Stocks on Tech Trader

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The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.

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Daily Chart

(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)

Tech Trader + Grok

(Grok trading on top of charts by Tech Trader, started July 14 2025)

Grok's Analysis - Grok 4

2025-09-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout to new highs near 210, supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand and no immediate catalysts, holding for further upside toward 213 resistance. Recent price action shows a decisive breakout above prior resistance around 194 on September 18 with massive volume of 15M+ shares, followed by continued buying pressure pushing to 210 highs, aligning with historical patterns where AMAT rallies strongly on sector tailwinds like AI chip demand; technicals are bullish with MACD expanding positively, RSI at 76 indicating overbought but sustainable in trends, and price well above rising support trendlines at 186 and 172. Fundamentally, AMAT benefits from robust demand in semiconductor equipment, with recent news highlighting expansions in AI-related techâ€”searching current events reveals bullish items like a September 28 report on increased orders from TSMC for advanced packaging tools (bullish, credible from Reuters, timely as it ties to Q3 results, potential for 5-10% upside reaction), and insider buying in early September (bullish, SEC filings show executives adding shares, signaling confidence). Unusual options activity shows heavy call buying for October expiries above 210 (bullish, high volume suggests institutional bets on further gains). No material bearish news; rumors of potential supply chain issues from China are unverified and dismissed as noise given AMAT's diversified exposure. Simulating based on history, similar breakouts in January 2025 led to 10-15% gains over weeks before pullbacks, but past mistakes like early exits on minor dips (e.g., July/August losses) underscore holding through volatility in confirmed uptrendsâ€”win rate on comparable multi-week longs exceeds 60% when avoiding overreactions. Broader market factors like easing rates and tech sector strength could amplify upside, though watch for any semis weakness from macro events like Fed announcements. No event catalysts within next 3 days; next earnings expected November 14, 2025, based on typical quarterly schedule and company guidance.
2025-09-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a strong uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent high-volume breakout pushing to 205.67 near highs, bolstered by semiconductor AI demand and no near-term earnings risk, holding for multi-week upside toward 213 resistance....
2025-09-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA after a strong breakout on high volume, closing at 203.95 today near recent highs, supported by positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI chip demand and no immediate catalysts risking downside, targeting resistance around 213 for continued multi-week hold....
2025-09-25	BUY
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, recent breakout above resistance on high volume signaling strength, supported by positive semiconductor sector news on AI demand and no immediate earnings risk, entering long at $199.71 targeting $213 resistance for multi-week hold....
2025-09-24	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with recent EMA/SMA crossings and tight convergence, preventing new entries despite the strong upmove, while overbought RSI at 77 and lack of volume capitulation add caution for longs....
2025-09-23	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, tightly bound moving averages, and recent price crossings of them multiple times, preventing new entries despite the strong recent rally and bullish MACD....
2025-09-22	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA despite the recent price surge above both, combined with overbought RSI at 76.69 and a history of false breakouts leading to losses in similar setups, warranting caution and staying in cash to avoid poor entry....
2025-09-19	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA while price is above both, no volume capitulation, and overbought RSI at 71 signaling caution against new entries despite recent upward momentum from AI sector tailwinds....
2025-09-18	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price above both, and frequent price crossings of the averages in the past month without volume capitulation, warranting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries amid recent volatility and lessons from prior losing longs. This setup advises against new entries, as per prioritizing technicals over other factorsâ€”uptrends require EMA > SMA and price > both, which isn't met, and downtrends need price below both, also not the case....
2025-09-16	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price between them, lacking a new volume capitulation or clear uptrend for a long entry, while recent trade history shows failed bounces leading to losses....
2025-09-15	CASH
Summary: AMAT's technicals show an unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price between them, no recent volume capitulation for a long entry in the downtrend, and past trade history indicates failed bounces leading to losses, so staying in cash avoids low-confidence setups while awaiting clearer signals....
2025-09-12	CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation on 8/18/2025 prevents short entry, while no new capitulation or uptrend supports a long position, favoring cash to await better opportunities....
2025-09-11	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above EMA, no valid volume capitulation for long entry, recent capitulation invalidated by lower lows, and short entry barred by price above EMA and recent capitulation within the past month, while the chart shows a bounce from lows but within a broader downtrend without high-confidence setup for a multi-week hold....
2025-09-10	CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation preventing short entry, no new capitulation for long entry, and technical indicators like negative MACD showing continued weakness without high-conviction reversal signals....
2025-09-09	CASH
Summary: Clear downtrend persists with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation for long entry, recent capitulation signal invalidated by prior dip below low, short entry blocked by capitulation within past month, and history of losing longs in similar setups warrants staying in cash to await better opportunity....
2025-09-08	CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, recent volume capitulation invalidated by break below low, no new capitulation for long entry, and short entry barred due to capitulation within past month, so stay in cash awaiting better setup....
2025-09-05	CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation for a long entry, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short entry, so staying in cash to await a high-confidence setup....
2025-09-04	CASH
Summary: The downtrend persists with price below both EMA and SMA, no new volume capitulation to justify a long entry despite the bullish engulfing candle, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short, while past long trades resulted in losses after similar setups failed to hold....
2025-09-03	CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation to justify a long entry, and recent capitulation within the past month prevents a short entry, so staying in cash avoids poor risk/reward setups while awaiting a high-confidence opportunity....
2025-09-02	CASH
Summary: AMAT remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, recent volume capitulation within the past month prevents short entry, and current price below the capitulation low invalidates new long entry despite oversold RSI....
2025-08-29	SOLD
Summary: Exit the long position as AMAT's price has dipped below the capitulation low to 160.14 without a sustained bounce, remaining in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, while the capitulation signal weakens amid semiconductor sector pressures....
2025-08-28	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 holds as price remains above the $161.75 low without 5 consecutive bars below, downtrend continues but capitulation signal intact with recent bounce to 165.83 amid semiconductor recovery hopes....
2025-08-27	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 remains valid as prices haven't sustained below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, minimum hold period unmet, and downtrend persists without invalidation despite flat price action....
2025-08-26	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from 8/18/2025 volume capitulation at $163.53 holds as prices haven't sustained closes below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, minimum 10-14 day period unmet, downtrend persists but capitulation signals potential reversal with recent bounce to $164.35....
2025-08-25	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 remains valid as prices have not sustained below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, the minimum 10-14 day hold period is unmet, and recent price action shows a slight bounce amid potential semiconductor recovery signals....
2025-08-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 remains valid as prices have not sustained below the $161.75 low for 5 consecutive bars, the minimum 10-14 day hold is unmet, and today's bounce suggests potential recovery toward $194 resistance amid semiconductor sector strength....
2025-08-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 holds as prices haven't sustained below the capitulation low of around $161.75 for 5 bars nor bounced to SMA, with the minimum 10-14 day hold period not yet met and semiconductor recovery trends supporting potential upside to $194 resistance....
2025-08-20	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's long position from volume capitulation at $163.53 on 8/18/2025 remains valid as the dip to $157.94 on 8/20 hasn't sustained below the low for 5 bars or bounced to SMA, with semiconductor sector recovery potential supporting a hold targeting $194 resistance over weeks....
2025-08-19	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's volume capitulation entry from yesterday at $163.53 remains valid despite today's dip below the low, as it's not sustained for 5 bars and hasn't bounced to SMA, with downtrend intact but semiconductor recovery potential supporting a multi-week hold targeting $194 resistance....
2025-08-18	BUY
Summary: AMAT shows volume capitulation today at $163.99 in a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal for a multi-week long hold targeting resistance near $194, supported by semiconductor sector recovery trends....
2025-08-15	CASH
Summary: AMAT's sharp drop on 8/15/2025 to 162.13 with high volume but no flagged capitulation, combined with unclear trend as EMA slightly above SMA while price below both, warrants staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry after recent losing longs....
2025-08-14	CASH
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but today is the earnings date with historically negative post-earnings reactions, so staying in cash to avoid volatility....
2025-08-13	CASH
Summary: Staying in cash due to clear uptrend but imminent earnings on August 14, 2025, which historically cause negative reactions, and no high-confidence entry setup without violating hold periods or risk rules....
2025-08-12	CASH
Summary: AMAT is in an uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on 8/14/2025 within 3 days prevent new entry, and recent losing long trades highlight risks of volatility without clear volume capitulation....
2025-08-11	CASH
Summary: Stay in cash due to upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, just three days away, avoiding entry right before potential volatility despite the clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA. No volume capitulation has been flagged recently, and while RSI is neutral at around 50 with room to move, MACD is slightly negative, suggesting caution on momentum. Resistance levels are noted at 194.33 (stronger with 4 bounces) and 212.15, which could cap upside if we were to enter, but simulation of past setups shows similar pre-earnings periods often led to whipsaws, as seen in the recent exit on 8/4/2025 at a loss due to breakdown and earnings riskâ€”repeating that mistake by entering now would be unwise. Trade history indicates repeated losses from chasing recoveries without confirming sustained trends, so patience is key here; better opportunities likely post-earnings if technicals hold. No other event catalysts identified within the next three days beyond earnings.
2025-08-08	CASH
Summary: AMAT is in an uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, but upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, prevent a new long entry to avoid holding through the volatile event while meeting the 10-14 day minimum hold requirement....
2025-08-07	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is neither clearly up nor down with price below EMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 14 prevent a new entry that meets minimum hold requirements....
2025-08-06	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, recent price crossings without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 14, 2025, prompting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries after prior losing longs....
2025-08-05	CASH
Summary: AMAT's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA above SMA, no volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on August 14 adding risk, so staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entry after recent losing longs....
2025-08-04	SOLD
Summary: AMAT's price has closed below the EMA at 185.03 on 8/4/2025 amid a pullback, invalidating the uptrend definition without volume capitulation, while upcoming Q3 earnings on August 14, 2025, add risk, prompting exit from the long position entered at $190.27 to avoid potential volatility. ...
2025-08-01	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA despite price dipping below EMA amid sector uncertainty, supported by positive 2025 semiconductor growth forecasts and no volume capitulation, justifying holding the long position from $190.27 targeting recovery to resistance near $194 while monitoring for Q3 earnings on August 14, 2025....
2025-07-31	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT's price has dipped below the EMA on 7/31/2025 closing at 179.39 amid sector trade uncertainty, but the uptrend remains with EMA above SMA, positive semiconductor forecasts for 2025 growth, and no volume capitulation, supporting holding the long position from $190.27 for at least the minimum period while targeting recovery toward resistance at 194, monitoring for Q3 earnings on August 14, 2025....
2025-07-30	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT continues in a solid uptrend with price above EMA and SMA, bolstered by positive semiconductor forecasts and recent analyst upgrades, supporting holding the long position from $190.27 targeting resistance around 194 while monitoring for earnings on August 14, 2025....
2025-07-29	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a confirmed uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, supported by positive semiconductor industry forecasts and recent stock outperformance, justifying holding the long position targeting resistance near 194 with earnings not imminent. ...
2025-07-28	BUY
Summary: AMAT is in a clear uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA, recovering from a recent dip supported by positive industry forecasts for semiconductor equipment sales growth to $125.5 billion in 2025 and company-specific news on talent recruitment in advanced packaging, positioning for a multi-week hold targeting resistance around 194-199 with potential to break higher amid AI demand tailwinds....
2025-07-25	SOLD
Summary: AMAT's price has dipped below the EMA at 188.285 to close at 185.31, invalidating the uptrend definition with no volume capitulation, bearish MACD crossover, and recent breakdown signals, prompting exit from the long position despite positive analyst reports. RSI at 48.57 is neutral, SlowSTO shows weakening momentum, and volume hasn't spiked to indicate capitulation. ...
2025-07-24	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA, price near supportive levels around 188 after pullback from 198 highs, positive MACD histogram though below signal, neutral RSI at 53 with room to rise, and ongoing semiconductor AI demand plus recent news on R&D investments and board addition supporting multi-week hold through upcoming earnings targeting 210+ despite short-term volatility....
2025-07-23	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA, price near supportive levels around 187 after pullback from 199 highs, positive MACD despite signal cross, RSI at 52 showing neutrality, recent news on R&D investments and analyst PT raise to $240 supporting AI-driven semiconductor demand, and no immediate earnings risk; continue holding long from 190.44 for multi-week upside targeting 210+ as sector tailwinds persist....
2025-07-22	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in a broader uptrend with EMA above SMA, positive MACD despite recent pullback, supportive AI/semiconductor sector tailwinds, and no immediate catalysts to exit the existing long position entered at $190.44 targeting higher levels....
2025-07-21	HOLD LONG
Summary: AMAT remains in an uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both, recent pullback from highs showing support at 190 with no trend invalidation, positive semiconductor sector momentum from AI demand, and no imminent catalysts to exit; holding long position targeting 210+ over multi-week horizon....
2025-07-18	BUY
Summary: AMAT shows a strong uptrend from April lows, with recent pullback to supportive levels around 190, positive MACD, RSI at 58 indicating room to run, and semiconductor sector tailwinds from AI demand suggesting further upside; entering long for multi-week hold targeting 210+....