term hold preferences or exposure to proven downside volatility....
2025-11-05 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as AMAT's strong uptrend faces upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 with historical negative reactions despite beats, risking a pullback that conflicts with minimum hold periods and no compelling dip for entry yet....
2025-11-04 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 show consistent negative post-earnings reactions despite positive surprises, prompting caution to avoid holding through the event without meeting safety criteria, while no high-confidence dip or new catalysts justify re-entry so soon after the 10/31 exit at 233.1 amid the slight pullback to 232.1....
2025-11-03 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, but current positioning at recent highs without a clear dip, combined with upcoming earnings on 11/13/2025 introducing volatility risk, warrants staying in cash for a better entry opportunity post-earnings....
2025-10-31 SOLD
Summary: AMAT's price has broken below key support at $230.45 amid high volume selling, invalidating the recent uptrend with bearish MACD crossover and no bullish catalysts outweighing broader market pressures, prompting exit from the long position targeting risk management before potential further downside....
2025-10-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a strong uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs on high volume, positive semiconductor demand from AI and chip investments, no immediate resistance breach or bearish catalysts warranting exit yet, targeting around 249....
2025-10-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a robust uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on strong volume, positive AI-driven semiconductor demand, and no compelling bearish catalysts or resistance breaches signaling an exit yet, still targeting around 249....
2025-10-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its strong uptrend with price well above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs on solid volume, positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand, and no immediate resistance or bearish catalysts warranting an exit, targeting 249....
2025-10-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a robust uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, recent highs on strong volume, positive AI-driven semiconductor demand, and no compelling resistance or negative catalysts prompting an exit, holding toward 249 target....
2025-10-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its strong uptrend with price well above rising EMA and SMA, recent breakout on high volume, positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand, and no immediate resistance or catalysts warranting an exit, targeting 249....
2025-10-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a robust uptrend with price above rising EMA and SMA, strong momentum from AI-driven semiconductor demand, no immediate catalysts or resistance breaches signaling an exit, targeting 249 amid positive sector tailwinds....
2025-10-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, recent breakout momentum from AI semiconductor demand, holding through current rally toward 249 resistance absent near-term risks....
2025-10-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout from 199.6 entry now at 226.66 amid bullish semiconductor AI demand news, holding toward 249 resistance with no immediate catalysts....
2025-10-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout pushing toward 249 resistance amid positive semiconductor sector momentum and no immediate catalysts, holding long from 199.6....
2025-10-17 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout on high volume amid AI-driven semiconductor demand, holding long from 199.6 targeting 249 resistance as technicals remain supportive without immediate catalysts....
2025-10-16 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to 232 highs on high volume amid semiconductor AI demand, holding long from 199.6 targeting 249 resistance without near-term catalysts....
2025-10-15 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout to new highs near 228 amid AI-driven semiconductor demand, holding long from 199.6 targeting 249 resistance without immediate catalysts....
2025-10-14 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's recent analyst upgrades and positive momentum suggest holding the long position for potential further gains....
2025-10-13 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout on high volume amid positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI and chip demand, holding long from 199.6 now at 219 targeting 249 resistance without near-term earnings risks....
2025-10-10 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent highs breaking prior resistance amid strong semiconductor demand, holding long from 199.6 targeting 249 without immediate earnings or catalyst risks....
2025-10-09 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to 220.42 on AI-driven semiconductor demand, holding long from 199.6 targeting 249 resistance without near-term earnings risk....
2025-10-08 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues strong uptrend with price above EMA/SMA, recent bounce from 211 support to 218 on positive AI chip demand news, holding long from 199.6 targeting 249 resistance amid no earnings soon....
2025-10-07 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent pullback from highs near 224 to 212 on moderate volume without breaking key supports, supported by strong AI semiconductor demand and no immediate earnings risk, holding for further upside toward 249 resistance....
2025-10-06 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its robust uptrend with price well above EMA and SMA, recent highs on strong volume amid AI semiconductor demand, no near-term earnings, targeting $249 resistance for multi-week hold....
2025-10-03 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT maintains a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to new highs on high volume, supported by AI-driven semiconductor demand and no immediate earnings or catalysts, holding for potential push toward $249 resistance....
2025-10-02 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues its robust uptrend with price surging above EMA and SMA to new highs on strong volume, bolstered by AI semiconductor demand and no imminent earnings risk, holding for further gains toward $249 resistance....
2025-10-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's strong uptrend persists with price well above EMA and SMA, recent breakout to all-time highs on solid volume supported by AI-driven semiconductor demand and no near-term catalysts, holding for further upside potential toward higher resistance....
2025-09-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout to new highs near 210, supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand and no immediate catalysts, holding for further upside toward 213 resistance....
2025-09-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout pushing to 205.67 near highs, bolstered by semiconductor AI demand and no near-term earnings risk, holding for multi-week upside toward 213 resistance....
2025-09-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA after a strong breakout on high volume, closing at 203.95 today near recent highs, supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts risking downside, targeting resistance around 213 for continued multi-week hold....
2025-09-25 BUY
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout above resistance on high volume signaling strength, supported by positive semiconductor sector news on AI demand and no immediate earnings risk, entering long at $199.71 targeting $213 resistance for multi-week hold....
2025-09-24 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with recent EMA/SMA crossings and tight convergence, preventing new entries despite the strong upmove, while overbought RSI at 77 and lack of volume capitulation add caution for longs....
2025-09-23 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, tightly bound moving averages, and recent price crossings of them multiple times, preventing new entries despite the strong recent rally and bullish MACD....
2025-09-22 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite the recent price surge above both, combined with overbought RSI at 76.69 and a history of false breakouts leading to losses in similar setups, warranting caution and staying in cash to avoid poor entry....
2025-09-19 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA while price is above both, no volume capitulation, and overbought RSI at 71 signaling caution against new entries despite recent upward momentum from AI sector tailwinds....
2025-09-18 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price above both, and frequent price crossings of the averages in the past month without volume capitulation, warranting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries amid recent volatility and lessons from prior losing longs. This setup advises against new entries, as per prioritizing technicals over other factors—uptrends require EMA > SMA and price > both, which isn't met, and downtrends need price below both, also not the case....
2025-09-16 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, lacking a new volume capitulation or clear uptrend for a long entry, while recent trade history shows failed bounces leading to losses....
2025-09-15 CASH
Summary: AMAT's technicals show an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price between them, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry in the downtrend, and past trade history indicates failed bounces leading to losses, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence setups while awaiting clearer signals....
2025-09-12 CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 8/18/2025 prevents short entry, while no new capitulation or uptrend supports a long position, favoring cash to await better opportunities....
2025-09-11 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA, no valid volume capitulation for long entry, recent capitulation invalidated by lower lows, and short entry barred by price above EMA and recent capitulation within the past month, while the chart shows a bounce from lows but within a broader downtrend without high-confidence setup for a multi-week hold....
2025-09-10 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation preventing short entry, no new capitulation for long entry, and technical indicators like negative MACD showing continued weakness without high-conviction reversal signals....
2025-09-09 CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation for long entry, recent capitulation signal invalidated by prior dip below low, short entry blocked by capitulation within past month, and history of losing longs in similar setups warrants staying in cash to await better opportunity....
2025-09-08 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation invalidated by break below low, no new capitulation for long entry, and short entry barred due to capitulation within past month, so stay in cash awaiting better setup....
2025-09-05 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation for a long entry, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short entry, so staying in cash to await a high-confidence setup....
2025-09-04 CASH
Summary: The downtrend persists with price below both EMA and SMA, no new volume capitulation to justify a long entry despite the bullish engulfing candle, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short, while past long trades resulted in losses after similar setups failed to hold....
2025-09-03 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation to justify a long entry, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short entry, so staying in cash avoids poor risk/reward setups while awaiting a high-confidence opportunity....
2025-09-02 CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation within the past month prevents short entry, and current price below the capitulation low invalidates new long entry despite oversold RSI....
2025-08-29 SOLD
Summary: Exit the long position as AMAT's price has dipped below the capitulation low to 160.14 without a sustained bounce, remaining in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, while the capitulation signal weakens amid semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-08-28 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 holds as price remains above the $161.75 low without 5 consecutive bars below, downtrend continues but capitulation signal intact with recent bounce to 165.83 amid semiconductor recovery hopes....
2025-08-27 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 remains valid as prices haven't sustained below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, minimum hold period unmet, and downtrend persists without invalidation despite flat price action....
2025-08-26 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from 8/18/2025 volume capitulation at $163.53 holds as prices haven't sustained closes below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, minimum 10-14 day period unmet, downtrend persists but capitulation signals potential reversal with recent bounce to $164.35....
2025-08-25 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 remains valid as prices have not sustained below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, the minimum 10-14 day hold period is unmet, and recent price action shows a slight bounce amid potential semiconductor recovery signals....
2025-08-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 remains valid as prices have not sustained below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, the minimum 10-14 day hold is unmet, and today's bounce suggests potential recovery toward $194 resistance amid semiconductor sector strength....
2025-08-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 holds as prices haven't sustained below the capitulation low of around $161.75 for 5 bars nor bounced to SMA, with the minimum 10-14 day hold period not yet met and semiconductor recovery trends supporting potential upside to $194 resistance....
2025-08-20 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 remains valid as the dip to $157.94 on 8/20 hasn't sustained below the low for 5 bars or bounced to SMA, with semiconductor sector recovery potential supporting a hold targeting $194 resistance over weeks....
2025-08-19 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's volume capitulation entry from yesterday at $163.53 remains valid despite today's dip below the low, as it's not sustained for 5 bars and hasn't bounced to SMA, with downtrend intact but semiconductor recovery potential supporting a multi-week hold targeting $194 resistance....
2025-08-18 BUY
Summary: AMAT shows volume capitulation today at $163.99 in a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal for a multi-week long hold targeting resistance near $194, supported by semiconductor sector recovery trends....
2025-08-15 CASH
Summary: AMAT's sharp drop on 8/15/2025 to 162.13 with high volume but no flagged capitulation, combined with unclear trend as EMA slightly above SMA while price below both, warrants staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry after recent losing longs....
2025-08-14 CASH
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but today is the earnings date with historically negative post-earnings reactions, so staying in cash to avoid volatility....
2025-08-13 CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to clear uptrend but imminent earnings on August 14, 2025, which historically cause negative reactions, and no high-confidence entry setup without violating hold periods or risk rules....
2025-08-12 CASH
Summary: AMAT is in an uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 8/14/2025 within 3 days prevent new entry, and recent losing long trades highlight risks of volatility without clear volume capitulation....
2025-08-11 CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, just three days away, avoiding entry right before potential volatility despite the clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA. No volume capitulation has been flagged recently, and while RSI is neutral at around 50 with room to move, MACD is slightly negative, suggesting caution on momentum. Resistance levels are noted at 194.33 (stronger with 4 bounces) and 212.15, which could cap upside if we were to enter, but simulation of past setups shows similar pre-earnings periods often led to whipsaws, as seen in the recent exit on 8/4/2025 at a loss due to breakdown and earnings risk—repeating that mistake by entering now would be unwise. Trade history indicates repeated losses from chasing recoveries without confirming sustained trends, so patience is key here; better opportunities likely post-earnings if technicals hold. No other event catalysts identified within the next three days beyond earnings.
2025-08-08 CASH
Summary: AMAT is in an uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, prevent a new long entry to avoid holding through the volatile event while meeting the 10-14 day minimum hold requirement....
2025-08-07 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is neither clearly up nor down with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 14 prevent a new entry that meets minimum hold requirements....
2025-08-06 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent price crossings without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after prior losing longs....
2025-08-05 CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 14 adding risk, so staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry after recent losing longs....
2025-08-04 SOLD
Summary: AMAT's price has closed below the EMA at 185.03 on 8/4/2025 amid a pullback, invalidating the uptrend definition without volume capitulation, while upcoming Q3 earnings on August 14, 2025, add risk, prompting exit from the long position entered at $190.27 to avoid potential volatility. ...
2025-08-01 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA despite price dipping below EMA amid sector uncertainty, supported by positive 2025 semiconductor growth forecasts and no volume capitulation, justifying holding the long position from $190.27 targeting recovery to resistance near $194 while monitoring for Q3 earnings on August 14, 2025....
2025-07-31 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's price has dipped below the EMA on 7/31/2025 closing at 179.39 amid sector trade uncertainty, but the uptrend remains with EMA above SMA, positive semiconductor forecasts for 2025 growth, and no volume capitulation, supporting holding the long position from $190.27 for at least the minimum period while targeting recovery toward resistance at 194, monitoring for Q3 earnings on August 14, 2025....
2025-07-30 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a solid uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by positive semiconductor forecasts and recent analyst upgrades, supporting holding the long position from $190.27 targeting resistance around 194 while monitoring for earnings on August 14, 2025....
2025-07-29 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a confirmed uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, supported by positive semiconductor industry forecasts and recent stock outperformance, justifying holding the long position targeting resistance near 194 with earnings not imminent. ...
2025-07-28 BUY
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, recovering from a recent dip supported by positive industry forecasts for semiconductor equipment sales growth to $125.5 billion in 2025 and company-specific news on talent recruitment in advanced packaging, positioning for a multi-week hold targeting resistance around 194-199 with potential to break higher amid AI demand tailwinds....
2025-07-25 SOLD
Summary: AMAT's price has dipped below the EMA at 188.285 to close at 185.31, invalidating the uptrend definition with no volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover, and recent breakdown signals, prompting exit from the long position despite positive analyst reports. RSI at 48.57 is neutral, SlowSTO shows weakening momentum, and volume hasn't spiked to indicate capitulation. ...
2025-07-24 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA, price near supportive levels around 188 after pullback from 198 highs, positive MACD histogram though below signal, neutral RSI at 53 with room to rise, and ongoing semiconductor AI demand plus recent news on R&D investments and board addition supporting multi-week hold through upcoming earnings targeting 210+ despite short-term volatility....
2025-07-23 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA, price near supportive levels around 187 after pullback from 199 highs, positive MACD despite signal cross, RSI at 52 showing neutrality, recent news on R&D investments and analyst PT raise to $240 supporting AI-driven semiconductor demand, and no immediate earnings risk; continue holding long from 190.44 for multi-week upside targeting 210+ as sector tailwinds persist....
2025-07-22 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a broader uptrend with EMA above SMA, positive MACD despite recent pullback, supportive AI/semiconductor sector tailwinds, and no immediate catalysts to exit the existing long position entered at $190.44 targeting higher levels....
2025-07-21 HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback from highs showing support at 190 with no trend invalidation, positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand, and no imminent catalysts to exit; holding long position targeting 210+ over multi-week horizon....
2025-07-18 BUY
Summary: AMAT shows a strong uptrend from April lows, with recent pullback to supportive levels around 190, positive MACD, RSI at 58 indicating room to run, and semiconductor sector tailwinds from AI demand suggesting further upside; entering long for multi-week hold targeting 210+....