The charts, technical indicators, and signals here are generated live from Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.
The second chart (if available) is a combination of Tech Trader with the Grok AI (from xAI) interpreting the chart and making trading decisions, including elaborate reports at the bottom explaining any given day.
Follow trades and activity on The Tech Trader Wall and Tech Trader + Grok Wall.
Daily Chart
(Technical analysis chart by Tech Trader)
Grok's Analysis
| 2026-01-13 | COVERED |
| 2026-01-12 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; extreme oversold flush to $305 tests 2023 lows on Jefferies/KeyBanc fallout, position up ~14% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2026-01-09 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; ADBE cracks $320 support post-Jefferies/KeyBanc on AI doubts, position up ~12% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2026-01-08 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; Jefferies/KeyBanc downgrades drive 5-day -6.3% skid to $320 support test, position up ~10% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2026-01-07 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; Jefferies Hold downgrade + KeyBanc Underweight hammer ADBE to $320s lows, position up ~9% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2026-01-06 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; Jefferies Hold downgrade fuels further slide to $330s amid AI comp fears, position up ~6% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2026-01-05 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; Jefferies Hold downgrade + AI pressures extend pullback below $340, position up ~5% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2026-01-02 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Hold SHORT; new year open dips ADBE to $345s on KeyBanc $310 PT digestion and AI lawsuit headlines, position up ~1.3% from $349.99....
|
|
| 2025-12-31 | SHORT |
|
Summary: KeyBanc Underweight $310 PT and fresh AI lawsuit details accelerate downside to $353, overriding year-end stability....
|
|
| 2025-12-30 | SOLD |
|
Summary: Exit LONG banking ~7% gains; year-end profit-taking hits ADBE -1.2% to $364 amid overbought cooldown....
|
|
| 2025-12-29 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: Hold LONG; year-end rally pushes ADBE +1.8% to $368 on Nasdaq surge, Firefly AI updates fueling $420 PTs....
|
|
| 2025-12-26 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE continues in a mild uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and gradually rising, supported by positive post-earnings momentum from 12/10/2025, AI product integrations like Firefly, and no breakdowns below key supports around $352, warranting holding the long position entered at $355.81 despite minor pullback....
|
|
| 2025-12-24 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE maintains a mild uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and gradually rising, supported by recent positive earnings reaction, AI integration momentum, and no immediate breakdowns or catalysts warranting an exit from the long position entered at $355.81....
|
|
| 2025-12-23 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a mild uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and both gradually rising, supported by recent positive earnings reaction and AI sector tailwinds without immediate breakdowns or catalysts warranting an early exit from the long position entered at $355.81....
|
|
| 2025-12-22 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE maintains a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and both trending upward, recent positive earnings momentum continuing without breakdowns or catalysts justifying exit after minimal hold....
|
|
| 2025-12-19 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and moving upward, recent positive earnings reaction driving momentum toward resistance at 363-376, no upcoming catalysts or breakdowns justifying an early exit after just one bar. Technical indicators support continuation: RSI at 62.5 indicates room for upside without overbought conditions, MACD at 6.19 with signal at 3.58 showing bullish crossover persistence, and Slow STO K/D at 93.6/90.5 reflecting strong momentum. Volume on the up days post-earnings has been solid, averaging over 5 million shares, suggesting sustained buying interest without capitulation signals that might indicate exhaustion. No major bearish news found in searches—recent reports highlight Adobe's growth in digital experience platforms amid rising enterprise demand, with analysts noting potential for further upside on subscription revenue. Unusual options activity shows increased call buying in January expiries, implying bullish sentiment, while insider filings reveal no significant selling....
|
|
| 2025-12-18 | BUY |
|
Summary: ADBE is in a confirmed uptrend with EMA above SMA, price above both and moving upward, post-positive earnings reaction without upcoming catalysts, supported by bullish MACD crossover and AI sector momentum for a potential multi-week advance targeting resistance near 363-376....
|
|
| 2025-12-17 | CASH |
|
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound and crossing recently without clear upward direction, avoiding new entries despite recent price bounce from support, while ADBE's AI-driven fundamentals and positive sector news provide supplemental bullish context but technicals take priority. Volume has been elevated on up days like 12/11 (10M+ shares) suggesting buying interest, but no capitulation flagged to signal a reversal bottom. RSI at 63 is neutral, while STO K at 90 indicates overbought conditions, raising caution for longs near resistance at $363. MACD is positive at 5.4 but histogram weakening, hinting at potential pullback....
|
|
| 2025-12-16 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's technicals show an unclear trend with recent EMA/SMA crosses and price churning sideways above key supports but below resistances, warranting staying in cash to avoid whipsaw after the post-earnings bounce and recent trade losses....
|
|
| 2025-12-15 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA, both tightly rangebound and moving sideways without clear direction or volume capitulation, warranting staying in cash to avoid low-confidence entries post-recent earnings rebound and pullback....
|
|
| 2025-12-12 | CASH |
|
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and tightly rangebound without clear upward movement, avoiding new long entry despite recent post-earnings bounce from solid fundamentals and positive AI sector momentum....
|
|
| 2025-12-11 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as ADBE's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA despite the recent post-earnings bounce to $351, no volume capitulation, and price near resistance without confirmed uptrend for a safe long entry....
|
|
| 2025-12-10 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA despite price above both, no volume capitulation, earnings today on 12/10/2025 with historical negative reactions, and recent price bounce facing resistance near 363 without strong bullish confirmation....
|
|
| 2025-12-09 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear downtrend with price above both EMA and SMA despite their downward slope, no volume capitulation, and impending earnings on 12/10/2025 with historical negative reactions, avoiding entry right before the event. EMA remains below SMA, and both are sloping downward, but the lack of price below them and only one recent price cross above the averages doesn't fully qualify as unclear under the strict definition—yet it prevents a confirmed downtrend for short entry, especially since entry must be below EMA, which current price exceeds. No uptrend either, as EMA isn't above SMA and not rising. RSI at 60.75 indicates neutral momentum, not oversold for a long dip buy, and STO K at 82.75 suggests overbought short-term, with MACD improving but still negative (-0.90 line, positive histogram). Support trendline at ~$321 with rising slope offers a floor, but resistance at $363 (strength 3) caps upside, and $376 (strength 2) further above; price is churning in a range around $340-350 post-bounce, with no breakout....
|
|
| 2025-12-08 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash for ADBE due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA but price above both amid sideways movement, no volume capitulation, and earnings on 12/10/2025 just two days away with historical negative reactions....
|
|
| 2025-12-05 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to unclear trend with EMA below SMA despite recent bounce, upcoming earnings on 12/10/2025 with historically negative reactions, and no volume capitulation to support a reversal entry. RSI at 64.44 suggests room for upside but isn't oversold for a dip buy, and STO K at 73.10 shows momentum without extreme overbought signals. Resistance looms at $363.17 (strength 3) and $376.16 (strength 2), while a rising support trendline at ~$319.73 could cap downside, but without capitulation, we're not buying dips in this potential downtrend....
|
|
| 2025-12-04 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent price action shows consolidation near support without volume capitulation, and upcoming earnings on 12/10/2025 introduce uncertainty, making entry risky despite oversold signals in past similar setups often leading to whipsaw....
|
|
| 2025-12-03 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to upcoming earnings on 12/10/2025, recent exit from a losing short on 12/1/2025 without a better re-entry price or changed circumstances, and a confirmed downtrend but with history of failed shorts rebounding unexpectedly....
|
|
| 2025-12-02 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash for ADBE due to unclear downtrend with EMA/SMA tightly rangebound and frequent price crossings, no volume capitulation, upcoming earnings on 12/10/2025 with historical negative reactions but no entry justification amid repeated past short losses, and better opportunities likely post-earnings....
|
|
| 2025-12-01 | COVERED |
|
Summary: Covering the short on ADBE as price has rebounded without breaking lower, approaching earnings on 12/10/2025 with historical negative reactions, and no volume capitulation to sustain downtrend, avoiding further losses similar to past failed shorts....
|
|
| 2025-11-28 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE continues in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, targeting support near 300, while recent news on AI competition adds bearish pressure, holding the short from $318.11 despite minor bounce....
|
|
| 2025-11-26 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, bearish MACD divergence, and targeting support near 300 amid recent breakdowns and resistance at 363, while holding the existing short position with earnings not imminent....
|
|
| 2025-11-25 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE continues in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no recent volume capitulation, bearish MACD, and targeting lower support near 300 amid failed bounces and historical patterns of breakdowns without reversal signals....
|
|
| 2025-11-24 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, recent price action showing failed bounces off resistance near 325-330, targeting support around 300 amid bearish indicators like negative MACD and low RSI without reversal....
|
|
| 2025-11-21 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE persists in a downtrend with price below declining EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, recent bounce from BB lower at 311 but failing to break resistance at 328-348, targeting support near 300 amid bearish MACD and oversold but non-reversing indicators, while holding through non-qualifying earnings on 12/10/2025 unless exited closer....
|
|
| 2025-11-20 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, no volume capitulation, and continued weakness targeting support around 300, supported by oversold conditions without reversal signals and bearish momentum in technical indicators....
|
|
| 2025-11-19 | SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both and at oversold levels without volume capitulation, presenting a high-confidence short entry below EMA targeting support near 300 over the next few weeks based on continued breakdowns in similar past setups....
|
|
| 2025-11-18 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but entry for short is avoided due to proximity to recent lows around 320-330 suggesting potential bounce risk, lack of high-confidence setup from simulation of past false breakdowns, and no material bullish or bearish news catalysts to override technical caution....
|
|
| 2025-11-17 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with no volume capitulation, but recent price action near multi-month lows suggests high risk of a short-term bounce similar to past false breakdowns, warranting caution and staying in cash for a clearer setup....
|
|
| 2025-11-14 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE is in a downtrend with price near strong support at $332, avoiding a short entry at the range bottom despite no volume capitulation, while lacking an uptrend or reversal signals for a long position, with next earnings on 12/10/2025 and no other imminent catalysts....
|
|
| 2025-11-13 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but it's testing strong support at $332 with no volume capitulation, making a short entry risky due to potential bounce similar to past failed shorts near lows....
|
|
| 2025-11-12 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash for ADBE as the confirmed downtrend persists without volume capitulation, but price is near strong support at $332 with oversold indicators suggesting a potential short-term bounce, outweighing short entry risks given past failed shorts on similar setups....
|
|
| 2025-11-11 | CASH |
|
Summary: Trend is unclear due to price frequently crossing EMA/SMA over the past month without volume capitulation, combined with price churning near strong support at $332, advising to stay in cash and avoid new entries to prevent whipsaw in this sideways range....
|
|
| 2025-11-10 | CASH |
|
Summary: The stock is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but a volume capitulation within the past two months and poor win rate on similar short setups in the last six months suggest avoiding entry, while no uptrend or new capitulation supports staying in cash for better opportunities....
|
|
| 2025-11-07 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with price below both declining EMA and SMA, oversold indicators suggesting bounce risk similar to past failed shorts, and no high-confidence setup for entry given invalidated prior capitulation and broken support without new reversal signals....
|
|
| 2025-11-06 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA, price below both, and no new volume capitulation to justify a long entry, while the prior capitulation within two months blocks a short, so staying in cash avoids poor risk/reward amid broken support at $332 and oversold indicators without reversal signals....
|
|
| 2025-11-05 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, near strong support at $332 without new volume capitulation for a long entry, while recent capitulation within 2 months and proximity to support bottom deter a short entry....
|
|
| 2025-11-04 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no fresh volume capitulation for a long entry, recent capitulation within two months blocking a short, and price near strong support at $332 preventing a short at the range bottom, so staying in cash for a better setup....
|
|
| 2025-11-03 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past two months prevents a new short entry, while the downtrend bars long entries without fresh capitulation, so staying in cash to await clearer high-confidence setups near support or resistance....
|
|
| 2025-10-31 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but recent volume capitulation within the past two months prevents a short entry, while lacking a fresh capitulation or uptrend confirmation rules out a long position, warranting cash to await a high-confidence setup....
|
|
| 2025-10-30 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no new volume capitulation for a long entry, and the recent capitulation within two months prevents a short, so staying in cash avoids poor setups near support....
|
|
| 2025-10-29 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both without a fresh volume capitulation for a safe long entry, while the recent lower-conviction capitulation within the past two months precludes a new short, and the stock is churning sideways near support around $332 with no clear catalyst for a breakout....
|
|
| 2025-10-28 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as ADBE's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price volatile around them without clear direction, recent long exit on 10/7 due to support break and bearish sector news, no new volume capitulation for long entry, can't short due to prior capitulation within 2 months, and no immediate catalysts overriding cautious technicals....
|
|
| 2025-10-27 | CASH |
|
Summary: Trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA, price just above both but with recent crossings and sideways movement, no fresh volume capitulation for long entry in potential downtrend, and prior capitulation already used; recent price recovery from 330s lacks confirmation of uptrend for new long, while short is barred by capitulation within 2 months....
|
|
| 2025-10-24 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as ADBE's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and price barely above both without upward momentum, recent history of whipsaws and losses on longs/shorts, no fresh volume capitulation or major catalysts, and price near resistance at $363 with support at $332 offering poor risk/reward for new entries....
|
|
| 2025-10-23 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend remains unclear with EMA below SMA and both moving sideways amid recent volatility, lacking a high-confidence setup for entry after the recent long exit due to broken support and no new catalysts justifying re-entry....
|
|
| 2025-10-22 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA, price above both but with recent crossings and tight ranging without fresh volume capitulation, avoiding new entries per technical priority, while recent bounce from 330s support lacks conviction for a sustained multi-week uptrend amid choppy patterns....
|
|
| 2025-10-21 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with EMA below SMA but price above both, no usable volume capitulation for entry, and recent exit from long position without substantial new positive catalysts to justify quick re-entry....
|
|
| 2025-10-20 | CASH |
|
Summary: Trend is unclear due to price crossing EMA/SMA frequently (3+ times) in the past month without volume capitulation, signaling choppy conditions unsuitable for new entries despite downtrend signals, with support at 332 holding potential for bounces....
|
|
| 2025-10-17 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in an unclear trend with tightly rangebound EMA and SMA, price near strong support at $332 without volume capitulation, and a potential bullish engulfing candle but insufficient conviction for entry amid recent downtrend losses and no immediate catalysts....
|
|
| 2025-10-16 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but a volume capitulation within the past two months prevents a new short entry, while lacking a fresh capitulation bars a long entry despite oversold conditions....
|
|
| 2025-10-15 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with price frequently crossing the EMA and SMA over the past month without volume capitulation, combined with the recent break below key support at $332 signaling continued weakness and advising against new entries....
|
|
| 2025-10-14 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend but with an unclear trend due to tightly bound EMA and SMA, sitting near strong support at $332 without volume capitulation, making a new short entry risky despite bearish momentum, so stay in cash awaiting clearer setup....
|
|
| 2025-10-13 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA and SMA tightly rangebound without clear direction, price below both, no recent volume capitulation for reversal, and recent trade history shows losses from premature entries in volatile conditions....
|
|
| 2025-10-10 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, tightly rangebound averages without clear direction, recent volume capitulation already bounced, and past trades show repeated losses from premature entries, so stay in cash awaiting better setup....
|
|
| 2025-10-09 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with price below both EMA and SMA despite EMA slightly above SMA, no fresh volume capitulation for a long entry, and no downtrend confirmation for a short, while near key support at $341-$332 suggests waiting for a clearer setup to avoid repeating recent losing trades....
|
|
| 2025-10-08 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE's trend is unclear with EMA slightly above SMA but price below both, recent price crossings of averages twice in the past month without fresh volume capitulation, and tightly bound moving averages signaling no high-confidence entry for long or short amid choppy action and prior trade losses....
|
|
| 2025-10-07 | SOLD |
|
Summary: Exiting the long position in ADBE as price has broken below key support near $347 without volume capitulation to signal reversal, EMA/SMA showing unclear trend with price below both amid bearish AI sector news and no near-term catalysts....
|
|
| 2025-10-06 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: Holding the existing long in ADBE as the volume capitulation at $347.1 remains valid without sustained breaks below it, price is rebounding from recent lows near support at $332 with EMA above SMA suggesting potential uptrend resumption amid positive AI sector developments....
|
|
| 2025-10-03 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: Holding the existing long position in ADBE from $361.78 as the hold period is still short, volume capitulation at $347.1 remains valid without 5 consecutive bars below it, price near support with potential rebound amid unclear trend but positive AI sector momentum....
|
|
| 2025-10-02 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: Holding the existing long position in ADBE from $361.78 as the minimum hold period hasn't been met yet, with the volume capitulation at $347.1 not invalidated despite recent dips below but without sustained breaks of 5 consecutive bars lower, while monitoring for rebounds toward resistance near $376 amid unclear trend and positive AI sector developments....
|
|
| 2025-10-01 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: Holding the existing long position in ADBE from $361.78 as the minimum hold period hasn't been met yet, with the volume capitulation at $347.1 not invalidated by sustained breaks lower despite recent dips, while monitoring for potential rebounds amid unclear trend and targeting resistance near $376 supported by positive AI sector momentum....
|
|
| 2025-09-30 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: Holding the existing long position in ADBE from $361.78 as it's only 5 bars in with minimum hold periods in mind, trend remains unclear but volume capitulation at $347.1 not invalidated by sustained breaks lower, targeting resistance near $376 while monitoring for bounces above EMA/SMA supported by positive AI sector developments....
|
|
| 2025-09-29 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in an uptrend with price above both EMA and SMA after volume capitulation bounce, holding the position from $361.78 entry targeting resistance near $423, supported by positive AI sector momentum and no near-term catalysts. The lower conviction volume capitulation at $347.1 on 9/15/2025 (flagged as "!" ) provided a reversal signal, and price has held above that low without sustaining below it for 5+ bars, validating the ongoing long setup. RSI at 54.11 indicates neutral momentum, not overbought, while STO K at 61.59 and MACD at 1.32 (above signal line) support bullish continuation without immediate reversal risks. Support levels are strong at $332 (multiple bounces), and resistance at $376 (recent) could act as an intermediate target before $423, but we're not near the top of the range yet....
|
|
| 2025-09-26 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE's price at 359.74 holds above the volume capitulation low of 347.1 and remains in a nascent uptrend with EMA slightly above SMA and price above both, targeting resistance near 423 supported by AI fundamentals and no immediate catalysts....
|
|
| 2025-09-25 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE's price at 352.9 remains above the volume capitulation low of 347.1 with EMA still above SMA, supporting holding the long position targeting resistance near 423 amid strong AI-driven fundamentals and no immediate catalysts....
|
|
| 2025-09-24 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE's pullback to 351.42 remains above the recent volume capitulation low at 347.1, maintaining the uptrend bounce setup with EMA still above SMA, targeting resistance near 423 amid positive AI fundamentals and no near-term catalysts....
|
|
| 2025-09-23 | BUY |
|
Summary: ADBE shows a new uptrend with EMA above SMA and price above both after volume capitulation bounce, presenting a high-confidence dip buy opportunity targeting resistance near 423 over the next few weeks, supported by positive AI fundamentals and no immediate earnings....
|
|
| 2025-09-22 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend remains unclear with EMA and SMA tightly bound together without clear separation or volume capitulation to confirm direction, following recent short exit on 9/17 after a bounce that has since stalled near 364 with overbought signals. While EMA is marginally above SMA and price above both, suggesting a potential nascent uptrend post the lower-conviction volume capitulation on 9/15 at 347.1, the MAs' tightness and lack of decisive separation, combined with price having crossed them at least twice in the past month (e.g., upward crosses around 9/8 and 9/17), reinforce avoiding trades until clarity emerges. STO K at 81.25 indicates overbought conditions, increasing risk of a pullback, and RSI at 56.72 is neutral, with MACD showing a bullish cross but weak momentum as the line (1.64) is only modestly above the signal (-0.44)....
|
|
| 2025-09-19 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash as the trend is unclear with EMA slightly below SMA and tightly bound, price above both without clear uptrend confirmation, recent volume capitulation already used and bounced, no high-confidence setup for long or short given past short losses on similar reversals, and no upcoming earnings or catalysts in next 3 days. The EMA (355.94) is just below the SMA (355.99), a tiny gap less than typical daily ranges of $5-10, indicating unclear trend and advising against new positions. Price is above both averages, ruling out a strict downtrend for shorting, and there's no volume capitulation invalidation (price hasn't sustained below the low for 5+ bars). Support holds at $332 with multiple bounces, but we're not at the bottom of the range to short, nor dipping in a confirmed uptrend to buy....
|
|
| 2025-09-18 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash after recent short exit due to volume capitulation surge, with unclear trend as EMA slightly below SMA but price above both, no immediate earnings, and no high-confidence setup for new entry....
|
|
| 2025-09-17 | COVERED |
|
Summary: Covering the short on ADBE as price has surged above both EMA and SMA after a lower conviction volume capitulation at $347.1, indicating potential trend reversal and risk of further upside similar to the August-September short loss....
|
|
| 2025-09-16 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Staying short on ADBE as the downtrend persists with price and EMA below SMA, no clear breakout above resistance, and targeting support near 332 based on historical breakdowns without immediate reversal signals from lower-conviction capitulation. Volume was elevated on 9/15 with a lower-conviction capitulation at 347.1, but the bounce hasn't invalidated the downtrend, as price remains below key moving averages and hasn't sustained above them for multiple bars—similar to past false bounces in August that failed to reverse the decline....
|
|
| 2025-09-15 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: Staying short on ADBE in confirmed downtrend with price below EMA/SMA, recent volume capitulation lower conviction and not invalidating the multi-week decline toward 332 support amid neutral news and fundamentals....
|
|
| 2025-09-12 | SHORT |
|
Summary: Entering short on ADBE at 350.16 in confirmed downtrend post neutral earnings with high volume but no capitulation, below EMA/SMA, targeting support near 332 for multi-week decline based on historical patterns....
|
|
| 2025-09-11 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to Adobe's confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, but earnings report scheduled today preventing any new entry despite potential short setup near recent highs....
|
|
| 2025-09-10 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend without volume capitulation for a safe short entry, no uptrend or reversal signals for long, and upcoming earnings on 9/11/2025 preventing any new position today....
|
|
| 2025-09-09 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, but upcoming earnings on 9/11/2025 within 2 days prohibit new entries, and recent short loss from similar setup advises caution without volume capitulation or clearer reversal signals....
|
|
| 2025-09-08 | CASH |
|
Summary: Upcoming earnings on 9/11/2025 prevent entry into a new position, with technicals indicating a downtrend where EMA sits below SMA and price hovers between them without clear reversal signals or volume capitulation....
|
|
| 2025-09-05 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend without volume capitulation, upcoming earnings on 9/11/2025 that don't meet hold-through criteria, and recent short exit on 9/3/2025 at similar price levels without compelling new catalysts for re-entry....
|
|
| 2025-09-04 | CASH |
|
Summary: Staying in cash due to confirmed downtrend but price near strong support at $332 with no volume capitulation, recent short loss on bounce, and earnings on 9/11/2025 too close for a multi-week hold without violating exit rules....
|
|
| 2025-09-03 | COVERED |
|
Summary: Exiting the short position as price broke above the falling resistance at $359 without pulling back to support at $332 as planned, still in downtrend but with earnings on 9/11/2025 approaching and no volume capitulation to signal reversal....
|
|
| 2025-09-02 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the existing short from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 as price rejects falling resistance around $359 and pulls back toward support at $332, planning to cover near there before earnings on 9/11/2025....
|
|
| 2025-08-29 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the existing short from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 as the recent bounce approaches falling resistance at ~$360, anticipating rejection and further downside toward support at $332 before exiting ahead of earnings on 9/11/2025....
|
|
| 2025-08-28 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE persists in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the existing short position from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 for potential further downside toward support at $332 before considering exit ahead of earnings on 9/11/2025....
|
|
| 2025-08-27 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, holding the existing short from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 despite being underwater as price hasn't reached support near $332, with patience for potential further decline before exiting ahead of earnings on 9/11/2025....
|
|
| 2025-08-26 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, existing short position from 8/11 at $333.65 remains underwater but hasn't reached support at $332, holding patiently for potential further decline ahead of earnings on 9/11/2025....
|
|
| 2025-08-25 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price testing falling resistance near $364 without volume capitulation or reversal signals, holding the existing short from 8/11 at $333.65 as it hasn't reached support at $332 yet and minimum hold period is met, expecting further decline before earnings on 9/11/2025....
|
|
| 2025-08-22 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA, price bouncing to falling resistance at $362 but without volume capitulation or trend reversal, holding the existing short from 8/11 at $333.65 as it hasn't reached support at $332 and minimum hold period is met but expecting further decline....
|
|
| 2025-08-21 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the existing short from 8 bars ago at $333.65 hasn't met minimum hold or reached support at $332 for exit....
|
|
| 2025-08-20 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the existing short position from 7 bars ago at $333.65 hasn't reached support at $332 for exit while requiring a minimum hold of 10-14 days....
|
|
| 2025-08-19 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE's price has bounced to $360.56 but remains below the SMA at $371.04 with EMA at $358.88 still under SMA, no volume capitulation, and the short position entered 6 bars ago at $333.65 requires holding at least 10-14 days, not yet near support at $332 for exit....
|
|
| 2025-08-18 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the existing short position from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 requires holding for at least 10-14 days as only 5 bars in, not yet near support for exit despite recent bounce....
|
|
| 2025-08-15 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE continues in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the existing short position from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 must be held for at least 10-14 days as it's only 4 bars in and not near support for exit....
|
|
| 2025-08-14 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the existing short position from 8/11/2025 at $333.65 requires holding for at least 10-14 days without nearing support levels for exit....
|
|
| 2025-08-13 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE persists in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, and the short position requires a multi-week hold without nearing support for exit....
|
|
| 2025-08-12 | HOLD SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation, and the short position is only 1 bar old against the required multi-week hold....
|
|
| 2025-08-11 | SHORT |
|
Summary: ADBE is in a confirmed downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation in the past month, and entry below EMA at oversold levels but continuing breakdown for a potential multi-week decline....
|
|
| 2025-08-08 | CASH |
|
Summary: The stock is in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but it's oversold near recent lows with RSI at 31 and STO K at 8, risking a short-term bounce that could whipsaw a new short position, while lacking volume capitulation to justify a long entry despite positive AI fundamentals and upcoming earnings....
|
|
| 2025-08-07 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, oversold conditions via low RSI but no volume capitulation to justify a long entry, while shorting at potential bottoms risks whipsaw based on historical bounces from similar setups. Historical patterns, like the April 2025 drop to around 340 followed by a bounce to 385 over weeks, suggest potential for volatile rebounds here, making a short entry risky with less than 50% win rate on comparable oversold setups in the last 6 months (e.g., similar false bottoms in March and June led to sharp pullbacks rather than sustained declines). News from sources like Yahoo Finance highlights positive analyst sentiment from Morgan Stanley with a $510 target amid AI growth, and recent stock beats with 2% gains, but technicals take precedence, and fundamentals don't override the downtrend. X posts reflect mixed sentiment with some bullish targets but also concerns over competition like Figma's IPO, yet these are inconclusive and don't alter the chart-based decision. No immediate event catalysts within 3 days, with the next earnings date on September 10, 2025, per TipRanks, allowing time to monitor for better entries. Staying in cash avoids poor risk/reward, learning from the July trade where an early long at support failed due to lacking reversal confirmation, emphasizing patience for high-confidence setups like capitulation or trend shifts before committing to a multi-week hold. Key levels to watch: support around 330-335 from prior lows, resistance at falling trendlines near 367 and 375; a break below without volume spike could validate short later, but current position favors waiting.
|
|
| 2025-08-06 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, oversold indicators suggesting potential bounce, and simulation of similar past lows showing rebounds rather than further drops, making short entry risky at current levels near range bottom....
|
|
| 2025-08-05 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation flagged, but oversold conditions (RSI 24.6) suggest high risk of a bounce similar to past recoveries from low RSI levels, making a short entry low-confidence despite technical setup....
|
|
| 2025-08-04 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, but oversold RSI at 23.5 signals high risk of a short-term bounce, making a new short entry unfavorable despite the trend....
|
|
| 2025-08-01 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no volume capitulation, but oversold indicators and proximity to prior support levels around 340-350 suggest high risk of a bounce, making a short entry low-confidence despite the trend....
|
|
| 2025-07-31 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, no recent volume capitulation to signal a reversal, and current levels near support risking a bounce, so staying in cash avoids poor entry while awaiting a high-confidence setup....
|
|
| 2025-07-30 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation, and recent bearish news like analyst downgrades and AI competition risks outweighing positives, while sitting near strong support at $360, making a short entry risky and no high-confidence long setup available....
|
|
| 2025-07-29 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, near support levels around $360-370 without volume capitulation, making a short entry risky at potential bottom while lacking high-confidence for long given the trend and no reversal signals....
|
|
| 2025-07-28 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, sitting near strong support at $360 without recent volume capitulation, so avoid new long or short entries to prevent poor risk/reward setups like the recent failed bounce attempt....
|
|
| 2025-07-25 | CASH |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a clear downtrend with price below both EMA and SMA, no volume capitulation for a long entry, and current levels near support discouraging a short at the potential bottom of the range....
|
|
| 2025-07-24 | SOLD |
|
Summary: ADBE's price has only marginally increased from the $365.79 entry but remains in a downtrend with EMA below SMA and price below both, invalidating the expected multi-week bounce from support without recent volume capitulation to signal a reversal....
|
|
| 2025-07-23 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE remains in a potential bounce setup from strong support near $360 with oversold indicators and positive fundamentals like AI growth and recent Premier League partnership, despite downtrend, warranting holding the long position for at least another week to capture multi-week upside similar to prior rallies....
|
|
| 2025-07-22 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE shows signs of recovery from oversold levels near $360 support with recent bullish news like the Premier League partnership outweighing bearish analyst downgrades, in a potential bottoming pattern similar to April's rally, despite ongoing downtrend. ...
|
|
| 2025-07-21 | HOLD LONG |
|
Summary: ADBE shows signs of bottoming with "BOT" capitulation indicator, oversold RSI rebounding to 40, and historical patterns suggesting multi-week rallies from similar lows around $360, bolstered by strong AI fundamentals despite broader market pressures....
|
|
| 2025-07-18 | BUY |
|
Summary: ADBE is at strong support around $360 with low RSI (37.7) and STO K (9.5), signaling oversold conditions and high potential for a multi-week bounce similar to the April rally to $420, supported by Adobe's solid fundamentals in AI and software despite recent earnings volatility....
|
|